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Topic: Bet Placements and One-Sided Beliefs (6 of 10 in a Series)  (Read 372 times)

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Offline alrelax

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[For those of you that, wholeheartedly believe you can pick a bet-placement/bet-selection method, sit down at a bac table, win a certain amount and then leave, DO NOT read the following, it will be a complete waste of your valuable time and will not apply.]

If you truly get into the game and take it seriously, you will find that—you must have additional knowledge about other things that highly effect your winning, losing, playing, decisions, etc., other than your actual bet-placement/bet-selection process.  If you DO NOT, you will either do one of two things:

1)    Win and give it all back and then attempt to recoup and win again while losing your funds;

Or,

2)    Lose and keep losing in the attempt to win.

Amounts of wins and losses do not generally enter the picture.  Naturally you would think that, say a person with $500.00 buy-in wins about $1,500.00 would stop, cash out and leave.  Or a person that buys in with $500.00 loses, he would also stop and leave calling it a good try.  (Amounts stated are just for example purposes only.)  But, more times than others—that will not happen, not by far.  The person that won the money will have a complete change of mind frame and became convinced as to how easy and how profitable the game is to play.  "Hell, I worked all week over 40 hours for $ XYZ and now I just received double that for 20 minuets of my time".  BINGO!  That person will continue and continue until the variance and house retracts their money as well as the player’s buy-in and most likely subsequent and repeated buy-ins that usually will happen.  As well, the person that lost will also continue to buy-in and attempt to win either because of his past wins or what he has witnessed while playing or watching the game.  Although their mind frames might be perfectly working, most players for quite some time---just do not have the proper mind-set and conscious knowledge of what the volatility of the game actually can produce as well as their own agenda and protocols that can hurt any chance they have for positive sessions.  The reason being, the #1 reason is the player’s ‘plateaus’ and what the player has or has not experienced in his/her past.  Once you can figure that out, you have just added a ton of ammunition to your arsenal labeled, willpower-patience-knowledge-short term plan-control and player’s advantage.

Once you have played a while (more for some and less for others) you will 100% relate to those two scenarios I named above, and by the way—those are the only two things that will generally happen at the baccarat tables the highest majority of the time.  I stress--the 'highest majority' of the time.   

Another reason, right after the failure to recognize and be 100% conscious of your ‘plateaus’ is the player having one set of beliefs when they sit down at the table.  By that I mean, a player is looking ‘north’ only, one way.  That translates to say a player that believes and will wager only when one or even a certain number of things will happen.  As well as that player’s belief in obtaining a certain amount of wins, or having a certain stop loss, or playing a certain amount of time.  Sure, certain things or events do happen and happen either more frequently or less frequently than others, but the sad part is those times cannot always be identified by the player.  However, things change---and for all kinds of reasons the players have absolutely no control over and never will.  Some recognize the change as it is happening and so many do not.  And therein lies the majority of the problem.  So, what is a player to do?  A player should have a lot more than his one-sided belief for all the numerous things and events that can and do effect the game of baccarat as well as himself while playing the game.  The more ‘well-rounded’ player will believe in; ‘north’, northeast’, ‘east’, ‘southeast’, ‘south’, ‘southwest’, ‘west’ and ‘northwest’.

There are too many variabilities, beliefs and attitudes to properly define what each of us should or should not do in the many variable situations the game presents throughout and the player faces.  And, those that will tell you to do ‘so and so’ after ‘such and such’ are normally selling a system or a pre-set course of play that will never ever prevail with any kind of consistency.  I will not venture to discuss the pros and cons for all those numerous types of systems or recommendations for probability.  They will only cost the highest majority of the players trying them, all kinds of money.  Worse yet, when someone wins with one of them—they become totally addicted to that system or style, and the damage will add up fiercely, quickly and with great damage. 

So, if you think a bet-placement/bet-selection system is all that is required to profit from this game, as well as set, 'one-sided beliefs', you are only fooling yourself.   


Offline 21 Aces

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Re: Bet Placements and One-Sided Beliefs (6 of 10 in a Series)
« Reply #1 on: July 19, 2017, 05:18:56 AM »
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  • Very aggressive - The Gambler opening scene.

    - $10,000 buy-in.
    - Wins at black jack doubling up to get to + $80,000
    - Loses a $40,000 bet
    - Takes the $40,000 and gets a $40,000 marker to bet $80,000 and loses that.
    - Loses $500 on a high card draw

    - Now owes $240,000 to the house and must pay within 7 days.
    - Borrows $50,000 from the guy he lost the high card draw to at 20 points fee.
    - Pays the house back $40,000 and take $10,000 to gamble more.

    - Back to black jack.
    - Bets $10,000 - win.
    - Bets $20,000 - win.
    - Bets $40,000 - win by standing on a 12.
    - Bets $80,000 - win with black jack over a 20.

    - Takes the entire $240,000 to roulette and bets it all on black.  19 red.
    - Borrows spending money from the guy he lost the high card draw to at 20 points fee.
     
    Doesn't play baccarat in that scene or the entire movie.

    Life is something you dominate if you're any good. - Tom Buchanan

    Offline alrelax

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    Re: Bet Placements and One-Sided Beliefs (6 of 10 in a Series)
    « Reply #2 on: July 19, 2017, 12:16:57 PM »
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  • Movies are not reality, unless we are talking about the movie, Casino.

    As well, my series of 1 of 10 articles was of a serious nature and many have emailed/PM'd me and e have discussed and those articles have helped quite a few players, I am asking you not to demean them with senseless comparisons to fictional movies.

     Thanks. 

    Offline 21 Aces

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    Re: Bet Placements and One-Sided Beliefs (6 of 10 in a Series)
    « Reply #3 on: July 19, 2017, 02:34:13 PM »
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  • Sorry.  I thought it was a good example of this:

    1)    Win and give it all back and then attempt to recoup and win again while losing your funds;

    Or,

    2)    Lose and keep losing in the attempt to win.


    How may we delete it?  I move to delete it if possible.
    Life is something you dominate if you're any good. - Tom Buchanan

    Offline alrelax

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    Re: Bet Placements and One-Sided Beliefs (6 of 10 in a Series)
    « Reply #4 on: July 19, 2017, 02:57:30 PM »
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  • It is okay, leave it, i have been wrong in the past, maybe some others will understand what you meant to convey and turn it positive for them!