Our members are dedicated to PASSION and PURPOSE without drama!

The "Holy Grail" should be realistic

Started by VLS, March 27, 2013, 10:05:27 PM

Previous topic - Next topic

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

VLS

1) Powered by a Flat betting advantage.

2) Humanly playable sessions.

3) Never 4, 5 or 6-figure draw-downs in one go.

4) Small banks.




Regarding to #1: it should be able to be compounded inter-session. Also you should be able to throw in a positive progression to compound in-session, by the power of the already-present flat betting advantage.

Regarding #2: This slicing into humanly playable chunks allows for re-evaluation and adjusting.

Regarding #3: Large drawdowns are a no-no. Otherwise it wouldn't be a "grail".

Regarding #4: Keeping bankrolls small allow for adding cushion in between the player and the total ruin. If you need +100 minimal (base) units to have another bank in between you and the casino it is better than having to build a 1000-unit bank before enjoying the "cushion".




I'm not claiming to own a holy grail, I'm just vouching for it to be determined within realistic boundaries.

Email/Paypal: betselectiongmail.com
-- Victor

VLS

Also, it should be possible to play on any roulette wheel in the world.

A true holy grail should based on solid, universal principles :)




Email/Paypal: betselectiongmail.com
-- Victor

Albalaha

Quote1) Powered by a Flat betting advantage.2) Humanly playable sessions. 3) Never 4, 5 or 6-figure draw-downs in one go.4) Small banks.



Victor, in my humble opinion:
1) It is not possible to keep on winning with flat bet only. Since it is impossible to guess what is to come next, unless you are extremely lucky, no strategy in the world can get you guaranteed profit, in the presence of house edge, with flat bet alone. Only a person with "magical intuition" can do that.  ;)
2) I agree to this that it should be humanly playable.
3) I agree to this to the extent you do not play a single session whose spins go in 4,5 or 6 figures itself. If you target to beat millions of spins, a drawdown of 10k should be bearable for you too.
4)Small banks can have high number of chips, if you can play with 10 cents. Inside betting upon straight up bets need higher number of chips than an EC method does. Bankroll should be proportional to your average win target.
Email: earnsumit@gmail.com - Visit my blog: http://albalaha.lefora.com
Can mentor a real, regular and serious player

VLS

Quote from: Albalaha on March 28, 2013, 03:02:59 AM
Victor, in my humble opinion:
1) It is not possible to keep on winning with flat bet only.

Dear Sumit, thanks for your participation.

I agree all single triggers per se are completely doomed flat betting them mechanically.

This fact does not rule-out a flat betting strategy based on timing. Having all the degrees of freedom the unfolding game might need, exercising the right to modify your bets under a conscious way, in real-time.

Nobody forces a person to continue using what isn't delivering at the moment.

In this short-circuited game when a certain something is not appearing even once, it means something else is appearing twice or more.

The smart strategy accounts for this fact, even the one that is flat.

Email/Paypal: betselectiongmail.com
-- Victor

Albalaha

Victor,
      I may sound a little "bragging" but people are still blank about how a holy grail be made and I have came across many of them, rather created a few. When I say this, people come up with shouting over me, "he is liar". In my definition of an HG, it is nothing but a strategy that wins for sure, if u keep on playing, sessions after sessions. Nothing can beat 100% of probabilities because if u cover 50% of wheel, 50% is always standing against you and you can do nothing to stop them coming better than what u r betting at. You can not chose a "better" betselection, that can fail randomness. All bet selections and progressions/money management techniques work in a particular type of probability and other probabilities that can not be covered can always strike.
        Reading randomness or trigger betting etc can't work to WIN MORE AND LOSE LESS. They are new varieties of "fallacies". If you don't believe me, code them into a bot and run over a simulation of 1 million spins. It will fall flat.
                House edge ensures losses with flat bet, in long run. No betselection can get you to win flat bet, in long run. I am making this statement and challenge everybody to disprove me.
Email: earnsumit@gmail.com - Visit my blog: http://albalaha.lefora.com
Can mentor a real, regular and serious player

Albalaha

Even if you have a technique that is a holy grail (WIN MORE AND LOSE LESS), you are not going to become a millionaire overnight with 100 chips bankroll. You can just be safe and ahead in bankroll slowly with a grail. It is my firm belief and experience. If everybody is looking for anythng that will win in all probability, in every session, he is trying to make a ladder to go haven.
              If u  want to earn a million with a real holy grail, you need to risk at least half of that from your own pocket.
Email: earnsumit@gmail.com - Visit my blog: http://albalaha.lefora.com
Can mentor a real, regular and serious player

VLS

QuoteYou can not chose a "better" betselection
We can agree to disagree here.

I've seen with my own eyes bet selection makes a difference. "Farting" numbers versus carefully choosing bets according to current conditions certainly contrast.

Any case, I'm about to "dance naked" for the public eye to see with my betting tool. Everyone can see if flat has advantage under this light or not.

Quote from: Albalaha on March 28, 2013, 04:24:00 AMIf u  want to earn a million with a real holy grail, you need to risk at least half of that from your own pocket.
Our ways to face the game are certainly different. It is my opinion the better your strategy, the lesser your initial bankroll should be.

If your strategy works, you should actually start with the very very minimal unit, then start compounding in the grounds of your positively crafted bet in order to make your base unit grow over time.

Risking half a million to make a million doesn't sound like a solidly based strategy to me.

Well, in any case, there's enough "space" for all approaches. Each person comes closer to the tree (strategy) that gives the best shade according to him/her. We all know "best" is quite subjective. To some people "best" even means risking all your lifetime bankroll in one single roll. Let's be smarter than that when making our strategic play. Picking your bets can make a difference. Compounding and smart inter-session money management can make a difference too.

Unless you have the "motor" of the operation right (your bet/selection) the rest will have it quite hard to work on its own. Even when you have a solid progression/money management, you can always help it perform more fitting with a better-delivering selection; don't scratch smarter betting at once.

Regards.

Email/Paypal: betselectiongmail.com
-- Victor

Albalaha

QuoteIf your strategy works, you should actually start with the very very minimal unit, then start compounding in the grounds of your positively crafted bet in order to make your base unit grow over time.Risking half a million to make a million doesn't sound like a solidly based strategy to me.

Even the best methods may get big drawdowns, momentarily. One can not be lucky enough to earn a million units with 100 units in pocket. It will be like an 80 years old man making a world tour by bicycle, in a week. Keep realistic targets. We are not into Hogwarts school of magic.
Email: earnsumit@gmail.com - Visit my blog: http://albalaha.lefora.com
Can mentor a real, regular and serious player

VLS

Quote from: Albalaha on March 28, 2013, 04:48:47 AMWe are not into Hogwarts school of magic.
Are you sure? The simple fact of declaring an officially unbeatable game as beatable is considered to be an "out of proportion magic" itself.

As to whether it is feasible to start with plenty of small units, compound Interest does the trick.

http://news.morningstar.com/classroom2/course.asp?docId=142858&page=2&CN=

The beauty of small banks is you have more cushion. 1000 = a single gaming unit. Inflexible, harder to compound. 100 units = 10 gaming units to use, adapt and act as cushion in between the player and the total risk or ruin. Furthermore, it is quicker to multiply base unit banks with smaller 100-unit entities. In gambling having bankrolls is having oxygen. If it were for me I'd use a bankroll of 10 units to compound... (but I'm using single-number strategies, based on 36 unit cycles as a minimum).

...When compounding, more frequent is better. Gladly, in this scenario a transaction generating interest isn't a year of wait as in a bank or 1000's of units to be built, but rather single entities which can be played within shorter spans (within the day), giving the player a better chance for adding up net gains by the compounded interest at an accelerated pace.

"Would you rather have $10,000 per day for 30 days or a penny that doubled in value every day for 30 days?"

Those who don't choose the penny may need to seek other venues :nod:

Email/Paypal: betselectiongmail.com
-- Victor

Albalaha

Vic,
          You can't compound so easily in gambling, it is not a credit card interest. lol. You do not know whether if u win in first two sessions and rushed say 1000 unit to 1200, if u raise unit size to 1.2 now and lose two-three session consecutively, how will compounding work?
                Compounding can work only if you can win every session which is impossible.
Email: earnsumit@gmail.com - Visit my blog: http://albalaha.lefora.com
Can mentor a real, regular and serious player

VLS

Don't "LoL" so fast!!

You compound ONE of your many session banks (first bankroll), which explodes its unit VALUE, while adding base value banks in between you and the casino at a higher rate. If your strategy is truly solid, building multiple banks with your compounding strategy is more important to stay in game than depending on a single bankroll not to have bad luck.

I *do* hope you manage to have a great time amidst those huge progressions and huge draw-downs .. Now, the strategy I'm talking about here is firmly grounded in that "Win more when winning, lose less when losing" motto; concatenated winning transactions (sessions) explode the unit value on chained winning sessions, yet in concatenated losing sessions you give the casino minimal value units :)

i.e. What you make in a single session with inflated units, might take the casino ten "sessions from hell" of minimal units for them to have it back. You are creating a disparity in units during the strategy's good times, aiming for it not to equate to what the bad times can take in the same playing length. All geared to maximizing profits as well as your chance to stay in game, beyond an unique bank's fate.

Email/Paypal: betselectiongmail.com
-- Victor

TwoCatSam

Vic

What you say is all well and good--if a person can do it!  There's the rub.

If anyone can show me a method that does not hit the wall from time to time, I'm all ears.  What works so well on Monday will not work at all on Tuesday.  Might work Wednesday; might not!

I have a "bankroll" I break down into "sessions".  Sessions are battles; the bankroll is the war.  While we all lose battles, most of us lose the war, too.  My goal is to lose a few battles but win the overall war.

Most huge progressions are based on the hope that "things will turn around".  They may and they may not.  There is no guarantee they will.  When they don't turn around, one must either quit or dig into their personal money for a new bankroll.  Enough of this will ruin a person's life.  People are ruining their lives daily at the Oklahoma Indian casinos. 

I understand compounding and am working to do that daily.  But--before you can compound--you must have a win to compound.  If you don't have a sufficient bankroll to get those wins, you're toast. 

I think when people learn their "Holy Grail", they find they have turned an exciting game of gambling into a low-paying part time job.  Thus, the robots to do the work for us.

Last night I heard robots are doing tests for cancer cures.  They can do in weeks what would take fifteen years to do manually.

So we plod along........

Sam
If dogs don't go to heaven, when I die I want to go where dogs go.   ...Will Rogers

Blood Angel

Very interesting read Gents, thank you. When will you be " dancing naked for all to see" ( in your words) Vic??
Luck happens when Preparation meets Opportunity.

Superman

QuoteReading randomness or trigger betting etc can't work to WIN MORE AND LOSE LESS. They are new varieties of "fallacies". If you don't believe me, code them into a bot and run over a simulation of 1 million spins. It will fall flat

It's been said time and time again, reading and working with random does work if you know what you are looking at, I do it and so do a few others.

QuoteIf anyone can show me a method that does not hit the wall from time to time, I'm all ears

there's that word again, method, I doubt there will ever be one that works on an a-b-c system, sad but true.

QuoteCompounding can work only if you can win every session which is impossible

Maybe for you it is, I never finish a session down, as long as I stick to my play I come out ahead, every time.

QuoteOur ways to face the game are certainly different. It is my opinion the better your strategy, the lesser your initial bankroll should be.

Spot on Vic, Bayes has seen me take a 20euro bank to over 150euros twice already, without huge drawdowns, anyone who says huge drawdowns are needed needs to do some rethinking it all depends on how much you bet and when you bet it, let's face it, most gamblers don't want to think they just want to follow a few easy steps, good luck with that.
There's only one way forward, follow random, don't fight with it!

Ignore a thread/topic that mentions 'stop loss', 'virtual loss' and also when a list is provided of a progression, mechanical does NOT work!

Albalaha

QuoteMaybe for you it is, I never finish a session down, as long as I stick to my play I come out ahead, every time.

        Oh. Really? I forget that you can fly too.  :scared:
          Why don't you guide us all how to win all sessions? You should earn a million overnight playing with E100 chips minimum.


P.S.: You should always stick to your play, if it can win in all probabilities.
Email: earnsumit@gmail.com - Visit my blog: http://albalaha.lefora.com
Can mentor a real, regular and serious player