Not only PPPPPPP...

We always see,

eg.
PBPBPBPBPB..

PPBBPPBB
PPPBPPPBPPPB

PPPBBBPPPBBB

and many more,


Thus we can anticipate, a few pattern, at once...



We cannot dispute, these streaks won't hit, since they are part of the permutation.

Quote from: Albalaha on August 08, 2016, 03:45:25 AM
What fanciful complex bet selection can't help with:

4. It can't predict anything with any accuracy, in short run.

It can, at times, appear to be predicting with complete accuracy, even though we all know that it isn't actually predicting anything. There are one of three states that must occur. If you have a bet selection process it must reveal to you one of these three conditions. If you can figure out how to live with these results then you are a disciplined player.

Quote from: BEAT-THE-WHEEL on August 08, 2016, 05:23:30 AM
We do not need to predict, no forecasting, no voodoo,
no hocus  pocus,
Just mm, to anticipate, the streaks to happen...

The only risk is when,
the anticipated streaks, fail to hit,
And we lose our br,

             Even streaks are subject to variance at both sides. Hence if we wait for a streak of 7 hits of player, it may take more than 1000 hands at one point of time, or it may come twice in merely 50 hands. Positive progressions looks lucrative at a glance but it doesn't better the game by itself.

Dear Albalaha,
With respect,
You are right.

But if we bet ONLY a single streaks. that risky.
====================

BUT if we bet 3, or more streaks at the same time,
say, if we bet for .

7streak of PPPPPPP,
and BBBBBBB,
and PBPBPBP, AT THE SAME TIME,

we can't say all three streaks won't hit after 200spins.

what if we add in PPBBPPBB, and make that four,
will all four streaks won't hit at all.???

But of course, a sustainable mm to sustain, anticipated losses.
if only one streaks hit at the very last of the 200spins!!!

simple mm.
BET1=1, keep 1u.parlay the only the winning 1u.

bet1=win=1

bet2=win=2
bet4=win=4

bet8=win=8

bet16=win=16
bet32=win=64u

since series/single of baccarat is
50series/50single,
albeit whatever EDGE...the mathboy may says...


then the losses=50x1=-50,
and the capital recoup=...

thus in 200bet taken, and no streaks hit,
the losses=-100u.

QuoteBUT if we bet 3, or more streaks at the same time,
say, if we bet for .

7streak of PPPPPPP,
and BBBBBBB,
and PBPBPBP, AT THE SAME TIME,

we can't say all three streaks won't hit after 200spins.

Probability to get either of them(forgetting house edge) is once in 128 spins

so, technically there can be about 5 hits of them in 200 spins but we do not know for sure which streak will hit in which ratio and it is quite possible to not get any of them in 200 spins too. Variance may work on one bet or more upto its virtual limits and no amount of guessing can work.

Dear Albalaha,
with respect.

It is true that all three streaks, won't hit in next 200spins.

we should try ANY SEVEN streaks,

PPPPPPP,
BBBBBBB,
PBPBPBP,
PPBBPPBB,
PPPBBBPPP,
PBBPBBPBB,
BPPBPPBPP,
PPPPBBBB,
BBBBPPPP,
PBBPPPB,
BPPBPPP,
BPPPBPPPP,
PBPBBBPBB...ETC


and may you please do a simulation,

It very interesting,

to see if all seven not hit in 200spins increment,
after a million spins.
thanks in advance.

You are not getting my point. What is the purpose of this simulation? There can be hundreds of ways a seven step combination of ECs be made. How many you can play at once? In 200 spins, there may be 10-20 left among them and those can be any combination possible.

Simulation is done to test any idea with some objectivity and concept. Simulating the well known thing is not a wise thing. Even if we test 2-2 a million times it will always get the value of 0.

You are again missing the most crucial thing. Making complex or fanciful bets won't help at all. Only a very wise MM that works like a well trained and experienced truck driver who can driver in hills and arid zones, jungles and deserts and on a nice highway alike can get you past a long tough journey. Rest are destined to die.

 
Dear Albalaha,
with Respect.

bet1=win=1=br=2+1=3
b3=w=3=br=6+1=7
b7=w=7=br=14+1=15
b15=w=15=br=30+1=31
b31=w31=+62

above a very simple 5streaks, which will last till 61bet with no hit of streaks EC .
You may add up unit, for next 61spins, and so on

Please don't say, 5streaks won't hit in 100, or 200pins.

Dear Albalaha,
With Respect.
=====================
single dozen,
bet every spin,
flatbet 1u, and parlay.

risked 118unit, up to 118spins.

bet1,w=2,br=3+1u=br=4
bet4,w=8,br=12+1u=br=13
bet13,w=26,br=39+1u=br=40
bet40,w=80,br=120-1=119

now don't say 4streaks of dozen...
won't hit in next 200spins.

Quote from: BEAT-THE-WHEEL on August 09, 2016, 05:38:48 AM
Dear Albalaha,
With Respect.
=====================
single dozen,
bet every spin,
flatbet 1u, and parlay.

risked 118unit, up to 118spins.

bet1,w=2,br=3+1u=br=4
bet4,w=8,br=12+1u=br=13
bet13,w=26,br=39+1u=br=40
bet40,w=80,br=120-1=119

now don't say 4streaks of dozen...
won't hit in next 200spins.

the probability of getting four consecutive hits of a dozen is 1/3x1/3x1/3x1/3= 1/81 if we ignore house edge or presence of 0.

Now, as per my principle of virtual limits of variance, it could even take 1000 spins max to get a WWWW of your desired dozen.
I hope this will help you a bit. Do not think what should happen only. Think what can happen too.
Those ignore this play silly loser aggressive progressions and bust with huge losses at last.

Indeed any betselection arrived after lots of tracking and triggers and complex rules and calculations bears same level of risk as playing a simple bet as Red.

Quote from: Albalaha on July 31, 2017, 03:16:01 AM
Indeed any betselection arrived after lots of tracking and triggers and complex rules and calculations bears same level of risk as playing a simple bet as Red.

Agreed!

Every spin has the same, static odds that none can change with rules, guesswork, calculations or speculations.