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Topic: I rather lose intelligently than win ignorantly, Billy-Bob & Emaciated Emily  (Read 649 times)

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Offline alrelax

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That is exactly correct/spot-on.   There are many types of variances, some good, some bad, some neutral, etc.

From Gizmo:  " It's that need to make more than that that drives many gamblers to making bad risk choices. Just stay even and the good variance will come to you."

Dependent on math, dependent upon equaling out, dependent upon the many events that do frequently and as well--infrequently happen, there are all kinds of variances that produce the tangible or intangible, 'waves', 'clusters' and other 'events' that do happen during each and every bac shoe.  That is indisputable, events of some type will happen, they have to happen and there is right at 80 of them that form between 3 to 5 sections with turning points.  It is that simple. 

The tough part many can not figure out, is only becuase they confuse themselves or fail to realize that 80 events will happen and form only a handful of sections the largest amount of times.



My Blog within Betselection Board: https://betselection.cc/alrelax's-blog/

Played a min of 25,500 shoes of baccarat since I started playing live in USA casinos.

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.


Offline soxfan

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After 5,483 bets.

I think you need to add some zero to that number, hey hey.
It's a grind, baby, but a profitable grind, hey hey.

Offline Blue_Angel

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Thanks Mark, that's one way looking at it.


Just think for a moment, for what we can be sure?
Don't you get that deja-vu feeling every time you play at casinos?
Don't you think:"wait a minute, I saw this before..."
And this happens because it indeed happen before, so can we know tomorrow by looking on yesterday? YES!
It's not fallacious, everything which has already happened will happen again, everything is a repetition, just a matter of time before is being confirmed.
What changes then? The order of the events only.
The order is what makes deviations happen, let's say that each event is being represented by a single deck card, every time you pick one is being placed back and shuffled with the rest .
Eventually, some jacks,kings and queens will fall together and temporarily will look like they are more possible because they dominate.


Results don't change, their order changes and when we are talking about order we are talking about timing.
I don't want to go into details but a few times in the past I've revealed clues, but not all of the right ones in one place, here and there...if someone is capable to connect the dots then congratulation!
We are living in an infinite present so confine yourself in it, past and future are only perceptions, not something solid.


Everyday something new, change your selection accordingly rather than expecting the results to conform to your bet.
Money don't take decisions, but decisions make money, money is not evil, some people are, guns don't kill, some people do...all from humans for humans!
Casinos can't beat the system, my system.
Randomness is striving constantly to develop chaos and anarchy but my system's order prevails sooner or later.
Angelo Attoni

Offline alrelax

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Beautiful thing being on and watching four Fortune sevens coming in one half of the shoe while all the other staticians and mathematical Wizards are playing one or two units for the cut it was so fantastic and I was actually thinking of you guys while every 7th to 10th hand of so, one came out and then the beautiful Fortune 7 comes out with such dominance again. It's opportunity to be capitalized on getting back $1,000 for every mear $25 you put out there. Yes it's a risk but it's a risk that's a very well rewarded with positive reinforcement instead of false reinforcement even if you take 1/4 or 1/2 of that first profit and the first F 7 and reinvest it for x amount of hands, it sure pays off that's in my opinion and only in my opinion and that's what this game is all about.
My Blog within Betselection Board: https://betselection.cc/alrelax's-blog/

Played a min of 25,500 shoes of baccarat since I started playing live in USA casinos.

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

Offline Lungyeh

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Never seen this guy before. Sat down with @S$400,000 in chips and started betting S$200 on Player. If he wins he resets to 200 again n continues until he loses. If he loses he goes on a negative Martingale - 400, 800, 1600, 3200, 6400 and so on. Watched him on and off. Maximum he went to 6,400 and then the chop from Banker to Player happened and he won. Most times he stops at @50-65 hands presumably after having met his win targets.

In such situations, if there are 32 Banker decisions and say 30 Players how much did he win or lose? Or vice versa, if 32P and 30B?  If 32P and 28B and vice versa? Assuming in all shoes maximum repeats were 6x.

I suppose he chose Player because there is no commission. And his job is to choose shoes which do not repeat too long a dragon run. In this casino, most repeats at most 7-9 times which would also be very stressful if negative Martingale applied.

But he walked away a winner. So I am wondering what our forum members think of this approach.

Offline alrelax

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You can certainly almost guaranteed when a few units if your table limits are high enough and you got a deep enough bankroll, if you're only trying for a few units sure absolutely. Question is how much are you going to risk and you got to have a high enough table limits and are you going to quit after the one or two or three units you win for whatever amount of money?  Is it worth your time and your investment in your risk and going to the casino and gambling. I rather bring $500 or a thousand or $1,500 and win my $5,000 to $25,000 several times and lose several times the buy-in.  I'm okay with that but definitely if you got high enough table limits and you're going to negative progression until you win a couple of units you're, alright you can do that.  The only question is, if you stick to that opposite side for the cut and keep negative progression wagering eventually you'll hit a time where you'll be at table Max or your limit max and you'll be betting on the wrong side how many other positive sessions making a couple units will it take to replenish all that money that you lost?

Out of my last four trips to the casino in two weeks two times, I saw multiple shoes with excess of 8 Bankers and players in a row  the other two trips for several shoes, no.  There was a Max of 6 or less several times never above six, the other two times one shoe had an 11 banker and a 13 banker and another shoe had three times in excess of seven I want to say a 9 and 10 and maybe a 12 player. So it all hinges on how deep your bankroll is and what the table limits are if you're hell-bent on the negative progression play.

1s, 2s and 3s every single shoe and fours and fives and sixes very frequently but some sections they just don't appear, 7 + repeats can be an infrequent thing or frequent thing??  Once you talking 8 or more, might or might not show up.   I've seen them every shoe I played and I've seen them without more than a six quite often, so no way to figure in my opinion.
My Blog within Betselection Board: https://betselection.cc/alrelax's-blog/

Played a min of 25,500 shoes of baccarat since I started playing live in USA casinos.

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

Offline Gizmotron

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1s, 2s and 3s every single shoe and fours and fives and sixes very frequently but some sections they just don't appear, 7 + repeats can be an infrequent thing or frequent thing??  Once you talking 8 or more, might or might not show up.   I've seen them every shoe I played and I've seen them without more than a six quite often, so no way to figure in my opinion.


You just did figure it. You can have an over all global effect that repeats are occurring as imperfect yet consistent swarms. On the reverse side you can have a swarm of 1's, 2's, and 3's dominating. These conditions will come and go and they are recognizable, just as you have done. It's possible to play the Player side of the swarms of repeat streaks, keep in mind all your losses where Player ended, say 4 times. Wait, and hold them. Don't bet on the Bank streaks. Now when the over all look of what is happening changes to the look of an absence of long streaks in swarms, then run your Martingale then to get your 4 losses back. These over all trends also happen. I see it all the time in Roulette. Course I'm looking at 12 unique sets of even chance sets at a time. In Baccarat you only have 2 sets. In Blackjack you only have 1 set. But if I see them often enough in Roulette you must see these big changes in Baccarat.
"...IT'S AGAINST THE LAW TO BREAK THE LAW OF AVERAGES."