Whatever you want to call it or label it. Take 80 + - hands in a shoe of baccarat and without something of random events from happening, there would be either all Bankers—all Players or a perfect alternating chop-chop of Banker then Player for the entire shoe. I have played the game of baccarat for well over 35 years and the only thing I ever saw that even came close was 3 shoes of thousands and thousands and thousands of shoes. One shoe had the entire shoe of Banker-Player chop-chop alternating hands with some ties in it, from start to finish. The other shoe had all doubles in it from start to finish except one 3 which I think was 3 Bankers in a row. The last one was a shoe without ties in it, no ties not even one, which was only good for those of us who don’t wager for the tie. But those are the only 3 shoes with the whole shoe being ‘something’ with no random acts—so to speak that I ever saw. But, there certainly is varying types of randomness with each shoe of baccarat and at most times, the randomness throws almost every player off their desired result. That is the problem.
This is where the largest part of the wagering aspect of 'technical and strategy' comes into play. With agreement or without agreement. Second to none. Randomness either makes it easy or makes it harder, depending on what you need to match your wagering plan and decisions.
While anything is possible in a shoe of baccarat—the majority of times there are spikes with anywhere up to an abundance or a lack of ‘clear patterns and trends’ for sake of having to give a label to describe what I am talking about—referring to such results as Bankers and Players—Singles—Doubles—1’s, 2’s and 3’s, Naturals that cut or stick, Ties that cut or stick, etc., etc., and so on. With my comment, ‘anything is possible’, possible does not mean equaling or evening out, it does not mean producing something, it just means ‘anything and everything’ with no rhyme or reasoning or continuing or a set discontinuance of a pattern or trend, or any event that you can follow or go against-doesn't matter, whatever you want to term it.
Many play the ‘catch up game’ throughout the shoe-meaning, one side is behind a greater amount and, ‘I am going to wager for the inferior side to catch up’. Works and doesn’t work, just about 50-50% of the times in reality. Especially, when the inferior side starts to catch up and then fails while you got so confident and so consumed in progressions and wagering on that hope—you got smacked once again and probably a larger loss than what put you in the position to start that kind of wagering.
The problem in baccarat is that there is so many short term deviations, you cannot apply what you interpreted just happened in the past several hands into the current series or the next series of what will actually be produced as winning hands. And when you fall into that rut, your aggravation and frustration levels become huge. Then your mind frame, concentration and thoughts are negatively affected without your conscious knowledge. Then you miss the easy or easier or ever so prevalent (whatever you want to label it) coincidences that formed and all your wagers were on something completely opposite because you were stuck in some cloud and just plain frustrated to the point of being blind. Your aggravation and frustration levels are so high you are a danger to yourself and your bankroll/buy-in. So the really good sections with repeating small trends—that you would have probably wagered on and caught, were not so good to you and you lost money.
The problem is this. Many players attempt to calculate or predict the randomness. So many systems or bet placement methods and plans, will sell you their holy-grail attempt at some pre-planned amount of wagers, usually with a negative progression (just in the rare case you lose, LOL) that counts on the inferior side quickly catching up to the side that dominated. The real downside to that, is the way the inferior side does catch up and how often the strikes are that will add positive wins to the inferior side, etc.
Random and bias most certainly have maximums or an unwritten type of limit, is the best way to describe it. You will not have 50 straight Bankers, followed by 30 straight Players. Can it happen, possibility-but the odds would probability be something like 1:4,000,000 shoes or something like that. Here is the guts of it. Take all the statistical numbers you want from say 10,000 hands or a 100,000 shoes, whatever. Apply the mean averaged results, meaning—dividing it down to one shoe of 80 hands or so. In fact, apply them to 3 or 5 shoes if you feel better, whatever amount of shoes you are sitting down to play that is. What those winning hands produce for the small series of 3-5or 7 shoes you play cannot be reproduced with the stats that you ran on all your sampling. That is why systems and bet placement methods do not prevail on any type of consistent basis.
A hot streak of Bankers or Players—a long series of alternating chops or a shoe where every single natural cuts to the opposite side or any one of 10 other types of trends or events. It will happen the same amount of times as the exact opposite happening. Be it in the same shoe or one shoe compared to another shoe later in the evening. Also, everything else with a touch of each one will also occur in between the shoe that produces the consistent trend and the shoe that has the complete opposite that occurred. Random or bias happens, there is no way to stop it and as well—you complicate your wagering enormously when you try to factor it in. When you do that your thought process will become clouded and something that you do not want to creep up on you will normally set in—and that is called aggravation and frustration. The best wins and the clearest shoes I have experienced, were those played with no or little to none of both, both aggravation and frustration. Been there and experienced it, many times.
Randomness and bias—produces coincidences and that is where the highest majority of all baccarat players go astray. Coincidences can be exploited as if they were predictable, even though they are mathematically NEVER predictable. And that my friend is the casino’s greatest friend and the players worst nightmare.
Open your mind and forget mathematical strategy and computer analysis. It really does not apply to the few shoes you will be playing at the casino.