08 Visions-Interpretations-Feelings-Bankrolls, Etc.

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Offline alrelax

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Visions-Interpretations-Feelings-Bankrolls, Etc.
« on: November 12, 2016, 04:23:16 pm »
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  • Discussion and Questions or Points.  I truly feel after years of playing the game of baccarat that the following will add to or detract from your time at the table.  As well, directly reflecting the bottom line of your losses or wins.

    There are the following 'in-play' within yourself or should be:

    1)  Interpretations/Misinterpretations

    2)  Visions/Beliefs

    3)  Feelings/Mindset

    4)  Bankroll & Related



    #1)   Playing with the Shoe
            Stats Trying to Change
            Equals Out/Lopsided
            Events to Happen
            Events That Happened
            Statistical Reliance

    #2)  Playing for the Cut or the Repeats 
           Chop/Alternating  and  Repeats/Streaks
           Trends and Patterns
           Superstitions
           Other Players Actions/Wagers
           Dealers
           Bank of '3' Shoes (re: similarity)
           Downfall/Upside of Available Chip Stack (smaller 100% available/larger w/stop)

    #3)  Clear Minded/Clouded-Obscured
            Gut Feelings
            Open Minded/Closed Minded
            Preconceived Protocols Employed
               
    #4)  Drawdown
           Stop Loss
           Win Management/Reserve
           Money Management
           Progressions
    My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/alrelax's-blog/

    Played well over 29,555 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

    "Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

    Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

    Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that more.
     
    EMAIL: Betselectionboard@Gmail.Com


    Offline alrelax

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    Re: Visions-Interpretations-Feelings-Bankrolls, Etc.
    « Reply #1 on: January 06, 2017, 10:02:38 am »
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  • Ted009, here is another one I was trying to find the other day for you.

    Numerous things don't really apply to on-line, just live casino, but again--I never play on-line.
    My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/alrelax's-blog/

    Played well over 29,555 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

    "Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

    Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

    Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that more.
     
    EMAIL: Betselectionboard@Gmail.Com

    Offline Ted009

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    Re: Visions-Interpretations-Feelings-Bankrolls, Etc.
    « Reply #2 on: January 06, 2017, 10:07:42 am »
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  • Thank you Arelax!!
    Playing baccarat since 2004. No one size fits all strategy to win consistently.

    Offline alrelax

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    Re: Visions-Interpretations-Feelings-Bankrolls, Etc.
    « Reply #3 on: January 11, 2017, 10:38:01 am »
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  • Let's go a bit deeper into the possible factors that come into play, consciously or subconsciously:

    1)  Interpretations/Misinterpretations

    2)  Visions/Beliefs

    3)  Feelings/Mindset

    4)  Bankroll & Related


    #1)   Playing with the Shoe
            [It is always best to 'play the shoe'.  At times it is extremely difficult and almost impossible depending on the other factors occurring, but overall it is always best]

            Stats Trying to Change
            [Once the shoe gets underway an experienced player will be able to visually see that almost every shoe cannot match other ones and while many will set their own stats, others will be a replica of previous shoes.  Keep your mind open to what the shoe is doing-do not say it will stop at so-and-so or try to produce XYC, B's and/or P's.  Be 100% neutral, the shoe is doing all the work and producing all the decisions---you are not!]

            Equals Out/Lopsided
            [To me, this is one of the greatest and easiest traits to follow or not to follow.  The highest bulk of shoes will equal out at the end.  Within a few hands of each other.  But, my advise, is to only use that to gauge your wagers and bear in mind that the side you are about to wager on, could do anything.  Sounds unintelligent of course, but to me it is my tap on the should telling me, no guarantee.  Lopsided shoes do come, although not as often as the equaling out ones, but they certainly do.  To me, after 40 to 55% of the shoe is out, the equaling out is prevalent very so often with the, 20-28, 21-28, 22-28, 22-29, 23-29, 24-29, 25-29, 26-29, 26-30, 26-31, 27-31, 28-31, 29-31, 29-32, 30-32, 31-32, 32-32.  Then something along the lines as, 33-32, 33-33, 34-33, 34-34.  Happens so frequently, don't pay attention to those exact numbers, can be identified in the 20's as well]

     
            Events to Happen
            [Numerous events as we all have discussed on the board.  Some will happen and many will not.  When they do, recognize them and ride what they present.  Don't wait until it is a sure thing in everyone's minds, because only one thing will happen at that point, it will not be a sure thing any longer]

            Events That Happened
            [Events that already happened can repeat themselves, keep an open mind, although when those events are of a longer nature in number of hands, they are less likely to repeat themselves within the shoe]

            Statistical Reliance
            [Kind of related to Stats To Change above, but I am referring more to those players that rely strictly on the numbers as they are presenting themselves in Stats.  Be careful and although I am a fan of wagering within the reliance to produce itself and either 'make-up' or decelerate a certain side, to me this is a good gauge to add to my bag of thoughts]

    #2)  Playing for the Cut or the Repeats
           [While it is a strategy of many, be careful as to when you employ this.  I have done well at times with this and it is probably the number thought of 'wager' in this game.  I am referring to wagering for opposite last decision or the repeating win of the B or P once again]
     
           Chop/Alternating  and  Repeats/Streaks
           [Lots of players lose on the 'chop-chop' wager, meaning-B-P-B-P-B-P-B, etc.  So easy and comes frequently.  Capitalize on it and then stop. Streaks, I am a firm believer of sticking on the streaks or the strong runs until they fall off.  Lost the last wager, it's all good!  I like the strong/streaks, etc., especially after there has been a period of weak sections for quite sometime and then it goes one or two more on the repeat]

           Trends and Patterns
           [Trends and Patterns happen all the time.  Either weak or strong.  There are believers in this and non-believers.  It is easy to say it is all random and no one can tell anything at anytime.  Correct to a certain point, the exact same as you never know where that cop is going to be sitting on the highway with his radar.  Might be there and might not be there.  But we all know, or should know, there is going to be trends and patterns]

           Superstitions
           [Try to avoid them and don't get caught up in them.  Many will announce their own and while some people live by them, they cannot influence the shoe that actually has no part of them]

           Other Players Actions/Wagers
           [There are pros and cons to wagering with or against other players.  I have written about them on this board.  One thing that I am personally a huge fan of is good camaraderie]
     
           Dealers
           [I have written about Dealers in another thread on this board, there are many different types and almost every regular player will attest to that!  Some will be attributed with helping players and others will be chastised for almost never letting players win.  Some are the proverbial 'cooler' and some are down right 'mean'.  Most know what they are doing and there is usually one or two at most properties that always make mistakes.  The list goes on.  IMO, if you don't get along with the way the dealer projects him/herself, don't play, wait for the next dealer, SERIOUSLY!]

           Bank of '3' Shoes (re: similarity)
           [I am sure this is challenged by many, but I have found in groups of 3 shoes at a casino they are usually, more than 50% of the times, similar in nature.  I did not say exact, I said similar.  For myself, I have profited from this and I use it as a guide, not gospel and not science.  That is why so many thing are misinterpreted on here!  And, BTW--I use most things as a 'guide' not as science-a rule-gospel and mechanical systems, there is a huge difference!]

           Downfall/Upside of Available Chip Stack (smaller 100% available/larger w/stop)
           [To me, I see downfalls and upsides to the various chip stack players use.  Some players will downright grind and win small amounts in order to be able to build up their stacks and then cash out chips all along like they never had them there.  Some will buy back in when they lose their smaller stacks and many will not.  But, like I said, there are obvious advantages to many in their stack sizes.  Some players, will have that boost and play better with a larger stack, not many IMO thou.  I play better with a moderate size stack and I like putting higher domination chips away and cashing them out as if the chip never existed and the cash is not available]

    #3)  Clear Minded/Clouded-Obscured
            [I seriously believe this is important and utmost from the beginning.  I don't feel enough players really realize this.  Have a clear mind and you will have the ability to fully concentrate and realize what is happening, which at the baccarat table is not always that easy]

            Gut Feelings
            [If you are an experienced player and you 'have seen it all', you have a great value IMO.  I absolutely believe and value a good 'gut-feeling'.  Not those feelings based upon thinking it all though and reasoning, just that good old 'gut-feeling'.  They are there in many and they are very real]

            Open Minded/Closed Minded
            [Kind of similar to 'Clear Minded/Obscured above but just being 100% Open Minded.  In this game more than any other, that is vitally important.  It will help you for so many reasons and allow you to visually see and feel a quick moving game that changes up and has tons and tons of circumstances that either happen or don't happen in each shoe.  That is why it takes a player to really have an Open Mind to play better.  Having a Closed Mind will just have a negative effect, plain and simple]

            Preconceived Protocols Employed
            [Very dangerous in every way!  Your expected systems cannot and will not prevail in this game.  Not really much sense to discussing it, but you will lose much greater than you win.  A few hands here and there might fuel a player's thirst and quest when he gets lucky using this but he will suffer]
               
    #4)  Drawdown
           [Don't get confused with 'Stop Loss'.  This should be the maximum decrease you will allow in your wagering attack.  You can still wager, as I said a Drawdown is not a Stop Loss.  However, a player has to be careful as to the amount of his buy-in he is willing to risk and aggressively go after the point where he will hopefully start winning.  For example, I might have a 10 unit Stop Loss for my initial 40 unit buy in.  I might also employ a 15 unit drawdown for my progressions or plain initial win.  Units can be different value for the Stop Loss and the Drawdown]   [Since to me, this is also a very important area, I copied the following from an article about Drawdown:  However, we should estimate and predict correctly the drawdown in our money management decisions.  The betting amount for these losing bets must always be available.  Obviously, our total capital must be much more than the maximum drawdown, so that we don’t go bankrupt!In addition, after taking the drawdown into account, there should be enough money to continue betting at the same pace according to our betting system, without any decrease in the bet size.  Moreover, enough capital must be available for the next drawdown curve.]

           Stop Loss
           [Some players have them and some do not.  I take a 'Stop Loss' at meaning--what will I stop my play at during a shoe or section.  Others will say a 'Stop Loss' means--how many hands or how much will they accept losing before they walk away.  Locally where I reside, I play considerable smaller at the local casinos than what I do in Vegas, Southern California or Atlantic City.  So, what I bring is my buy-in, not my gaming bankroll.  I am okay with losing my buy-in if I have a bad night, it is not my bankroll and does not mean I am broke, etc.  Set what you are comfortable with for each]

           Win Management/Reserve
           [It is vitally important that you manage your win money and place something into reserves, not only for your bankroll but for other purposes out side of your bankroll.  It is far too personal for me to tell you what and how, but once you figure ::) it out, your conscious should be happier]

           Money Management
           [I have written about this and mine after I win, is a 1/3rd, 1/3rd, 1/3rd money split to manage my winning and remainder of my buy-in.  I have detailed this in other posts and after playing for many years, this is my single greatest factor that has helped me hold win money]

           Progressions
           [There is a heck of a lot of threads mentioning progressions on this board and every other board.  It is a subjective topic.  I have found that 1-3-2-6 and/or 1-3-2-4 has assisted me tremendously with some flat-betting fitted in-between.  IMP it is extremely difficult to hold win money and build up without some type of progressions.  It does not have to be a set progression, I only employ a set progression now because it helps me stick to it and it is kind of programmed inside of me.  Another one of my greatest factors that has helped me be more successful than losing]
    My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/alrelax's-blog/

    Played well over 29,555 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

    "Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

    Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

    Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that more.
     
    EMAIL: Betselectionboard@Gmail.Com

    Offline Ted009

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    Re: Visions-Interpretations-Feelings-Bankrolls, Etc.
    « Reply #4 on: January 11, 2017, 07:54:31 pm »
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  • Thank you Alrelax. Great way of recognising how the shoe is doing. We all know that baccarat is not a " one size fit all " game.  Thank you.
    Playing baccarat since 2004. No one size fits all strategy to win consistently.

    Offline alrelax

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    Re: Visions-Interpretations-Feelings-Bankrolls, Etc.
    « Reply #5 on: January 12, 2017, 10:53:22 am »
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  • Throw these in some where on the side line as well.

    The ability to recognize and realize the following, implementing and awareness the top dozen
    'side-effects':

    The 'turning point'
    The 'evening out'
    Relevancy of happening
    Patience
    Others Players, the correct interpretation
    Fallacies
    Staff
    Emotions/Frustrations (keep them under control-they can only hurt you!)
    #'s Prevailing or Losing
    Don't get hung up on 1 trend/chop-recognizing
    If one side is pulling away from the other, it seldom gets greater than 10 +, yes it does at times, but I said seldom, again, a 'guide' that I employ.
    My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/alrelax's-blog/

    Played well over 29,555 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

    "Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

    Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

    Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that more.
     
    EMAIL: Betselectionboard@Gmail.Com

    Offline alrelax

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    Re: Visions-Interpretations-Feelings-Bankrolls, Etc.
    « Reply #6 on: January 12, 2017, 12:37:45 pm »
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  • Thank you Alrelax. Great way of recognising how the shoe is doing. We all know that baccarat is not a " one size fit all " game.  Thank you.

    Let the majority of the 'new to the game' players believe that there is a magical science (AKA: Holy Grail) out there waiting to be found.  Something along the lines of every 4th player or banker that repeats itself and than wager large on the opposite side or anything along those lines, etc. 

    The game can be quite successful for a player that realizes there are many intricacies, innuendoes, governing factors and situations that can be favorable or not so favorable. There are huge concessions that a player must adhere to with Buy-In, M.M. and Progressions to have an edge as well.  I tired to lay out the majority of what I think a player needs to know and understand to attack the game in a more favorable outlook.   
    My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/alrelax's-blog/

    Played well over 29,555 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

    "Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

    Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

    Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that more.
     
    EMAIL: Betselectionboard@Gmail.Com