As, A lot of this is subjective. At times, in fact--all times, the single word is best to remember, 'MIGHT' as you said within another piece. #1 Problem is, all of what you mention will happen. However, it will also, not happen.
IMO, the largest error the highest majority make in this game, including me, including you, including the reader studying all this and those that never come on the board, etc., will be that, their mind convinces their trend of thought that 'so and so will happen'. My best nights now happen when I clear my mind of all info and stats, etc., and focus-concentrate and play what the shoe is producing. And, that doesn't matter if it is chops, streaks, 1-2's-3's, etc. I am not predicting, I am playing and riding the shoe. I rather lose the last one of the cluster than not catch a single one during the cluster. Hopefully you guys understand what I just said.
The entire trick or key to a more successful game is being able to put the clusters, the pieces, the happenings, etc., together and predict what will prevail based on what is happening with the current shoe (not past or history or stats) and couple that with an expected continuance before the regression to the mean develops within the shoe.
The above paragraph is well thought out--some will slam me and call it dribble. However, the meaning to the above paragraph is, something will happen, something is happening and that happening will or will not continue for a period of hands. At times it is very easy to figure out and at other times, extremely difficult. When you figure it out you have to ride it and stick with it, forgo and forget all the past shoes, events and stats. The current instant shoe does not rely on anything or anybody or any superstition. Most of us add some sprinkles for fun, take the edge off, slow the game or allow us to realize something sizable and then leave a winner.
There are tons of similarities and for every one that is similar there is an opposite one awaiting arrival in an upcoming hand.
I have witnessed just as many opposite side doubles or streaks to offset any commonplace similarity regarding when a double or a streak is or is not a trigger.
As far as Banker being the dominant one or as you say 'the less negative one', you are correct but that too will be varied and not a given. One the other hand, I have sat at numerous tables and witnessed Player dominated shoes outnumbering the Banker in the end with 15+ Player wins. The story does not end........it will continue.....................
There is a closing note here. The big table baccarat where the shoe travelled from player to player with the 3 dealers, etc. That game was pulled from almost all casinos and only the larger ones have it these days. Why? Because when it was played as normal, everyone trying the majority of the times for the Banker, the house lost money. The game really didn't pick up speed until the introduction of the Midi/Macau style tables and the players with the 'cut' wagering mentality. They are their worst enemies.
I have witnessed a far less player capitalization on the game since the early 2000's. The typical player has one wagering style and one only. Play for the cut. They lose out on the highest majority of the streaks/runs and then they can't even capitalize on the chop/alternating weak shoe as they are then wagering for the repeating/streak (cut).