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New genius in town

Started by AsymBacGuy, March 07, 2022, 02:12:04 AM

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AsymBacGuy

Let's see how a 'new genius in town' teaches us how to play baccarat.

I'd suggest to patiently watch the video step by step, mainly by his/her shoe selection.

https://kzread.info/dash/baccarat-840-does-the-baccarat-king-lose-his-crown/gKmrr8FsmZjJns4.html

as.

Baccarat is 99% skill and 1% luck

CLEAR EYES, FULL HEARTS. CAN'T LOSE
(Friday Night Lights TV series)

I NEVER LOSE.
I EITHER WIN OR LEARN
(Nelson Mandela)

Winners don't do different things, they do things differently (Albalaha)

AsymBacGuy

We will discuss any single of his/her move in detail.

as.
Baccarat is 99% skill and 1% luck

CLEAR EYES, FULL HEARTS. CAN'T LOSE
(Friday Night Lights TV series)

I NEVER LOSE.
I EITHER WIN OR LEARN
(Nelson Mandela)

Winners don't do different things, they do things differently (Albalaha)

alrelax

I look at the amount of units in his wishful thinking of Marty, etc., for a loss.

Wagering a few hundred or $750.00 or say $1,500.00 a hand to start, he is talking astronomical amount of wagers that would be past all table maximums at B&M casinos.

Waste of time. 
My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/index.php?board=250.0

Played well over 36,951 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

THE PURPOSE OF GAMING IS TO WIN!

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that & more.
 
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EMAIL: Betselectionboard@Gmail.Com

8OR9

"Observe the trend of the shoe.
If it looks like a player will win within the next 3 hands start betting player only."


What??????

Also......... If I am betting $ 100 a unit and I get to having to bet 176 units in the progression, that's betting            $ $17,600  on basically a coin flip.

This method looks great...where can I buy it?

klw

It's a losing strategy and he admits he loses , hmmm .

He doesn't like terrible 2's , he picks shoes where Player is ahead in the hope that it will continue and he leaves a shoe after 3 consecutive losses.

I wait for more experienced opinions.

Cheers.



AsymBacGuy

Hi and thanks for your replies.

Of course it would be so easy to argue again about the worthless martingale strategy and naturally it's even easier to talk after knowing the real outcomes.

Anyway there's a common denominator about this bet selection (as 8OR9 pointed out) , that is a kind of 'trend following' approach hoping that in the selected circumstances Player side should be favorite to win. In addition to that, this player like to jump from table to table and betting mainly on the first portions of the shoe whereas it would be wiser to consider the shoe as a 'whole'.

Next, he chose to bet after a 'trend' reached a too high value to be exploited itlr. 
Nothing wrong about wagering towards 'long trends' but they must be caught at the start or at the very initial portions of it, thus playing with house money.
Imo this is more important when we have (wrongly) decided to only bet P side.

I've selected three different spots in the video.

1- Approximately at 16.40 shoe went as PPBBPPBB so 'hero' decided to bet $220 at P side, thus hoping that consecutive doubles will prolong (actually that the last BB pattern will form a double).
That this move collides with my unb plan #2 (after any B double next B pattern must be wagered either in B single or 3+ streak shape) means nothing. The problem is that consecutive doubles are more likely to happen at byb and sr derived roads than at Big Road. Especially when we must fight a natural math propensity to get more B than P.
Then after the pattern was 'broken' by a B 3 streak, subsequent bets were worthless even if we were to bet B side.
Notice that at the first lost bet B side showed a natural 8, then at the second hand B side won by a natural 9.
Third bet made things worse as the hand won by Banker was an asymmetrical hand.

2- At 44.19 a chopping line formed by three hands arose, the last hand being a B.
Hero bet $220 at Player hoping that the chopping will continue but lost.
After a BB pattern broke the chopping line, my unb plan #1 dictates to possibly bet toward a 3+ B streak (1-3) thus prolonging a 1-3 B line (and a 1-2 P line).
Actually we shouldn't be particularly worried about those spots as we've won at both lines previously.
Anyway, when in doubt, keep betting what happened and not what 'should' happen. No B doubles in the past? I won't bet toward them.
Third bet was a completely waste of money as there's no sensible evidence that a strategy will get the best of it by wagering after a precise streak of 3 had happened (no matter which side considered).     

3- Knowing these standard betting amounts, desperately wagering $1760 on the P side after a P 5 streak happened doesn't need any comment.
Hero got the 'misfortune' to directly fall into an asymmetrical hand (P=4, B=5 at the start) when betting huge, the fact that he/she lost the hand after six cards were dealt doesn't change the problem.
Probably most people would think that betting Banker after a 5 P streak would be a worse option than wagering Player.
Actually, imo, no bet should be made at this spot.

Casinos rely upon a slow math advantage flow, so at the same token our bets should rely upon a slow statistical advantage flow.

as.
Baccarat is 99% skill and 1% luck

CLEAR EYES, FULL HEARTS. CAN'T LOSE
(Friday Night Lights TV series)

I NEVER LOSE.
I EITHER WIN OR LEARN
(Nelson Mandela)

Winners don't do different things, they do things differently (Albalaha)