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[alrelax]

The problem is, what almost all fail to realize or think just might be true is, that the player has won, he then looks at what transpired and happened during the winning section/shoes/session, etc.  This is the precise event that you do not (I repeat, you DO NOT) want to engage in!  Please believe me. The player will decide what caused the wins he just realized and he will subconsciously classify those as being responsible for his profit.  On the opposite hand, when a player loses, he then looks to see what has caused those loses and he will then classify those as causing his downfall and his hard earned money going to the casino. 

It is really a bit deeper than that, for sake of not typing out everything I have found and boring most of you, the above is the nitty-gritty absolute downfall of most all players in baccarat.  I don't care what the mathematicians and the statisticians on this board say, but in baccarat there is no such application of anything mechanical knowing what might be in the shoe, pending coming out.  You don't know the order of the cards and without knowing the order of the cards, even if you know what is left, it will not help you one bit. 

Anyone can have a 'system' of any type.  That system can win here and there or for numerous sessions.  But it will fail, it cannot last and it will prove you wrong and hurt you.  Reason being is the first paragraph here.  You will wager greater and longer once you win and your losses will only fuel your desire to recoup your lost money.  The new players and the extremely intelligent mathematicians and statisticians are the worst and the most susceptible to losing their money in a live casino.  They will wager on what they know which, is their own intelligence and their own knowledge as to what is supposed to happen according to the numbers.  And it might and it might not.  And if it does their own ego as well as the aura of the play session they just experienced, will soar their risk and desire to capture those rows of beautiful chips sitting in front of them in the dealers rack.  That is the point that their desire and their unknown experiences are yet to come, will 100% kick in and show them why the mob imported this game from Cuba to the United States back in the 1950's.  There is no system, ritual, series of pending 1's-2's or 3's, cuts, reverting back to equaling out, streaking, regularities, irregularities, etc., etc., etc., and so on.  None, zero, zip, zilch, nadda, that can prevail for the player on a consistent and uniform agenda when you sit down to play within a casino.   

Albert Einstein studied the game of roulette, a negative expectation game, the same as baccarat.  After spending time he did conclude that it, the game could not be beat.  He said, "The only way to beat Roulette is to steal the money when the dealers are not looking".  He did definitively and mathematically conclude that mathematical configuration of bets cannot be employed to overcome the house edge. 

So how do you win?  How can you, the player, get an advantage yourself?  Easy.  1)  Casino experience; 2) Loss of money first, and 3) Developing a special money management system that works for yourself and religiously using that system each and every time you gamble.  Period.

Most members and players believe the brief stuff they read on money management systems here.  However those are lacking the true depth, detail and what the player really needs.  More time is spent drilling into a players head, his ability to capitalize and wager on 1's, 2's and 3's and the 'cut', etc., that will only fuel a player's confusion, belief in wagering regularities or irregularities that will probably not stay the same throughout the session he is playing (even though they do within the testing sessions performed and perpetrated by the message board authors) which will cause the player to lose his hard earned money.  The author will also throw in something about a negative or even a positive progression along with a 'win/loss' stop and label it; a money management system that when employed with following the wagers laid out on the hands that 'should happen' because of the shoe reverting back to 'equalizes out' or some other well-thought out reason, the play losses because it just did not happen.  Oh, and not taking anything away from the authors of these hopeful 'to be dealt' events on this board, those things you talk about will happen, they always do.  It is just there is a finite period of the time that they happen.  And, there is also an equal or usually greater amount of time that, they do not happen.  And what happens when the players sit down when your expected 'to happen' hands or series of hands and events you said would occur, are not dealt?

Oh BTW, I will save you the time to answer.  Proposed answer from the board's authors:  "Just do not wager if you don't see the events happening as I laid out". 

But, if they do that, then they cannot win when those events suddenly do come back around again.  And, if they do your events and presentments just might not follow the cited routine what you have quoted from the results of your testing, mathematical and statistical discovered outcomes.  The only thing you conveniently left out was, the baccarat shoe that the person that read and believed your results is actually playing, does not have any compelling mechanical reason to follow what you said would/should happen.   But hey, you already made hundreds of millions of dollars and I know, you are not selling anything here, you just have the deep burning desire to share the info you uncovered by great intelligent research, sheer accident and luck, correct? 

[alrelax]

The Parade Stomping on the March of the 1's, 2's and 3's.

I will win if I wager on what will happen the majority of the times.  Correct!  Yes, absolutely.  Just the only problem is, 'it' has to happen that way while you are there and wagering on it.

I called my friend and he is kind of a math wiz especially with analytical reporting and laboratory stuff that we do in my business.  We use a ton of mathematical things in our 'compound quantitation reports' that are actually similar to 1-10 numbers presented in varying forms according to the laboratory results and how they were achieved, etc.  I asked him, run 8 decks of cards according to baccarat rules 10 million times, and tell me how many times there were runs/streaks of greater than 3 in a row for either the banker or the player. 

It came to right at 588,235 times there was 4 or more repeating runs from 4 to over 20 in a repeating stage.  So yes, bottom line—there are far more 1's, 2's and 3's than anything else in baccarat.  To the tune of say just over 1 shoe in 17 will have streaks of 4 or greater if you divide the results equally among the 10 million shoes.  The key thing though, is dividing it equally.  And depending on the cut and the shuffle, the next 10 million shoes will be different.  Etc., and so on. 

But, and a huge BUT!!  Those results will be different each time it is run and never (NEVER) equally divide among the series of shoes being played or tested because  the shuffles and cut cards will 100% change those results.  But regardless, you still do not know which shoes will have what, as the next 5 shoes you sit down to gamble, might have a much greater result of 4 or more repeating bankers or players than the next group of 5 shoes which might have virtually all 3's or less.  Etc., etc., etc., and so on with an infinite amount of possible combinations. 

And with 9,411,765 times that the 1's, 2's and 3's will be combined in varying stages of presentments when 4's or greater should not be around at all---but just might (??), wagering for the cut to me, IMO, is extremely dangerous.  Unless, you are playing only one or two hands every several months or once a year.