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[alrelax]

                         Can't Always Control/Adapt-Alert-Attentive

Lately I have been reading how so many people here claim or actually are playing a one-sided/one-way/one-wager type of baccarat game.  Meaning, they are wagering one specific type of wager after 'such and such' they are placing 'so and so', etc.  WOW, really? 

To me, I get profitable by coming at the hands from all directions, so to speak.  Catch runs, catch chop-chop, catch doubles, etc.  Yes, not so easy.  But to me, a heck of a lot easier than fighting it.  Blindly and uniformly wagering a lot of wagers is extremely greater risk than wagering a select, fewer number.  However, a player that can get on a run, in a grove, whatever—will have it tremendously easier.  A straight line so to say.  6-12 times.  $200--$600--$200 and then whatever, say $1,200 wager.  Risk versus reward and your capital.  Same as a business.  It takes some kind of risk capital.  The trick is to maintain your capital and not continually spend it or lose it.  The same with a business, any kind of business that is.  If you have a business that only spends money—you will go out of business.  If you have a business that makes money—you need to govern and mange that money to make you additional money as well.  If you have a business that spends and equal share as to what it makes, it too—will eventually go out of business for numerous reasons.  Not much different than gambling at all.
 
I seriously don't think most times, there is a true and correct—'right or wrong way'.  Possibly based on what happened or what is happening, there might be a more preferred way or a better possibility, etc., but not a definitive right or wrong way.  Then baccarat starts to reassemble a game, say for instance, 'Monopoly'.  Again, the player is not always right, but who lands on what and when, is going to determine who will be able to gather the property to win the game or just exist somewhere within and be grinded down paying your funds to others.  If you deplete your cash and you cannot pay for where you happen to land, you will lose the game.  If you repeatedly wager on the wrong side in baccarat, you will also lose.  Most players do harm to themselves in the way of excessive and consistent wagering.  Same in many things.  You have to look at the longevity and the possibilities rather than always looking at a quick and aggressive attack plan.

In baccarat some just sit there and watch.  Then they try to replicate what just happened or what they deduced down, will have to happen.  They put thoughts, patterns and personalities into your mind also.  A perfect scenario formed and gone usually happens repeatedly throughout most shoes to most players.  See what is going to happen and then the replication starts and will most definitely switch up just as you wager on it or plan to.  You were wrong, then you switch it up and it switches once again.  Because, there is no protocol for the board, the shoe.  Most players, the highest majority winds up programming themselves to fall prey to what I just said, and then they chastise and punish themselves when they keep switching up and not getting on the correct side.  They accuse the casino of cheating, they accuse the dealers of doing something against them as well.  But in actuality, all that happened, was the player choice the path the shoe did not follow. 

I have defined down the three areas that usually present themselves.  Different times for different style of players.  1) Pounce on it, hard and heavy; 2) Sit back and watch, take a break; 3) Get in and get out, make extremely selective wagers. I left the wagering every hand or nearly every hand type of player out, because all that happens with them is they get their buy-ins depleted. Have the patience, the wherewithal and the know-how not to burn yourself out in the attempt to 'strong arm' the shoe.  That shoe cannot and will not be strong armed.  That shoe is 100 times tougher and smarter than the love of your life, remember that!

[Blue_Angel]

Actually nobody ever controls results, they just attempting to predict them.

In theory we could lose or win every bet placed but reality differs, can you understand why?

Winning or losing all bets is the equivalent of every hand going only one way, Player's side only for example.

Of course it's only possible theoretically, variance means that distribution will vary and its level will fluctuate above and below a thin line of equilibrium state.

Let's say you track last 30 decisions and see only 9 Banker against 20 Player and 1 tie, what does this mean?
It means nothing actually because it could be a small deviation within a much larger one, for example for the last 500 results were only 189 Players, 300 Bankers and 11 ties.

But are you aware of the larger deviation?
The short answer is no, you realize only the much smaller during your playtime but the larger is in priority because it's dominant over the smaller sample.

You cannot predict future events by past events, you are in no position to predict if a dominance will cease now or after 10 results.
The moment you realize it, it'd be the very same moment you break free from what makes you lose, aka false beliefs and unrealistic expectations.

If you'd ask me how I do it then I would not be obligated by any means to direct you in the proper direction, but I could if I wanted to.

By letting you know what is wrong you won't become winners, but try next time on your casino visit to be more versatile and hop from one table to the next if whatever you are doing is not performing as expected.

Do you think all shoes have the same sequence of cards and distribution of results?
Of course not, that's why it does make sense because you don't have to take it if you don't like it!

When is the quintessential factor, when you decide "I had enough of it, let's move on'', for me 3 losses in a row is more than enough, remember: ''the good day seems from the mourning..."

[alrelax]

Actually nobody ever controls results, they just attempting to predict them.

Yes B-A, you are literally correct.  However, my wording is attempted to describe what most people/players think or are engaged in.  But, technically 100% you are correct in changing the 'control' to 'predict'. 

But, I think when I wrote that yesterday I was referring to 'controlling their wagering' and how we wager, etc., rather than the cards or the shoe results, etc.

[Blue_Angel]

Wagering alone  provides no advantage without proper bet selection.

Amounts don't dictate what's the odds, whether 1 or 100 K Euros stands on the top of the Player's box the result is going to be the same.

By increasing on specific times you are emphasizing those decisions against the others, but if you feel too confident for those specific hands then why don't you just bet that times only?

But perhaps the raise of bets has been triggered by loss(es), in that case it's bad decision, instead of considering that you have to change betting selection or table you decide to swim against the current...

[alrelax]

IMO, many players would be much more successful if they would realize and always be conscious of the variance (which increases widely with time at the table playing) that will take back their win money as well as their buy-in money. 

[Blue_Angel]

IMO, many players would be much more successful if they would realize and always be conscious of the variance (which increases widely with time at the table playing) that will take back their win money as well as their buy-in money. 

Not always, variance is not necessarily our enemy.

[alrelax]

Wagering alone  provides no advantage without proper bet selection.

I don't think I said, "wagering will overcome improper or proper bet selection", but maybe you think I meant that?

If anything, less to me is much better, less with heavy bets--I retain and appreciate the win tremendously greater than grinding and grinding with $25 to $100 min wagers. 

[ppkkint]

Well, seems like it's boil down to a proper bet selection.
A small bet, big bet or sit back wait for a trigger rather than bet bet bet...It's all about a proper bet selection, I think.

[alrelax]

Well, seems like it's boil down to a proper bet selection.
A small bet, big bet or sit back wait for a trigger rather than bet bet bet...It's all about a proper bet selection, I think.

Of course it is, that is gospel.  However, IMO there is other things that influence, corrupt, convince, control, cause illusion, alter perception, etc., etc., and so on.  I/some of you fall prey to those on more than one occasion.