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Short Run or Long Run

Started by alrelax, October 03, 2024, 02:23:03 AM

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alrelax

Is there really a difference in the Short Run and the Long Run?  Playing a shoe of Baccarat at a casino, will it present itself different if you are a full time 7 day a week player, playing 5 shoes a day or a player playing a couple of shoes a month?  Should your decisions be based on statistical notes of the previous shoes at the table or not?  Etc., etc., etc.

Reality is. Every shoe being played is an isolated event, brand new, fresh and unknown what it is set to do and will do, regardless of every other shoe played at that table and every other shoe you have played yourself. 

A shoe is a shoe. It is a finite and individual event set to happen, that is not dependent on any other source of input or influence from any other baccarat results outside of itself.  Meaning, those 80 or so hands to be produced, will come about without any regard to any statistical happenings at any time, anywhere.

So many confuse Baccarat with Roulette, craps, and continuous shuffled Blackjack, etc., etc.  Maybe those games do play out statistics and running averages of results, but Baccarat does not.  Never did and never will.  And that is the reason why countless players will lose money at the game. 

A live B&M baccarat game at a casino has absolutely nothing to do with any other game at any other table or any other previously played game at the same table whatsoever.  Thus, making the fallacy and distractions huge amongst the players with scoreboards even giving highlight stats of the previous shoe in some casinos. 

In reality a shoe is a finite 80 or so hands. The shoe might produce strong, weak, clumping or any combo and variation of those. But the bottom line is, the shoe being played has no reliance or influence from any other. Once those cards are shuffled, cut and burned, it is set to produce an unknown combo of presentments that rely only on the order of cards as to how they were set in place. 

Mechanical players get frustrated the most because nothing in a shoe will last continuously. Mechanical players do win money but almost 100% of the time give it back in order to win more. Yes, 'codes' and 'triggers' do appear frequently within shoes, but unlike their opposites, they do not last or appear greater than 50% of the time.  And if a player does not understand and employ a solid concrete Money Management Method, including being able to engage in positive progression with a 1/3rd, 1/3rd, 1/3rd MMM, etc., he is pretty much setting himself up for failure each session. 

In Baccarat, when something is there, it is there. When it is not there, it is not. Simple. But confusing to most all because most all do not play the instant shoe, they play their own beliefs and fallacies.

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Played well over 36,951 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

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Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that & more.
 
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