+ Register

[naturaln1ne]

Hey all, after reading BAS a couple times and practicing with play money, I finally tried it out yesterday on Pinnacle's casino. I lost my 3rd game but then rattled off 12 straight wins for a 14/15 first session. Seems like if you follow it strictly it will work a large % of the time. Just have a question about his retrenchment bets (ie. pg. 87). It seems to me that the bets for base bet of 2 are correct, but all of the others have the trigger bet as a retrenchment bet also. I assume this is just an error? Because that doesn't seem right for a progression/recouping your losses.

[Baelog]

Hey all, after reading BAS a couple times and practicing with play money, I finally tried it out yesterday on Pinnacle's casino. I lost my 3rd game but then rattled off 12 straight wins for a 14/15 first session. Seems like if you follow it strictly it will work a large % of the time. Just have a question about his retrenchment bets (ie. pg. 87). It seems to me that the bets for base bet of 2 are correct, but all of the others have the trigger bet as a retrenchment bet also. I assume this is just an error? Because that doesn't seem right for a progression/recouping your losses.

Here is the BAS programmed in Excel. Test away!

Baelog

[james]

It is presumed that if you lose the R7 bet (120), you reach stop loss!! The banker commission has not been taken in the program. Some fancy programming. Thanks.

[naturaln1ne]

The retrenchment bets don't seem right to me in that spreadsheet.. Why is your first one (R1) the same as your trigger, and not a bit more? That way you only ever recover your trigger bet, and not gain a base bet on top of that. In Fletcher's sample games with a $2 base bet, his trigger is $4 and R1 is $6, which makes sense. Not trying to argue, just trying to make sense of it and figure out the correct first retrenchment bet.

[Baelog]

The retrenchment bets don't seem right to me in that spreadsheet.. Why is your first one (R1) the same as your trigger, and not a bit more? That way you only ever recover your trigger bet, and not gain a base bet on top of that. In Fletcher's sample games with a $2 base bet, his trigger is $4 and R1 is $6, which makes sense. Not trying to argue, just trying to make sense of it and figure out the correct first retrenchment bet.

Just coded it as the book described. Made this about a year ago just to run a test. The spreadsheet is completely open so if there is errors please feel free to change it. Enjoy!

Baelog

[stephen tabone]

.

[Chimp]

Lung Yeh you can not have or get an edge playing 50/50 game with negative expectation.
All combinations has the same probability.

Cheers

So why is everyone here trying so damn hard at it?

[naturaln1ne]

So in my first 57 games I only had 3 losses, hitting a % just a little above Fletcher's long term % and making a good profit. Since then I've lost 6 games out of 22. I use pinnacle casino. Is there any chance it's rigged to screw me since I was crushing it so bad? Or just a terrible  string of luck? Really seems to be against me..

[Atlantis]

So in my first 57 games I only had 3 losses, hitting a % just a little above Fletcher's long term % and making a good profit. Since then I've lost 6 games out of 22. I use pinnacle casino. Is there any chance it's rigged to screw me since I was crushing it so bad? Or just a terrible  string of luck? Really seems to be against me..

Hi naturaln1ne,

Regarding SIlverthorne, Gambler's bookcase, Hunter, Fletcher et al you may be interested in my thread:

https://www.rouletteforum.cc/index.php?topic=15796.0

Regards,
Atlantis.

[Mike]

So why is everyone here trying so damn hard at it?

Because they are ignorant of the mathematical facts and are misled by hucksters or similarly ignorant people such as Greg Fletcher, Martin Silverthorne, and Stephen Tabone.