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How to beat baccarat itlr

Started by AsymBacGuy, June 22, 2017, 01:02:51 AM

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AsymBacGuy

How to beat baccarat itlr?

First, card counting the side bets. It gets you a mathematical advantage. 

Then there is the complicate world of B/P bets.

There is no way to consistently beat the game by following patterns or following lucky players or betting the opposite of unlucky players.
It's what the total amount of players will do and they are losers.

Remember that it's very hard to be ahead after two consecutive shoes and a lot harder to be ahead after 4 or more consecutive shoes. No matter how is sophisticated your strategy.

What we can do is betting the probabilities.

We do not want to hope for, we must rely upon probabilities.

For example after a P-P apparition, probabilties dictate that the most likely occurence will be a P single or a P double. Period.

Or that after an asymmetrical hand favoring (or actually not) Banker, next most likely hand will be a symmetrical hand that is a hand which is payed 1:1 on one side and 0.95:1 on the other one.

Or that after many high cards have been discarded, P side will be slightly favored especially if a lot of 8s and 9s were already drawn from the shoe.

Or that P standing or natural points are less likely than P drawing points, a necessary situation to get the B advantage.

Or that B streaks are more due if there's a lack of asymmetrical hands on the previous hands occurred.

Or that the most likely outcome at baccarat is getting chops and short streaks.

Or that P 3+ streaks are less followed by another P 3+ streak.

And many other situations will be more likely than others itlr.

Do those features regularly get the player an advantage?

Nope.

There's the variance and variance will enlarge itself the more we are playing. So huge that very often after 3-4 shoes we cannot devise how to get a winning hand.
Worse yet if we got consecutive long winning series giving us the illusion to be genius.

Wait some unlikely situations to come up, odds are that your future bets will be more right than wrong. Especially if such unlikely situations got a sd > 3.

It takes a lot patience, it takes to absorb the assumption that the game is a very long game eventually balancing the outcomes. 
Up to the point that we won't be in the position to bet a dime after 5-6 or 10 or more shoes.

In a word a thing no any bac player in the world wants to accept.

So such players keep losing and losing and losing.


as.   

















   



 

 



 
Baccarat is 99% skill and 1% luck

CLEAR EYES, FULL HEARTS. CAN'T LOSE
(Friday Night Lights TV series)

I NEVER LOSE.
I EITHER WIN OR LEARN
(Nelson Mandela)

Winners don't do different things, they do things differently (Albalaha)

AsymBacGuy

There's no way to beat a coin flip proposition itlr and baccarat is a sort of coin flip game.

Any hand or any shoe is just a minuscule part of the entire picture.
After a single P decision, B side will be most likely just for the tiny probability the next hand will be an asymmetrical one.

After a couple of P consecutive hands, the probability to get an asymmetrical hand is increased.
And so on.

If some asymmetrical hands have happened not favoring B side, wagering Banker is a waste of money itlr.

Of course a 9.4% asymmetrical probability needs some time to show up. And it can't show up regularly or per any preordered set of hands.

In some way, after a lot of as hands have occurred, the best bet is wagering the P side as it's 1:1 payed and we could rely on the probability to get a deck rich of small cards or some P favored distributions too.

If you'd know the next five cards are 7,7,7,7 and ace which side should you bet on?

as.









 



Baccarat is 99% skill and 1% luck

CLEAR EYES, FULL HEARTS. CAN'T LOSE
(Friday Night Lights TV series)

I NEVER LOSE.
I EITHER WIN OR LEARN
(Nelson Mandela)

Winners don't do different things, they do things differently (Albalaha)

alrelax


Witness and experience it all the time.  The small first third card is going to the players, just about all the time. 

Any side can prevail on the first 2 cards, of course.  But when it comes down to the 3rd card drawing, I would or wish my money was generally on the players side, for the majority of the time anyways.

However, no one knows and nothing will predict with consistency if there is going to be a third card draw of course.
My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/index.php?board=250.0

Played well over 36,951 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

THE PURPOSE OF GAMING IS TO WIN!

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that & more.
 
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