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[alrelax]

Here, i will post one right now and take an hour to explain it.

This is a live casino shoe from a Midi Table where the players take the cards and handle them, etc.  The limits are $10 to $2k a spot and the casino does not care at all if one player wagers on another spot as long as they are under the table limit of course.

I played 3 & 4 and then cut for the first 70% of the shoe based on the previous several shoes at that table.  I always do my cards horizontal the same as the scoring boards do them.  I had a $4,000.00 buy-in.  I generally do not buy in if I lose.  I do not have a stop loss, I risk my buy-in.  I have written about this in my Blog.  I use 1-3-2-6 most of the time or 1-3-2-4, I might flat bet if I am wagering.  I believe in 'sections' more so than anything else on a card/per shoe.  Sections will generally represent themselves fairly close.  The problem is, most players look at one end of the card for an insight as to what will probably happen--and that is so far off and out of the ball park--it is pitiful.  I have wrote deeply about Sections, if you seriously want to learn something that can help you, find out what 'Sections' are, IMO.

I wagered on the 5th hand to cut to Banker, after the 3rd player.  I won, I wagered $200.00 USD.  My next wager was on hand 16 and 17 for, $600 and $1,200, I lost.  I normally--or most of the time 80/20 anyways--revert back to the the first unit and reset.  I didn't this time.  I wagered $2,400.00 on the cut I gave $400 to the player next to me to put on their spot, and it did successfully cut tot he Banker.  So I made my $600 second progression wager.   

On hand 24 I wagered $30.00 for the Fortune 7 and it hit.  I began to wager the Fortune 7 around hand 18-19 as there was no ties.  If you look within my Blog, I know I have mentioned numerous times greater presence of Fortune 7's when there are none or a small amount of ties already out, etc.  There was none present.  So I won the Fortune with about $150/$175 invested in trying to catch it.

Then on hand 26 I wagered for the cut to the Players side and lost $400.00.  I doubled that up and stayed on it and it did cut to the Players side with an $800.00 wager.  I wagered $1,200 for the fourth wager of my 1-3-2-6 progression on the 29th hand to cut to the Bankers and it did.   

I then decided to go to $300 for my next 1-3-2-6 progression.  On hand 34, I lost and I wagered double on the next one and it did cut and I won.  So far no ties, 1st tie was at hand 40.  And everyone was wagering tie, crazy amounts and almost every hand since hand 18/20 or so.  That is what I mean in my other threads about wagering for something that is not being produced.

After the first tie I wagered for the cut once again.  It id not come and I lost.  I wagered $1,800 on the 42nd hand and it did cut to Player and I made my $900 back and profited $900.00.  After the next tie, the 2nd tie at hand 48, there was the second Fortune 7 and i did not wager on it.  Then something a bit strange happened, at least IMO.  The tie was a 10-3-8 for the Player and a 10-3-8 for the Banker.  3/8 out for each first, players was hearts and bankers were clubs and the tens were both hearts.  I wagered $600.00 on the cut after that tie for the Player to prevail and it did.  Player had a 9 and Bankers has a 1.  Then the next hand the Players had a 9 and the Bankers had a 0.   Before the two ties and the Fortune 7, the Bankers had an 8 and a 9 and the Players had a 0 and a 1. The exact opposite of what the two players had after the 2 bankers/2 ties and the Fortune.  So I played the Fortune 7 again after the tie which followed the 2nd Fortune 7, and lost the F-7 wager on the 2 players by it hit once again on the Banker that followed on the 53rd hand for $25.00.

I waited for the next time 3 B's or 3 P's would come out, which was the 59th hand and that was a tie.  I kept the $1,200 up there for the Banker an I lost.  I put $2,400.00 up and it did cut to the Banker.  Just in my experience and one of my triggers is a strong section with winning and losing point values, follow.  Otherwise I would have dropped the bets and reset in the 1-3-2-6 progressive runs i was doing.  I completed two of them at this point.

I probably would have stopped for the whole shoe due to the success I had with the completed 2 progressions.  However, several people were there with great camaraderie a lot of you will not relate to and understand.  I have been chastised before for writing about it.  I call it, 'over powering the shoe' which can be done.  Are we actually changing the shoe?  Of course not!  However, we are all together and we are winning, we are pumping up the wagers and no matter what we prevail.  I don't care who you are, maybe 1 out of 100 or 2 or3 out of 100 may not join in camaraderie where people are following others and everyone is all together---sure beats the head in the hands syndrome and aura.  I wagered $400.00 on the 2nd Player on hand 64 and parlayed that win and won $800.00 on hands 65, 66, 67 and 69.  I lost on wager where it cut to the Bankers.  We all did the same thing for a couple of reasons, because at the casino for some reason the end of the shoes seem to gain strength more times than others.  If you look at the 3 shoes that Adulay & Stephen Tabone and another poster as well as the PM Stephen Tabone posted, you will see they claimed they were fake.  But those score cards were from this same casino.  2 out of those 3 shoes the endings, last quarters-were relatively stronger than the first 65 to 75% or so.   

So, on hand 71, 72, 73 and 74, I wagered another $400.00 and parlayed it once and collected 2 more winning wagers on the Bankers and gave one back when it cut to the Players.  But like I said, I never have liked wagering after hand 55-65 anyways even if i did well on the shoe.  I did because of the people there. 

There are several things I personally look at, like the big road (usually top left of the board) with how strong or consistent a horizontal row is matching up or in contrary, cutting, etc.  Also pint value of the winning and losing hands.  A lot or most of the people here will sincerely disagree with that, whoever--I use that judgement in sections and not for hand 15 versus hand 60 for what happens after a natural or 3 repeats, etc.  At times sections do stay extremely consistent or not, and that is a leading factor that i have successfully used in conjunction with other things.

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[ppkkint]

Thank you so much for doing this Al, appreciated your time and effort! THANKS!!

[alrelax]

Are you in the USA?  Feel free to ask if you don't understand just remember I combine several things to make a decision at the instant time when I'm playing the shoe it's not a set mechanical system although there may be some triggers and protocols it has to weigh in with a combination of the point values win or loss as well as the big road which is normally the top left corner of the scoreboard and as well what the other players are doing if I know them and trust them Depending how they are doing with the shoe also.

[alrelax]

Here are the four main things I try to keep in mind when I play if I'm deficient in one or if I know I'm totally missing it I might regroup or try to reset somehow. Number one which is interpretations and misinterpretations. to Define number 2 one it would be playing with the shoe. statistics trying to change.sections and turning points. equaling out or lopsided. Events to happen that has not happened. and statistical Reliance mistakes that defines number 1 number 2 is visions and beliefs. To Define that would be number playing for the cut or repeats. The chop or alternating and the repeats or the streaks. the trends and patterns if they're visible and you can catch them as they're happening. superstitions and following other players with superstitions that you can to find our superstitions. Other players actions and their Wagers. Dealers. Bank of three shoes there's a similarity in three shoes that's consecutive a lot of the times that I find sometimes there's not but quite a few times there is and you have to be conscious of that. One plus  4 sideways parlay wagering which I do and I explained it In my blog.and of course the downfall or upside of your available chip stack and bankroll that you're playing with. Number three is feelings and mindset. to Define that would be clear mind it is not clouded or obscured. your gut feelings. you are open minded and when you close minded you try to be conscious of it. Preconceived protocols bet placement employed. which you are you're strong triggers or a possible system that you're going to play for a little bit. regression to the mean and I cannot stress that enough I'll say it one more time regression to the mean. number for would-be bank roll and related. To Define that would be your draw down on your buying you have to be conscious of what you have remaining and how you were going to space that out especially if you're not dying in the second time.your ability to be conscious of an always remember that additional buy-ins generally do fail. Be conscious of your stop-loss if you are employing one. your Winn management or Reserve placement of the wind money. money management of course I recommend my 1/3 1/3 1/3 that I wrote about in my blog. the progressions you decide to use

[ppkkint]

Thank Al, for showing me how you approach your game.
You have taught me a new way to approach this game.
Now I can see much more clearly what is happening to a shoe.

[alrelax]

Did you read the series of 10 articles within the highlighted section of my Blog? 

[alrelax]

Here is what i was quoting off of.  I tried to link it late last night but could not find it.  It is clearer to read and understand my thoughts I think then the paragraph I quoted above.

http://betselection.cc/alrelax's-blog/four-areas-to-prevail-in-baccarat-the-casino/


ALSO:

I did not define it correctly in the above post that read:  "just remember I combine several things to make a decision at the instant time when I'm playing the shoe it's not a set mechanical system although there may be some triggers and protocols it has to weigh in with a combination of the point values win or loss as well as the big road which is normally the top left corner of the scoreboard and as well what the other players are doing if I know them and trust them Depending how they are doing with the shoe also."

I meant to say the "Bead Plate" and the "Big Road"  The bead plate being the one in the top left of most scoreboards and an big road is the largest which is going horizontal with the bankers and players and ties in blue-red and green going downwards.