Reality. Be Smart, Happy.

[alrelax]

There is a ton of theories regarding betting systems out there on the Internet. Everything from showing how to easily make one, two or three units, to more elaborate ones that will show how to be successful with triggers after triggers the highest percentage of the times awarding you easy win money with various types of buy-ins.

Every type of system or trigger based on something happening, will eventually lose. In other words, everything will theoretically work until it does not. And every type of betting trigger will fail in the game of baccarat. I promise you that, in fact a solemn promise.

So with that said, now comes reality. I have found a total of eight types up presentments that could be just right for smacking the dealer's rack and winning multiple progressions and parlays, within a Section(s) of a shoe.

Patterns
Trends
Streaks
Dominations
Combinations
Out of norm/First deviation
Clumping
0-1-2-3 low ties

I stand by being extremely aggressive within a section or two of the shoe. Being aggressive means employing positive progressions full parlay once or twice.  I try twice more than once, and I work within a safe drawdown of my buy-in. So on a six time chop-chop or a 6 Time mini streak, both so very common, if I had a $250 initial bet and won I go to $500, win again and go to a $750 pulling down $250 to cover my initial bet. It is only three wins and not rare by any means. Win three more at the $750 level and lose the last one translates into a clear $2250 win for that.  (But the real advantage to following that one is the continuance of additional wins with whatever it was you were doing (5 more, 8 more, 10 more wins?) Or, I would do a $250 initial bet, $500 second bet if won with the parlay, thousand dollar with the third win and then go back to my original bet of $250. Which I call a 1 + 2 win with that full parlay would translate into a $1750 win.  (Only downside is you go back to your initial wager which has huge psychological effects on you if whatever you were wagering on continues).  On my second example, my initial bet is out there one more wager than the first, a total of three. On the first example, my initial wager is out there for the first two bets.

Remember there are 5 key items to this.

Drawdown
Within a section
Positive full parlay Progressions
Power of a section
Be Careful

The grind will get you in the game of baccarat. I promise you that. Is it easy to win two, three, four wagers? Sure it is. Is it difficult to win 15 or 20 wagers, sure it is. Can you win a few, lose a few? Sure. Can you lose a few and win a few? Sure. And right there is why flat betting without the flat bets being extraordinarily large with a very large bankroll, it is extremely tough to make decent money at baccarat.

I'm not getting into triggers here because that is a highly volatile and personal subject of its own. But, I will tell you extreme aggressiveness within a small section(s) of a shoe, is the key in my opinion.

It does not matter one bit that those trends/patterns or triggers will not reoccur over and over, or they are one time presentments.  I follow some of them, so can you.  But do not believe whatever won, will continue repeatedly because it will not.

Where most all players go wrong, is they want an established repeating pattern to appear before they take advantage. But sorry, too late. You may make one bet or two and win but you're going to give it right back and more because it's not going to continue. And the few times that it may continue will never make up for all of the times that you lost attempting to win on whatever trigger you were wagering for.

The huge advantage you can give yourself that will have power, is extreme aggressiveness in the smallest amount wagers and risking as little of your buy-in as you can while having some ammunition for your drawdown to begin profiting.

[alrelax]

And Gizmotron wrote this in response to another thread here on the board 50 minutes after I posted the above.  IMO, spot on and fits right here!  High five Mark!

" I never waste my time considering the odds of a perfect storm of conditions resulting in the situation being optimal for exploitation. When a card counter in Blackjack sees the opportunity they attack.  The trick in that game is to not get busted for card counting. But when you see a perfect trend or perfect pattern reoccurring you just hit it. Now it does not matter if it's a long shot on the odds. Are you going to grab the bag of gold? Or are you going to sit there, miss the opportunity, and wonder why you passed up on the chance. What you really want to do is to figure out what there is to gain by winning a long shot once in a while compared to missing every one and still just grinding away with a few ups and downs. Everything adds up. You must take the gravy once in a while in order to be able to take the chances in the first place. Playing against randomness is all about winning in the aggregate. I'm just rambling on here. I'm always ready to attack the opportunities. The grind tends to take care of itself."