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[alrelax]

The past years, I have been writing and brick and mortar playing at casinos. I have reported frequently on the topic of baccarat and wagering mostly.  The questions that comes up over and over again: When does a person actually understand the game Baccarat; and How and when to wager.

The questions both are simultaneously elemental and complicated. If a person scans and reads other forums, YouTube content and similar Internet venues, he will become overwhelmed with a limited amount of facts, huge amounts of fiction, tons of unproven theories and drama of all types imaginable. Yes, those two questions are confusingly broad and a bit 'open ended', but are quintessential to player advantage in all ways with the utmost importance.

Unfortunately, thoughtful engagement has been severely compromised by extreme drama on the Internet forums,  where so many knowledgeable, experienced and good people have tried.  But they just don't want to put up with all of the drama that has been brought about by an exclusive circle of people that roam the Internet forums with the sole purpose of drama and skullduggery. 

The most asked question would have to be, "what should I wager to make money".  In other words, people searching for the almighty 'holy grail'.  The 'holy grail' somehow gets commercially exploited without a real guarantee and proven fact, by all the system sellers, gambling book, manual authors and pay sites to make one easy money.  Why?  Because it gives a person looking the impression of once learned, they will have the magic ticket to riches at the table.  Sad, but 100% true, there is no 'holy grail', not a single one in the game of baccarat. 

However, there are numerous 'methods', or as I like to say, 'scheduling' of wagering.  But you must first understand the game of baccarat as well as having experience with wagering and its intricacies to use money management methods and wagering on what has a much higher chance of being in your favor within the game. 

The game of baccarat is simple in the way it is played out.  It started out with three wagers; bankers, players and tie. In the 1990s and 2000s the game took on numerous side wagers, but of course maintains the original three wagers as its main and primary bets. The game has the lowest house advantage within the casino and it is virtually a 50-50 game of the bankers and players wagers. Where the game gets complicated, is within its discussions, statistics and theories as well as the commonly believed theory that the bankers wagers always has an advantage over the players wagers.  What fuels all of the disagreements?  The use of statistical results that do not apply to the limited number of shoes a person will play, no matter how often he plays.  And the beliefs of why and how hands are formed and appear or are absent while the game is played out.

Of course to play the game there is no skill needed, no real understanding required and probably quicker than any other game on the casino floor, once a little bit of money is won, the person with no real experience and understanding of the game becomes a self admitting, well-versed and successful Baccarat Player.

Mix all of the above with a great amount of armchair quarterbacks, Internet trolls, drama seeking individuals, systems and book authors that seek to capitalize on those believing the fiction of easy money and a host of other things: Which brings forth the inability to engage in real, insightful, learning from others and exploring the game and it's complexities of Baccarat past the results for the search of what is called the holy-grail. 

I have spoke in depth with countless well experienced Baccarat players exploring the questions and results they have had and found. I have written about some of them and countless other ones I have pushed off to the side because of lack of interest from the members and guests of the forum. 

The game of baccarat is much more than a coin flipping game of 50-50 guessing. The game pushes the limits of the person Wagering on it and gets to the heart of human experience in many aspects with the application of their wagers. So many would deny that but it is so true and so thick, you can cut it with a knife.

IMO and that of many great baccarat players I know, is the highest majority of all the info on the Internet about Baccarat is that of 'reversed engineering', which is re-created events from statistics that do not apply to the limited amount of shoes you will play.  Think about it, if you don't and you abide by and wager according to what should come out of the shoe because of statistical results, etc., you are the casino's best friend indeed.

*  The game of baccarat is complicated and complex;

*  The game of baccarat requires experience from those that desire to win and hold greater amounts than what they lose;

*  The game of baccarat produces events that can be capitalized on.

Well, I continuously witness the complexity of the game of baccarat just about each and every time I play it.  What am I referring to?  Just about all the time, there will be well seasoned and experienced baccarat players with sizable sums of risk capital and high average bets. Exactly what is it that convinces me?  The players and the casinos change but the following scenario seldom does. Two of them at the same table, mostly never agreeing on anything. One of them wagers and wins, the other one loses. The winner points to the scoreboard and explains what he knew had to occur without a doubt. The other one shakes his head in agreement and admits he should have supported him. Then on the next hand or a few later, the exact same scenario happens but with the reverse of the winner and loser. And the same thing continues and continues and continues and continues.

Happy New Year to everyone.  Wish you all the best in every way!

Alrelax,
Administrator
Forum Owner
Baccarat Player

[AsymBacGuy]

Great post!

Many parts should constitute the Introduction of every serious baccarat book (and so far there are none).

The part I partially disagree with is about statistics that in some way must work more often than not even at short term situations in the sense that no matter how's the actual shoe's shape, we must rely upon something more probable than not.
At least this should help the less experienced players that get a hard time to find out what to bet and when to bet.

as.   

[alrelax]

"People only see what they are prepared to see". Ralph Waldo Emerson

It's only a single shoe. One shoe. About 80 hands. Nothing else matters, before or after results do not apply to the shoe, none. Zero.

Do not dilute the shoe down. Do not add to it. Do not throw averages in or reduce it down in any way. Do not envision anything else except what the shoe is doing. If you do, chances are you will only be hurting yourself. (Reference averages, I am not talking about + - 10/ + - 20 adherence or influence, or am I talking about a consistent temporary pattern occurring.  I am referring to counting on with addition/reducing what is yet to happen with an average you determine of statistical results that you are governing your wagers by).

It doesn't matter how you win......

But to the highest majority at the tables it sure does. I see it all the time, almost every time I play.  Either to show the others, or to attempt to satisfy their own ego that they have it figured out, etc.

1)  What wins this session, shoe, section, probably won't or might to a very minute and limited manner, in the following ones;

2)  Anything including countless presentments you have not experienced, can and will occur and create winning hands of all types.

Remember, at least try to anyways the above two things because baccarat is a game of presentments that make appearances as well as disappearances at will with no set schedule.

When it matters the greatest, you have to recognize it and wager accordingly. There is no other way.

You don't know what you don't know. Think. Seriously think.

The shoe will not give you an agenda as to what it's going to do, cannot and will not. Never did and never will.

Ever how you spread it out, chart it, software it, etc., problem is-it is already done. That means when you're at the table it already happened. You are analyzing the past, not what's going to happen in any order that will unfold with certainty. 

[KungFuBac]

The following gives a player the greatest potential for achieving an advantage greater than House Edge.

"...Do not dilute the shoe down. Do not add to it. Do not throw averages in or reduce it down in any way. Do not envision anything else except what the shoe is doing...."


Continued Success,