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Play The Shoe In Front Of You

Stop playing the statistics.  Statistics are great, statistics are fine.  However,  IMO and experience playing baccarat, statistics will not produce the shoe you are playing or that of the 2 or 3 or perhaps a long session of playing 5 complete shoes.  You are in all actuality, playing a tiny and extremely trivial section of any statistical outcome analyzed and broke down by all the 'wizards', 'doctors' and 'magical dust applicators' of baccarat mathematics. 

The 9 hands that just produced each of the Banker-Player 'chop-chop' that everyone said could not continue to happen after the first 4, happened;

The 20 hand banker or player streak followed by the opposite streaking almost to the very same length, no one ever saw or believed could happen;

The entire shoe consisting of all 1's, 2's and a couple of 3's—then around hand 60, both the Banker and the Player having continuing streaks of 5 or better to everyone's total amazement;

The 25 hand 'chop-chop' of every 2 and 3rd card combination that could be imagined—where upon everyone repeatedly recited, 'it has to start making pairs/doubles', with each and every continuing hand;

Every time a natural appeared the 'cut' came to the opposite side, or every time the 'cut' came the side continued.  These happened repeatedly throughout half the shoe that nobody played correctly and then when they did, the shoe produced the exact opposite of the player's guessing it would have to continue based upon the amount of times that it already appeared;

Every time a tie occurred, the 'cut' appeared on the next hand to the opposite side.  Or, every time a tie appeared, the side continued with that the tie appeared on;

Every time within a shoe every single F-7, P-8 and Bad Beat appeared on the first line (the top line) of the Bead Plate.  Everyone pointing to the Big Road and citing everything under sun as reasoning for not wagering the P-8, F-7 or any other side wager based upon the Big Road and other reasons;

Those are just a few, an extremely small amount of what does happen within certain shoes.  In reality, it is part of the statistics of all the great mathematical wizards, doctors and of course—magical dust applicators of baccarat statistics.  The part every one of you fail to understand is, every situation in every form exists within those statistics.  The statistics are not wrong as to the number of outcomes.  Yes, you read that right. 

However, you cannot sit down at a baccarat table and apply the statics of 1,000,000 shoes or 10,000,000 shoes or 250 shoes, etc., to the 1 or 2 or 4 shoes you are going to play.  Like I said, what happened in those situation above, happen.  You might not see them every time, granted—but they do happen.  And those IMO are the 'gimmies' and the 'fruit of the crop', by all means! 

All you know, is the total outcome of the statistics.  Not the order they were conceived in.  The order cannot be defined over and over again with the same outcomes to define the criteria of the events that total up to be the represented values that become the statistical outcome of testing.  No way.  Those that claim they can and there are events that are produced with certainty in an 'XYZ' percent over 50% of the times—is falsely leading you to believe into a system of wagering that will be ultimately disastrous to anyone's bankroll that continually wagers on the event.   

The outcome values, say 51% Banker and 49% Player and 8-12 ties per shoe and countless other ones, etc., that come about from millions of shoes of testing, I have no problem with.  Yes, they are pretty accurate.  However, the order that those 'event situations' were produced and came about, are not easily definable within each person's analytical results.  One million shoes of baccarat run by 'ABC' tester, versus one million shoes run by 'DEF' tester, might very well have the same outcome for all the types of 'situational events' that occur during the shoe.  Ties, Bankers, Players, pairs, 1's-2's-3's, Naturals cut, Ties cut, 1's followed by 4's, how many 3's produced, etc.  However, the problem is the order that they occur.  The order that they do occur will be changed and there is no way to figure out when or how those 'situational events' will stay the same.  Sorry, there is not.  Wishful and great thinking, but as the proverb goes, 'You are barking up the wrong tree'. 

So, when you are sitting in front of a baccarat shoe about to be dealt, there are 2 things that can happen.  The statistical values representing the statistical values of a test of baccarat will be the same when the shoe is over, or it will not be the same.  But what is a fact and always will be a fact, is the order of the cards coming out within the 80 hands you are about to play (or even a smaller section) cannot with any consistency be the same as the order of hands that any test produced.

What astonishes me after all these years of playing baccarat, is the amount of players that will continually wagering bets based upon statistics derived from hundreds of thousands or even millions of shoes and believing that 'XYZ' has to happen because 'ABC' appeared, through reasoning based upon statistical outcomes of one reason or another. 

Once you can gain access to say a read-out of one million shoes and you see every 'situational event' and how they played out—you might agree with what I am saying.  Why do I know I am 100% correct?  Because I know from the length of time and amount of shoes I have encountered. 

Here is a real simple way to disappoint yourself and probably save yourself tens of thousands or hundreds of thousands of dollars and finally get yourself on the right track to actually make money at the baccarat table.  Go to any casino (as I do not believe in and never will the on-line RNG or so called live games) and watch a large amount of shoes over the course of several days or even weeks.  Forget all the situational events except for Banker and Player and Ties.  Simply write down how many Bankers, how many Players and how many Ties in each shoe at the end.  Do a few shoes a day, say 5.  Then do that for several weeks.  Maybe one month.  Then take your numbers and add them up.  See what would have happened if you wagered every single hand or if you can honestly say, every one of your key wagers, etc.  See how much money you would have won or lost in several hundred shoes by wagering the same thing on whatever it is you declare to be more advantageous to yourself on a repetitive and consistent basis, rather than playing each shoe as it is presented and forgetting or believing in statistical advantages based on analyzation and published outcomes.