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[alrelax]

Here you go guys, started the evening off with a great meal, grilled pork chop topped with an egg, sticky white rice, pickled cucumbers carrots and greens, rice noodles and tofu.  A large bowl of PHO with thin sliced rib eye and all the greens, noodles and misc I prepped it with.  YUM!

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[alrelax]

Read this first, yes it is long but entirely relevant to baccarat and my game. (My next post will have about the actual shoe played along with a picture or two of the board).

Belief in Something.  Influenced.  Visual Factors.

Here, let me spell something out.  If you believe something even if not scientific, mathematical or historically discovered, proven and absolutely correct, is it wrong?  What I mean is, can you have something you do that is correct and proper for yourself in your situation or circumstances?  And have that work positive for you and for what purpose you created it or found it? 

Reality will supersede in factual results.  Always will, it must.  Does not matter what you are doing, the factual results will cancel, accept or discount whatever you introduce along the way, at the end.  Do we agree? 

Problem is, almost all of us do not really think at the table when we are playing baccarat.  We really do not.  We get sucked in and we get sucked in big time.  Sure, you can read this and shrug your shoulders and say, Glen you do, I do not.  But hey, we both know that is wrong. 

Just about all of us have two ways to play this game. One is in our heads, on paper, on the computer and everywhere else except the live brick and mortar event itself.  The other, is the brick and mortar event.  Lots of things happen when we get to the casino.  And the sad part of it all, they happen without any of us doing anything.  We are oblivious to them and we chase everything and pursue every avenue except ourselves to control, govern and take charge of ourselves in the proper way at the casino.  Again, shrug your shoulders and say I have no idea what I am talking about, but I do and I do 100 percent for about 98 to 99 percent of everyone. 

Most of what really does happen at a casino is the person is influenced from the effects of the visual factors. The visual factors present themselves in varying ways to the different people there.  The influencing manipulates in varying stages and degrees as well.  But the bottom line is, it happens, and it happens repeatedly throughout the session(s) to the people.  Because the people are in a situation, they believe they belong in, are comfortable in and will prevail, their understanding of that same situation is not being addressed or understood.  And that is where the problem lies and develops and preys upon the people that gamble at the game of baccarat. 

The Most Dangerous Thing at Baccarat.

What is the most dangerous thing, the most powerful thing and the thing that causes wrongful beliefs, dangerous influences and life changing factors within hours?  It is money.  The same as it does in businesses and families.  Just in those two it takes a much longer time to come to fruition. 

I will never forget a guy back in Atlantic City, New Jersey.  It was at Bally?s Grand casino property.  I remember this guy to this day vividly clear and this was back around the very early 1990?s.  He was in a light-colored blue blazer with dress pants and a dark yellow dress shirt.  He was gambling, I did not know him.  Somehow, we made eye contact.  I was a few seats away at a big baccarat table, the kind with the 2 sides with 7 players to each side and the 3 dealers in the middle of the table.  He kept pulling out envelope after envelope of cash from his inside pocket of his jacket when he would lose whatever he had in front of him.  Not small money but not anything record breaking for a larger casino anyway.  I think the envelopes had like $5,000.00 or so in each one.  He is burning through them steady.  A couple of hours pass, and he looks over at me and says, I can not believe how much I spent already, this is my life savings I am gambling with.  A while goes by and he says almost the same thing again.  His face is turning cold and hard looking.  He is stiff.  After another bit of time he pulls out an envelope and tells me, this is my last bit of cash, if I lose this, I am broke, financially ruined within one day.  I really could not say anything at the time, I never realized how gambling effected people back then.  You must realize at that time I was in the New York City adult business as well as the restaurant business in Midtown Manhattan and cash was never a problem and everyone, I gambled with was business owners that gave a new meaning to the words, liquid assets.  But this guy, I will never forget.  Of course, within minutes he loses the buy in of his last envelope.  He looks at me and I look at him.  He has this blank stare on his face, real deep and dark.  Real sad looking.  He just sits there looking at the table and the floor, alternating between the two.  I do not know how much he burned through, but I would say it was between $100,000.00 and $200,000.00 judging by the envelopes I saw him go through after he caught my attention.  I will never forget that gentleme

Guidelines.  Outcomes.  Agendas.

Somehow, you must be able to remove yourself and look at the table and yourself as an outsider with absolutely no vested interest. Yes, extremely hard to do, extremely!  However, you must do that.  You must rid yourself of bias, interest, first person, greed, desires, your past experiences and all things such as those.  Extremely difficulty, but doable and possible.  If you cannot, you will suffer and suffer deeply like those people texting me and those people I write about. 

Limits as Guidelines.  Please understand this and what it means.  There must be guidelines and limits and almost no one knows the proper way to set them.  But limits as guidelines need to be established and adhered to in the overall picture for serious play.  But not in anyway the sole regulatory factor across the board.  Suggested?Ideal?  One end is one thing, the other end is not applicable in anyway, that is what I am getting at.  How do you apply?  An outside person would say, you should not have done that, etc.  But once you have it pegged down, you will have something that works and works well when the results are producing wins, or the reality is producing losses. 

The Outcome will be Different. The outcome will be different often when evaluating everything.  Do not allow that to throw you, discourage you or alter your convictions in the purpose to subscribe to; Guidelines, Outcomes and Agendas.  IMO, that is where the highest majority of everyone goes wrong.  Not meeting your outcome or altering from it or falling short of it or achieving it and going for the gold, etc.  Get the picture?  That is where the path deviates each and every time, additional buy ins are broke out and wasted and the process begins a mean and vicious cycle. 

After all, if the outcome was not different it would be science, no?  And if it was possible, everyone would be a millionaire overnight and the casinos would have pulled this game many years ago, long before you even knew about it.  And it never will be, no matter what the system sellers and method people tell you.  And for you to make this work and make it work to your advantage, you must have a huge amount of knowledge, experience and wherewithal to justify, perform and excel without mistakes, at least the larger ones that cannot be detected mostly until it is too late.  I think I made my point, no?

The Agenda Many Think Is Best.  And that is the catch all key in many ways.  Many will think it is best at a uniform and a set scheduling of creating huge blocks of play and opportunity.  It does not work that way.  Get away from the schedule, the blocks of set agenda and the planned-out opportunity.  You are only setting yourself up for failure and maybe that explains the repeated and lost continued buy ins on almost all peoples outcomes.  Why?  Because the presentments within a shoe or shoes, have no knowledge as to what you need or desire and your attempt to change your agenda is only confusion, complicated scheduling and difficulty in matching up to unknown outcomes waiting to happen. 

Perfect Knowledge.  Absolute Conclusions.  Opinions.

Without perfect knowledge, you cannot and do not know what is within the shoe, the section, after the turning point, etc., etc., and so on.  None of us will ever have perfect knowledge of baccarat.  Sorry, I know that is not what many want to hear, but that is reality, stone cold and real-life baccarat reality.

We only know what has been exposed and presented within a shoe when we are playing.  Reality is that we can never know absolutely what will come out.  Through whatever means, Sections and Turning Points, an occasional hand or two through process and elimination, etc., etc.  We fool ourselves into a wager, some of us with large amounts of money and others with trivial amounts of money.  But the psychological process of wagering in this game of baccarat is hugely affected by numerous items as I have written about.  Do not forget that or fail to recognize just that.

It has been attempted countless times to match unknown and waiting to occur situations/presentments with a generated theory based on technology opinionated and concluded by the author presenting it as, "Perfect Knowledge", it is not.  It is a rouse, it is an opinion, it is an educated guess, it is anything, but an advantaged piece of knowledge so purported to be as such.  And that is where so many get confused as to what is what with this game of baccarat, decision making, strategy and wagering.

Look at it as a path or a hallway.  It must end, but what are the twists and the turns along the way.  That is why I began to break everything down into Sections & Turning Points, just makes things more manageable and acceptable, because before you complete a long path you must take the short journey along the way within that long run, no?  Hence, my Sections & Turning points.

Stop the reactions, because they will provide you with tons of false positives.  Those false positives are influential, realize that!  Very much so!

There are usually counter reactions to the presentments as they occur, most do not even realize it.  Pay more attention and attempt to look in from the outside, rather than submersing yourself in the game the way almost all do.  Like walking down, a hallway, when no one is walking with you and seven abreast walking right at you.  Your very first reaction(s) are, your pace changes, you look at which way you will start to divert your path and are they aggressive or just plain friendly and unintelligent?  You ask and answer many questions subconsciously and react as well, again subconsciously.  The same at the game of baccarat, learn it and realize what you do without even rationalizing it out and deciding upon it with knowledge, opinion and conclusion.

When it is in order, versus out of order, your process of realization is enhanced.  But few of us stay ultra-conscious when we are playing baccarat, especially in a live casino, with the absolute neutral state of mind at the table.  You may say you do, but you do not.  Visual impact is very very overwhelming. 

A standard method developed is not wise to follow, because the results yet to occur have no path to follow.  Correct?  The whole basis of everyone's reasoning's are, the sheer number of models tested.

Take 10 sets of eight.  Eight hand Sections that is.  Write them out.  Do that for say 100 shoes.  Come on your not that lazy are you?  Invest in 8 decks of cards, $15.00 or so at most.  Play them out.  Keep doing it.  Write down the Sections, every 8 hands.  Look at hands 108 through 116 and compare those to hands 208 through 216 and then look at hands 1008 through 1016.  Find something?  Keep looking and looking.  Come on what is the big deal.  You put more work in trying to put together an edger machine and learn how to use it on your lawn than something like this?

When you realize the results follow no path, then you will start to understand this game.  That is when you might just see the versatility and the use of Sections & Turning Points, 1/3rd, 1/3rd, 1/3rd money management methods or my 1 + 4 Side Parlay random wagering side bets without much thought, except getting enough win money to divide up and let those ride every so often.

The below is far too brief for a process as complicated and as important as Wagering Determination.  However, the process itself is the point by the selection process, everyone wants to jump immediately on, cannot understand, realize and continually use your advantages you learn, research and discover, etc.  You cannot that is, until you grasp and control the thing I outline below. 

With that quick disclosure above, we can move on with a simple synopsis of, The Scope of Results.  And that is the interpretation of the range of things within a Section of activity you are sitting in front of.  The Scope.  What is it?  To be able to look at or around, narrowing or expanding, limiting and restricting the presentments.  What does that do?  That will define the boundary, the limits on tools to use and the limits on the results you achieve as well or the loss of the capital you risked.  How you are setting the path to view as you look to accomplish the goal you desire.  In order to get there, but not into a false picture that influences you to wager along with it or outside of what you really have defined.  It is all too common and another huge mistake we either do not know we are making, or we exclude that very thing from our knowledge.  Maybe you should rethink that last one?  You must deal with the presentments which is the reality as it is happening.  Once again, that is tough if you cannot or choose not to recognize those events.  Everyone is so accustomed to hearing or being alerted to those after they already come out and are spent.  Meaning, the Section is over and another one beginning. 

You must employ with the understanding what the Real Objective is, and that it is to your advantage, more than sitting there selecting either a flat wager or a progressive wager, and that's all there is to it. 

Real Objective. The real objective is to quickly enhance your smaller wagers to produce a comfortable, IN FRONT OF YOU, risk capital, that does not affect your buy in or anything else.  Sure, you won it, but you need to risk something and why not the casino's money instead of your hard-earned cash and other allocations?

The most important factor is not to become overconfident or over flustered with the feeling of loss.  Believe me, it is the most important especially when beginning the session.  Too little win is bad.  Too much too quick needs to be realized as good and not providing you with a false positive to influence you into wild guessing and showing off.  Been there and done that far too many acceptable times.  Much more conscious of it now than years ago, proud to say. 

Within the sections, there is also your wagering sections or wagering decisions.  This is the time to build--do not get side tracked and do not become influenced, it is the worst thing you can allow to happen or not know is happening.  Like taking part in camaraderie against your desire or style, or allowing a dealer to convince you what to wager, or listening to a floor person because he is supposedly never wrong, etc., etc.

1)    You must have knowledge of the process that is planned and what you are accustomed to.  That covers a lot of ground, yes.  But you must have the scope of what you know and the ability to use it, in order to manipulate it, change it or wait for something.  Think about it;

2)   You must have knowledge and be able to identify and react to the process that is presenting itself; 

3)   You must have knowledge and a game plan of flat, progressions, reduction of, use of negative progressions, parlaying on a side wager but attached to your main wager, hit it hard and pounce on it, sit it out without absorbing anxiety or frustration, etc; 

4)   You must be able to recognize (against what I might be saying but in reality, a huge advantage) gut decisions and going with them or against them.  Those are the ones that are or nearly 100% intangible and mostly undefinable, completely opposite, out of left field and a hopeful long-shot in all reality.  However, most all will never admit that kind of stuff but when they do pan out positive, they are miscalculated as a false positive.  Thus, the negative effects are huge and horrible to countless players because of what false positives can do, will do and how they take their toll on an experienced and advantaged player, just about each and every time! 

How does a player build up to the point of having some disposable buy-in for risk?  IMO, the best chance is the beginning of the shoe or the first 25% to 1/3rd of the shoe.  Following the Bead Plate when it is repeatedly reciting something that happens.  Comparing the first half against the second half of the shoe, but in the sense of opposites or straightening out of sorts.  Realizing what is effective and positive and siding with those rather than falling into the continued position of losses to be made up and recovered.  Nothing as violent and negative within the game of baccarat than, having to do something in order to survive or regain momentum, etc. 

Define what is important.  Narrow your focus.  Narrow your hunt.  Zone in within the Zone, when you can recognize and identify such.  If you need to challenge, reestablish, recheck and be sure of it, you will not be able to effectively use it anyway. 

Conclusions.  The problem is that most of the mistakes made, are related to misuse of information and belief in the wrong scope of results.  It seems that people do not feel that they are armed and ready to beat the house, unless they put to use somehow the latest, most technologically advanced statistics, theory and holy grail they can find on some website somewhere. 

This is true all over the world in so many forms of gambling or quick gains of any type.  Especially when it is somehow classified as being "hot". which is usually just present and obviously in the titles of where they get the info from instead of the body of information themselves.  Hopefully you grasp the meaning of that one.

I have found along with many others that the proper and total consciousness frame-of-mind and through process will be your best advantage along with:

Money Management Method of some definitive type
1/3rd, 1/3rd, 1/3rd winnings division
1+3 or a 1+4 Side parlay in addition to your B or P bets
Passive and Positive Progressions of some type
Ability to Remain Neutral (and I mean completely neutral)
Ability to lock it up and walk away
Knowing your Plateaus and Levels and only going outside of them when you are winning.

Reality.  My one paragraph summation.

Reality to me, is winning money from the casino with a limited buy-in and being able to have the knowledge, experience and understanding of what the opportunities are and when they do present themselves.  Reality to me is losing small amounts of buy-ins and maintaining a bank roll that provides 25-40 chances to win money that will constantly replenish that bank roll when a few sessions are lost and having the winnings from other sessions be used and consumed in other life's activities outside  of the casino.

[KungFuBac]

Good read/thx alrelax.

"...You must deal with the presentments which is the reality as it is happening.  Once again, that is tough if you cannot or choose not to recognize those events.  Everyone is so accustomed to hearing or being alerted to those after they already come out and are spent.  Meaning, the Section is over and another one beginning...."
     
     I concur. I mostly do a pospro wagering regime and that last part of your last sentence in the above paragraph: "the section is over and another one beginning..", has really helped extend my wins-in-a-row streaks. I know alrelax constantly harps on sections ending and beginning, however, it took awhile for me to fully grasp(or to fully apply).

Personally I find it beneficial to watch with anticipation for my first winning streak to be near the finish line and set it aside until Im more confident I have identified that I am indeed in sync with the perceived beginning of a new streak(different than whatever just ended). I use to feel a need to never leave a winning streak, however, I find it more beneficial to set aside this larger wager and only wager 1.0 base unit for the final one or two wins of that first streak. Then reapply the pressed-up wager at the "beginning" of the second identified streak. It is this second streak with the set-aside wager that often permits the real cash extraction.  Because Im already ahead of the compound curve and the wager is self-generating profits but more importantly the compounding is also being fed with the casinos money. So in other words when the casino does win and stops the streak the amount they rake back into their stack is mostly if not all their monies.  In other words that second streak allows one to get maybe 7-9 wins vs maybe a 4-5 wins on the first streak alone.


alrelax: ..." Get away from the schedule, the blocks of set agenda and the planned-out opportunity.  You are only setting yourself up for failure and maybe that explains the repeated and lost continued buy ins on almost all peoples outcomes.  Why?  Because the presentments within a shoe or shoes, have no knowledge as to what you need or desire and your attempt to change your agenda is only confusion, complicated scheduling and difficulty in matching up to unknown outcomes waiting to happen. .."

    Yes and perfectly worded.

"...Money Management Method of some definitive type
1/3rd, 1/3rd, 1/3rd winnings division..."

     Yes indeed, I also find it helpful to "NeverNEVERnever" wager 100% of winnings back through the casino machine. My preference is to take a small  % of wins and purchase an item with intrinsic value(I like gold or silver bullion,coins,...etc) because it doesn't matter if i win $20, 2000, or 20000 I can easily find the desired denomination). I will often go immediately to the players lounge and order something online so as to make a mental note that (small%ofwin) is not avail for wagering.
IMO this provides some solace when Im driving home after busting a buyin to recall that I do indeed have something to show for the WINS that hopefully occurred prior to the loss of said buyin. One could just as easily choose to purchase intrinsically-valued items such as car tires, new expensive watch, shoes, gifts for others,...etc. To each their own with the bottomline being that our wins give us something to hold onto because the losses are inevitable(at least for me).

"...Ability to Remain Neutral (and I mean completely neutral)...."

     This is the most difficult for me as I think we all have preconceived notions of "see this bet that" because "THAT" is now more probable,...etc.


"...The most important factor is not to become overconfident or over flustered with the feeling of loss. .."

     I learn far more after a loss then I do after a win-- or at least it keeps one humble.


?Others thoughts or comments??


Thx again alrelax/appreciate u taking the time to post it.


Cheers, KFB

[alrelax]

Here is the first shoe:

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[alrelax]

Here is the second shoe played:

6 Fortune 7s.  Hands: 6; 17; 24; 30; 59; and 74.

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