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[alrelax]

You are always in the short term. I don't care what anyone says and I don't care how you look at it but that is reality. You cannot play the long term no matter how many sessions, years or whatever you were going to engage in and be able to win anything sizable and keep it going in the game of Baccarat.

You have to win. And that's why you play the game. You can only win what's in front of you. And that is short term, it is a very tiny piece of any statistical outcome of baccarat. Extremely tiny and the shoe being played has an unknown placement within those statistics you might believe in.  Even if you were wagering on the most favorable triggers with the highest advantage to the player, you will still be playing within the smallest of the tiniest sections of those statistics you were believing in, from replicating itself in the shoe you were sitting in front of wagering real money on.

Simulation after simulation after simulation, when compared will be in some kind of contradiction to each other. Why? Because that is the way the game of baccarat is. One set of hundreds of thousands of shoes, millions of hands, compared to another set are and will never be the same.  Most simulations and the highest amount of them at that, are done by mathematicians and people that do not gamble and are generally done in a journalistic style for proving other points then in the reality of day-to-day gambling at the game.  Believe what you want, I know better.

Most will not believe this but all they can do is talk me down. Used to really annoy me, but now all I do is laugh and continue with what I know. Which is the proper and smart way to play baccarat.

If you really desire to match up with statistics, God bless you. But the probability and ability to do that and constantly win, will be so lopsided with losses and breaking even sessions, the casinos will love you and roll the red carpets out.

Somehow you need to define your wagering decision making process. Sure, a few times here and there, nothing wrong with a small number of sheer guesses. But most all of the players that are winning more consistently are following something they have found comfort in, profit more than losses and put value in themselves while ignoring statistical rubbish and constant superstition based wagering.  Disclaimer:  As I have said many times, if it's working for whatever reason, follow it and wager on it until it stops.  A win or wins are just that and doesn't matter why you wagered on them.

Be extremely careful of and totally conscious of those claiming Baccarat wagering is easily won by arbitrary and capricious wager placements following some mechanical structured wagering, correlating with a set of statistical  results. Be careful, because it will not work, never with any kind of ongoing consistency that is.

As many times as something works, likewise the times it does not will easily equal or outnumber the times it does.

You have to wager on what the shoe is presenting and do so in a progressive wagering and parlaying fashion or you will not profit.

Remember, short term is what you are playing, there is no long-term that can be effectively applied to this game. Never.

Be smart. Be in Reality and Win!

[KungFuBac]

Thanks alrelax

I agree with majority of bold sentences above.

"..Be extremely careful of and totally conscious of those claiming Baccarat wagering is easily won by arbitrary and capricious wager placements following some mechanical structured wagering, correlating with a set of statistical  results. Be careful, because it will not work, never with any kind of ongoing consistency that is..."

b]wager placements following some mechanical structured wagering[/b]
   
    IMO the main reservation on following a mechanical structured wagering placement (though imo prob some that would over their lifetime win more than they lose), is that while one is enduring the vast SD(Variance) for that single spot bet. A fantastic streak at  >avg length, of "what that specific shoe" is shuffled to produce naturally, will pass us by.

*If I was required to wager a specific spot I would at least wait for a shoe that started producing wins at that specific spot, and then submit a few tries. Again, many other opportunities may pass us by.

Just my thoughts and I welcome counter opinions.

Continued Success