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Simply Baccarat and Advantage Playing

Started by alrelax, August 28, 2022, 04:02:08 AM

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alrelax

Much has been written on baccarat, however the highest majority of the published books, manuals and Internet Experts are offering worthless and even harmful material. As far as the systems available, they are virtually worthless as well.

There are 'useful' and 'proven' advantages that if coupled with experience, playing with complete conscious thought and knowledge of avoiding emotional distractions, can and will give the player powerful tools to allow him to capitalize on opportunistic chances that do present themselves quite frequently.

With the above said, here's the problem. Unlike roulette, craps, etc., Baccarat is played with a shoe of cards that are not continuously shuffled or compromised in anyway after the initial shuffle and burn cards are removed, because there are no player options to draw or stand, etc. So, all in all, the events happening in sections of the shoe are not truly independent, they are set to be presented and will be presented no matter what any player may do, wager or believe. While it may not be immediately apparent that all those Systems and Mechanical Pattern and Wagering selections are doomed, they really are.

You see, the game of baccarat has extremely enormous variability in its results, which easily confuses systems and mechanical pattern wagering players into believing they are playing with a winning system.  And as well, that huge variability easily fools and causes frustration among the others that believe they found an easy game to capitalize on.

The card count and everything related to it cannot be applied in any way that would consistently allow a player to be advantaged. In fact, it would in most cases, be harmful to the player. This is because the linear count is either saying we have an advantage when we do not or we greatly overestimate our advantage when we do not really have one at all. And if you truly understand linear estimates you will clearly see what I am talking about.

To me this states in black-and-white that the best linear estimate is not the best estimate to use in baccarat. Perfect card counting in baccarat would produce horrible results and linear counting systems along with any type of progressive (positive or negative) systems by definition do even worse.

Hence my conclusion. You have to employ a solid Money Management Method that guarantees a hold and application of your wins, along with opportunistic wagering employing positive progressions within a section of the shoe before the turning point. That is the must intelligent way to play the game with any type of advantage for risking your capital. As far as some Holy Grail Angle to beat the game of baccarat, it simply does not exist.
My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/index.php?board=250.0

Played well over 36,951 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

THE PURPOSE OF GAMING IS TO WIN!

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that & more.
 
Administrator & Forum Board Owner  of  BetSelection.cc
EMAIL: Betselectionboard@Gmail.Com

KungFuBac

Thx alrelax--this essay as well as the last three are good reads.

"...Much has been written on baccarat; however, the highest majority of the published books, manuals and Internet Experts are offering worthless and even harmful material. As far as the systems available, they are virtually worthless as well.  .."
     I agree and IMO the main reason is they focus on telling players how to lose less fast(Not how to win more than we lose). So a newbie player thinks the increased longevity of their buyin translates to profits. Another thought I always have is if the system seller has developed a guaranteed money-making method then how did they have the time(or desire) to "write a book" or make utube videos, and then decide its only worth $99(asking price), just to help mankind, ,...etc.
     The pos thing about systems and books is that every single book or system I have reviewed always offers at least one thing that I have found beneficial. Starting out I may have benefited from bet size to buyin ratios guidelines, sometimes simply what not to do. I've often considered how beneficial it would be if we went to the office supply store and purchased an ink stamp/pad(old school where u had a stamp/pad in red ink): DDT or DOT, for DontDoThat or DoOppositeThat.  As we read the books simply stamp most of the authors recommendations.
I will say that all books I've read I have actually received value for my $9.99 or 14.99 cost, as there is usually something of benefit.

Its all about money management/capitalizing when guessing more correct vs incorrect.


alrelax:

"...Unlike roulette, craps, etc., Baccarat is played with a shoe of cards that are not continuously shuffled or compromised in anyway after the initial shuffle and burn cards are removed, because there are no player options to draw or stand, etc. So, all in all, the events happening in sections of the shoe are not truly independent  ..."
     
     To my thinking this "less-independence" and finiteness of Bac is what separates it from other often-compared games.
More later.


Continued Success,
"There are many large numbers smaller than one."

AsymBacGuy

Baccarat is 99% skill and 1% luck

CLEAR EYES, FULL HEARTS. CAN'T LOSE
(Friday Night Lights TV series)

I NEVER LOSE.
I EITHER WIN OR LEARN
(Nelson Mandela)

Winners don't do different things, they do things differently (Albalaha)

alrelax

KFB,

" I will say that all books I've read I have actually received value for my $9.99 or 14.99 cost, as there is usually something of benefit."

Absolutely, didn't mean to give the impression that 100% of content was worthless.  Let me rephrase, few pieces here and there can help someone who looks for ideas, tips and tricks that has the wherewithal to use it in real play. 

Yes, I agree about books in general, BUT NOT system books or so called, 'Manual Books', etc.

I have a lot of books, probably 40 plus, wrote up a few and took some pics, stopped because of lack of interest.

https://betselection.cc/index.php?board=302.0



My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/index.php?board=250.0

Played well over 36,951 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

THE PURPOSE OF GAMING IS TO WIN!

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that & more.
 
Administrator & Forum Board Owner  of  BetSelection.cc
EMAIL: Betselectionboard@Gmail.Com