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Started by AsymBacGuy, December 25, 2015, 12:23:07 AM

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Gizmotron

Quote from: MarkTeruya on January 03, 2016, 04:13:04 PM
The strange world of Baccarat players, where nothing is better or worst than a coin flip, therefore in players heads, the irrational actually has merit.  Maintain that for a few decades and you end up with sane yet insane deluded folk needing to keep secrets, for obvious reasons.

That reminds me, Maverick Ultimate anybody?   

Yes, twenty heads in a row is quite debilitating to endure. Sometimes my skin breaks out in a rash and I am compelled to go on-line and confess my needy ways. I learned a long time ago that keeping it hidden inside leads to fits of uncontrolled narcissism. At times like that I can't resist telling people what other people's needs are too. Thank God that I don't suffer from co-dependency anymore too. Back then I would take all disagreement as being personal criticism. Now it's much easier to disregard the nonconstructive projections of fundamentalist oriented attention seekers. Anybody?
"...IT'S AGAINST THE LAW TO BREAK THE LAW OF AVERAGES." 

Gizmotron

The following is not directed at anyone in particular:

Frequentists, BTW, that's a properly peer reviewed and accepted term describing a person's opinion of two possibilities concerning probability mathematics, frequentists make a primary assumption regarding gambling outcomes based on strict house advantage odds. Based on that they assume that any claims that are beyond that strict belief are delusions based on fortune telling claims.

Conditional probability is Bayesian inference. It too is a belief system. It accounts for the current occurring state and makes no claim of fantastic or magical assumptions. These two worlds of thought have been at each others throats for centuries. Amateur arithmetic enthusiasts are never going to break any new ground in that regard.

This is the primary reason that my signature says "It's against the law to break the law of averages." The posse is always lurking out there somewhere.  C:-)  C:-)  C:-)  C:-)  C:-) ...
"...IT'S AGAINST THE LAW TO BREAK THE LAW OF AVERAGES." 

MarkTeruya

Quote from: Gizmotron on January 03, 2016, 05:24:44 PMSometimes my skin breaks out in a rash and I am compelled to go on-line and confess my needy ways.
How did you get on selling flogging those coins a few years back, manage to keep the wolves from the door?

You could always try and befriend that spike character, discover he won't share anything, because there is nothing to share and fall out spectacularly. 

Gizmotron

Quote from: MarkTeruya on January 03, 2016, 06:58:23 PM
How did you get on selling flogging those coins a few years back, manage to keep the wolves from the door?

You could always try and befriend that spike character, discover he won't share anything, because there is nothing to share and fall out spectacularly.

Let's see, I sold that silver dollar for about $217 and the commemorative 50 cent coin for around $87. Not bad for two coins sitting in a box collecting dust. Funny what you consider doing once you know you won't live as long as you hoped you would.

I said I would teach ten students and I did. Then two years later I shared almost all my secrets. The only thing missing is actual one on one tutoring. I never divulged much before this website opened. You are a complaining, negative, nobody, trolling for attention in the area of unproven research and claiming that everything that is here to be known is already known and has been proven to be known, and is like claiming that the global warming science is already settled too. Attacking me is the reaction of a defeated, probably debilitated needy victim seeking dependency typed personality. There is no way on God's green acres that you are here to save mathematics. You need confrontation. It's like food for your personality. Only I don't need it like you do. I enjoyed insulting people over at GG. I've probably insulted you many times already without even knowing it. But This forum is different. We don't waste time on insults. In fact, the moderators take proactive action with regards to trouble makers. I dare you to tell use something threatening to you, on this forum, something about yourself that others could easily criticize. If you can't do that much then you are nothing but a scared-cat. Let's see how strong you really are. You can dish it out, but can you take it?



"...IT'S AGAINST THE LAW TO BREAK THE LAW OF AVERAGES." 

Gizmotron

Quote from: MarkTeruya on January 03, 2016, 06:58:23 PM
You could always try and befriend that spike character, discover he won't share anything, because there is nothing to share and fall out spectacularly.

Let's see just how much Spike actually shared.

1. He brags that he coined the phrase "Reading Randomness." He used reading the random as a concept in an email to me first. It was in a discussion that went on regarding reading the random flow. He coined the concept after years of us discussing the flow of random events to base our guessing from. I posted the phrase first but he talked about it as a concept first. But we both  talked of the use of guessing and not foretelling the future as a method to beat Roulette or any other 50/50 chance game.

2.Spike clearly shared that I had showed him that combo bets, placed on the inside, gave him a better chance at guessing more wins than losses, his number one divulgence, guessing more wins than losses.

3. He started the educated guessing argument. He never claimed to use magic as his critics claimed to pigpen-hole him as saying he did.

4. He stayed with the 50/50 bets only, and clearly explained why.

After Spike got mad at me openly for sharing in-depth my descriptions of randomness characteristics, and for teaching ten students, he claimed that all I was interested in was his secrets. I had my own secrets. I never needed his secrets. That was his sophistry & red herring to muddy the waters of that debate. My journey with randomness began back in 1993. I first encountered the like thinking of Spike back in 2007. I wrote software analyzing hot number distribution back in 1997. That was my foundation for the characteristics of randomness. I did far more research than Spike was even capable of. I arrived on the scene with full knowledge of my description of elegant patterns. I knew about dozens sleeping back in 1993. I followed Spike's lead of not sharing too much. But a few years ago I came to the conclusion that Spike was wrong. Reading randomness and making educated guesses was too difficult for anyone but a few to grasp. I knew I could share it. It was just after my heart attack. So I did share it. And look! There has still failed to materialize the threat to the casinos that would cause a major shift in the way they allow table games to be played, much the type of changes that have occurred since "Beating the dealer" has been published, Spike's admitted main concern.

Yes, Spike has shared plenty.

"...IT'S AGAINST THE LAW TO BREAK THE LAW OF AVERAGES." 

AsymBacGuy

Giz, who is this Spike you are talking about?

Thanks.

as.

Baccarat is 99% skill and 1% luck

CLEAR EYES, FULL HEARTS. CAN'T LOSE
(Friday Night Lights TV series)

I NEVER LOSE.
I EITHER WIN OR LEARN
(Nelson Mandela)

Winners don't do different things, they do things differently (Albalaha)

Gizmotron

Quote from: AsymBacGuy on January 03, 2016, 09:49:05 PM
Giz, who is this Spike you are talking about?

Thanks.

as.

He was a guy that I discovered posting on the internet back in 2006 that was a self made evangelista for randomness as a bases for educated guessing. He openly hinted at concepts that were then considered unbelievable by just about everyone. Later he posted as Cheese, but most of the time he went by Spike.
"...IT'S AGAINST THE LAW TO BREAK THE LAW OF AVERAGES." 

soxfan

The spike is a serious cat who managed to win 72 percents of his placed bets at the even chances at the roulettes, hey hey.

Quote from: AsymBacGuy on January 03, 2016, 09:49:05 PM
Giz, who is this Spike you are talking about?

Thanks.

as.

AsymBacGuy

This one is an interesting link that many know here, anyway...

http://journal.sjdm.org/10/91117/jdm91117.html

as.



Baccarat is 99% skill and 1% luck

CLEAR EYES, FULL HEARTS. CAN'T LOSE
(Friday Night Lights TV series)

I NEVER LOSE.
I EITHER WIN OR LEARN
(Nelson Mandela)

Winners don't do different things, they do things differently (Albalaha)

alrelax

Bead Road and the Big Road mostly, at times I do a combo of the other 3 if things are looking strong or weak with them. 
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