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Wagering Method that Works and Governs Wins Allowing Less Risk & Greater Wins

Started by alrelax, May 07, 2022, 05:27:32 PM

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alrelax

The biggest wins come when winning.

The largest losses occur when losing.

Simply there are times you can win and times you cannot.

My method allows your win to govern your bets using a method that gives you aggressive and pretty safe wagers while cutting your risk as well as multiplying your additional chances.

You can win because the cards are forming hands you expect, believe in, witnessed before and more.

You cannot win because the cards are forming hands you do not expect, believe in, never witnessed before or you seriously do not think will happen and more.

Extreme focus,no emotion on losing hands and risk only the risk capital buy-in of a percentage of your bank roll are necessary components and cannot be ignored.

Now, I push my Money Management Method that will truly manage your wins and play time if you follow it. I've written about it before.  I'm going to define it a little bit better now. I have found countless times that there is a huge advantage to wagering win money/profits for many reasons.

(If you regularly wager a negative progression (Marty) or you believe flat betting every hand will lead to recovery and probability, you might as well skip all this and get into a casino to make your money.).

But if you really desire to find a decent wagering method, the following has done extremely well for me over the past few years.

It is a Positive Progression/Parlay combination.

1-3-2-6. Or a 1-3-2-5.33 wager. 

Let's take an example using a $900.00 buy in of your risk capital money.  ($1,200.00 for $100.00 starting bets, $2,400.00 for $200.00 starting bets, etc.)  At the very minimum, you will have 6 chances, to engage in 6 rounds wagering at a beginning wager of $75.00.

1st wager $75.00.  You are risking $75.00.  If won, 2nd wager will be $225.00.  If lost, you return to another $75.00 1st wager. 

2nd wager $225.00 with $150.00 of your money at risk. If you win, you have your total risk money of $150.00 returned.  You set that aside.  You also set aside the other $150.00, thus increasing your chances for another round.  You are now totally risk free for hands 3 and 4.  If lost, you lost $150.00 and must return to another round with a beginning wager of $75.00.

3rd wager $150.00 with no risk and $150.00 put sideways.  If you win, you now have $300.00 towards your 4th wager of $450.00 or $400.00 (if employing the 5.33 wager).  You put the $150.00 up that was sideways or $100.00 of it for the 5.33 wager.  If you win, you will have $900.00 profit or $800.00 plus the reserved $50.00, for $850.00 profit.  If you lost, you still have 100% of your risk capital buy in or the little bit extra if you used the 5.33 wager. 

Yes, if you lose 6 straight rounds on the second hand, you would have lost your entire buy in risk capital.  Hard to do, possible but if you stick with the same wagering amount as the bet for all your rounds, tough to lose straight.  You will also gain additional round attempts once you win that 2nd wager, even if losing the 3rd and 4th ones in rounds.

NOTES:

You cannot control what is presented and what persists or does not.

Realistic expectations fall sideways almost all of the time. Thus, losses begin to accrue.

The shoe does and will become notoriously unpredictable the highest majority of the times. I have found a series of 12 to 16 wagers maximum in a decent shoe, that I am winning has proved the best and most profitable.

Single best weapon is positive progressions with adherence to your level and your plateau. If you are not in touch with what your level and plateaus are, you better find out.

Do not blame others or things for losing hands. The outcome as well as the continuance of your wagers are determined by, how-when and the amount of each.

Just be smart with capitalizing on wins and cutting your risk.
My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/index.php?board=250.0

Played well over 36,951 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

THE PURPOSE OF GAMING IS TO WIN!

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that & more.
 
Administrator & Forum Board Owner  of  BetSelection.cc
EMAIL: Betselectionboard@Gmail.Com

alrelax

My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/index.php?board=250.0

Played well over 36,951 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

THE PURPOSE OF GAMING IS TO WIN!

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that & more.
 
Administrator & Forum Board Owner  of  BetSelection.cc
EMAIL: Betselectionboard@Gmail.Com

alrelax

Written back in 2019 for my advanced 1-3-2-6 Plus 4.

Post for Asym and Kung fu.

1-3-2-6 Back Again Plus 4 Win Parlay--Purpose and Direction

Yes sir.  More and more. 

Call me crazy, call me the Rain Man with this repetitive talk.  But you know what, it freaking works. 

Haphazard sucks and willpower and devotion to flat betting is like seeing how far a knife can stick into you without passing out.  The list truly goes on. 

Wager 1:  $100 wager and win.  $200 in front of you.
Wager 2:  $300 wager and win.  $600 in front of you. ($200 back in buy-in, $200 next wager/$200 side)

If you did lose at this point, you only invested the 2 units of your buy-in, say you bought-in with $1,000 and got your 10 black chips.  If you won at this point you have a $400 win.  Think about it---you are going to wager anyway, why not have a plan and a way to capitalize if it does go your way, instead of just throwing your chips into your buy-in and keep trying for more and more??? 

Here comes the best part, if you won--you are on the casino's money (yes it is yours but you want to gamble like me and you want to win something more than a couple hundred, or if you are in a larger gaming jurisdiction--say Vegas, AC, Connecticut or Florida you can make that $100/1 Unit, $500, etc.)  To me, at this point it is Money Management to a point because you are certainly managing and maximizing your bank roll and chances. Wagers 3 and 4 are the best, '2 free chances' now that you paid your dues on the first two, no further risk on the these two.

Wager 3:  $200 wager and win.  $400 in front of you.  (You now have $600 win and you have nothing from your original buy-in at risk).

Wager 4:  $600 wager and win.  $1,200 in front of you.  (If you lost, oh well, back to the one unit even and the one unit, the same or higher)

Now, if I won Wager 3, I would take at least one more unit from my buy-in, and in this case, that would have been $100.  I would also wager my 4 parlay 'side wager'.  Yes, on top of my 1-3-2-6 wagering bet of course.  With the 4 time parlay, I would set that aside and probably not wager it consecutively, just here and there.  Wager the first time and parlay 4 times.  So with this, I attempt the $100, $200, $400, $800, $1,600 wagers.  If I am successful on that, the ultimate before pocketing, would be $3,200 for a $3,100 profit. 

And, like I mentioned--I don't wager this '1 and 4 parlay' every hand, but it is my separate wager of sorts whether combined with another one or by itself. 

That way, I have extra action-motivation and things going on.  For myself, it works out a heck of a lot better than haphazardly wagering.  Thus, giving yourself real purpose and direction in wagering goals and a plan of sorts.
My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/index.php?board=250.0

Played well over 36,951 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

THE PURPOSE OF GAMING IS TO WIN!

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that & more.
 
Administrator & Forum Board Owner  of  BetSelection.cc
EMAIL: Betselectionboard@Gmail.Com

KungFuBac

Thx alrelax for taking the time to write with details, step-by-step,  and "WHY" you do certain things.
I really like and agree with the following (Especially like what u do with the 1+4 side parlay):

"...Now, if I won Wager 3, I would take at least one more unit from my buy-in, and in this case, that would have been $100.  I would also wager my 4 parlay 'side wager'.  Yes, on top of my 1-3-2-6 wagering bet of course.  With the 4 time parlay, I would set that aside and probably not wager it consecutively, just here and there.  Wager the first time and parlay 4 times.  So with this, I attempt the $100, $200, $400, $800, $1,600 wagers.  If I am successful on that, the ultimate before pocketing, would be $3,200 for a $3,100 profit. ..."

Im a firm believer in "press-to-our-win" , in other words: win our largest wager.

Good intel my friend and continued success,
"There are many large numbers smaller than one."

alrelax

Quote from: KungFuBac on May 09, 2022, 02:19:00 PM
Thx alrelax for taking the time to write with details, step-by-step,  and "WHY" you do certain things.
I really like and agree with the following (Especially like what u do with the 1+4 side parlay):

"...Now, if I won Wager 3, I would take at least one more unit from my buy-in, and in this case, that would have been $100.  I would also wager my 4 parlay 'side wager'.  Yes, on top of my 1-3-2-6 wagering bet of course.  With the 4 time parlay, I would set that aside and probably not wager it consecutively, just here and there.  Wager the first time and parlay 4 times.  So with this, I attempt the $100, $200, $400, $800, $1,600 wagers.  If I am successful on that, the ultimate before pocketing, would be $3,200 for a $3,100 profit. ..."

Im a firm believer in "press-to-our-win" , in other words: win our largest wager.

Good intel my friend and continued success,

Yes, I occasionally do it and over the years it has prevailed positively in my favor.  I do not employ it religiously or abuse it because it will, like all other plans/goals backfire on me because of the edges the casinos have. 

The psych to me/us is huge, like it's not even our wager, like it's a side bet not even part of our plan/goal for the session, etc.

Example last weekend at the commissioned five treasures bac table in Council Bluffs.  (I can't believe they only have the commission version without a choice of non-commission as well!)  Anyway I was there with a friend who wagers large.  We were both up after a shoe.  We were on the midi side of the pit rather than the dealer flopping the cards side of the pit, our backs were to the wall. If you been there you should know what I'm talking about. 

I won a great hand which was a Fortune 7 where I had $75.00 on the F7 the first few hands of the shoe.  The hand was, Players had 2 face cards, Bankers had a 6 (4&2), Players flopped a 6.  Everyone was on Bankers and of course I figured we would reduce our 6 and lose the hand.  My buddy had the largest wager including a $100.00 on the F7.  He slides me the third card for the Bankers.  I peek side ways and it was a 1 line card, clear as day.  So I said, " Never lose, it's a 1-2 or 3" and everyone screamed.  I peeked and saw the Ace.  I looked at everyone and I smiled and winked.  I flopped it and the cheers were huge!

So I set aside $700.00 for 7 chances out of my F7 win money for a 1 + 4 side parlay attempt with $100 to start each time..  I lost the first three either on the first or the third bets.  My buddy is more conservative than me with the 1 + 4 side parlay attempts but wagers larger to start than I normally do. 

He bet $250.00 on one and lost after he won the first bet and the second.  Lost when he had $1,000 wagered.  A bit later we tried again.  I stuck with the $100 and he stuck with his $250 wager.  This was about the middle of the shoe.  About hand 70, we both won the first and then 3 following.  I was up to a $1,600.00 wager and he was up to a $4,000.00 wager.  We both looked at each other and wondered about pocketing what we earned on the side parlay wagers.  But it was almost the end of the shoe, there was all kinds of ties and the rest was chop.  We agreed to go for it.  Players just won the last hand and two ties before that and a single Bankers before the two ties.  So we put our regular wagers on the Bankers and our side parlay wagers on top of each of those.  Half the table was on Players and half were on Bankers.  Lots of back betting as well.  Players had a face and a 5.  Bankers had an Ace and a 3.  Poo-Poo!  I hate that hand if I'm on the Bankers.  Players flop a 6!  Reduced to a 1. We get the card for the Bankers.  He peeks and it's a 3 line card, "says it's a 6-7 or an 8".  I say, "lose, tie or win".  I tell him to flop it, come on bro let's do it and go.  One lady had table max of $10k, but she never touches the cards 99% of the times.  She stands up and does a catholic cross on her forehead, chest, left and right shoulders with her hand.  Lol, an Asian doing the catholic thing!

So my buddy works and works the card.  Finally says, "it's no 6, can't lose, maybe tie or win".  So I'm thinking out loud and recite there has been like 6 ties in the past 14 hands.  All I can see is a 7 being flopped for the tie.  He is working the last end of the card and peels it back and finally exposes the 2nd pip/dot on it.  It's an 8, beautiful, 2 Bankers over the Players 1.  We got our 1 + 4 completed!!!  My buddy scooped up an additional $8,000.00 on that netting him $7,500.00.  I scooped up an additional $3,200.00 netting me $2,800.00. 

That's the game of baccarat at a crowded table!
My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/index.php?board=250.0

Played well over 36,951 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

THE PURPOSE OF GAMING IS TO WIN!

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that & more.
 
Administrator & Forum Board Owner  of  BetSelection.cc
EMAIL: Betselectionboard@Gmail.Com

KungFuBac

Hi All

Great cash extraction alrelax on the 1+4 hits/down progression. I like the team approach as Im for the : two or three brains better than one approach often proves beneficial.


Perfectly stated: "...The biggest wins come when winning.

The largest losses occur when losing.

Simply there are times you can win and times you cannot. ..."


I agree and as an addendum thought and a little off topic: IMO they each(Wins streaks as well as Losing streaks) show in small clumps or what I like to call surges.  I've discussed in recent years with several daily players on what I define as somewhat of a phenomenon : Winning Streaks.
Winning Streaks--not necessarily just  intra-shoe streaks but complete shoe-wins streaks, daily-wins streaks, sometimes weekly-wins streaks,...etc. 


Im not implying any type of voodoo, my lucky hat,  or lucky rabbits-foot , or theological type belief system. Like many of you sometimes I will get into a groove and hit alot of wins across several shoes or several days and the phenomenon part to me is that I don't seem to be doing anything significantly different than on the counter streak(losing streaks). I have my share of Lstreaks too. Another reason Im a mostly PosProgression bettor--at least on the losing streaks Im losing 1.0units per loss(Incorrect guess).

*I do believe there are benefits to such things as: The power of positive thinking, thinking like a winner, surrounding ones self with positive players. IOW  playing with positive, optimistic,  glass-half-full type comrades at the Bac table , or any other endeavor in life seems beneficial. If nothing else it makes our trek more enjoyable.


Continued Success To All,
"There are many large numbers smaller than one."

alrelax

You said:

"I agree and as an addendum thought and a little off topic: IMO they each(Wins streaks as well as Losing streaks) show in small clumps or what I like to call surges"

Absolutely!  I wrote about it with detailed info, pictures, etc., called 'Sections'.

You said:

"I do believe there are benefits to such things as: The power of positive thinking, thinking like a winner, surrounding ones self with positive players. IOW  playing with positive, optimistic,  glass-half-full type comrades at the Bac table , or any other endeavor in life seems beneficial. If nothing else it makes our trek more enjoyable."

Again, absolutely!  Some of my largest wins were because of comradeship and other positive factors with multiple players at the table.

My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/index.php?board=250.0

Played well over 36,951 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

THE PURPOSE OF GAMING IS TO WIN!

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that & more.
 
Administrator & Forum Board Owner  of  BetSelection.cc
EMAIL: Betselectionboard@Gmail.Com

AsymBacGuy

Al, how are you managing 3,4 or more losses in a row?

I mean, are you willing to raise the first winning bet cutting such loss streak no matter what?

Thanks in advance

as.
Baccarat is 99% skill and 1% luck

CLEAR EYES, FULL HEARTS. CAN'T LOSE
(Friday Night Lights TV series)

I NEVER LOSE.
I EITHER WIN OR LEARN
(Nelson Mandela)

Winners don't do different things, they do things differently (Albalaha)

AsymBacGuy

Ok, let's take the 1-3-2-6 betting scheme.

It's a 4-hand sequence, so math can be easily determined.

Start with the most lucky or unlucky sequences WWWW and LLLL.

WWWW = +12 units minus vig

LLLL = - 12 units minus vig

Then let's consider the WW and LL situations happening at the start

WW = +4 (before vig, from now = bv)

LL= -4 (bv)

Now the first one-level WL and LW spots:

WL = -2 bv

LW = +2 bv

Then couples of W or L spots coming around after 3 hands wagered:

WLL = -4 bv

LWW= +4 bv

Then a hopping WL situation:

WLW = even bv

LWL = even bv

Now a back-to-back W or L spot:

WWL = + 2 bv

LLW = -2 bv

Then there are all the other possible combinations, all being symmetrically forming the same equal opposite result.

What i can see is that the most hopefully spot to look for is a back-to-back W situation giving a 4 units profit.

Even the WWW spot is going to produce a 6 unit profit, so basically we must hope to get a WW or WWW situation. After that we're risking the entire 6 unit profit to be right or wrong, that is we're kind of going all-in at this 4st spot.

Any thoughts on that?

Thanks

as.
Baccarat is 99% skill and 1% luck

CLEAR EYES, FULL HEARTS. CAN'T LOSE
(Friday Night Lights TV series)

I NEVER LOSE.
I EITHER WIN OR LEARN
(Nelson Mandela)

Winners don't do different things, they do things differently (Albalaha)

alrelax

First off, does not have to be consecutive hands in any manner.

And always a casino with EZ Bac or another brand without commission.

My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/index.php?board=250.0

Played well over 36,951 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

THE PURPOSE OF GAMING IS TO WIN!

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that & more.
 
Administrator & Forum Board Owner  of  BetSelection.cc
EMAIL: Betselectionboard@Gmail.Com

alrelax

Quote from: AsymBacGuy on May 28, 2022, 12:35:32 AM
Ok, let's take the 1-3-2-6 betting scheme.

It's a 4-hand sequence, so math can be easily determined.

Start with the most lucky or unlucky sequences WWWW and LLLL.

WWWW = +12 units minus vig

LLLL = - 12 units minus vig

Then let's consider the WW and LL situations happening at the start

WW = +4 (before vig, from now = bv)

LL= -4 (bv)

Now the first one-level WL and LW spots:

WL = -2 bv

LW = +2 bv

Then couples of W or L spots coming around after 3 hands wagered:

WLL = -4 bv

LWW= +4 bv

Then a hopping WL situation:

WLW = even bv

LWL = even bv

Now a back-to-back W or L spot:

WWL = + 2 bv

LLW = -2 bv

Then there are all the other possible combinations, all being symmetrically forming the same equal opposite result.

What i can see is that the most hopefully spot to look for is a back-to-back W situation giving a 4 units profit.

Even the WWW spot is going to produce a 6 unit profit, so basically we must hope to get a WW or WWW situation. After that we're risking the entire 6 unit profit to be right or wrong, that is we're kind of going all-in at this 4st spot.

Any thoughts on that?

Thanks

as.

Small sections for the 'hitting it hard and large progressions".  Can be used on anything, chop chop, doubles, 1s and 3s, streaks, etc.  But, don't attempt the repeats of the larger wins.  That is where they are regularly lost back to the dealer.

People win and they think they have it down to a mechanical scheduled wager.  It will never ever, never happen that way. 

The first two wagers have risk, the second two there is zero risk.  Flat betting is a horrible choice IMO.  If played with a little bit of risk capital, some patience and focus, 1-3-2-6 is very obtainable and profitable if treated with respect.
My Blog within BetSelection Board: https://betselection.cc/index.php?board=250.0

Played well over 36,951 shoes of baccarat since I started playing at B&M USA casinos.

THE PURPOSE OF GAMING IS TO WIN!

"Don't say it's a winning hand until you are getting paid for it".

Played numerous properties in Las Vegas, Reno, Southern California, Atlantic City, Connecticut, South Florida, The South/Southeast as well as most areas of The Midwest.

Baccarat, actually a mixture of Watergate, attacking the Gotti Family and the famous ear biting Tyson fight leading to disqualification and a near riot.  Bac has all that & more.
 
Administrator & Forum Board Owner  of  BetSelection.cc
EMAIL: Betselectionboard@Gmail.Com