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Wish Me Well

Started by gr8player, May 05, 2015, 05:23:09 PM

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gr8player

The time has come.  I am leaving my full-time job to pursue a steady income at Baccarat. 

Now, I do not expect to replace my occupational income, for that would require me to virtually "live" at the Bac tables.  It's just that my job description has changed so dramatically over the past few years that I feel now the time is ripe for me to leave this job in the dust.  So while I won't be able to match my occupational income, I do feel that I can make a very decent supplemental income at Baccarat that should suffice my needs perfectly.

Now, let me make one thing very clear here:  While I am confident in my abilities at the Bac tables, I am guaranteed nothing.  My next bet could just as easily lose as it can win, so I'm about to "ride that roller coaster" that is real Baccarat play.  I am not naïve enough to think that I have any guarantee of success.

But, that said, I can only rely on my current Bac results, and, my friends, they are, IMHO, phenomenal.  My Bac game is to the point now where I am mostly simply flat-betting, with only some occasional bet-size rearrangements.

I've said it for years....one needs a bet selection process (I use the word "process" for a reason -- for it's not a mechanical bet selection, it is an experience-based PROCESS) that wins more often than it loses.  Let me repeat that, lest anyone think that they can beat this game with the brute force of their bankroll:  One must have a bet selection process that rises into positive territory (read:  above 50%) over the long term.  My friends, please trust me on this:  Lacking that positive bet selection process, there ain't enough money in the world to cover the imminent draw-downs that can be suffered.

So I mostly flat it; if I hit that "more difficult" shoe, I might inclined to adjust my unit size slightly, but that's much more the exception rather than the norm....I am much more a believer in my "no-bet" option in those difficult sections of the shoe; so that it becomes more a game of bankroll preservation for me as opposed to the more-stressful and ever-dangerous game of bankroll risk.

Lastly, as to my thread's title of "Wish Me Well"....I've been frequenting these forums for years now, and I have ALWAYS wished the best for every member/poster that I've encountered over those years.  I seek only that same respect, especially considering my rather dramatic vocational shift.

Anyhow, I will try to keep you guys posted as these coming weeks and months and years play out for me.....wish me well.

Tomla

Hey great Luck with your bacc game!!! Im sure your skill will carry you over the weak runs---

DennisBelle

Wishing you all the best in your new vocation!  I look forward to your future posts.
Dennis

gr8player

Thanks for your votes of confidence, Tomla and DennisBelle.

It means alot coming from guys, seeing as we all go back a looong ways on these boards.

Thanks again.

james

Wish you success in your endeavor. Perhaps you can match your full time occupational income, by slowly increasing the bet size as you gain more proficiency.

gr8player

OK, lest the need to respond to multiple PMs singularly, please allow this clarification:

My bet selection process has been developed by me and is exclusively mine, solely based upon my vast Baccarat experience.  It works for me.  It would NOT work for anyone else, because it is so very SUBJECTIVE (and, my friends, I wouldn't want it any other way...you guys already know my feelings regarding any and all "mechanical" systems).

I trend.  But my trending includes both Laws Of Series stats and, for lack of a better word, anticipation.

You see, my friends, the main objection to trending is the "past history" argument...what has happened might not continue to happen.  OK.  I get that.  So I utilize triggers (mostly SUBJECTIVE triggers) that signal the shoe trend's shifts, even before they totally happen.

I had an entire thread about that (I think it might even be in this forum...I'm not certain); anticipation.  Basically, getting your bets down as early as possible into any impending trend, in order to both reduce those nasty "first losses" and to maximize on the "budding" trend.

But this is all done by me utilizing, to the very best of my ability, my own personal BANK of experience and the vast BANK of knowledge that that has so effectively produced for myself.

Simply stated:  I know my way, very well, around most baccarat shoes.  (Note that word:  "most" that I inserted in that statement....there are times when I'm wrong, that I can't get a great handle onto the shoe (or portion thereof), and in that case, I'll back off.  I'll wait.  My time is coming...it's only, frankly, a matter of time.

And now, starting the week after next (I gave two weeks notice), time, finally, will be on my side.

Stay well.

gr8player

Quote from: james on May 05, 2015, 06:48:54 PM
Wish you success in your endeavor. Perhaps you can match your full time occupational income, by slowly increasing the bet size as you gain more proficiency.

Thanks for your well-wishes, James, much appreciated.

I hear you.  Simply increase my unit sizes as I succeed.  I understand where you're coming from.

But, allow me this:

I've never done as well as I have as when I decided to REDUCE my unit sizes.  IMHO, the LESS I bet, the more money I make.  And, my friend, there's reason for that:

Comfort Zone

You want to keeps your bets within your own personal comfort zone.  Over-betting is the quickest road to disaster for any player.  (Just ask any huge negative progression bettor.)  Play units sizes that you're comfortable with, for that will surely prevent any:

Hesitation

Bet over you head, and the next thing you know, at the first sign of difficulty, you're either hesitant to make your planned bet or you simply go off course altogether.  Either case is not an acceptable scenario.

Recoup

Smaller unit sizes allow for a much safer and more efficient recoup.  Large unit sizes are great.....when they win.  But what if they lose....what sort of recoup plan might be necessary now, both dollar-wise and time-wise?  And what of the stress?  Is that any way to "live" at the Baccarat tables, especially given a long-term vision?  I think not.

So I'll simply stick with what's been working, as I'm rather confident that my wins, regardless the size, will all add up rather nicely over the long term.

Stay well.


Bac2Bac

gr8player full time in casino + patience + $ +no time constraints = recipe for long term success

Wishing you much joy and happiness and great fortune on your endeavor.

ADulay

Quote from: gr8player on May 05, 2015, 05:23:09 PM
The time has come.  I am leaving my full-time job to pursue a steady income at Baccarat. 

Anyhow, I will try to keep you guys posted as these coming weeks and months and years play out for me.....wish me well.

Good Luck to you in your new endeavor and continued success in your game.

AD

gr8player

Quote from: Bac2Bac on May 05, 2015, 08:38:54 PM
gr8player full time in casino + patience + $ +no time constraints = recipe for long term success

Wishing you much joy and happiness and great fortune on your endeavor.

Thanks so much, Bac2Bac.

Yes, the "no time constraints"....I, seriously, haven't really ever gotten to enjoy that luxury. 

On the contrary, I'd regularly arrive at check-in to the hotel at roughly 10 PM and begin my Bac play between 10:30 and 11 PM.  And that was done after working all day that day and then taking that traffic-filled 3 hr drive down to AC.

But now....aaaahhhh....I can buy in at the Bac tables, with pretty much the attitude of "having nowhere to go and all day to get there".  I am looking forward to that luxury.

Given my deliberate, patient playing style, where discipline is always the order of the day; I'm looking forward to having time, finally, being on my side.

Thanks again for the well-wishes, Bac2Bac.

gr8player

Quote from: ADulay on May 05, 2015, 09:38:39 PM
Good Luck to you in your new endeavor and continued success in your game.

AD

Thanks, ADulay, your kind thoughts are much appreciated.

Hey, let's call it what it is; we are, after all is said and done, "comrades in arms", are we not? 
We're all just trying to get an edge....any edge....at this most simplest yet most difficult of casino games.  So we need to stick together, certainly if not physically, in our "Baccarat" mind-sets.

Stay well, my friend.

soxfan

Well, I strongly disagree with yer contention that you have to win more placed bets than you lose to win well, and regular. But, I wish you all the best. And, speaking from personal experience, it is a huge transition, emotionally, when you go from recreational player to depending on the baccarats for yer sole source of active income. So, Zeus willing you'll be able to make that transition smoothly, hey hey.

andrebac

my friend, my best wishes for your "new" adventure.
I have no suggestions for you as you don't need them! Just be aware of the mental effort that will be required. I've been a pro for one year in 90s and it was veeery tough under the psycological side.
I will be happy to read your reports.
andre

gr8player

Quote from: soxfan on May 05, 2015, 10:47:57 PM
Well, I strongly disagree with yer contention that you have to win more placed bets than you lose to win well, and regular. But, I wish you all the best. And, speaking from personal experience, it is a huge transition, emotionally, when you go from recreational player to depending on the baccarats for yer sole source of active income. So, Zeus willing you'll be able to make that transition smoothly, hey hey.

Thanks for your well-wishes, Soxster. 

Yes, I realize that we don't agree about everything regarding Bac play, but, frankly, that's more the norm rather than the exception.  Everyone has their own playing style, based upon their own stats, their own experiences, and their own beliefs based upon those experiences.  It's all good.

Lastly, I'm playing Baccarat a long, long time, so I don't expect as much "push-back" as one might expect regarding my switch into the more "professional" side of things.

Stay well, my friend.

gr8player

Quote from: andrebac on May 06, 2015, 09:28:44 AM
my friend, my best wishes for your "new" adventure.
I have no suggestions for you as you don't need them! Just be aware of the mental effort that will be required. I've been a pro for one year in 90s and it was veeery tough under the psycological side.
I will be happy to read your reports.
andre

Thanks so much, Andre.

Yes, you are correct, the "mental" part(s) of our Bac games are of absolute paramount importance.  Any and every truly serious player is well aware of that fact.

But, again, Andre, while I appreciate your concern, that appears to me to be a relatively easy transition, mostly because I've been espousing about the "mental" and "psychological" aspects of this game for years now.  In other words, I am confident that I am in full and complete mental/psychological balance for my preferred long-term approach to this game.

Thanks again for your well-wishes, Andre.  Stay well.