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Words of Wisdom

Started by soxfan, July 05, 2015, 02:38:12 PM

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soxfan

The Frank Barstow was one shrewd cat. So, I'm gonna share a couple of quote passage from his Beat the Casino book, enjoy, hey hey.

"The superiority of the parlay progression is obvious, is it not? Ergo a properly constructed bet series using parlays or the double-win approach to be described shortly is the way to go if you plan to offset losses by increasing your bets on any even chance."pg66

"I am told that a recently published book recounts the story of a man who is supposed to have earned a good living for 30 years doing nothing but grinding out small hourly winnings using the following parlay series:
1-1-1-2-2-4-4-8-8"pg60


gr8player

Thanks, Soxster.

You know how I feel about parlays....they are an important part of my arsenal.  Gotta try to maximize profits when the cards begin falling your way, and parlays can be a relatively-inexpensive way of doing so.  But, imo, it all works best when the player is armed with a bet selection process that tends to produce winning clusters, or, at the very least, back-to-back wins.

Take care.

HunchBacShrimp

The parlay has also been key to my recovery on my last two sessions.

Sometimes I'll parlay my bet, and add to it more units equal to the amount I would have bet if the previous bet lost.

Bet 3u win 6u, add 3u, bet 9u win 18u, pull 15u, bet 3u...

AsymBacGuy

Actually many players (me first in the past) are cheap on their winning streaks and aggressive on their losing ones.

Conceptually it doesn't change a bit on the different strategy outcomes with the exception that being cheap on winning streaks tend to alter the W/L future ratio whenever the obvious losing patterns will take place.

Moreover, playing parlays will better define the W/L situation as now we are focused just on a single L coming out, virtually not putting a limit to the winning patterns.
Conversely, a given "high to the sky" losing sequence will broke every bankroll.

Finally, acute players know that at some point some long and very long winning sequences will take place, while less oriented players consider long losing patterns as "very unfortunate" events.

Obviously long winning sequences are more likely to happen after a series of many short winning patterns, so betting every hand trying to get multiple W patterns everytime won't make the point.

To give a more practical example, we know that considering an average of a ten shoes sample we'll expect to have at least a couple of shoes predominantly showing B streaks; conversely, at P side the almost total singles/doubles situation will arise even more frequently.

as.







   

Baccarat is 99% skill and 1% luck

CLEAR EYES, FULL HEARTS. CAN'T LOSE
(Friday Night Lights TV series)

I NEVER LOSE.
I EITHER WIN OR LEARN
(Nelson Mandela)

Winners don't do different things, they do things differently (Albalaha)

ezmark

This a shoe I played today.

BB  P  BBBB  P  B  PP  B  P  B  P  B  PP  BBBB  P  BBB  PP  BBBBB  PP  BB  P  B  P  BB  PP  B  P  BBBB  PP  B  P  BB  PP  BBBBBBBB  P

AsymBacGuy

Quote from: ezmark on July 07, 2015, 03:01:20 AM
This a shoe I played today.

BB  P  BBBB  P  B  PP  B  P  B  P  B  PP  BBBB  P  BBB  PP  BBBBB  PP  BB  P  B  P  BB  PP  B  P  BBBB  PP  B  P  BB  PP  BBBBBBBB  P

Even if this example is not belonging to the "average" category, this shoe does confirm what I talked about.

Besides the total singles/doubles texture of P side, providing the least valid bet selection B chance has shown an expected  streak predominance on every spot but one.

No bad.

as.


   
Baccarat is 99% skill and 1% luck

CLEAR EYES, FULL HEARTS. CAN'T LOSE
(Friday Night Lights TV series)

I NEVER LOSE.
I EITHER WIN OR LEARN
(Nelson Mandela)

Winners don't do different things, they do things differently (Albalaha)

gr8player

Not bad, indeed.

Appears to me as probably a 2:1 ratio favoring the B side; nice "dom" shoe.

I hope you took advantage of that one, EZ; Goodness knows they don't come along very often.

Stay well.

Jimske

Quote from: gr8player on July 07, 2015, 12:57:36 PM
Not bad, indeed.

Appears to me as probably a 2:1 ratio favoring the B side; nice "dom" shoe.

I hope you took advantage of that one, EZ; Goodness knows they don't come along very often.

Stay well.
Yeah good dom shoe.  I would win 13 units gross flat bet on that.  But . . . if the game was reversed to P dom I still win the same.  About 49 placed bets.

You're right - shoes like that doesn't come often. 
Quote from: AsymBacGuy on July 07, 2015, 03:16:23 AM
Even if this example is not belonging to the "average" category, this shoe does confirm what I talked about.

Besides the total singles/doubles texture of P side, providing the least valid bet selection B chance has shown an expected  streak predominance on every spot but one.

No bad.

as.
So if the shoe was reversed you would say what?  and win what?

gr8player

Quote from: Jimske on July 07, 2015, 03:29:08 PM
But . . . if the game was reversed to P dom I still win the same. 

As would I.  I make no distinction between betting the Player's side or Banker's side, the drawing rules notwithstanding.  Either can dominate the results and/or trends at any given time, and so I play either willingly.

Take care.

AsymBacGuy

Quote from: Jimske on July 07, 2015, 03:29:08 PM

You're right - shoes like that doesn't come often.  So if the shoe was reversed you would say what?  and win what?

Deviated shoes like this don't come often anyway the "general" texture is followed.
Thus if the shoe was reversed I wouldn't have won but one spot.

as.
   
Baccarat is 99% skill and 1% luck

CLEAR EYES, FULL HEARTS. CAN'T LOSE
(Friday Night Lights TV series)

I NEVER LOSE.
I EITHER WIN OR LEARN
(Nelson Mandela)

Winners don't do different things, they do things differently (Albalaha)

soxfan

Lotsa cats been askin me about the parlay style so gonna bumpity, bump, bump this post up, hey hey.