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[Blue_Angel]

Perhaps some of you have heard about the Parity Hedge System and almost all of you think that this is similar of the Doey / Don'ts system, but you are wrong...
I don't like long intros and big words,so let's get straight to the point.
This system consists of 3 different but unified stages:

Stage 1 }  Place 10 units on Pass Line plus 10 on Field.
Let's take a look by betting so,what's every possible outcome.

TWO >  1-1 }  I'm losing my Pass Line bet -10 but winning +20 from the field,which is a total of +10

THREE >1-2 / 2-1 }  I'm losing my Pass Line bet, but winning my field bet for 0 result (no profit/loss)

FOUR > 2-2 / 1-3 / 3-1 }  I'm winning my Field bet + 10 and the point goes to 4,here instead of risking our already earned profit,we are going to "lock" it by laying 14 units on 4,whether a 7 or a 4 appears,we will loose 6 units,but since we won 10 from the field before,we'll have a net of +4

FIVE >  2-3 / 3-2 / 1-4 / 4-1 }  I loose my Field bet -10 and making a point to 5 which if 5 rolls out again,we will break even,if not,we proceed to stage 3 which will be explained later

SIX >  1-5 / 5-1 / 2-4 / 4-2 / 3-3 }  The same here as above,losing the Field bet and want a repeat to break even,or if I loose both (-10 + -10 = -20) moving to the third stage

SEVEN > 1-6 / 6-1 / 2-5 / 5-2 /3-4 / 4-3 } I'm winning my Pass Line bet but losing my Field,so I break even

EIGHT > 2-6 / 6-2 / 3-5 / 5-3 / 4-4 }  In this case is the same as on 5 and 6,see above

NINE >  3-6 / 6-3 / 4-5 / 5-4 } I'm winning my field bet +10 and making my point on 9,this time I'm going to Lay the 9 with 12 units in order to create a sure win of +6,whether the 7 or the 9 will come out first,I'll loose 4,but since I won 10 from the Field,I'm an overall winner of +6 for this rollout

TEN >    4-6 / 6-4 / 5-5 } Here is the same situation as on 4,winning 10 from Field and Laying the 10 for 14 units,whether it will be a 7 or 10,I'm losing 6, but 10 (field) -6 = +4 net profit

ELEVEN > 5-6 / 6-5 } I'm winning both,my Pass Line and my Field bet for a total of 10 = 10 = 20 net profit

TWELVE > 6-6 } I'm losing my Pass Line bet -10 bu I'm winning my Field for a overall net profit of +10 or +20,this depends from the variations of the table,some tables paying x2 while others paying x3


STAGE 2 } Place 30 units on Don't Pass Line

Let's see one by one every possible outcome:

TWO > 1-1 }  I'm winning +30

THREE > 1-2 / 2-1 } I'm winning with Craps +30 net profit

FOUR > 1-3 / 3-1 / 2-2 } I'm making my point on 4,so here what I have to do in order to create a risk-free profit is to buy 4 for 21,thus +9 on either case (7 or 4)

FIVE >  1-4 / 4-1 / 2-3 / 3-2 } Here goes the same as above,but instead of 21  for the 5 to come,I'm placing 25, thus a risk free profit of +5 either way

SIX > 1-5 / 5-1 / 2-4 / 4-2 / 3-3 } The same as above but instead of 25,I'm betting 28 to create a sure win of +2 net profit

SEVEN > 1-6 / 6-1 / 2-5 / 5-2 / 3-4 / 4-3 } I'm losing -30 from my Don't Pass bet and proceed to stage number 3 which will be explained later

EIGHT >  2-6 / 6-2 / 3-5 / 5-3 / 4-4 } It's the same situation like on 6, see above

NINE >  3-6 / 6-3 / 4-5 / 5-4 }  It's the same situation as with 5

TEN >    4-6 / 6-4 / 5-5 } It's the same as 4, see above

ELEVEN > 5-6 / 6-5 } I'm losing -30 from my Don't Pass bet and proceed to the third stage

TWELVE > 6-6 } This is a push (break even)

An alternative option for stage 2 is to bet Pass line odds instead of Buy and Place bets, if you prefer this way then bet 30 $ on Don't Pass and 10 $ to Pass line.

If your point is 4 or 10, bet 13 $ on the Pass odds for a risk free profit of 7$ (with 7) or 6$ with 4 or 10.
If your point is 5 or 9, bet 15 $ on the Pass odds for a risk free profit of 5$ (with 7) or 5$ with 5 or 9.
If your point is 6 or 8, bet 18 $ on the Pass odds for a risk free profit of 2$ (with 7) or 2$ with 6 or 8.

STAGE 3 }

Between 2 possible outcomes (P / DP) there are 8 possible combinations of results in a set of 3 consecutive outcomes:
1) P - P - P
2) DP - DP - DP
3) P - P - DP
4) DP - DP - P
5) P - DP - DP
6) DP - P - P
7) P - DP - P
DP - P - DP

To win 3 consecutive times you need dice setting or a great deal of luck!:-)
But what if we needed only 1 win out of 3 (1 win/2 losses) in order to be overall winners?!
On stages 1 & 2,there are certain outcomes which have negative influence on our bankroll,particularly 16 out of 36 times from the stage 1 we will be break even or -20
On stage 2, eight times out of thirty-six, our bankroll will be depleted by -30 or -20 with the alternative method.

So each and every time a negative outcome occurs we bet 20 or 30, depends from the lost amount of your last outcome, on Pass Line if your last lost bet was on Don't Pass or on Don't Pass line if your last lost bet was on Pass Line.
Remember the 8 combinations I've told you above? We are not looking for 3 consecutive,but only 1 out of 3!

What are the chances to get 1 out of 3? You have 7 chances against only 1 out of the total 8 combinations!
For example I lost 10 on Field plus 10 when my point didn't make it, now I'm betting 20  on Don't Pass / First roll 7,I'm losing -20

Second bet should go to Pass Line for 40 / Second roll 3, I'm losing -40

Third bet should be on Don't Pass for 80 units, third roll points to 4 and a few rolls after sevens out!

So let's calculate from the beginning, (-20 stage 1) + (-60 stage 3) = 80, deduct the net profit of our final win,which is 80 and we break even.
What we have done is to neutralize the minority negative outcomes (16 out of 36) of stage 1 in our favor.

Second example with stage 2, I'm losing 30 on Don't Pass line, first bet should go to Pass Line for 30 (or 20 by using the alternative way), remember the opposite of the last lost bet, first roll 7 and break even immediately!
We have recovered our initial bet from stage 2.

You may ask "why to use the combination of DP-P-DP or P-DP-P and not one of the other combinations?"
In theory,all of the 8 combinations have the same chances;
7 against 1,but from my experience I've seen long streaks of Passes and Don't Passes, therefore if you bet only on one side all the time, sooner or later you will get burned!
By sharing our bets on this pattern: P/DP/P or DP/P/DP we are heavy favorites to get just 1 win out of 3 consecutive outcomes!
Last but not least, I would like to mention that you must not underestimate the effectiveness of Hedge Parity System just because I'm offering it for free.
Perhaps, I wouldn't and you would still banging in the dark...!

I would like to hear your comments, thank you.

[VLS]

[smiley]welcome/wave_welcome.gif[/smiley] to the Group Blue_Angel.

Very interesting first post. Hopefully the interaction with the fellows proves enriching.

Enjoy your time around.

[Turner]

I will try this on wincraps tonight....but I wouldn't ever play the field....its for placing your drinks on.

[Tomla]

interesting bet---this is interesting----
PS for those who use Organic craps/sic bo mechanical tables the 12 pays 3-1 instead of 2-1 --it makes "the field" a decent bet

[Big EZ]

Suggested bankroll?

[Blue_Angel]

Suggested bankroll is 320 units per session.
Unit could be 1 $ or 5 $ or 10 $...etc
For example,if you decide that your unit value is 5 $,then you would need 320 x 5 = 1600 $ plus proper table limits.
I would like to add that what it matters most of all is the overall,the total result.
So you have to calculate this system as a whole and not partially,the stage 1 and 2 by their one have a negative expectation,indeed.
When you proceed to stage 3 for the recoup,you have 7 chances with you and only 1 against you.
They used to say that the "chain" is as strong as the weakest link...the worst case scenario is to proceed on stage 3, which eventually happens, but there we have 87.5 %
against 12.5% rate of success,even if this would not been confirmed by the first set of 3 consecutive outcomes,we may proceed to a 2nd set of 3 outcomes.
Two times in a row to happen a 12.5% against the 87.5% is an extremely rare occasion!

This is a very strong system,but what it could make it INVISIBLE are additional 2 things:
1) Set your LIMITS according to your budget, the STOP limits must be exactly the SAME!
For example you set your limits to 320 units whether you win or loose,every session must be +320 OR -320!!
This way you don't have to win every session,but to win the most of them.
If for example after 10 sessions you won 7 and lost 3,you would have a net of 1280 units. (7 x 320)-(3 x 320) => 2240 - 960 = 1280
These numbers are very REALISTIC! To win 7 sessions out of 10 it's an average result regarding my experience.
2) If you combine this system with dice setting/control and the stop limits like described above,then you have a full time gambling income for life!

My system in combination with Dice Setting, it's the best possible option, not only in CRAPS, but for every gambling game which has ever been offered by the casinos!
You could ask me why I say so.
The answer actually is very obvious if you think it for a while...Craps is the only game which PLAYERS are determining the outcome!
YOU roll the dice! Setting and rolling the dices according your desired result could be taught like a child is learning to speak, like a tiger is learning to jumb through a fired ring, like aiming a target with a gun or a crossbow...and so on.
No other game, the final outcome depends on you and I don't mean by using illegal devices and cheating!

[Turner]

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Craps#Parity_hedge_system

[RouletteGhost]

i have organic craps. dice in a bubble. the field bet is good

[Blue_Angel]

There has been a mistake in my calculations when I said that recommended bankroll is 320 units, actually is much less, for example let's say your unit value is 10 $, on stage 1 you are risking 2 units, on stage 2 you are risking 3 units and on final stage 3 you are risking 14 units (if arrived from stage 1) or 21 units (if arrived from stage 2).

This adds up to 24 units maximum if value of unit is 10 $, for unit value of 5 $ double the overall amount of units, thus 48 units.

Another thing which I'd like to clarify is the amounts regarding "LAY" bets, I know that casinos don't have the same betting limits and commissions to be paid, therefore you should do a little homework in order to increase or decrease proportionally those amounts in order to yield approximately the same profit for every possible result.