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Offline Andrea ForexMart

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Re: Company News by ForexMart
« Reply #165 on: October 17, 2017, 05:59:25 AM »
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    « Reply #166 on: October 18, 2017, 08:04:24 AM »
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  • Trump Administration Pushes Fair Trade Relationship with Japan

    The U.S. administration under Trump regime is aiming for a more levelheaded trade relationship with Japan as the prominent economic talks with the third largest Asian economy progressed this week in America, stated by U.S. Vice President Mike Pence.

    During the second-round of meeting between U.S. and Japan, Pence left comments including discourse between the White House Cabinet members and highest rank Japanese government authorities. Pence has shown immense interest to free trade deals during talks but the Japanese government official did not give more details on this.

    He also mentioned that the focus of this agreement is to guarantee the “free and fair trade” relationship particularly on trade and investment policies between the two countries. Both nations have initiated this talk in February and had their first course of talk in April. They have achieved initial progress in the second course of talks that includes the consensus to remove limitations on persimmons from Japan and potatoes from Idaho as mentioned to the statement given during Monday’s arbitration.

    The automobile industry has also improved while Japan acquiesces to streamline noise and emission testing on car exports for the United States. Moreover, both nations will publish a statement related to energy concerns that include liquefied natural gas and coal while foreign exchange was not part of the discussion.

    The U.S. President Donald Trump has been berating the mercantile trade deficit of their nation with Japan.although, this is just next in order to its gap with China amid the large volume of trade imports particularly on Japanese cars and electronics. The leader has clearly cited that he favors the bilateral trade deals and push it through to lessen trade disparity instead of multilateral agreements such as the Trans-Pacific Partnership which he ended as soon as he became the president of America.

    Trump would meet the Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe in his next trip to Asia next month and the interest on trade and economic ties will surely be of great concern. On part of the Japan, the Japanese delegates have pointed out the relevance of U.S. and Japanese diplomatic ties which significant in the background of threats posed by North Korea with the capital’s missile and nuclear programs.

    A lot of businesses in U.S. aims to have a bilateral deal with Japan after their withdrawal from TPP that has greatly decreased the range of Japanese tariffs. This positions various U.S. companies at risk and they are on the downside compared to other countries who were still part of the agreement. On the other end, the Asian nation is open and hopeful to persuade the Western nation to be part once again of the TPP deal which was mediated over the years. This would be a stepping stone of the country to discuss topics on trade and investment rules as well as the Japanese investment on U.S. energy and infrastructure.
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    Re: Company News by ForexMart
    « Reply #167 on: October 23, 2017, 03:04:10 PM »
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    « Reply #168 on: October 26, 2017, 11:41:32 AM »
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  • Unemployment Rate in France Drop in September

    The total unemployment figures of France reduce in September based on the records from the Labour Ministry issued on Tuesday. This encourages French President Emmanuel Macron to execute further efforts to improve the job market.
    The number of unemployed individuals in the mainland France was lowered down by 64,800 last month, this is the largest decrease since 1996.
    The 1.8 percent drop after a month and 0.5 percent within a year resulted in a total of 3,475,600 jobless people which is the lowest level from the month of April.
    The improvement was achieved due to reform efforts by Macron’s leadership that created more jobs and increased growth.

    President Macron is considering the reduction of unemployment in the country down to 10 percent for years, overhauling the rules of labor industry last month. This could be followed by some changes in unemployment benefits and professional training subsequently.
    The business confidence of France also perked up since Macron’s victory in May elections. The French politician pro-business reform agenda tend to shift company’s activities upwards in order to manage robust demand, according to a survey published on Tuesday morning.
    Moreover, the emergence of new businesses led companies to hire additional workers in October which could regulate rising backlogs, hence, this is the fastest pace recorded in a decade based on the monthly purchasing managers survey.

    On the other hand, industrial firms reported that their efficiency is moving towards the highest levels prior the outset of 2008-2009 global financial crisis indicated in a quarterly survey by the INSEE statistics agency on Tuesday. The expanding number of companies seems struggling to keep up with the demand. There are 32 percent of managers who admitted facing some congestion in the production system. This could be a positive indicator for the job markets considering that companies are forced to take more laborers in order to cope the demands of the client, therefore, reducing the unemployment rate.


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    « Reply #169 on: October 30, 2017, 02:39:44 PM »
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  • US Economy Supported by Trade and Inventories

    The American economy unanticipatedly sustained the rapid momentum in Q3, as the inventory investment increased and the smaller trade deficit eased off the impact from hurricanes towards the fall in consumer expenditure and curbed in construction.

    The country’s GDP gained 3.0 percent at an annualized rate during the months of July until September, which further strengthened the robust business equipment spending as mentioned by the Commerce Department on Friday. While goods inventories for sale added nearly three-quarters of percentage point growth during the previous quarter and the improved GDP underlines the economic health. This excludes the inventory investment, the economy was able to advance by 2.3 percent rate against the slow down by 2.9 percent during the second quarter. The estimates for domestic demand also declined to 2.2 percent versus 3.3 percent obtained in Q2.

    The United States acquired 3.1 percent growth during the second quarter, and this was the first time that the U.S growth reached higher than 3 percent for two consecutive quarters. Forecasts from economists show that GDP will increase by 2.5 percent in the third quarter. According to the US administration, it seems difficult to determine the effect of hurricanes Harvey and Irma towards the GDP in the third quarter. Initial evaluation indicates that the subsequent storms generated losses amounted to $US10.4 billion of government-owned fixed assets and  $US121.0 billion ($A157.8 billion) worth of privately owned fixed assets.

    Inventories cumulated from firms came in at $US35.8 billion in the Q3, which boosted inventory investment by 0.73 percentage point to GDP growth in the said quarter. The inventories contributed an output of more than tenth of percentage point in the previous period. While economists are expecting for a decent expansion from inventories in the last quarter. Despite the drop in the fourth quarter and surpassed the sharpest decline in imports for three years which led to a smaller trade deficit and provided four-tenths of percentage point to economic development. Trade supported the output for three quarters in a row.


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    Re: Company News by ForexMart
    « Reply #170 on: November 02, 2017, 02:09:58 PM »
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    « Reply #171 on: November 06, 2017, 05:36:17 PM »
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  • RBNZ Hold Official Rates Steady

    Economists are expecting that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand will maintain its official cash rate at 1.75 percent upon the publication of its monetary policy statement scheduled on Thursday. However, the schedule of future hikes appears to be dull until the new policies of the Labour-led government were already established. Either way, the rate increase still does not have specified time in the future. Most likely, the hike will happen at the end of 2018 while forecasts from the central bank show that the raise will hit at the end of 2019.
    An upward pressure is expected on local monetary policy, particularly on interest rates from foreign regions since the bank aims to ease off remaining artificially low rates since the Financial crisis of 2007–2008.

    In the previous week, the BOE implemented a rate hike after 10 years, raising from 0.25 percent to 0.5 percent. The Fed Reserve is known to lift its rates twice in 2017 and maintained within the range of 1 to 1.25 percent, however, some comments opposing the market expectations affected the rates and tend to increase again this December. In October, the European Central Bank mentioned that it plans to reduce the level of bond purchases for each month along with the leading yields of US 10-year bond that recently acquired 2.4 percent. Cameron Bagrie, ANZ chief economist, spoke about the slightly higher international signals compared with local rates.

    On the other hand, the financial markets are dealing with the future of new policy targets agreement (PTA) between the Reserve Bank and the Government. As indicated in the contract, the bank is obliged to maintain the next annual inflation within the average range of 1-3 percent in the medium term. Its focus is to manage future average inflation around the target midpoint of 2 percent. The employment intends to expand the deal in order to create an adequate level of labor rates as part of its objective while the political party  NZ First discussed the policy revision.

    The total inflation for the year came in at 1.9 percent issued in September but new guidelines of the administration regarding wages and regional fuel taxes might influence prices to push higher. The greater-than-anticipated jobs figures last week highlighted a tighter labor market coupled with upside risks to inflation and surprised the RBNZ. The Reserve Bank explained that it anticipated for interest rate trends from overseas, especially from the US 10-year bond yield that serves as the major influence towards domestic rates.

    On Friday afternoon, the Kiwi dollar was down to US69.2c as the head of NZ First Winston Peters declared a coalition agreement last October 19.


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    « Reply #172 on: November 07, 2017, 05:21:54 PM »
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  • German Investor Confidence Rose According to Sentix

    The German investors sentiment had increased, reaching its highest level for this month. The country is the largest economy in the eurozone that managed a global economic expansion based on the statement of Sentix issued on Monday. The survey was released since the EU obtained a fast-pace economic recovery subsequent to a prolonged period of slow economic growth, the development period was supported by the dynamic money-printing programme of the ECB. Moreover, this raises concerns regarding bond bubbles and property within the cluster of rich countries.

    The economic sentiment index of Germany by the research group Sentix showed an upsurge of 42.4 versus 37.7 in October based on 1,000 investors who responded to the survey. Broader euro indices and the world economy arrive at 10-year highs.  European Sentix index gained 34 points in November compared with the 29.7 in October, overcoming analysts expectations and reaching its all-time high since July 2007 EUSTCS=ECI. Forecasts for other improvements of the European economy climb to 22.8 against 18.3 earlier.


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    Re: Company News by ForexMart
    « Reply #173 on: November 16, 2017, 02:50:51 PM »
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    « Reply #174 on: February 07, 2018, 08:01:23 AM »
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  • Canadian Free Trade Slow Down its Economy

    The Canadian economy had an unfavorable situation in the previous year. The trade data was published yesterday that shows a continuous decline in growth and tried hard to gain profits outside the energy sector despite the positive exchange rate and the demand in exports of US non-energy products reduced in terms of volumes. Also, any recorded growth over the past decades was mainly driven by higher prices.

    The inactivity of the past years is considered an enigma for policymakers which may question Canada’s ability to maintain its growth rate followed by the fastest 3 percent expansion in 2017 over six years. Bank of Montreal Economist Benjamin Reitzes mentioned that the country’s current trade environment remains fragile due to the sluggishness of non-commodity exports. Canadians desire is to become “perennial optimists” of international trading amid uncertainties arises regarding advantages of open economies.

    According to Prime Minister Justin Trudeau, trade is the main factor for economic growth, making his Liberal Party lawmakers advocates to preserve the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA), which is currently in the seventh round of talks.

    The trade performance of the country was dull except for oil and its non-energy trade deficit increased by $8.64 billion (US$6.9 billion) in December and $87 billion for the entire year. Generally, the number of export volumes including oil failed to sustain along with the imports which would mean trade industry was largely driven by the excellent economic performance last year thanks to domestic demand. With this, the Bank of Canada may delay the interest rate hike while evaluating the overall economic condition.

    The not so strong non-energy trade indicates that Canada is highly dependent on oil in order to keep its trade balance from falling, even though Trudeau strives to turn around from commodities.  Moreover, energy exports came in at 17 percent in 2017 and move higher by 14 percent in the beginning of the year.


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    « Reply #175 on: February 13, 2018, 08:26:09 AM »
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  • More Pressure Besets Chinese Local Government with New Bond Rules

    Local governments of Beijing were pressured to settle their financial problems while a new rule on are issued on lending companies.

    Chinese firms have to confirm publicly that funds gained in selling bonds should not add to local government debt and they are not siding on any government financing sector based on the given notice from the country’s top planning agency.

    Moreover, corporations should not demand or accept any assurance from local governments on debt financing, as stated by the National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC).

    Regulators are looking for means to have a better control in the midst of a wider systemic risk on the high local government debt and their transparent financing.

    Authorities are trying to separate financial actions as part of their restriction, which is often related to stand-alone companies in a technical perspective. In particular, credit rating agencies should not associate the financial reports and project data in credit ratings work with the local government credit ratings, according to the NDRC.

    The Chinese government is trying to instill on investors that actions will be taken if they did wrongfully.

    It means that the government is not responsible on increase in debts by these firms but they are still expected to intercept to provide support for these companies, referred as local government financing vehicles (LGFV) in settling compensation concerns.

    The local debt of China’s government increased by 7.5 percent to 16.47 trillion yuan or $2.56 trillion at the end of 2017, based on the calculations by Reuters, which is still within the target figure of the government.

    Outstanding corporate debt amounted to 165 percent of GDP, which has been the highest among major economies and is mostly owned by the state.


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    « Reply #176 on: February 19, 2018, 08:22:46 AM »
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  • France Faces Structural Unemployment Issues

    The jobless rate in France had decline generally, but there are no immediate solutions for skill shortages. French unemployment lowered down by double figures during the third quarter last year and resumed to drop until the fourth quarter. According to Bloomberg, the country’s unemployment rate in December 2017 was 8.9 percent while the fastest acceleration in employment creation since 1996. On the other hand, unemployment in 2017 plunge to 1.9 percent which is a major downturn in a decade.

    Meanwhile, President Emmanuel Macron promised to lessen the unemployment by 7 percent in the year 2022. Structural unemployment is also one of the largest shortcomings during the Hollande administration in which Macron performed as the Minister of the Economy.

    Nevertheless, France is also known for its issue regarding the country’s increasing skills gap. As mentioned by the Financial Times, there are about two million French workers with less qualification which became the underlying factor for structural unemployment. According to estimates, the job market of France was unable to appease the demand of 200,000- to-330,000 posts due to failure finding the appropriate candidate.

    Moreover, the current administration plans to have a €15bn investment programme to improve employability skills especially for the below average job seekers and long-term unemployed. In case of the approval of the project, it will take two-to-three years to take effect.


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    « Reply #177 on: February 23, 2018, 06:03:39 AM »
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  • South Korea’s BOK Prepares for Possible Scenario In Sudden Fed Rate Hikes

    The Bank of Korea is ready to face any unfavorable outcome following the policy tightening in the U.S. at a faster rate, according to the chief of South Korea’s central bank, Lee Ju-yeol.

    If the Fed acted earlier than expected, it will have an effect on the global financial market, as well as local market. Hence, they prepared beforehand in possible scenarios, as told by Lee Ju-yeol to reporters in Zurich.

    He also said that the central anticipated the U.S. Federal Reserve to increase their rate thrice in 2018.

    Another factor that will be faced by Korea is the protectionist moves of the U.S. against South Korea, he added.



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    Re: Company News by ForexMart
    « Reply #178 on: February 27, 2018, 10:15:00 AM »
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  • Fall of Taiwan’s Export Orders Growth In January

    Export orders of Taiwan are predicted to reach an 18th consecutive month high in January but at a slower pace compared in December. Moreover, the demand for the technology products remains strong for the country, according to the Reuters poll.

    The forecast rose to 16.1 percent in January than the previous year, based on the median forecast of 15 analysts in the survey. Contrarily, growth for the month of December was 17.5 percent than 11.6 percent in November.

    The export orders of the country signal the demand for Asian exports, including high-technology gadgets, that steers actual exports by two to three months.
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    « Reply #179 on: February 28, 2018, 03:01:51 AM »
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  • Fed’s Tighter Policy Risk in Higher Rates

    More demand for safe-haven assets and low productivity growth induce the Federal Reserve to keep their rates low, according to the St. Louis Federal Reserve President, James Bullard, on Monday.

    If the Federal Reserve will proceed with the rate hikes, a tighter policy would be ideal for the current economy. The goal of the federal funds would be around 1.25 and 1.5 percent and current rates still fall between this range as recommended with following a neutral rate that is kept at bay by various factors moving at a slower pace.

    If rates have substantially increased without changes in the data, monetary policies would then become restrictive. There is a worry that the FOMC might go on “too fast”, added by Bullard. There must be support from the data to continue with the rate hike.   

    The Federal Open Market Committee is anticipated to increase its interest rates in March meeting at least twice a year, in reference to the latest December forecast of policymakers.

    Bullard is known to be the most cautious among Fed officials when talking about rate hikes while the U.S. is deemed to have a low growth following a low-inflation policy and the rate should not be too high unlike there are clear indications that the economy has changed.

    The term “neutral” was discussed during the National Association of Business Economists conference following the remarks of Bullard denoting that the monetary policy is a way to determine the positivity and negativity of economic activity.

    Vague as it may be, the neutral rate is sufficient for the Fed in gauging the policy rates. Authorities see the present policy rates have to continue its accommodative monetary policies while inflation is still under composure.   



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