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The short term and its old self

Started by VLS, November 27, 2012, 01:12:52 AM

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VLS

The short term imagined himself in the future, when he would be old and tried... at that time he would have a long career and be called the long term.

"If I get a bit richer every day, in the end of my days when I get old, I'll be a lot rich". It's simple math.

The short term said to himself: "I'm good to focusing in beating the "now" because if I 'beat' every day those profits will amount on each other, and the only possible outcome from this happening is to grow my balance in the bank, even if I don't make it every time -I can be wrong at times-, as long as I'm right with a good-enough rate".

...As much as days are the building blocks of weeks, weeks are the building blocks of months and months are the building blocks of years; many short-term sessions are the building blocks of the player's long term.

As much as you get absolute long-term certainty from uberly random events, you can be 100% certain if you beat the many short-term sessions, you are positively beating your long term.

This is the short-term/long-term paradox. People want to beat the long term without any respect or understanding for the short term.

They are trying to beat the "casino picture": all the hands and all bets from all players combined to give a certain total ...when this picture isn't accurate to what a single player experiences.

The isolated player experiences only chunks of the whole, named sessions, and this is exclusively what s/he should focus in beating.

"Beat your short terms and you are beating your long-term."

After all, -given the true long term is infinity- a man's lifetime *IS* a short term on itself.

Regards.

Email/Paypal: betselectiongmail.com
-- Victor

esoito

Seems to me Hit and Run fits quite neatly into that interesting analysis.



VLS

Dear friend,

Under this light beating the short-term has nothing to do with specifically using "hit & run" on a given method.

You can perfectly use PLAY & STAY on the method(s) currently delivering, while delivering. Just not being stubborn as to expect the method to deliver eternally, hence you put it back to sleep as soon as the hits aren't coming for it.

Given we are facing a short-circuited scenario, there's always something delivering in the game.




...There's a winning approach for every session. Every session must be played on its own merit.

Email/Paypal: betselectiongmail.com
-- Victor

spike

Quote from: esoito on November 27, 2012, 03:14:00 AM
Seems to me Hit and Run fits quite neatly into that interesting analysis.

The problem with hit and run is it gets
you attention from the pit if you're any
good at it. They know you can't beat
their edge, but they don't like being
beaten in the short term either. Why
draw attention to yourself if you don't
have to.