diversification

Sputnik · February 26, 2016, 02:26:17 PM

diversification is when you not put all eggs in one basket - how does that apply to roulette with bet selection and mm ...
you put your money at risk with wider spread to minimize the worst and extreme

cheers

Blue_Angel · February 26, 2016, 02:43:24 PM

Like ''Bayes'' said before:

1) Bet the hottest line
2) Bet the coldest line
3) Bet the most balanced line

6+6+6 = 18
3 lines of 6 numbers are equal to 1 EC

Sputnik · February 26, 2016, 03:06:18 PM

i more into MM where you break even or lose half your bankroll when you hit the worst and extreme - like 3.0 4.0 5.0 SD without any triggers and play every decision ...

Blue_Angel · February 26, 2016, 03:12:33 PM

Quote from: Sputnik on February 26, 2016, 03:06:18 PM
i more into MM where you break even or lose half your bankroll when you hit the worst and extreme - like 3.0 4.0 5.0 SD without any triggers and play every decision ...

I can win 5.5 SD with less than 600 units BR and max bet 64 units, no triggers, betting every spin!

Blue_Angel · February 26, 2016, 03:18:14 PM

Take a look in the following example:

BETTING ALWAYS ON RED / FRENCH ROULETTE WITH "LE PARTAGE" RULE

S=Spin R=Result T=Total
S R T

1 -1 -1
2 -1 -2
3x +1 -1
4 -1 -2
5x +1 -1
6 -1 -2
7x +1 -1
8 -1 -2
9 -1 -3
10x +1 -2
11 -1 -3
12x +1 -2
13 -1 -3
14/ZERO -0.5 -3.5
15 -1 -4.5
16x +1 -3.5
17 -1 -4.5
18 -1 -5.5
19 -1 -6.5
20 -1 -7.5
21x +1 -6.5
22 -1 -7.5
23x +1 -6.5
24 -1 -7.5
25 -1 -8.5
26 -1 -9.5
27 -1 -10.5
28 -1 -11.5
29x +1 -10.5
30 -1 -11.5
31x +1 -10.5
32x +1 -9.5
33 -1 -10.5
34 -1 -11.5
35x +1 -10.5
36x +1 -9.5
37x +1 -8.5
38x +2 -6.5 BET RAISES TO 2 UNITS
39 -2 -8.5
40 -2 -10.5
41 -2 -12.5
42x +2 -10.5
43 -2 -12.5
44 -2 -14.5
45x +2 -12.5
46x +2 -10.5
47 -2 -12.5
48 -2 -14.5
49 -2 -16.5
50 -2 -18.5
51 -2 -20.5
52x +2 -18.5
53 -2 -20.5
54 -2 -22.5
55x +2 -20.5
56 -2 -22.5
57 -2 -24.5
58x +2 -22.5
59 -2 -24.5
60 -2 -26.5
61 -2 -28.5
62x +2 -26.5
63 -2 -28.5
64 -2 -30.5
65x +2 -28.5
66 -2 -30.5
67 -2 -32.5
68x +2 -30.5
69x +2 -28.5
70 -2 -30.5
71x +2 -28.5
72 -2 -30.5
73 -2 -32.5
74 -2 -34.5
75x +4 -30.5 BET RAISES TO 4 UNITS
76 -4 -34.5
77x +4 -30.5
78 -4 -34.5
79 -4 -38.5
80x +4 -34.5
81 -4 -38.5
82 -4 -42.5
83 -4 -46.5
84 -4 -50.5
85 -4 -52.5
86 -4 -56.5
87 -4 -60.5
88 -4 -64.5
89 -4 -68.5
90x +4 -64.5
91 -4 -68.5
92x +4 -64.5
93 -4 -68.5
94 -4 -72.5
95x +4 -68.5
96 -4 -72.5
97x +4 -68.5
98 -4 -72.5
99 -4 -76.5
100 -4 -80.5
101x +4 -76.5
102x +4 -72.5
103 -4 -76.5
104x +4 -72.5
105/ZERO -2 -74.5
106 -4 -78.5
107 -4 -82.5
108 -4 -86.5
109 -4 -90.5
110 -4 -94.5
111 -4 -98.5
112 -8 -106.5 BET RAISES TO 8 UNITS
113 -8 -114.5
114x +8 -106.5
115 -8 -114.5
116 -8 -122.5
117x +8 -114.5
118 -8 -122.5
119x +8 -114.5
120 -8 -122.5
121 -8 -130.5
122x +8 -122.5
123 -8 -130.5
124 -8 -138.5
125 -8 -146.5
126 -8 -154.5
127 -8 -162.5
128x +8 -154.5
129x +8 -146.5
130x +8 -138.5
131x +8 -130.5
132 -8 -138.5
133 -8 -146.5
134x +8 -138.5
135 -8 -146.5
136 -8 -154.5
137 -8 -162.5
138x +8 -154.5
139 -8 -162.5
140x +8 -154.5
141 -8 -162.5
142 -8 -170.5
143x +8 -162.5
144 -8 -170.5
145x +8 -162.5
146x +8 -154.5
147x +8 -146.5
148 -8 -154.5
149x +16 -138.5 BET RAISES TO 16 UNITS
150x +16 -122.5
151 -16 -138.5
152 -16 -154.5
153/ZERO -8 -162.5
154x +16 -146.5
155x +16 -130.5
156 -16 -146.5
157 -16 -162.5
158x +16 -146.5
159 -16 -162.5
160 -16 -178.5
161 -16 -194.5
162 -16 -210.5
163x +16 -194.5
164x +16 -178.5
165 -16 -194.5
166 -16 -210.5
167 -16 -226.5
168x +16 -210.5
169 -16 -226.5
170 -16 -242.5
171x +16 -226.5
172x +16 -210.5
173 -16 -226.5
174x +16 -210.5
175x +16 -194.5
176 -16 -210.5
177 -16 -226.5
178 -16 -242.5
179 -16 -258.5
180x +16 -242.5
181 -16 -258.5
182 -16 -274.5
183 -16 -290.5
184x +16 -274.5
185 -16 -290.5
186/ZERO -16 -306.5 BET RAISES TO 32 UNITS
187x +32 -274.5
188 -32 -306.5
189 -32 -338.5
190/ZERO -16 -354.5
191 -32 -386.5
192x +32 -354.5
193x +32 -322.5
194 -32 -354.5
195 -32 -386.5
196x +32 -354.5
197 -32 -386.5
198 -32 -418.5
199/ZERO -16 -434.5
200 -32 -466.5
201 10 -32 -498.5
202 6 -32 -530.5
203 14 +32 -498.5
204 21 +32 -466.5
205 30 +32 -434.5
206 11 -32 -466.5
207 12 +32 -434.5
208 10 -32 -466.5
209 22 -32 -498.5
210 34 +32 -466.5
211 10 -32 -498.5
212 16 +32 -466.5
213 0 -16 -482.5
214 14 +32 -450.5
215 8 -32 -482.5
216 34 +32 -450.5
217 18 +32 -418.5
218 19 +32 -386.5
219 25 +32 -354.5
220 35 -32 -386.5
221 34 +32 -354.5
222 29 -32 -386.5
223 16 +64 -322.5 BET RAISES TO 64 UNITS
224 21 +64 -258.5
225 12 +64 -194.5
226 30 +64 -130.5
227 9 +64 -66.5
228 34 +64 -2.5
229 32 +64 +61.5 BET RESETS TO 1 UNIT
230 15 -1 +60.5
231 0 -0.5 +60
232 17 -1 +59
233 2 -1 +58
234 3 +1 +59
235 0 -0.5 +58.5
236 1 +1 +59.5
237 36 +1 +60.5
238 22 -1 +59.5
239 34 +1 +60.5
240 11 -1 +59.5
241 20 -1 +58.5
242 1 +1 +59.5
243 28 -1 +58.5
244 11 -1 +57.5
245 21 +1 +58.5
246 29 -1 +57.5
247 15 -1 +56.5
248 15 -1 +55.5
249 34 +1 +56.5
250 10 -1 +55.5
251 16 +1 +56.5
252 4 -1 +55.5
253 35 -1 +54.5
254 17 -1 +53.5
255 4 -1 +52.5
256 19 +1 +53.5
257 25 +1 +54.5
258 11 -1 +53.5
259 0 -0.5 +53
260 5 +2 +55 BET RAISES TO 2 UNITS
261 22 -2 +53
262 31 -2 +51
263 0 -1 +50
264 2 -2 +48
265 10 -2 +46
266 6 -2 +44
267 28 -2 +42
268 27 +2 +44
269 4 -2 +42
270 1 +2 +44
271 3 +2 +46
272 11 -2 +44
273 11 -2 +42
274 9 +2 +44
275 5 +2 +46
276 1 +2 +48
277 19 +2 +50
278 11 -2 +48
279 28 -2 +46
280 10 -2 +44
281 15 -2 +42
282 27 +2 +44
283 23 +2 +46
284 13 -2 +44
285 7 +2 +46
286 17 -2 +44
287 35 -2 +42
288 27 +2 +44
289 14 +2 +46
290 21 +2 +48
291 14 +2 +50
292 34 +2 +52
293 11 -2 +50
294 10 -2 +48
295 36 +2 +50
296 24 -2 +48
297 36 +4 +52 BET RAISES TO 4 UNITS
298 34 +4 +56
299 7 +4 +60
300 5 +4 +64
301 6 -1 +63 BET RESETS TO 1 UNIT
302 16 +1 +64
303 34 +1 +65
304 34 +1 +66
305 33 -1 +65
306 26 -1 +64
307 1 +1 +65
308 5 +1 +66
309 0 -0.5 +65.5
310 33 -1 +64.5
311 0 -0.5 +64
312 9 +1 +65
313 0 -0.5 +64.5
314 21 +1 +65.5
315 23 +1 +66.5
316 13 -1 +65.5
317 3 +1 +66.5
318 20 -1 +65.5
319 34 +1 +66.5
320 28 -1 +65.5
321 28 -1 +64.5
322 14 +1 +65.5
323 20 -1 +64.5
324 30 +1 +65.5
325 25 +1 +66.5
326 36 +1 +67.5
327 1 +1 +68.5
328 31 -1 +67.5
329 35 -1 +66.5
330 36 +1 +67.5
331 5 +1 +68.5
332 29 -1 +67.5
333 28 -1 +66.5

Blue_Angel · February 26, 2016, 03:24:04 PM

For the first cycle of 37 spins the SD is 2.23

For the first 2 cycles (74 spins) the SD is 3.32

For the first 3 cycles (111 spins) the SD is 4.36

For the first 4 cycles (148 spins) the SD is 4.69

For the first 5 cycles (185 spins) the SD is 5.10

For the first 6 cycles (222 spins) the SD is 5.29

The net profit of 61.5 is being achieved on the 229th spin and at that time the SD was 4.94

The maximum drawdown was on 202nd spin with -530.5 and 5.50 SD

87 wins 37.99% / 142 losses 62.01% at 229th spin which made the breakthrough.

Sputnik · February 26, 2016, 03:28:32 PM

impressiv ...

greenguy · February 26, 2016, 08:52:38 PM

...Bet raised to 64 units?

That's not possible in the real world, is it?

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diversification