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DO YOU BELIEVE THIS?

Started by esoito, April 07, 2013, 12:40:11 AM

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esoito

Hmmm...$20 000 in 2 months...

Betting on single numbers.

http://www.roulettenumber.com/videos.html

Nothing to stop you emailing him with questions.

The obvious one being "If it's so good why bother flogging it for around $50. In fact, why flog it at all?"

I'm sure you'll think of other questions.




Albalaha

Can say nothing about anybody. It is a software/bot. Nothing can predict what is going to happen.
Email: earnsumit@gmail.com - Visit my blog: http://albalaha.lefora.com
Can mentor a real, regular and serious player

esoito

''Can say nothing about anybody." doesn't quite fit the thread's question. I'm struggling to work out what you mean.

Please clarify, Al..

Why?

Because I value your opinion.


Albalaha

Because it can be done. I can do even better. I never wanted to say this. Such statements create controversies.
Email: earnsumit@gmail.com - Visit my blog: http://albalaha.lefora.com
Can mentor a real, regular and serious player

esoito

OK. Thanks for that.

So you think the $20 000 claim is probably true? That the software he sells really can deliver profits more often than losses?

I know it only costs around $50 to find out for myself but, as the saying goes, "fools and their money are easily parted."

So I'd rather seek others' opinions.

Maybe it's a grail...maybe not...



" I can do even better. I never wanted to say this. Such statements create controversies."

That's pretty impressive, Al.

As a moderator I won't allow any controversy but if you could perhaps open another thread to explain that a bit more I, and others, will be interested.

[I'd rather keep this thread just for answers to my question.]

Bayes

Well, I don't believe it. It sounds to me like nothing more than a martingale on single numbers:

QuoteRoulette Number software is going to stick with betting on one single number up to 185 times. If that number hits only once, you are not only a big winner, but additionally also recover all your previous losses. Consider this: a European Roulette wheel has 37 numbers on it. The wheel is spun 185 times. That is a multiple of five times the total amount of numbers on the wheel. It is safe to assume that on average each number hits home once every 37 spins, yet you're spinning the wheel up to 185 times. That leaves you plenty of room for feeling confident that your chosen number ought to come up at least once, doesn't it?

Yes, MOST of the time your number will hit within 185 spins, but how much are you going to lose when (not IF) it doesn't?
A martingale is a martingale. It doesn't make it any less dangerous because you're not betting on the even chances. Sure, the stakes don't climb so quickly on longer odds, but the wins come proportionately less often, so the net effect is the same.

Same old story. Great looking software with all the bells and whistles, but no attention paid to the statistics or probability of actually making a long term profit.

Trebor

A qualified answer.


Yes with a very good run of luck, so no one can say it can't be true.


I wouldn't be testing my luck that way though.


Trebor

esoito

"...no attention paid to the statistics or probability of actually making a long term profit."

Even so, $20k in 2 months -- IF (a big if)  it's true -- is long enough to stop at that point and come out nicely ahead.

But to what extent is that a truthful claim?

How easy would it be to rig a set of moving figures like that?


Bayes

Yes, 20k in 2 months could be true, but it could be down to luck.

esoito, have you tried the trial version?

TwisterUK

I have  ;)

Its as Bayes says, just a Marti on a single number

That said it made over £100 in 30 minutes

It played at Eurogrand fun money table

It did have issues "findin the table" and had to be reloaded a few times

If you pay an extra 10 bucks it plays at BV too...

Chrisbis

........just playing ONE inside number?

[revealB] I read the website on my phone....not tried the software yet¡![/revealB]

Bayes

Quote from: TwisterUK on April 07, 2013, 09:22:37 AM
Its as Bayes says, just a Marti on a single number

So how much will you lose WHEN a number sleeps > 185 spins?

TwisterUK

Depends on Casino

Eurogrand is 10c min chip and denomination

BV is 1c

So it's a 185 step progression. He says when ever you get a hit you make a Profit

U're the Math guy  :thumbsup:

Chrisbis

I bet Zero never gets that sort of a Sunday Morning lye-in !!
Always a busy bee, Marquee my words.
17 & 2 my favored numbers.  :whistle:

soggett

Quote from: TwisterUK on April 07, 2013, 10:13:30 AM
Depends on Casino

Eurogrand is 10c min chip and denomination

BV is 1c

So it's a 185 step progression. He says when ever you get a hit you make a Profit

U're the Math guy  :thumbsup:

3652 units is the minimum for a progression that puts you in plus when you hit, it covers 185 spins
wonder what to do when it hits on the 186 spin?  ;D