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FREE follow Strategy to this forum

Started by stephen tabone, June 18, 2017, 01:27:02 AM

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stephen tabone

FREE follow Strategy to this forum

You follow player or banker when either reaches 3 in a row, continue to follow the run until it breaks. Join the next run when whatever player or banker reaches 3. So play for the 4th +
3 is the key, it's the trigger, the strong indicator that a run is likely.

if you want another FREE strategy let me know and I will post.

Jimske

Quote from: Stephen Tabone on June 18, 2017, 01:27:02 AM
FREE follow Strategy to this forum

You follow player or banker when either reaches 3 in a row, continue to follow the run until it breaks. Join the next run when whatever player or banker reaches 3. So play for the 4th +
3 is the key, it's the trigger, the strong indicator that a run is likely.

if you want another FREE strategy let me know and I will post.
Sigh.  How likely?

About 15 years ago I wrote a Bacc strategy and put a little team together.  We collected thousands of live shoes and ran some programs to determine if we could find some +EV bets.  We found one that appeared to have a positive expectation.  We call it Longer Still (LS) and it only worked on Bank.  So after a run went 1 longer than it previously did a bet was placed that it would go 1 more and stop.  Does it really hold up long term?  I don't know.

Point is, what makes you think your free trigger is a "strong indicator that a run is likely."  Not necessary to produce the data.  Nobody here who has the ability will bother to run it.  Just tell us how you arrived at such a conclusion.

Frankly, Stephen, I am skeptical.  Call me suspicious but this kind of post seems to be a self serving little bit of nothing to keep people engaged.

J

stephen tabone

Quote from: Jimske on June 18, 2017, 01:43:25 AM
Sigh.  How likely?

About 15 years ago I wrote a Bacc strategy and put a little team together.  We collected thousands of live shoes and ran some programs to determine if we could find some +EV bets.  We found one that appeared to have a positive expectation.  We call it Longer Still (LS) and it only worked on Bank.  So after a run went 1 longer than it previously did a bet was placed that it would go 1 more and stop.  Does it really hold up long term?  I don't know.

Point is, what makes you think your free trigger is a "strong indicator that a run is likely."  Not necessary to produce the data.  Nobody here who has the ability will bother to run it.  Just tell us how you arrived at such a conclusion.

Frankly, Stephen, I am skeptical.  Call me suspicious but this kind of post seems to be a self serving little bit of nothing to keep people engaged.

J

Well then you seem to be the be all end all!  :bored:
You claim it does not work but then can't be baothered to test it! What then is the point of your post of not to try and have a pop at me!  :forbidden:

Sputnik

Stephen Tabone we can measuring your method to see how the variance and STDV develop. What you mention is a old classical method that i post around 2008 at VLS forum board.

This is the playing model and the values for each event using the law of series.

Series of three has the value of 1
Series of four has the value of 0
Series of five has the value of 1
Series of six has the value of 2
Series of seven has the value of 3
Series of eight has the value of 4
Series of nine has the value of 5
And so it continues...

Now what can happen is that you get 14 series of three and 2 series of five and reach 3.0 STDV
Then you will only win and lose catching series of four in a row and there exist no progression that can cover that many attempts.

So the option to betting once is actually worse then to aim to win two in a row.
Let me show you another playing model based upon the same principal.

Singles has the value of 1
Series of two has the value of 0
Series of three has the value of 1

Now you can calculate the periodic events or cycles before a serie of three or higher hit.
Notice that we don't need to calculate the series of two as you win and break even and can bet again (once more) with out losing you bet when you aim to win two in a row.

2 singles before a serie of three or higher hit
0 singles before a serie of three or higher hit
3 singles before a serie of three or higher hit
4 ...
0
1
1
2
0
10
2

Here we have the option to divide progression into parts or different levels and Entering points can be after two strikes at 3 or above if some one would like to play higher unit values.
Another solution is to analys the periodic events to develop some kind of march.

This is how you calculate STDV and i make a chart of the variance with overrepresented events and underrepresented events.



The french word for STDV is Ecart

First you have to get the Absolute Ecart when you calculate.
So lets assume you have an sequence with 14 series alternating with two singles present.

Then you take 14 - 2 = 12

Now we want to get the statistical ecart so we continue with...

14 + 2 = 16

Now we take the sqr of 16 = 4

And finally we divide the absolute ecart whit the sqr

12 sqr 4 = 3,00

The Statistical Ecart 3,00

Quoteif you want another FREE strategy let me know and I will post.

Yes i would like you to post more free strategy, but they need to include more advance information and material, most members of this forum has much more experience then talking about three in a row.

Cheers






Jimske

Quote from: Stephen Tabone on June 18, 2017, 01:55:00 AM
Well then you seem to be the be all end all!  :bored:
You claim it does not work but then can't be baothered to test it! What then is the point of your post of not to try and have a pop at me!  :forbidden:
Pay attention.  I didn't claim it didn't work.  I'm skeptical.  Don't turn it aroound.  The onus is not on me to test and prove your method.  What's missing here is that YOU can't be bothered to test it!  Why?

You also avoid fair questions. 

Like why don't you send it to some capable person of your choosing and have it tested?

Like where did you get NOR from? and how much did you pay for it?

You see, as a vendor you are going to be held at a higher standard than guys who just have some ideas theynwant to kick around.

J




Sputnik


Just want to show you a slight better option using the old classical strategy.

Here is a old one, a reel classical for the even chances.
The principal of tracking is 1/3. You write down the result in lines of 3.

The bet selection is to catch series of 4. There is 2 patterns that we are going to use.
The first pattern: RBR BRB - this pattern alternate for 3 times and we will play that they will continue to do so for 4 times.  
The second pattern RRR BBB a serie of 3 and we will play that they continue to become 4 in a row.

BRR                          
RRR                                                   
BRR L                                             
BRB                                           
RBR w                  
BBB                
BBR W                                              
BBB          
BRB W            
BRR L                         
RBB                     
BBB                    
RBR L                                           
BRB W             
RBR                         
BBR W                      
BRR                                           
RRR                                
BBR L                  
BRB                   
BBB L                        
BRB W                                                  
BRR       
RBR                                     
RBB L       
BBR                                  
RRR               
RBR W                          
RRR L                    
RRR W               
RBB W       
RRB  
BBB             
BBR W               
BRR        
RBR             
BBB W       
BRR W      
RBB              
BBR             
BRR       
BRR       
RBR  
RRR L                   
RBB W                                
RBB              
BBB                 
BBB W                    
BRB               
RRR W            
RRB W                   
RRR              
RBR W      
BRB W                          
RRB  
BBR       
RRR        
BBB L                     
RBR                     
BBR W                                  
RBB  
BBB  
BRR W                     
BRB       
RBR W                   
RBR       
RBR L                    
BBB                
RBB L                   
RRR             
BRR L                    
RBR       
BRB W
RRB  
BBR               
RRB             
RBR       
BRB W             
RBB  
RRR        
BBR L       
BRB        
BBR L                  
RRR              
RBR W       
BBB              
RBB L
RRB              
RBB      
RRR             
RBR W       
BBB        
RBB L       
RBR        
RBR L              
BBR        
RBB
BBB         
BBR W      
RRR
RBB W
BBR  
RRB  

stephen tabone

Quote from: Jimske on June 18, 2017, 12:23:40 PM
Pay attention.  I didn't claim it didn't work.  I'm skeptical.  Don't turn it aroound.  The onus is not on me to test and prove your method.  What's missing here is that YOU can't be bothered to test it!  Why?

You also avoid fair questions. 

Like why don't you send it to some capable person of your choosing and have it tested?

Like where did you get NOR from? and how much did you pay for it?

You see, as a vendor you are going to be held at a higher standard than guys who just have some ideas theynwant to kick around.

J

I've answered your Q re NOR, and it does not work for me!
my strategy has been tested it works for those that are winning money from it. :nod:

stephen tabone

that's very interesting. For those that like following a run, to play the 4th it vital because 3 being a trigger is the trigger because the double zone is in-between zigzag and the likelihood of a run.

stephen tabone

playing like this using martingale would make more sense than what most people do when using martingale i.e. trying to break a run. The average number of run is 6 before most people start to try and break it though they will win many, the sting will come run of 12-17 and even more to wipe them out.

stephen tabone

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