08 HG Labby, 30hit/100.

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Offline PatternAnalys

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HG Labby, 30hit/100.
« on: March 26, 2020, 04:36:52 am »
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  • my hg,  O:-)
    will win 1u, if next 100,
    has =>30hit. >:D

    this is for academic purpose only,
    as unplayable in bm, ???
     due to high staking of nearly 200...if 30/100 materialise. :-[

    you may say,
    " less than 30hit may happen!", :annoy:
    but assured :nod:, you will never stumbled upon, in your lifetime!

    30/100 is worst, and  limit in bm.
    (believe it, take it or leave it)

    I will not bare all, >:D
    those understand,
    will of course ,
    post nothing here,  O:-)
    and those eager
    needs to do very hard thinking. :cheer:

    it is very simple,
    it is math correct, O:-)

    labby needs
    33.34%,to close.period.
    30/100 can't close.

    30/(33.34%)=89hand/spins,
     to close...

    now, a few members reading this,
    already shouting eureka!...
    and jumping very high ,
    till head nearly hit the ceiling!

    and a few already shouting...
    "Fool!!!! You opened the p...box!!!"

    Others newbies, may say "Jerk! You say NOTHING HERE!?"

    "Nothing?!"
    I already give you,
    one of my hg's clue.
    more to come...
    Please post your suggestions, ideas, or any question, all are welcome...


    Offline Albalaha

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    Re: HG Labby, 30hit/100.
    « Reply #1 on: March 26, 2020, 06:29:08 am »
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  • @Wong,
                 Increasing bets rapidly will win most cases till it kills itself losing all back plus more. You know that a basic labouchere wins in 35%(approx) win rate than 51%(required for a normal person to win). You want to win at 30% hit rate only or even lesser and have no restraints for how much you can bet? Just do a tweak. When you do normal labby and it stretches over six numbers, instead of adding left+right to bet, you do a simple tweak: Add the leftmost +the next number in right of the leftmost+rightmost number. You won't need even 30% hit rate then. Remember one vital thing, a ten step labby wins in only 10% hit rates but at times it will get exhausted and still lose. Hence, instead of winning all possible cases with pushing bets, make a strategy that goes mellow in the worst cases to lose minimal that can easily be recovered back further.
                 My latest work with labby that is some sort of HG in itself taught me big lessons.
    Never believe upon big bets alone.
    Do not push to win.
    Do not try to win the worst case while it is still the worst.
     Learn to face variance of all sorts and learn to survive even the unthinkable variance with grace.
    Make a strategy for all over play. Escaping variance doesn't help.
    and aboveall, one strategy that beats average or slight below average cases and survives the worst possible along.

    HG lies within yourself. Anyone getting what I got can create one. Play for the long run.
    Email: earnsumit@gmail.com - VIsit my blog: http://albalaha.lefora.com

    Offline PatternAnalys

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    Re: HG Labby, 30hit/100.
    « Reply #2 on: March 26, 2020, 11:39:39 am »
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  • Albalaha,
    Sir,
    Thanks for your valuable insight,
    appreciate them!

    Its true, that apart from
    betting LM &RM,
    we could also bet,
     three figures,
    albeit, horrendous staking,
    when extreme hit.

    Your advice ring truth,
    especially, stay low when
    deadly variance hit,
    as they said,
    you can't win... a match,
    by striking a KO blow,
     with a single punch...
    Please post your suggestions, ideas, or any question, all are welcome...

    Offline Albalaha

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    Re: HG Labby, 30hit/100.
    « Reply #3 on: March 28, 2020, 04:25:19 am »
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  • @Wong,
              You have lots of repeated questions and I got tired of repeating my answers. Playing for long run with world of uncertainties and a boxing match are quite different. A knockout punch may help one win a boxing match decisively but in gambling it could guarantee that a player get knocked out and finally leave bruised and wounded.
              Gambling is not about beating a 30/100 or 1/20 case, it could be far worse. Don't create new set of fallacies but learn the truth. I m tired of forums with no positivism and only rhetoric and fallacies. I think, I do not belong to these places. I have written enough. People are unwilling to change and enjoying losses or fictional plays. Let casinos prosper. It was rightly said : gambling and smoking are taxes on ignorance. 
    Email: earnsumit@gmail.com - VIsit my blog: http://albalaha.lefora.com

    Offline PatternAnalys

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    Re: HG Labby, 30hit/100.
    « Reply #4 on: March 28, 2020, 08:19:14 am »
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  • Albalaha,
    Sir,
    Thanks for your insights.
    I understand your view.

    Gambling or
     rather ,
    winning in gambling,
    simply mean,
    you win more seasons,
     than losing seasons.
    Whereas,
    try to keep your losses, and
    drawdowns
    as low possible,
    as not to lose your underwear!

    We need to have a strategy to
    minimise losses in extreme variance...when they hit
    Please post your suggestions, ideas, or any question, all are welcome...