Quote from: Razor on March 14, 2013, 11:50:03 AM
Yes Sam I agree with you on that.
Dispersion is the real killer of almost all systems.
And the only way to avoid it, is a better accuracy on the bets.

By the way I saw one of your video.s
You have a cool accent

Dispersion makes both win and loss, A RFH is when we bet the wrong side for long, the wheel is not aware of anything, it do not know what you are up to or not you are there.   In a very long run the 2.7% means a lot, but not for a short session. In Europe they have the HE at 1.3% for EC. That is for you to win 1000 most expose at least the same to the HE, Inside you can if lucky get 1000 betting  less than 30. A EC better expose more to the unfair odds due to lower payout.


If we win much the numbers we bet comes more, and other numbers less, the dispersion  make the winnings, and the fact the numbers not are equal in a not unlimited series is needed for creating a game like roulette.

""" In a very long run the 2.7% means a lot"""

I agree and this is why I mentioned it in my privious post.

Quote from: TwoCatSam on March 14, 2013, 11:45:54 AM
Suppose you had a wheel that could NOT produce five reds in a row.

Without supposing, it can't over 28  lol

Cheers

Drazen

Quote from: Drazen on March 14, 2013, 01:21:55 PM
Without supposing, it can't over 28  lol

Cheers

Drazen

Probability is about all spins in Monte Carlo in 110 years, so it is rather due!!!

Guys

It's an "exaggerample"......an exaggerated example.  It cannot happen.  It just lets you think in different ways.

Imagine:   RRRRB............repeating to infinity.  NEVER RRRRR.  Could you make money off that?

Mostly, I'm just bloviating!!  Pay me no mind......

Sam

Quote from: Ralph on March 14, 2013, 02:24:19 PM

Probability is about all spins in Monte Carlo in 110 years, so it is rather due!!!

Well in that case record is 26 becasue on August 18, 1913, at the casino in Monte Carlo, black came up a record twenty-six times in succession ... Casino make good money that night and unusual run enriched the Casino by some millions of francs becasue people starting doubling their bets thinking it MUST be opposite on the next spin... That is history fact.


I have tested dozens of millions of spins and I personaly haven't noticed more then 25 in a row on standard EC-s (on artifical ones I have seen more), although from Bayses published stats in the past it can be 28 I think..

 

Quote from: TwoCatSam on March 14, 2013, 04:12:48 PM
Guys

It's an "exaggerample"......an exaggerated example.  It cannot happen.  It just lets you think in different ways.

Imagine:   RRRRB............repeating to infinity.  NEVER RRRRR.  Could you make money off that?

Mostly, I'm just bloviating!!  Pay me no mind......

Sam

Well Sam there is something more to it if you want study or bet on some patterns

Anyhow, probability is not as straight forward as we might think.  Certain patterns are still more probable to show up before others..

But like I already see next question..  ,,How the hell will this bring me any money". Too bad nothing is so simple to exploit...


http://mathworld.wolfram.com/CoinTossing.html