Our members are dedicated to PASSION and PURPOSE without drama!

Can you win plus one unit and it overcome the attempt doing so ?

Started by Sputnik, March 18, 2013, 01:07:13 PM

Previous topic - Next topic

0 Members and 2 Guests are viewing this topic.

Sputnik

.
This is the test and rules ...
.
1) I bet twice at my first attack.
If i win i stop and are plus one unit, end of game.
If i lose my first bet, then i aim my second bet to break even.
.
2) Now if i don't succeed to win plus one unit or break even, then i am in the Big Hole (BH)
Then i will again try to break even, flat betting with the following MM ...
Daily Bankroll 200 Euro and Loss Limit 100 Euro ...
.
3) The test continues to place minimum 1000 placed ...

Sputnik

.
The first 20 sessions are intressting.
I only face the Big Hole once, negative expectation.
Total plus 13 units.
.
+0
+1
+0
+0
-2 BH +0
+1
+1
+1
+1
+1
+1
+0
+1
+1
+1
+1
+0
+1
+0
+1

Sputnik

.
I like the idea that the negative expectation or the beginning towards the big hole, is becoming you third attempt or 20% win goal ...
Kind of a reverse way to define the win goal and when you have to face the negative expectation ...
.
I base this idea upon the claim that most people should be ahead 70% of the time, it is a interesting statement from many different perspectives ...
.
This also define how the hit and run strategy could behave based upon does rules i apply.
Like a (every day i will sting like a bee and run like a rabbit) and only fight when i am force to do so ...