Thanks hgwen, I don't follow this thread with a lot of detail but your summarization helps me understand his MM.
J
J
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Show posts MenuQuote from: alrelax on June 16, 2019, 01:15:42 PMThanks Glen. You as well. But does this mean you apologize for keep writing stuff like the following on my chat? (I changed the color)
Happy Father's Day to all the positive and wonderful members here.
Do not lose hope in BetSelection, it will be positive and a great place once again real soon!
Have a great day! Alrelax/Glen.
Quote from: Bally6354 on May 29, 2019, 04:31:46 PMFirst Alrelax shoe almost a "homerun" shoe for me. So I'd say it was only a triple. But I'm not the kind of player that tries to "pounce" on shoes. Too many times my good wins get halved or nearly eliminated. I'm more of a grind player. I try not to play more than 2 or 3 shoes so I hit and run.
Thanks for posting up that Johno!
So although we can deduce that Baccarat is roughly a 50-50 game, there is a lot going on under the surface with all the different betting opportunities such as FLD, OLD etc...
Now obviously all these different bet selections can't be appearing all at the same time. Some of them could be missing for the majority of a shoe. Let's face it, things don't happen like they are supposed to! For if the law governing the long run were truly replicated over the short run, casino table games would have been extinct long ago!
Alrelax posted up this shoe on one of his most recent winning threads. On the face of things 30 Bankers vs 25 Players does not sound too extreme right?
[attachimg=1]
However there are three situations in this particular shoe where there is a short term discrepancy of 20 decisions involving a binary decision. The amount of short term disproportionate occurrence in this shoe was off the richter scale and it's no wonder the chip tray was half emptied.
As Craig Greiner states in his book ''The challenge of the game presents a unique paradox! The short run is unequitable to the long run. So when it comes to gaming relationships and probabilities, though the whole is still equal to the sum of its parts, the parts themselves are not simply abbreviated versions of the whole''
Now talking about gaming relationships, here is a shoe that you yourself posted around a week ago!
[attachimg=2]
I found this one interesting because of how after getting at least two Bankers, the next Player was only a single for the majority of the shoe. So there is a relationship forming between different bet selections here if you are able to see it and therefore the so called 'trick' in my opinion is how do you build your framework or arrange your marking so that you can spot/anticipate these occurrences before they are over. But if you can do it, then it allows you the luxury of using positive progressions like the G3M1 for example because you can be confident that a lot of your wins will come in clumps.
Quote from: Lungyeh on May 17, 2019, 12:50:25 AMThat's all well and good, Yungleh, except he contradicts himself and obfuscates on a regular basis never explaining or addressing fair questions. It's not a matter of disagreeing when there isn't much to disagree with. I for one, am happy to have a civil discussion or debate about specific ideas relating to the subject matter. I think some of his stuff is well accepted - MM, discipline, his 124 progression, etc. But let's be honest. He never answers a question when put to him.
Glen,
I appreciate and salute you for your dedicationto this forum amd its noble aims of educating baccarat players. The efforts you put in to record games played in the midst of real money betting is in itself a tremendous challenge. And the ?essays? (and I mean this in a most respectful way) is a greateffort and sacrifice to put your experience across. By and large these experiences as you narrated are really useful guide. Of course when you narrate in the volumes you have, there probably have been instances where the message was not interpreted the way you meant it to be or there may be situations you may have inadvertently contradicted yourself but circumstances were different but not fully explained. And then critics jump on it and said ? last time you said this now you say this ...?. I can only say that your pieces have been informative and very relevant as are contributions by some others.
Stay the course Glen. I just wish those who do not agree with you treat you with more decorum. I really don't know what's their problems. But sometimes you have been abrasive yourself without provocation. But I find your articles, long winded as some of them may be, to be informative and relevant for baccarat players to stay alive on the game!! God bless
Quote from: Lugi on May 12, 2019, 08:43:31 PMYou're dead wrong. Everything is about Glen.
Not everything is about you Glen.
Quote from: alrelax on April 30, 2019, 12:09:49 PMWhat I have done on this thread is to conduct a rudimentary analysis of Sputnik March from his explanations of the three different series and how one MIGHT interpret that to make actual bet selections. Instead of participating or adding to this discussion you have chosen to accuse me.
To sit here in front of the screen, post and answer within a short thread, short-concise-#1-5, etc., to state definitely how I bet select to win, is impossible to do. That would be a BeatTheCasino or Jay Silvo, etc., system.
I am sorry to state the above and it is certainly fuel for you to twist it a bit and find a way to post some sort of comment, that I have no clue how to play or I am bull poo-poo or something of the likes. Which of course you have the right to post.
Thank you, Alrelax/Glen.