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Holy Grail: Randomness can be beaten even in the long run-II

Started by Albalaha, April 25, 2020, 09:33:17 AM

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Kattila

Hi Albalaha, you remember my LW s strategys to avoid  sometimes
long  Ls  streaks......Still ok for me combined with good MM, up when win
and only if necesary,and reduce bets  when start to go down.
Must cut losses when possible , in special when long Ls streak.



In this your session i used  Levels each have  3 steps,
and   W  or L3 stop, wait virtual W (only after L3)
Even if i can t win every and each session,  many
sessions winners.
One example of possible bad  run:    W(TR) is  trigger

LLLLLW(TR)L1L2L3W(TR)L1L2 WIN L1L2L3 W(TR)L1L2L3 W(TR) L1L2L3.....ETC...
the losses  would be many times at the first Level(s) so no  big damage.


Now your session,

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Albalaha

@Kattila ,
         You said:
QuoteHi Albalaha, you remember my LW s strategys to avoid  sometimes
long  Ls  streaks......Still ok for me combined with good MM, up when win
and only if necesary,and reduce bets  when start to go down.
Must cut losses when possible , in special when long Ls streak.



In this your session i used  Levels each have  3 steps,
and   W  or L3 stop, wait virtual W (only after L3)
Even if i can t win every and each session,  many
sessions winners.

               Triggers and/or pauses don't help in real world. They can only prolong your wait time and bet time without giving you any real advantage, in the long run. When you see session like what I provided above, your approach may look very pragmatic while such sessions are rare. LLLLLLLLLLLWLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLW type of things could take millions of spins to show just once. We need to have "one key fits all" approach and not curve fitting thing. Going "pause" after first three losses is an age old formula to avoid a very long streak but in cases like LLLLWLLLWLLLLLLWLLWLLLWLLLLWLLLLLW you still got successive losses. A good MM is easier said than done. Tell me the best MM you ever used. You will get irreparable losses with that in a little bad session. You do not need extraordinary sessions to lose and your losses will not be at par with your wins in winning session.
                What we actually need is an approach that can sustain even 1 in a billion case. You can see a streak of 50 successive losses of an EC in one of my sessions. I not just sustained that but got at a net profit without needing "helpful cluster of wins" thereafter with Max bet=4 units only. Similarly I sustained a never witnessed 60/200 sessions playing all over and without any astronomical bet size or bankroll. I have yet to see -300 stop loss even with sessions with 5SD below mean or worse. I know, there can be a session that will breach -300 one day but given the probability to see one such session vs winning sessions, I should be able to play without any irreparable loss. That is my vision and approach.
Email: earnsumit@gmail.com - Visit my blog: http://albalaha.lefora.com
Can mentor a real, regular and serious player

Kattila

LLLLWLLLWLLLLLLWLLWLLLWLLLLWLLLLLW

Yes like i said that can hit sometimes , for that i use stop lose.
It all about lost sessions Vs  won sessions, and meanwhile  the
W sessions beats the losing ones that is what really matter.
And some bet selections are little better than others (like RB, OE ,HL)
if the base is on human factor (dealer).

Albalaha

Stop Loss limits your loss per session. It doesn't make you a winner. Further, any progression makes you lose good enough which can not be recovered with small wins. You can never predict what you are going to lose in a session. You can only limit your bankroll.
Email: earnsumit@gmail.com - Visit my blog: http://albalaha.lefora.com
Can mentor a real, regular and serious player

Kattila

None can predict what s next, and none progression  (including your) , betselection, MM,  can survive to the
very long run ( x xxx xxx) .

**You can never predict what you are going to lose in a session. You can only limit your bankroll.**

Not predict but , i know i will not lose more than my stop lose, and with the LW s strategys i do cut many
losses, if i don t use it  then many sessions would be much  worst.

See chart, if i play this session with or without  LWs( enter / exit points) it s the same final result?
Even if i lose the sesssion , it s limited lose.     So is not useless.
Play what is temporaly hot (keep update) , try avoid losses, use moderate progressions, that is
my way.

green .....enter point
black......exit point

Albalaha

I do not need to predict to win. I can play all over and finally come out winner even in the sessions as harsh as never happened earlier.

Money management makes the difference. I have yet to see any session that makes me surrender with -300 among millions of roulette and baccarat data I have. That is why I say that randomness could be beaten even in the long run.
Email: earnsumit@gmail.com - Visit my blog: http://albalaha.lefora.com
Can mentor a real, regular and serious player

Kattila

One question,
what is your base unit size .....0,01 ?  (online) . If so you have a 30.000 units bankroll, easy to not lose that .
If not , then good for you, go make some millions.

Albalaha

Quote from: Kattila on May 08, 2020, 03:28:44 PM
One question,
what is your base unit size .....0,01 ?  (online) . If so you have a 30.000 units bankroll, easy to not lose that .
If not , then good for you, go make some millions.

We need 300 units to handle most possible cases but being cautious start with 600 units. Unit size depends upon one's bankroll capacity and permitted table and bet limits. Theoretically casino earns 2.5 units in 100 bets. In the same manner expect upto 5 units net profit averagely per 100 bets betting an EC, sensibly. Now if someone plays with 1 cent bets, he should expect to win 25-50 cents a day max. Winning a million might then take 10,000 years only. If we raise our unit size to a respectable 10 Euros/USD, then we have a nice income per day: 250 to 500 euros a day. Thinking of a million capitalizing that could then be doable in a few years realistically but not overnight.
Email: earnsumit@gmail.com - Visit my blog: http://albalaha.lefora.com
Can mentor a real, regular and serious player

Kattila

ok   :thumbsup:

About  my example bad run   .....LLLLLW(TR)L1L2L3W(TR)L1L2 WIN L1L2L3 W(TR)L1L2L3 W(TR) L1L2L3.....ETC...
I have found the solution few years back,  it s  the betselection  and  i have many sessions without
even seen 3 Ls in row ( L1L2L3) and others  with only few L3 with no power to damage  the sessions.
Not tested long run(no skills) , tested  before play around 30 000 spins, then after play more than
20 000 spins still ok.

Albalaha

50K spins are nothing in terms of testing. If you think you will be ahead with what you have been doing, I would say Goodluck.
Email: earnsumit@gmail.com - Visit my blog: http://albalaha.lefora.com
Can mentor a real, regular and serious player

Albalaha

Encountered a very tough looking session, specially, in the beginning. First 50 trials were ultra tough and later no clumping or compensating wins but usual below average session. 128 Wins vs 175 losses. -2.23 SD overall. How many of you think of winning such sessions with a realistic bankroll? Worst -47, max bet= 6 units.
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Email: earnsumit@gmail.com - Visit my blog: http://albalaha.lefora.com
Can mentor a real, regular and serious player

sean

What's the overall profit in terms of units in the end?

Albalaha

Quote from: sean on May 26, 2020, 09:25:22 AM
What's the overall profit in terms of units in the end?

        Just a net profit from 1 to 4 units in all such extremely horrible sessions. These are no ordinary ones. In an average session of 100 trials, I can fetch upto 25 units easily with the same methodology. These sessions can not be beaten flat nor by any playable martingale or any published MM idea ever. If you have ever heard of any MM that can handle these sessions with a reasonable bankroll and max bet units, please let us all know.
Email: earnsumit@gmail.com - Visit my blog: http://albalaha.lefora.com
Can mentor a real, regular and serious player

Albalaha

Ladies and gentlemen! Presenting a session directly from hell which I believe to be unheard and unseen forever. First 100 trials have only 16 wins. Another super bad stretch in the middle of the session of 50 trials. Overall 245 Wins vs 345 Losses. It won with 6 units max bet, Worst balance=-100. No compensatory or clumping wins.

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Email: earnsumit@gmail.com - Visit my blog: http://albalaha.lefora.com
Can mentor a real, regular and serious player

sean

Hi Albalaha, can you kindly show us the number of units gained/loss during each bet/hand?