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Messages - sean

#1
Can you share with us how to design a good MM? The thinking processes behind your design, so that it can start us thinking as well.
#2
Hi. What's your win in units for this stretch?

Quote from: Albalaha on April 30, 2021, 08:07:31 AM
SESSION#2: SUPERHARSH. FIRST 100 DECISIONS HAS ONLY 29 WINS AND OVERALL 133 LOSSES VS 79 WINS
I USED MAX BET 12 TO BEAT IT.

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#3
Hi Albalaha,

For the 6 units max bet session, what is the

Max drawdown?
How many times did u bet 6 units (i.e. How many times did u place the max bet?)
Can you show at which bets the 6 units were placed?
What was the net profit in terms of units?


For the 12 units max bet session, what is the

Max drawdown?
How many times did u bet 12 units (i.e. How many times did u place the max bet?)
Can you show at which bets the 12 units were placed?
What was the net profit in terms of units?

Thank you.
#4
Hi Albalaha, is the sentence (in red) a key consideration when you design the MM? Are there any tips/hints to leverage on this when we design MM? Thank you for your guidance.

Quote from: Albalaha on May 17, 2020, 05:26:00 PM
Resuming my post:
                People lose principally due to ignorance of following things:
             1. Casino has virtually unlimited chips and time to counter a player
           
             2. Casino has that theoretical edge

             3. All progressions that seem to help players are rather killing them faster

              4. Randomness i.e. uncertainty could bring unbeatable variance, momentarily enough to kill any money management.

           Now, how a player can have edge over casinos:
             


             1. Awareness instead of ignorance of all these

             2. Control over emotions as to when to bet, when not and how much to bet. When to call off.

             3. Trying to swim against the current could kill even the best swimmers. When variance is at its peak, you either need to
              mellow your attack instead of accelerating that or wait for tide to go.

             4. One must know that 90% of the wins are likely in 1.5x of break even spread i.e. within first three bets of an EC. Hence
              pushing ahead too much is a foolish approach.


            5. All old school progressions seem to be made to help casinos than players. They either go too high in bets (marty, labby, fibo
            etc) or are not meant to win in adverse cases with even infinite chips (e.g. oscar's grind or opposite). Positive progressions are
            even more foolish as they expect successive wins or clumping wins to win a profit. Not realistic and all proven failures in
            simulations. So, unless sure of having a bulletproof MM, opt flat betting and survive for 4,000 bets with 100 chips. Enjoy comps.
             Have fun in casinos at least harm possible.

            6. Lack of simulation skills: It is the biggest killer. Most of the system/strategy maker or follower fail to understand that their
                way is set to lose only. They are either ignorant or they self hypnotise themselves that they can win with a proven failure idea
            too as they had some success with it. You can have success with a ten step marty for a few thousands bets too but ultimately, it
            will be fatal. Improve this area and you can have some hope.

           7. Do not expect to earn from a clever trigger or betselection alone in casino games. There is none, practically. Play a static bet
             or switch that for any reason, will not help you. Waiting for any any trigger will only waste your time and will offer same set of
             volatility still as playing all over.

More later...............

#5
Hi Albalaha, can i know your max bet, max drawdown and number of units won for this session?

If you realised, I have been asking the same questions for all the different horror sessions u posted. I have been trying to use your MM as a benchmark for my personal MM.

Quote from: Albalaha on May 24, 2020, 03:48:18 AM
Hmm, 23 Wins for Player within 58 trials, 7 Push(Ties) and 28 Bankers. If someone is playing Banker he has 28/51, hence winning flat bet. For Players bettors like me, it is not so tough still with any good MM. As I said many times, trying to win flat will not work even for Banker bet in the long run as Banker will win more and lose less but still house fees will override that little advantage and make that a disadvantage instead.
                      If I start playing the Player bet since beginning, I will get a net profit in the second hand itself but let's start from hand #3. In W/L, it will look like:

           It will finish in a positive balance my way with Player bet too. It is far from being a horrible session.

#6
Hi, of course I wasn't expecting you to tell me how you bet. That will be unreasonable. I was curious about how the size of each bet changes over time (i.e. When u hit max bet). I can only see how the bankroll changes over time but is more interested in how the size of each bet changes over time.

Another question is that you have been posting multiple horrible sessions but the method used to overcome those sessions are exactly the same or have your method improvised over time? I noticed that some supposedly easier sessions have higher max bet while the tougher ones have lower max bet.
#7
Hi Albalaha, can you kindly show us the number of units gained/loss during each bet/hand?
#8
What's the overall profit in terms of units in the end?
#9
How many units do you win with a session like this?

Quote from: Albalaha on May 04, 2020, 05:18:06 AM
It was tough from #105 and it took 621 bets to beat it with a net profit thereafter. Horrible losses all over: 268 Wins vs 355 Losses
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#10
Do you mean that you increase the value of one unit after your mini stop loss?

Quote from: Albalaha on May 04, 2020, 09:46:05 AM
Mini Stop loss stops my progression for a win target. I try to earn ahead afresh than pushing to win back of the lost sum of MSL. Pushing to win too bad times give us irreparable loss. It is a complex methodology to avoid the worst outcomes, in any eventuality. Thos playing a 10 step martingale can't even comprehend this even slightly.
#11
what do you do after each mini stop loss? do u consider it as a loss or do you include the losses (from the mini stop loss) as part of subsequent bets for recovery?

Quote from: Albalaha on May 04, 2020, 03:32:43 AM
Mini Stop losses could be defined as per your comfort level. I define it as 5 more losses than wins. For example LLLWWLLLLLLLLL
here LLLWWLLLLLLLLL  red colored area defines an MSL for me. Size of unit or count may vary depending upon your progression.
#12
do you mean that in the first 621 bets, you are in negative units and only reaches positive units after bet 621?

what was the net profit in units after bet 621?
#13
Hi Albalaha,

You recommend a bankroll of 300/600units

What is the number of units that you recommend as mini stop losses?
#14
For this particular session that took 600 spins, how many units did u win?

How many mini stop losses were there?


Quote from: Albalaha on April 29, 2020, 12:28:38 PM
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#15
What's the maximum drawdown for the session above?