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Messages - split-monster

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Actuals/Hands / Re: Dublinbet baccarat shoes
« on: September 29, 2014, 12:52:49 pm »
Shoe 3.

8/10 losses on the right hand side.

People will think you are crazy in the Casino when you are celebrating another loss.

By tracking the left hand side and the right hand side, you are really allowing for any short term variance to show up. Working in pairs also naturally helps as you have 4 pairs as opposed to just two results (Banker or Player) in a normal game.

Straight-up / Re: Straights and trends
« on: September 28, 2014, 08:16:09 pm »
Have a look at this short video from 3min 30sec in and then ask yourself if the dealer can hit any number they like. It may have been possible years ago to hit sections on the older wheels with tall frets. But I couldn't imagine any dealers having the skill to do it today on these new low profile wheels.

« on: September 28, 2014, 05:57:07 pm »
Frankly speaking, it's dissapointing that a core group of 50-60 users who log in frequently can't raise $50 to pay for another years domain costs.

I admire guys like Vic, Esoito and ADulay who give their valuable time so we can enjoy sharing our ideas and reading what's new.

Am I wrong in saying that at the very least it has to be worth the price of a pint at least once a year.   :rose:

Baccarat Forum / Re: Intervals
« on: September 28, 2014, 12:34:53 pm »
Here is how it works with the dozens.

There are 9 pairs.

1-1 = 1.
1-2 = 2.
1-3 = 3.
2-1 = 4.
2-2 = 5.
2-3 = 6.
3-1 = 7.
3-2 = 8.
3-3 = 9.

Now going back to the e.c's...remember that if RR was the missing pair, that then leaves RB, BB and BR. So I would play BB knowing that one of the results of the next pair would be B as long as the RR stayed missing.

So how about the dozens?

If 1-1 is missing. It then has to appear as either (2-2) (3-2) (2-3) (3-3) if no 1 continues to be absent in both the first and second result of the pair.

Here is the full list.

1-1. (2-2) (3-2) (2-3) (3-3)
1-2. (2-1) (3-1) (2-3) (3-3)
1-3. (2-1) (3-1) (2-2) (3-2)

2-1. (1-2) (3-2) (1-3) (3-3)
2-2. (1-1) (3-1) (1-3) (3-3)
2-3. (1-1) (3-1) (1-2) (3-2)

3-1. (1-2) (2-2) (1-3) (2-3)
3-2. (1-1) (2-1) (1-3) (2-3)
3-3. (1-1) (2-1) (1-2) (2-2)

Here is one type of bet you can make.

Looking at line 5 in the file I attatched in the above post. You can see that dozens 1,2,3 have all come out as the first result in the pairs. However only dozens 1,2 have come out as the second result of the pair. So this just leaves dozen 3 as the missing dozen. So you would bet here dozens 1,2 to appear as the second result of the pair. There were 5 wins of 1 unit before dozen 3 appeared as the second result of the pair. Then dozen 2 became the missing dozen on the first result of the pairs. So you would now bet dozens 1,3 to appear as the first result of the pair. Another 2 wins followed here.

Baccarat Forum / Re: Intervals
« on: September 27, 2014, 11:59:27 pm »
Here it is a bit further on.

Baccarat Forum / Re: Intervals
« on: September 27, 2014, 11:41:55 pm »
Now here is the whole idea of the Intervals transposed over to the dozens.

Yes, I know what some of you are thinking. [smiley]cps/suicide.gif[/smiley]

Can you figure it out?

Gambling Philosophy / Re: Strikes
« on: September 27, 2014, 07:44:03 pm »
Excuse my ignorance! What do you mean by strikes Sputnik?


Baccarat Forum / Re: Intervals
« on: September 27, 2014, 07:42:47 pm »
Here is a longer example:

BB missing pair. Play RR.

B (bet 1. lose -1)
B (bet 2. lose -2) total loss -3.

RB missing pair. Play BR.

B (bet 2. lose -2) total loss -5.
R (bet 4. lose -4) total loss -9.

RR missing pair. Play BB.

R (bet 3. lose -3) total loss -12.
R (bet 6. lose -6) total loss -18.

BR missing pair. Play RB.

R (bet 4. win +4) total loss -14. don’t play for second result. Stay at same level.

BR still missing pair. Play RB.

B (bet 4. lose -4) total loss -18.
B (bet 8. win +8) total loss -10.

BR still missing pair. Play RB.

B (bet 5. lose -5) total loss -15.
B (bet 10. win +10) total loss -5.

BR still missing pair. Play RB.

R (bet 6. win +6) total +1. Reset or carry on.

There were 8 losses and 4 wins here for a total of +1.

I always kind of liked the ‘foolproof’ method. This modified version for the missing pairs doesn’t look too shabby. Time will tell I suppose.

Baccarat Forum / Re: Intervals
« on: September 27, 2014, 06:47:20 pm »
Another idea regarding the 'foolproof' MM which may work out better than the above is just to concentrate on the missing pair.

Using a betting sequence like the following..

8/16 etc..


BB missing. So I am betting for RR.

B (bet 1 here) lost -1.
B (bet 2 here) lost -2. Total loss -3.

Now say RB is missing. So I bet BR.

R (bet 2 here) lost -2. Total loss -5.
R (bet 4 here) won +4. Total loss -1.

Now of course RB is still missing. So I bet for BR again.

R (bet 3 here) lost -3. Total loss -4.
R (bet 6 here) won +6. Total +2. Stop here and reset if you like or carry on.

I like this idea better than the two I gave above in the previous post. The missing pair is more likely to stay missing than getting a repeating X.

If you win the first bet in the pair, you don't need to bet for the second result. You could even then stay at the same level in the MM.

I will test some more with this one.

Baccarat Forum / Re: Intervals
« on: September 27, 2014, 05:39:40 pm »
Thanks Nick,

 There are a few different ideas I have had regarding these intervals.

One area that looks ripe for attacking is to use parlays.

Quite often I see running down one column something like...


Keeping the interval to 1 makes 2 units profit or 3 units if an X follows straight after another X.

Assuming you started betting after seeing X, 1, X above, you would have the following.

X  +3
1  -1
X  +3
1  -1
X  +3
1  -1
2  -1

So 5 units profit. Tracking across all three e.c's may throw up some nice runs.

What progressions to use?

Star instantly comes to mind.

Another one would be a kind of modified 'foolproof' MM. That's the one by Stetson Bailey where you just keep raising a unit regardless of a win or loss. However there is no need to be so aggressive when betting parlays. So I thought about something like 1,1,1 2,2,2 3,3,3 etc or maybe even 1,1 2,2 3,3 and so on.

All just ideas for the melting pot really.

Actuals/Hands / Re: Dublinbet baccarat shoes
« on: September 26, 2014, 08:46:40 pm »
The second of Albalaha's Shoes.

This one was a corker as well. Losses at the front of the shoe on the Left Hand side with groups 3 and 4 showing. Then Losses at the back of the shoe on the Right Hand side.

In all my testing so far, playing for Losses is going better than playing for Wins. Now if I was playing for real money and only betting for the Wins. I would be pulling my hair out by now.

Actuals/Hands / Re: Dublinbet baccarat shoes
« on: September 25, 2014, 11:11:32 pm »
Thanks for posting up these shoes Albalaha.

 I am going to test my 'intervals' strategy on them. The first one was pretty good.

No BB or LL and LW for a good portion of the Shoe. I am starting to like the look of this Baccarat game. [smiley]aes/money.png[/smiley]

The only problem with Dublinbet like ADulay says is that they deal as though they have a plane to catch or something.

Blackjack Forum / Re: Backed off from card counting video (LoL)
« on: September 25, 2014, 03:27:24 pm »

[As an aside I was amazed at the camera work. How on earth was that so clear despite the camera being concealed? And how was it concealed so effectively and without obvious detection?]

All you need nowadays is a pair of these. There are a few guys/gals on youtube who record their holidays and make a kind of trip report with these. They do a good job.

Baccarat Forum / Re: Intervals
« on: September 25, 2014, 03:10:11 pm »
I like the idea of playing this on Baccarat as opposed to a continuously spinning roulette wheel with the zero added on. It should roughly produce around 10-15 bets per shoe. The break in between shoes is a good time to think about any adjustments that may need making with regards to MM. It's certainly not something I could play online because of the speed of some of the baccarat games.

I think that's me done with this one. Not saying it's the HG or anything like that, but I think it's a winner with some disciplne to not go chasing bets and to just let the runs come by themself.

Thanks for reading and for all the comments and suggestions.

Baccarat Forum / Re: Intervals
« on: September 25, 2014, 02:40:42 pm »
Shoe 4 was pretty similar to Shoe 3. A lot of Losses on the Right Hand side.

Shoe 5 was a belter.

The Win Loss groups came out as follows...

4,2,2,4,4,4,4,4,2,2,1,3.  Eight consecutive wins on the Right Hand side.

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