Good to know the cleanest versions of shots from Fix has been under my nose forever.  For on the way to the house...  a toast to the curious, but shy. 

I will make a point to asking a bunch tonight why they are 1st rulers.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=x8ZSIa6bmDs&t=1412s

A thoroughly shuffled (preferably with Shuffle Master or equivalent) and cut baccarat shoe is like a fine piece of jade, a diamond, or a snowflake.  You will never find one that is the exactly the same, but very similar.  Bank cut, Player cut, high payout bet win/ animal cut, or non-trending.  Most experienced players have seen everything and will see something new every night.  It is more effective to align with what the baccarat shoe is showing than counter it.

I do best when I have a good 'The party is over' mindset or 'It's about to F us' mindset to balance and not get in too heavy or too late or be too aggressive.  That is when looking at first bet.  If you get up 1, 2, 3... then it should warrant a different view on risk/ reward.   But every player has missed the boat a million times.  Big boats... just sitting on the shore watching the boat sail around the bay.

A recent shoe at a stadium table was literally close to forever on jumping with one break.  I never hopped on.  I would check on go all around to all the other tables in that section, go all around to the tables in another section and come back - still jumping.  One bet on jumping and then a check counter bet back to maintain the jumping shoe trend and it would have been like 13-1.  I joked about what I had done with a few other players that were on it the next night.

That is where other players come in.  Effective leverage of the wisdom of the crowd ganging up on a hot shoe.


'2) stop the "aura" influence at the table'
That is why I love, love, love playing at the mini tables - especially lined up with positive energy players that are more senior in their years.  Less show, more go, but more importantly counter view vs. bad group think.  It is easy to think bigger stakes players are better, but one can find hard strikers at any bet size.
Bigger table sections are always alluring because there is more money on the wood on average, but many times it is like being on the Titanic.

'How can what happen previously in the shoe dictate what will or won't happen.'
I think of each part of the game as an animal. Bank is an animal that can get angry and shoe power/ revenge.  Player is an animal that can get angry and show power/ revenge.  Animals (Dragon/ Panda, etc.) come out to play or are no where to be found.  Contrary to what the _hithouse Dark Wizard, his Dark Riders, and math bro's think, when something in baccarat starts trending it has the possibility of a remarkable trend.  At times you can feel it.  Last night there was a shoe that was 2 max Player except one 3 in a row where the 3rd was a Panda.  One of so many things that are hard to believe that happen all of the time.  Much better examples are everywhere.

Many would agree that a strong Bank shoe trend with 1 Player breaking it and then more Bank is the best trend possible.  Same but with Player dominating for skilled players.  A long Bank Dragon is Bank showing a lot of power and Player sucks on the 2 cards, and sucks on any 3rd card.  Player literally can not get a break.  A lot of low count first 2 cards for Player and 3rd card reduces with Bank showing high first 2 cards and getting lucky 3rd cards equate to a long Bank Dragon.  Then all of sudden when Player is on the ropes, party is over and it might put up a 3 or 4 card run down that counters.  I have seen a player blow their whole night which was rock star by repeatedly placing on Bank huge in the face of a Player move of just 3 or 4.

This is why you see hot tables go empty.  Players on average think that the good run has ended and it is about to get a lot more difficult.

If it didn't require work, skill, max effort, a lot of risk, and was easy as anything, I would be in Busan calling it in from whatever is today's successor to Fix:

I look more and more at this concept everyday:

Easy Panda vs. Hard Dragon:
https://betselection.cc/baccarat-forum/easy-panda-vs-hard-dragon/msg52114/#msg52114


Given a bank roll, buy-in(s), targets and limits or none of any of those, typically if a player is playing strong and tight they can make a level of basic win within the first couple hours.  Is it good enough or not?  Also, no one cares.  They do not care if you clip a huge win(s) and they do not care if you walk in and get smoked by hitting your stop very fast.  Any experienced player has seen everything so we can only control our discipline, learning curve and approach to the game.  Holding a stop point and discipline is victory.  Take a L and making it a monster L is the worst.

Last night I scored a run of 4-5 losses in a row after being up from out of the gates.  Instead of staying in the pocket at one table and crouching tiger into a hand that looked good, I started jumping around to other tables to catch hands that looked good.  When you jump around you don't have the inside look at what has been happening over the past 3-10 hands, etc.  I also went to train and not play, and I played.  I also started playing with the intent of betting no high payout bets, and took win off high payout bet wins early as I started playing high payout bets almost right away.  That is what the shoe was giving though.  That is one way to chalk up a W...

A baccarat shoe will have sections of certain trends and characteristics.  The stronger the trend, the longer and more consistently it lasts before breaks(s).  We can only align with the party and catch it before we are late to the party.  The best baccarat can offer are power Bank and power Player formations, but there are so many like 2's, jumping shoe, etc.  and then trends in the derived roads.

Too bad so many players do not get on-line and are observing The Fire Rule of Baccarat.  FING HELL.  I LITERALLY SEE SOME OF THE SAME PLAYERS I HAVE SEEN FOR YEARS EVERY TIME.  EVERY TIME I PLAY, THEY ARE THERE.   And everyone knows everyone from players to the most junior on staff to the most senior.  Baccarat players need to do a much better job of ganging up more formally and in a more organized way so you would think it would happen on-line at least.  A lot of players all around the world 24-7.

The First Rule of Baccarat:
https://betselection.cc/baccarat-forum/the-first-rule-about-baccarat-is/


The best #1 advice I would say which I am looking at as well is to become a social or 'sosh'.   Players will get on a baccarat shoe that is hot for a reason.  You can see it on the floor all the time.  Watch for those tables and get on it fast.  It only takes one win to have a worst case break even in a flat betting strategy.  I have stayed away from hot tables a billion times as every player has because we think we missed the party.  The party may not be over.  This is a much more viable approach than committing to work through any baccarat shoe no matter how difficult.

Sosh:  I'll be at the scene, but 'I am the scene.'  approach.



#2 - training.  Commit to training on-line, with a real setup away from the house, with zero unit size at the house, and with xiao xiao unit size at the house.  Professionals train.

Baccarat at Casino Lisboa in Casino Tycoon II... grand tables. - I knew it would come around. 

Screening straight Macau... Casino Tycoon with Andy Lau.

Sic bo... xiao xiao.




then on to Casino Tycoon II.

- Make big bank outside.
- Bring big bank inside.
- Play as strong and tight as you can inside, and make adjustments.  Bet size is an important adjustment where you push your play through situations.  I can not believe how we would play this game with serious 7 or 8 figures in the bank.  Then commensurate stupidity comes more by choice than necessity.

As mentioned testing will illustrate performance results as described, but we should be prepared for storms of all sizes including perfect storms.  A quality house typically won't care what a player does in terms of bet selection OR size and when as long as limits or agreed upon limits are maintained.  Last night I spent some time walking through a strategy that a dealer sees players doing where they load up on negative progression intentionally. If you are a tight player with strong skills, you could probably do it successfully, but there may be times where you stop out.  Steep enough negative progression can hit limits quickly.

With thousands of hours of play with some of the best of the best, I swear to F I have zero idea what some on here are talking about.  A baccarat shoe is unique in it's own way, yet contains a series of familiar segments that on average tend to play out one way more than another and may be found inside many other shoes.  You could simulate that through infinity time and then just be playing a baccarat shoe where that formation or series of formations all break the other way versus what simulations advise.

Quote from: Babu on February 24, 2018, 09:10:07 PM
I see nothing much has changed on this forum.

You violated a basic rule of the house and played with another player?  Thanks for sharing.

The fact of the matter is that the first rule of baccarat is don't talk about baccarat, and this site was down for months.

Thank you for posting!  There are players and those that don't play.

A good number of players that have big ranges in their bet size seem to do well.  Very interesting to watch.

No look on a hand:
Free hand or xiao xiao.

Confidence:
$200 - $1,000 range.

Strong Confidence:
Several thousand on up.

Lots of xiao xiao...

Enough:
Time to jet.


Further proof that as many post, baccarat is not an IF THEN EQUALS world is that the house will take down this type of action 24/ 7.

Yes.  Once of the foundations of risk ventures is the strategy to more gains into less risky assets.  And it pays for many to put hard techniques in place to reinforce this.

Option A:
Player with $100 unit size wins $10,000 over several sessions, and steps up unit size only to lose all the gains back in subsequent session(s).

Option B:
Player with $100 unit size wins $10,000 over several sessions, and takes the gains and puts them into a range of the things you mentioned.

#2; 'Descending into the canyon' is the most important aspect of the game as a rough start typically moves a player into the negative.  Players often start to increase their bet size in a deficit which can quickly return them to zero or very likely increase the negative position.  Subsequent to that, even when players tighten up their performance and start to win back it becomes much more difficult.

There are so many dynamics at work, but I have often had sessions where I am good enough close to zero only to slip back down with a series of losses and get right back into the lower range of the negative on the session.

Baccarat players 5 through 100,000 chime in with no comment.  Maybe everyone is curious, but shy. 

Maybe you should wear a NASA shirt when you play.  I found a good one.

Thanks!  I just installed Reedy so now my reading will skyrocket.  It can read internet pages or copied in text, etc. out loud.