I guess that the above WL distributions won't make many acute players to lose, factors why this should be accomplished were widely described in my pages.

Our algorithms move around a sequential multistep on/off action, always based upon a given random walk.

1) Singles vs streaks: most distributions move around one or two singled distributions, an interesting part of total shoes dealt won't provide single sequences greater than two. Anyway one/two single situations are more likely to come out clustered than isolated.

2) When a single pattern surpasses the two cutoff clustered value, at the next opportunity we'll play toward a single/double pattern happening. In case of loss we'll wait for another single to show up before betting again toward one/two singled events.

3) Any streak will belong to 2, 3, 4 or higher class, but since the higher class is somewhat restricted in its apparition, 2/3 and 3/4 classes will more likely form clustered events unless the higher streaks are intertwined by long chopping sequences.

4) No matter how streaky is the actual shoe, either we'll win at single/double single sequences or  by assessing the average streak classes clustered distribution.

5) If the shoe presents many chopping events surpassing the 1/2 cutoff value and streaks won't belong to 2s or 3s, we do not have triggers to rely upon.         
Even if this possibility is the less likely to happen,  it do need further comments.

as.

What is a "pre-launch" sale and how many can they have before the actual "launch" price comes into play?

Nine pre-launches sounds a bit odd, but then my understanding of the entire endeavor is miniscule.

AD

We had a GREAT few shoes!  Simply fantastic indeed!  Snagged some pictures and will post later today.

You know, the 3 of us playing felt it in our chests at times, hard to explain the feeling, you would have had to been there to really understand the way we played AND WON! 

Looking back a day now, our whole bodies vibrated, but we totally respected the shoe and our winnings.  Camaraderie was strong and we milked it to the max.

The first batch of the prelaunch sale started with the price $0.001. Now, in the 9th prelaunch sales batch it is already at $0.005. It is set to launch with a price of $0.08. I just Target this launch price for now. I recommend taking a plunge with what you can afford to spend on a leisure.

I realize most of have read this story........but I could not resist posting again in case spme of you haven't read about it.....................has to be my favorite story of the decade.:


https://www.cnn.com/2024/04/18/world/video/brazil-bank-dead-man-tell-fst-041812aseg3-cnni-world-fast?dicbo=v2-gvEhShs&hpt=ob_blogfooterold

Myself and a couple others decided to do something a bit out of the ordinary today. 

We pulled out before 5a.m., and went to a nice spot down by a lake on a road we can continue down for the casino we eventually desire to wind up at later today.

We brought our breakfast and will discuss our thoughts and ideas as well for the sessions we will be engaging in.  Watch the sunrise and make some 'good time' life observations. 

Here are some pictures from a little bit ago. 

Will post pictures of the score boards if possible after the play.

Another interesting crypto adventure:

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/crypto-trader-110-million-manipulation-193526849.html

Answer: Yes.

If certain random walks will produce a slight superior number of streaky shoes than average, the single probability is somewhat slight diminished, mostly as one side could be "singled" oriented for quite long time (due to the asymmetrical issues) but the other one tends to form more streaks than average (so kind of denying a back-to-back single distribution at both sides).

Since itlr almost everything will equalize, in order to restrict at most the negative variance an important tool to take care of will be to utilize the "clustering" effect.
Meaning that slight less likely (long) chopping sequences someway must balance those more probable shoes where singles come out isolated or by couples.
So when a long chopping sequence had shown up, we should be way less interested to make a bet at the future trigger (single), on the contrary isolated and coupled singles should entice us to make  more bets. 

Here a real shoes sample where isolated and double single patterns = W (+1) VS superior single patterns = L (-3):

- LLWLW

- WWWLWW

- WWWWWWWL

- WWWWWLW

- WLLLLW

- WWWWWL

- WLLWWWL

- WLWWWWWW

- LWWLW

- WLWLW

- LLWW

- WLLWWWWW

- LWWWWWW

- WLWLLW

- WWWWWWW

- WWLWWWWW

- WWWWWWWL

- LLWWWW

- WWWW

- WWWWLWWW

- WWWWWLW

- WWLWWW

- LLWLW(-1)

- WWLLWWW

- WLWW

- WWLWLW

- WWWWWLW

- WLWWWL

- WLWWWWWW

- WLWWLWW

- WWLWWWWL

- WWWWWWWW

- LWWWWWWL

- LWWWLWWWL

- WWWWLWWWW

- WWWWWW

- LWWWWWWWW

- WLLW

- WWWWWW

- LWWWLWW

- WWWWWWWW

- LLLWWL

- WLWLWWWW

- WWLLWW

- WWWLWW

- WWWWLWW

- WWWWWL

- WLWWWLWWWW

- WWWWLWW

- LWWWWWWLWW

- WL

- W(-1)

- WLWLWL

- LWWWLW

- WWLLWWL

- WLLWW

- WWWWLW

- LLWWWWL

- WWWWWWWL

- WWWWLW

- WWWWWW

- LLW

- WLWWLWL

- WWWLW

- WLWWWWW

- LWWWWLWWW

- LLWWW

- WWWLWW

- WWWWWWLWWWW

- WWWL

- WWWLWW

- WWWWWW

- LWWWWWL

- WWLWWLWW

- WWWWWL

- WWLWWWW

- LLWWWWWL(-1)

- WWLLWL

- WWWLWLWWW

- LLWWWW

- WWWLW

- LWWWLL

- WWWWWLWWWWW

- WWWWLW

- WLWLWWW

- WWWWWWL

- WWWWWWL

- WWLWWL

- WWWWW

- WWWL

- WLLWWWW

- WWWWWWL

- LLLLL

- WWWWWLWWW

- LWWW

- WWWLLW

- WWWLWW

- WWWWL

- WWWWWW

- WWLWLL

- WWWWLWLW

- WWWWWW

- WWWWWWWW(-1)

- WWWWWLWW

- WWWWWWW

- WWWLWL

- WWWW

- WWLWLW

- WLWW

- WLWWWLWW

- WWWWLLLLW

- LLLWWLW

- WWWLWLL

- WLWWW

- WLWWLWWLW

- LLLLLWWW

- LWWWWWL

- WWWWWWL

- WWWWW

- WWWWWWW

- LWWWWW

- WWWWWW

- WLWWLWWW

- LWWLWL

- WWLWWW

- WWWWLW

- WWWW

- LWLWW

- LLLW

- WWWWL(-1)

- WWWWW

- WWWWWWLLW

- WWLLWWLWW

- LWWWWLWW

- LWWWWWLW

- LWWWWL

- LWWWWWWL

- WWWL (18632)

as.

After 5 resolved hands are dealt and assuming a perfect 50/50 A/B probability, only two hopping sequences are expected: ABABA and BABAB.
At both such successions either A and B come out clustered 'isolated', that is no streak happened at both sides.

In the remaining 30 out of 32 possibilities, A or B singled outcomes can only come out: (notice that eight patterns won't show singled A/B hands)

a) One time 12 times;

b) Two times 8 times;

c) Three times 2 times.

More specifically and considering ALL possible 32 patterns, the same A or B hand show up clustered just at six patterns (ABABA, BABAB, ABABB, BABAA, ABBAB and BAABA).

Obviously that doesn't mean that there's an advantage by betting toward a same A or B scenario to be clustered isolated, just knowing that by taking care of multiple 5 hands samples, a binomial probability produces such distributions.

Nonetheless, baccarat is not a coin flip game, any hand is not completely independent from the previous one(s) and finally one side is math more probable than the other one.
So the question is: Do we have tools to find out a possible factor capable to amplify the difficulty to get clustered isolated spots at BOTH sides?

More later

as.

Polarization of some random walks

Mathematicians and many gambling experts have demonstrated that either each baccarat hand dealt is a new (undetectable) hand and/or that many known systems have no possibility to overcome and invert the HE.

Whereas the first argument is completely false, it's correct to state that known systems (based upon i.dioti.c math assumptions) have no one possibility to win itlr.

We can't win at a math EV- game by using math tools, but we might win by disputing the perfect randomness of the shoes dealt, that is proving that NOT every hand is a new hand completely unrelated to the previous one(s).

Of course such unrandomness will present itself by different levels, many times difficultly to be detected (or getting too significant levels to be grasped) but sure as hell itlr the so called 50/50 (coin flip) proposition with all the related statistical consequences will go right down the toilet.

A paradoxical finding is that more efforts are made to provide "random" shoes, better will be our probability to get an urn getting a close than average or greater than average R/W balls ratio.
The reason is because more key cards are dispersed, higher will be the probability to get detectable patterns having a superior likelihood to show up clustered at some point.

Such supposedly (verified) propensity could be ascertained by classifying the streaks lenght by merging two adjacent streak classes: We've seen to take care of 2s and 3s vs superior streaks or 3s and 4s vs superior streaks.

We know that in an interesting portion of total shoes dealt, 5/5+ streaks do not show up (especially whenever a given random walk is acting), so giving us a kind of "frerolling", meaning that we can't lose a dime in the process.
Counterpart losing situations may come out when low value streaks show up as isolated between such 5/5+ streaks and now the problem will shift to the more likely singles distribution, so denying a proper number of streaks.

Singles vs streaks sequences

If we'd think that some streak classes will stop before than expected, we might infer than even singles will show up more clustered than isolated.

Actually this is true, providing to consider one side of the two possible successions, meaning that what happened as clustered at one side tend to be slightly clustered and vice versa.
In fact both sides coming out as long singled outcomes are the least scenario to encounter. 

That's a big edge over the house for the reasons that one shoe cannot be equally pattern distributed for long.

We'll get through this next time.

as.