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#11
Baccarat Forum / Re: Be Careful of Presetting
Last post by AsymBacGuy - March 26, 2024, 09:36:27 PM
Yes, that's why is so important to assign an important value to the "clustering effect" of something. That could happen or not in the actual shoe we're playing at.

H-money sounds as the example of the typical baccarat loser, that is one hoping to win big in short frames of time or, worse, to recoup the money lost in the same way. (Yet, this is the best mathematical approach to adopt at an EV- game).
It's very likely he could lose a lot of money even if he would want to mirror our bets.

as.
#12
Baccarat Forum / Be Careful of Presetting
Last post by alrelax - March 25, 2024, 04:10:10 AM
Be very very careful of believing in the preset, I'm going to wait for 'such and such' and I'm only going to wager for 'so-and-so'. Meaning a series of chops, long streaks, doubles, and numerous other events that happen in the game of baccarat.

What is Presetting?  A setting or value automatically assigned to something.  Example:  Wagering for the cut after a tie, or wagering for the same side after a natural, or continuously wagering for the cut after 3iar, etc., etc.

And usually the above is engaged in, because of previous experiences and your desire for those to return so you can wager correctly. Be careful, real careful and conscious of this! Before Vs. Now, is dangerous to your buy-in most of the time. Keep it Now Vs. Now. A concept so simple, yet so difficult to most.

H-Money and myself talked about this after his quick $15k win the other night.  https://betselection.cc/index.php?topic=11712.0 He did discover that the highest majority of what he normally wagers, are preset decisions based upon previous experiences.  He realizes that those experiences have almost nothing to do with what a different shoe is presenting.
#13
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable ...
Last post by AsymBacGuy - March 25, 2024, 03:39:28 AM
Baccarat is beatable as card distributions privilege the asimmetry and not the symmetry.

Despite that, per any shoe dealt such asymmetry is underdog to come out meaning that most of the times a kind of symmetry reigns supreme over the total possible results.

It's very likely that casinos do know what we're talking about, so enticing players to make a lot of bets into a symmetrical thus unbeatable world where the HE they take advantage from is a way minor factor role producing their profits.

On the other end, it's 100% certain that casinos do not know a fkng bit about how a symmetrical world would shift into a more detectable asymmetrical model other than by a simple "luck" factor.
After all they rely upon mere math statements and not about intricate statistical features where the decisive factor players should be really interested about is the sd value.

We'll see this in a couple of days.

as.
#14
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: PI network social coin tha...
Last post by Albalaha - March 25, 2024, 02:40:53 AM
Important update: Shared on XTwitter)by Pi news officially:
China grants a license to the Pi network: The network heralds a new era
 Of billionaires
 Breaking news reveals that China has granted a license to Pi Network to operate within the country.  This event has created a wave of excitement within the Pi community, with many believing it to be a sign of the impending implosion of the Pi Network
 And the possibility of creating many new billionaires.
 The license granted allows Pi Network to operate in
 The following areas:
 .  Electronic transfers: Pi Network will be allowed
 Providing electronic money transfer services to users
 inside the state.
 .  Commercial (financial) payment: Pi Network can be used
 To pay for goods and services in stores and businesses that accept .Pi
 .  Mutual funds and fund investments
 Currency valuation, financial guarantee service, and management
 Trust Pi Network will be allowed to participate in
 Financial and investment activities, including fund management
 Mutual investment, mutual funds, currency valuation
 Financial guarantees and trust management.
 .  Withdrawals from ATMs: Users will be able to...
  Network to withdraw cash directly from ATM machines
 Automated using Pi.  This license is an important development for Pi


#15
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: PI network social coin tha...
Last post by Albalaha - March 25, 2024, 02:38:59 AM
Ponzi or Pyramid seeks your money to be invested. Invest yourself and get other invested in a Ponzi scheme. In Pi, none is seeking even a penny and all pioneers get to  earn and mine PI without paying a penny.
 I predicted for the new all time high of Bitcoin in 2024 years back. I do predict that PI will stay stronger and in maximum 5 years from now, it will reach over $1000 rate.
#16
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: PI network social coin tha...
Last post by ADulay - March 24, 2024, 10:25:06 PM
Ponzi-Pi?
#17
Alrelax's Blog / Don’t Think Just Do It!
Last post by alrelax - March 24, 2024, 10:20:21 PM
DO NOT THINK ABOUT IT, JUST FRIGGEN DO IT!!!

Last night it was simply beautiful!  Simply amazing, flawless and a touch of stomach wrenching, even thou I wasn't technically playing.

Here's what happened.  I went to the casino to pick up H-Money my buddy. He was dropped off there by a family member and we were going to go out to eat, after I picked up and then give him a ride home. I get to the casino and I'm standing there with H-Money, he is into the place for about $3,400. Asks me how much cash I have on me. I go in my pocket and I have $820 plus a folded up $450 that I had to drop off to somebody on the way home. I tell him $1,270. He asks for it and I give him $1,200 even.

Understand what was going on, as I was standing there watching for about 10 hands. Everybody was losing.  No matter what side they were wagering on the majority of the people were losing. There were hands such as the following ones I will write out.

P=2/face B 10/7 and P pulls a 6. Everyone on bankers.
P=4/9 B face/6 and P pulls a 4.  Everyone on bankers.

Everyone switched to players. 
P=10/8 (of course quick hi-5s) B turns over 10/9.

Most all the serious bettors switched back to bankers.
P=9/8. B=5/A.

Most stayed bankers.  P=9/9. B=9/8.

Then hands such as: P=face/4. B=face/face. P pulls a 6 and bankers pulls a 10.  Most were on bankers and that, "darn can't even beat a zero" was said out loud in frustration.

Everyone on players with large wagers. 
P=5/9. B=2/10. Players turn over a 7.  Bankers turn over a face card.  Another frustrating hand for most.

H-Money says, "let's do this" pretty loud.  Throws in the $1,200 I gave him and he had a few hundred left in chips.  He was attempting to get some camaraderie going, but most were down in their buy-ins and multiple re-buys. You know heads in their hands type of aura going on. 

It is a $2,000 max table. H-Money puts $800 on the bankers side and slaps the table. Most follow with a couple being on the players side.  Players open an 8 and a 2, Bankers open a 9 and a 10 for the win.  H-Money quickly parlays it all and adds the other $400 he had for the table max.  Dealer says table max out loud, the pit person sitting down with her back to the baccarat table turns her head and says OK, because she saw all the regular players.  One other person is near table max and the others on bankers are probably $50 to $200-ish.  Cards dealt, players total of 6 and bankers had a two card total of 7.  H-Money lets out a loud "Sweet Whispering Geronimo" and lots of laughter and happy faces. 

Understand this is an EZ Bac table, no bankers commission and most are regular patrons and friends anyway.  H-Money is staying at table Max and I will make sure he colors up and leaves if his winning streak continues or whatever he is feeling. Lots play for the cut or doubles and then the cut as we all know. 

Well a good 15 minutes later if not 20 minutes or so, seven more winning IAR bankers were made for a total streak of 9.  H-Money stuck at table max on every single one, from the 2nd one on, with lots of fanfare from numerous people playing.  Of course he lost the last one.  By the way, the hand that fell off was, P=N9 and B=N8. 

H-Money got his $3,400 back, gave me my $1,200 and walks with $10K plus a few hundred.  Nice dinner off casino property paid for as well as a gas fill up, both courtesy of H-Money. 

Side Note:  Lots of people playing cannot capitalize handsomely on streaks, extended chop chop, extended doubles or countless other events because of the drummed in belief of, "it can't or shouldn't happen" so they wager continuously for the cut and then when the cut comes, they go for the IAR, etc.  Or, they stop wagering all together. 

But H-Money hit it hard, stuck with it and I made sure he colored up and cashed out.  I can't say what he would have done if I was not there.  But I do know, wins like that give unhealthy beliefs that a continuation of winning has to happen and quick winnings are very quickly given right back and additional buy-ins are attempted to win again.   
#18
AsymBacGuy / Re: Why bac could be beatable ...
Last post by AsymBacGuy - March 24, 2024, 10:00:07 PM
Hi KFB!!!

As you well know (probably better than us) there are several 50/50 propositions: The general factor working for all of them is the allegedly total independence of each trial, taken for granted that BEFORE every trial the real (not expected) probability is 50/50.

Coin flip successions were deeply studied by eminent experts and anyway they are not bettable at any casino. Yet they could be a fair theorical reference model.

Pass and don't pass lines at Craps constitute a slight world apart (and we've discussed some Craps concepts privately).

Probably the best practical example about both independence and virtual perfect 50/50 probability before every trial are represented by the EC distributions at roulette.

Of course baccarat is a 50/50 game only under the eyes of ignorant and clueless people.
Actually it's a strong asymmetrical game for two different reasons 1- B>P and 2- rank cards are unequally distributed along any single shoe dealt. And among ranks, key cards hold a decisive role upon the outcomes.

Do large data teach us that itlr everything will show up by an expected well verified probability correspondent to a kind of coin flip game or 50.68/49.32 proposition?

Yes, if we do not know what to really look for and one of the tool we should be interested at is the consecutiveness of certain results applied to selected patterns.

Actually after having dissected thousands and thousands of shoes, we reached the conclusion that the vast majority of bac results PER SHOE move around seemingly 50/50 propositions by low levels or even neutral levels of asymmetry, yet rank cards cannot be homogeneously distributed for long so giving room to way more detectable shifted situations.

Streaks lenght is just one factor to be studied, consecutiveness of a given pattern is another one. Merging such those two simple factors provide an astounding probability of success capable to  erase and invert the HE.

In fact and especially whether some random walks are in action, bac streaks are shorter than at a 50/50 game, nevertheless in any instance we do not want to try to stop streaks unless they belong to specific back to back patterns.

More later

as.
#19
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: PI network social coin tha...
Last post by Albalaha - March 24, 2024, 05:45:25 AM
Important update : Pi network established ATM machines and cards to strengthen this digital currency. Don't miss this anymore.
#20
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: cryptocurrency and me
Last post by Albalaha - March 24, 2024, 05:40:16 AM
BTC will stay and get stronger. Those predicting that it will not last should learn from BlackRock, Elon Musk and other big whales who are into it for a reason. BTC should get more peaks and troughs this year giving us opportunities to enter and exit many times. Eythereum is also very good choice apart from BTC.