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Messages - KungFuBac

#76
Thx for post and pics.

I agree it (High F7 shoe) was certainly atypical. I must say you do seem to receive shoes with more F7s at your cas(vs my casinos). Maybe they have an atypical shuffling procedure?? I have one casino that seems to have more shoes with 2x2 streaks. Anybody have thoughts or theories on this??

re: F7
I typically only wager F7 when I am pressed up and at a critical junction in my progression. (i.e., If I lose this next wager my buyin is crippled). So, I will often wager for the F7(either to win my wager amount or at least the amount of my money still in that wager).

I track some things that suggest when an F7 is more available in the residual shoe. I may only wager F7 2-3 times per shoe(or zero).

*I once saw nine consecutive shoes at one casino with zero F7s(Not consecutive shoes just consecutive shoes I played).

Q: alrelax how did u play this high F7 shoe?



Thanks again




#77
A really good thread started by Nickmsi. Great addendum thoughts by several learned players. I encourage all to read and or review again.



Continued Success To All,
#78
General Discussion / Re: Gambling Quotes
November 22, 2023, 05:03:06 PM
"It is much easier to get ahead and win with larger wins than it is with smaller losses."

                                                                  --Anonymous B. Winner
#79
General Discussion / Re: crypto
November 22, 2023, 04:51:37 PM
Ha, u beat me to it 8OR9 as I was getting ready to post same exact link.

Cheers,
#81
Online Casinos / Re: online casinos better?
November 15, 2023, 03:17:58 PM
Thx albalaha for feedback/thoughts. I would be comfortable with a live dealer broadcast(similar to Stadium Bac). However, I am not comfortable with a delayed broadcast or the game such as the one by Evolution where the dealer looks like an AI figure.
In my opinion, its simply too easy for a reactive RNG adjustment to the players' wager/size. Yet still within expected Variance. Just my personal opinion /I could be wrong.

Alb:

"...Playing online has world of comforts. There is no cheating usually specially if you play live dealer...."


:nod:

#82
Bally's Blog / Re: Whatever happened to Roulette?
November 08, 2023, 04:32:17 PM
Thx for link to roulette postings by turbogenius(great name handle :thumbsup: ). I also appreciate you recognizing a fellow gamer that selflessly tries to help others improve their skillset.

I didn't really discover roulette until past couple years. I was one of those that ignored it because of the higher house edge on its even-chance wagers(vs Bac or Craps line bets,...etc). In past I mostly played it with my free play.

I recently started playing it more often(In past couple yrs or so) as many of my casinos don't open Bac tables until noon or 2pm or 4pm, or whenever they feel like it,...etc. So, it offers another opportunity to play as I wait.

I have found posts on the RouletteIdeas site helpful. I've read some of the essays by our alumni posters such as albalaha and gizmotron. I found them helpful and informative as I try to expedite my learning curve.

I am currently doing very well with a four number method/with a trigger that I will share more as  additional data is collected.

*Does anyone personally know Gizmotron as we haven't heard from him in a while??


Continued Success,
#83
Off-topic / Re: What else besides baccarat?
November 08, 2023, 04:02:04 PM
NICE AD /thx for posting. A home invader would be in a high-risk situation.

My target practice/shooting range is me driving out to the country to the farm and placing a 5 Gallon bucket behind a pond dam,LOL. I can hit it most times(depending on the distance :) ).

*I recently bought my second Sig Sauer p365. A great CC pistol in my opinion.


Cheers,
#84
Online Casinos / Re: online casinos better?
November 08, 2023, 03:54:00 PM
Thanks ADulay for the feedback/opinion.

I play a lot in a state with many Indian casinos. I'm currently trying to get one tribe to install Stadium Bac(live dealer /broadcast to their other cas).

I have acquaintances that perceive Bovada offers a fair game. I have no opinion as I can't set up an online account in my state. Though I can travel a few minutes across state lines and immediately start receiving email/ texts for setting up an account from online gambling sites including MGM,Caesars,..etc)LOL

*The indian casinos/horse racing industries lobby the state to not allow any form of online gambling(for obvious reasons) as they want you to play at their casino or racino.
One tribe even offers an online site(cayman islands or costa rica I believe,...etc), yet won't allow their own tribal members to gamble on that site.


Continued Success,

 
#85
Albalaha's Exclusive / Re: cryptocurrency and me
November 06, 2023, 02:53:11 PM
Thx for your thoughts Albalaha.

I'm also monitoring BITI(Proshares Short Bitcoin ETF) and have already bought a stake in this.

I'm in anticipatory mode waiting to see what the U.S. government decides on the Blackrock ETF application. I believe a leverage opportunity may present if one can jump on the Blackrock ETF immediately after its offering (if it does indeed get approved).

My opinion is that it will as the U.S. Gov wants to control the whole crypto game. This is important when a country wants to prop up its currency (and the U.S. Gov) most certainly does. It's also important to watch gold prices and how Gold is involved in countries' manipulation of their respective currencies.


Continued Success,
#86
1st--FANTASTIC WIN
2nd--Thx for taking the time to post cards

This is the type of shoe one can erase or add $ to the many "typical" sessions where one wins a little or loses a little. The key is to still be around when these mega-win shoes show(and they will).
Some players try to induce this type of results when there is nothing projecting anything remotely similar to this shoe. I find it helpful to constantly say in my mindseye: "What is this shoe trying to do?" I've learned to just go with it and do not try to fight it.
Its easier said than done as I have to frequently remind myself to not "self project" what I hope will present/simply wager "with" the shoe.
Another reason I'm an advocate for a pospro vs a negative progression. It prevents one from wagering more when I'm not in sync with the current presentation.

Re: "...I only stayed for the first 28 hands. I firmly believe and subscribe to the; 'Play serious—risk the buy in capital-you can only win short blasts healthy and happily more so than playing long hours with unlimited goals type of play trying to win more a..."

I like that statement. I will also add that after seeing P dominate with such strength at the beginning my anticipatory mode would be: Ok, get ready for B to make a comeback in latter part of shoe. Though maybe not in the same form as P created the total-score lead(i.e. Long streak to 1iar). The key is to wait patiently until one sees the trailer start its comeback.


Congrats,


#87
Online Casinos / Re: online casinos better?
November 03, 2023, 02:44:57 AM
Thx JeremyNord. Do you have preferred sites that you trust?

My main reservation is that online cas are not required to win or lose against two or more players. In other words, its my understanding they could play against you and I at same time with two separate RNGs.

Meaning they could easily manipulate the results and still present overall results that appear random and within +- SD of whatever their governing body requires(if they even have a governing body). I do not know as I have never played online cas. So maybe I am just misinformed.

What is your opinion?



Thx in advance.
#88
Bally's Blog / Re: A few shoes and a bit of play!
November 03, 2023, 02:28:43 AM
Bally6354--Thx for posting outcomes. I probably would not have been in anticipation for that 11-Streak B run. Especially that early in shoe with nothing beforehand. The predetermined B-only bettors doing a pospro likely did well. Though they may have given it back in latter part of shoe as I would guess P tried to make a comeback /closed the gap before the shoe was finished.
------------------------------------------------------------------


I agree 8OR9:
"...if the runs are mostly 3 or less, it is very difficult to bet them since you can get numerous possibilities such as  BBB or PPP or BBP or PPB  BBPP or PPBB  or PBBB or BPPP  or junk such as  PPBBB PPPBB PBPP  BBPPP  BBBPP  etc etc etc etc..."

    I like to see both sides (P and B) holding at threes or twos, versus only one side holding. That is, when I look immediately to the most recent outcomes on tote I prefer to see a consensus shelf.
If both sides are holding at the same shelf, I perceive that as being a little stronger vs just one side holding. My logic is that early in the shoe (when most all cards are still available) this consistent holding for both sides suggest the ordering of the cards are not showing favoritism. Especially if we have also observed a cyclical rotation of number of cards in each hand(i.e., 4,5,6 cards per hand) as this sometimes gives me an extra nudge to bet against this shelf. Typically, I only make two swipes at it: For example if both sides have just stopped at 3 and then I see (e.g.,BBB) again for the second time: I may try two attempts with P/P wagers. If it has now gone BBB BB I will cease/watch for another shelf or trigger.


Continued Success,

#89
General Discussion / Re: crypto
November 03, 2023, 01:41:24 AM
Thx 8OR9. Interesting.
Another crypto story today (11/2/23) with link posted below. Sam BankmansFried was convicted today and faces up to 110 years total. My prediction is that he won't even receive 1/2 of the total time. He will likely get pardoned in a few years by an outgoing president.

Sam bankmans fried


Continued Success,
#90
AsymBacGuy comment:

"...There's some logic in Alrelax idea to split the shoe into sections.
Cards are asymmetrically distributed along the shoe, so it's virtually impossible to get univocal lines for long unless we play two or three patterns together (singles/doubles, singles/triples, streaks of specific consecutive lenght, etc).
..."


I concur on trying to split shoe into sections. However, it's not easy to do(at least for me). As most will likely agree often we will see a "fake out". Often just as we think that last group of extreme outcomes is nearing the end it then continues for another 7-10 similar outcomes. If one waits to see definitive proof said extreme events are finished, we then miss out on the front end of that next section if it has indeed changed.

Personally, I feel the more extreme the previous section the greater likelihood the very next section will be "Not That". So sometimes to a small degree I can hypothesize that next section is less likely to be the same as the previous extreme section. I feel that is helpful as I can now hypothesize /guess the theme in that next section from fewer options(one less to select from). Obviously not always correct though I do perceive a little benefit.



Continued Success,