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Messages - alrelax

#3541
Alrelax's Blog / Re: YOU FOUND 'THE BLOG'
November 13, 2016, 10:31:31 PM
At the casino, Sunday @ 4:30.  Few people sitting down, going to start playing after they open the table.  About 10 more minuets or so.  Will post.  Hopefully Mr. Wonderful, that guy with the bloody British accent won't show up!!! LOL! What a pain in the rear!

4:47. Seriously dude!  Mr. Wonderful and he is running his mouth about Trump.  Oh lord seriously.  I waited for him to wager and then said to the lady next to me, the same one last week or so that squared off on him--let's go opposite and she violently shook her head up and down.  LOL.  It's going to be a fun night!  Throw $300.00 out there and a quarter on the Fortune 7 and 2 nickels for the dealer on the 7 also.  Player returned blackjack and Bankers a 2.  We broke out we are ahead by 1, don't know why but we did. LOL.  Then Players drew a monkey we are all screaming for a 5.  Dealer pulls and says darn!  He seen it first and it was a four.  At least we won the Banker our first wager. 

4:58. Played 5 hands out of the first 9.  Won 4 of the bets.   Just won a Fortune 7 with one nickel up for the dealer. Tried 6 times out of the 9, lost the $150.00 to make $1k!!!  LOL. Classic, one for the books.  Players had 2 and Bankers had 2 monkeys.  Players drew an 8 for zero and Mr. Wonderful yelling for a monkey to catch the tie.  The whole table had Fortune 7 other than Mr. Wonderful.  We are all yelling for  a 7. Dealer peaks his side and looks at us and says we got a chance it is a 3 line card.  I know the dealer well and he would have just flipped it if it was anything but a 7.  I stand up and try to high five the lady next to me.  The dealer says, hold on---come on it might not be--could be a 6 or a 7.  I said no way, the lady is reserved.  The dealer says to go ahead and high five me.  LOL, it was a classic.   

5:09. I am dwelling on the Fortune 7 within the first 10 hands.  Anyway, about hand 20, was 3 Bankers and cut to Players, did not wager it, should have after talking about it earlier today.  Was 2 Bankers, wagered the 2nd Banker and won it.  Didn't wager and made a 3rd.  I wagered $600.00 on the cut back to Players after it made the 3rd one, caught it!  Up $2,400.00 on a $900.00 buy-in by hand 25.

5:28.  Hand 45.  Up $2,600.00.  Game slowed down.  Argument with Mr. Wonderful and several people changing money for additional buy-ins.  I put $2,500.00 win away and locked up $500 out of my original buy-in.  I am continuing with the $600.00.  Caught a few more and then did something unintelligent.  Played against the shoe, which I normally don't do.  But did.  Played for the cut after3 and 4 and continued each time, once to 9 and once to 7.  Got frustrated.  Should have stayed on the repeats instead of switching up.

5:40.  Hand 58.  Lots of nothing.  Not wagering, waiting for next shoe.  Throwing a quarter out here and there only for the Fortune 7. 

5:50.  Hand 73.  I said to myself and said out loud, I was going to wait until next shoe.  I wagered two wagers of $225.00 each on what appeared to be something great to me.  Lost both.  Always, after doing really good, this darn stuff always happens to me.  I should have waited. 

6:15.  New shoe.  Starting it with $600.00.  Not going to change any more.  Pocketed a total of $2k.  So if I lose the $600.00 I would be up $1,100.00. If I can spin more, all the better.  $600.00 on the table, that's it.

Seriously, Sunday must be official argue day.  Just seems like one argument after the next.  Now it's about someone's buy in.  Come the heck on.

6:40.  Hand 18. Played about 10 hands at the most and won about half. Sitting with $650.00. 

6:55.  Hand 34.  Down to $300.00.  Going to make 2 wagers of $150.00 each, the next time B or P hits 3.  Just 1's and 2's right now.  Catch some and then equally lose as many.  One Fortune 7 at hand 27 and I missed that one.  I have said in the past how I like the first 9-12 hands for the Fortune 7 and then hand 25-35 or thereabouts.  I don't want to get frustrated but between my own decision of wagering against what was happening and Mr. Wonderful and other arguing like it is a sport, it sucks.

7:05.  Hand 47. Lots of no wagering hands, they won't do free hands here so someone just throws out $10.00 on both the B and P and they deal to get on with the hands. 

7:15.  Hand 56.  A couple problems.  One the dealer swoop away someone's money that didn't lose and paid others that won.  Those players quickly put their wrongly paid chips in their stacks and then the other player said something.  So naturally shoe pulled in and floor and casino manager called over. Cards put back out and original wagers forced to be put back, etc., etc.  Long and drawn out.  Supposedly according to senior management, if the next hand did not play yet, the casino has a right to do this.  If a player will not cooperate, could be banned, etc., etc.   

I won the first 3 repeating anti-streak wager.  I pressed it on the same side for a repeating one that it switched to and won that also.  $150 won and then $300 won.

7:30.  Played a few more hands.  I am sitting with 980.00. Calling it a night.  Made $2k. I will call
the other $30.00 for gas, coffee and snacks for the ride back home.  Cool.  Not bad for a dead Sunday.  The arguments have to stop, al they do is pull the jokers/clowns to the left and right of me down. LOL!
#3542
Baccarat Forum / Re: Playing baccarat for living?
November 13, 2016, 08:51:50 PM
There are several triggers that work well.  The highest majority of the times the anti-3 will work well if you are prepared to go 1 and 2 additional negative parlay's.

However, there is no 100%, period on any system or trigger.

You could also find yourself wagering for the cut on a series of streaks and losing out on the easiest way to rack in the chips.  The proverbial Catch-22 that will frustrate the heck out of you.
#3543
Discussion and Questions or Points.  I truly feel after years of playing the game of baccarat that the following will add to or detract from your time at the table.  As well, directly reflecting the bottom line of your losses or wins.

There are the following 'in-play' within yourself or should be:

1)  Interpretations/Misinterpretations

2)  Visions/Beliefs

3)  Feelings/Mindset

4)  Bankroll & Related



#1)   Playing with the Shoe
        Stats Trying to Change
        Equals Out/Lopsided
        Events to Happen
        Events That Happened
        Statistical Reliance

#2)  Playing for the Cut or the Repeats 
       Chop/Alternating  and  Repeats/Streaks
       Trends and Patterns
       Superstitions
       Other Players Actions/Wagers
       Dealers
       Bank of '3' Shoes (re: similarity)
       Downfall/Upside of Available Chip Stack (smaller 100% available/larger w/stop)

#3)  Clear Minded/Clouded-Obscured
        Gut Feelings
        Open Minded/Closed Minded
        Preconceived Protocols Employed
           
#4)  Drawdown
       Stop Loss
       Win Management/Reserve
       Money Management
       Progressions
#3544
Alrelax's Blog / Re: YOU FOUND 'THE BLOG'
November 12, 2016, 01:37:50 PM
Fizzled out.  Bad aura and nasty shoe.  I cut it short and not getting involved.  I am not going to fight the obvious and the aura.  Got aggravated before I got involved in the game.  Kind of proud of myself and a bit bummed out, but have other stuff I got involved in last night. 
#3545
Quote from: 21 Aces on November 12, 2016, 12:17:03 PM
A dealer not concentrating fits in somewhere.  They're people too and they can make mistakes or run out of chips by not managing their colors.   Be careful if you're the only player at the table by watching for errors and if you see a dealer is running out of a color you use actively, take action right away or work around it (BET BIGGER).

100% complete superstition and fallacy about the 'what you use' thing.  Yes, some casinos will purposely limit a smaller color chip and attempt to get you to use larger denominations, especially when several hoard one color such as green or black.  However, most don't. 

The only that does to players that truly believe they cannot win or a different color will change their outcomes, is they take away from their concentration and have something to blame their inevitably loss on.  They become so focus and upset about that, their game suffers.   

As far as mistakes, yes it does happen.  I have witness a slew of players and players that play regularly---not knowing the rules as well and arguing over really unintelligent things, like 38 specials and the one they always do where I go locally, is the Players side pulling a third card 6 or a 7 when the Bankers side already has a 6. There are more but that is the most popular here. 
#3546
Alrelax's Blog / Re: YOU FOUND 'THE BLOG'
November 11, 2016, 11:36:34 PM
Well its time to lock up the office here.  Heading out to the casino, looking forward to some baccarat.  For some strange reason I can feel the Fortune 7's coming!   :P

Nothing sweeter than having a couple quarters up on the Fortune 7 and the Players side returns two monkeys and the bankers side has the same.  Players side pulls another monkey.  I can hear the 7's being shouted now!   ::)
#3547
Hell, according to our bloody chap member in the UK, I got about 10 Millions dollars of comp coming, certainly we could get some crackers and cheese for that, maybe even a beer to wash that down!
#3548
You mis understood what I tried to express, I think.

We really need to meet and talk, LOL..........................

If nothing else, at least about Trump and his plan to wipe the UK out.  I can't believe I said that.
#3549
Alrelax's Blog / Re: YOU FOUND 'THE BLOG'
November 11, 2016, 02:29:35 PM
Went last night.  Now it's getting dark early, around 5pm.  I have about 80 miles one way to the casino.  Stopped along the Interstate and had that rumble in the gut, so I fueled up and instead of grabbing something at the C-Store, I went across the street the Mickey D's.  Boy---it was ungodly crowded!  15 min's later I am getting the fish filet and small fries I ordered.  Grabbed it to go.  Love their fish sandwiches there and that is it, everything else sucks!  Get to the casino and the dealer is sitting there at the baccarat table.  No one is playing.  Have this gut feeling it is going to be dead all night.  So does the dealer,  We make some small talk mostly about football and no one is showing up.  The games at this casino are usually in swing by 6, maybe 7pm at the latest.   

So, I go grab a cup of coffee and a snack at the food arcade.  Head back over to the table games section and still a no go.  So I head into the high limit slot machine room.  I am not one for playing the machines but nothing else is going on. Find one of those Triple 7 machines with a huge jackpot.  Put $40.00 in the machine to play the $2 max spin for the progressive and the large jackpot.  All the way down to $4.00 and then a win of $30.00. Then all the way back down to $2.00 and then a few wins of $10.00 each.  Then all the way back down again to $2.00 and a win of $30.00 so I promise myself if I get even I will cash out, this sucks.  People actually have fun doing this????  I finally get up to $48.00 so I cash out.  I head over to the baccarat table.  Still no go.  So I go back to the slots and find one of those Wheel of Fortune machines.  Same thing, put another $40.00 in it and lose.  Put $30.00 into it and go up and down between $3.00 and $40.00 or something.  Finally cash out $22.00.  Down about $50.00 or so.

Head back tot he baccarat table and nothing.  Dealers changed up and no one playing.  So call it a night and head home.  No go, a rarity over there at that place but I can only assume everyone is waiting for tonight to head over there. 

#3550
As,  A lot of this is subjective.  At times, in fact--all times, the single word is best to remember, 'MIGHT' as you said within another piece.  #1 Problem is, all of what you mention will happen.  However, it will also, not happen. 

IMO, the largest error the highest majority make in this game, including me, including you, including the reader studying all this and those that never come on the board, etc., will be that, their mind convinces their trend of thought that 'so and so will happen'.  My best nights now happen when I clear my mind of all info and stats, etc., and focus-concentrate and play what the shoe is producing.  And, that doesn't matter if it is chops, streaks, 1-2's-3's, etc.  I am not predicting, I am playing and riding the shoe.  I rather lose the last one of the cluster than not catch a single one during the cluster.  Hopefully you guys understand what I just said. 

The entire trick or key to a more successful game is being able to put the clusters, the pieces, the happenings, etc., together and predict what will prevail based on what is happening with the current shoe (not past or history or stats) and couple that with an expected continuance before the regression to the mean develops within the shoe.

The above paragraph is well thought out--some will slam me and call it dribble.  However, the meaning to the above paragraph is, something will happen, something is happening and that happening will or will not continue for a period of hands.  At times it is very easy to figure out and at other times, extremely difficult. When you figure it out you have to ride it and stick with it, forgo and forget all the past shoes, events and stats.  The current instant shoe does not rely on anything or anybody or any superstition.  Most of us add some sprinkles for fun, take the edge off, slow the game or allow us to realize something sizable and then leave a winner. 

There are tons of similarities and for every one that is similar there is an opposite one awaiting arrival in an upcoming hand. 

I have witnessed just as many opposite side doubles or streaks to offset any commonplace similarity regarding when a double or a streak is or is not a trigger.

As far as Banker being the dominant one or as you say 'the less negative one', you are correct but that too will be varied and not a given.  One the other hand, I have sat at numerous tables and witnessed Player dominated shoes outnumbering the Banker in the end with 15+ Player wins.  The story does not end........it will continue.....................

There is a closing note here.  The big table baccarat where the shoe travelled from player to player with the 3 dealers, etc.  That game was pulled from almost all casinos and only the larger ones have it these days.  Why?  Because when it was played as normal, everyone trying the majority of the times for the Banker, the house lost money.  The game really didn't pick up speed until the introduction of the Midi/Macau style tables and the players with the 'cut' wagering mentality.  They are their worst enemies.

I have witnessed a far less player capitalization on the game since the early 2000's.  The typical player has one wagering style and one only.  Play for the cut.  They lose out on the highest majority of the streaks/runs and then they can't even capitalize on the chop/alternating weak shoe as they are then wagering for the repeating/streak (cut). 

#3551
Quote from: AsymBacGuy on November 11, 2016, 01:09:56 AM


might


Finally a relatively long shot bet could come out either in clusters or never at all.



as.



Those 2 disclosures are key in many ways.  So many players do not understand those.  They get into the loss pretty quick and then attempt to chase, especially on the long shots.

Again, might never come in a shoe or two or three or might come in clusters.  The other night at the casino, no Fortune 7's in a solid 7 shoes.  That property has no Panda so I don't know if Pandas came out.  Other shoes have 6 or 7 Fortunes at times. 
#3552
Baccarat Forum / Re: Playing baccarat for living?
November 10, 2016, 09:03:07 PM
And many do not even know in regards to social media.  100% admissible in court.  So much of it is used against people these days.  For instance, if you have a personal injury suit the defense can subpoena everything you ever posted in your social media circles, etc.  Much more than that, but that is just one example. 
#3553
Alrelax's Blog / Re: YOU FOUND 'THE BLOG'
November 10, 2016, 08:04:02 PM
Well, been a tough past week with lots of work on the career front.  Been to the casino once since all the Fortune 7's, the 5 in 2 shoes that I hit last week.  I think I will go to the casino tonight if nothing comes up between now and then, another 4 hours or so. 

I seem to have a lackadaisical attitude and play aura but kid you not, I do have a regime and most of the time it is pretty spot on. 
#3554
Baccarat Forum / Re: Playing baccarat for living?
November 10, 2016, 01:30:12 PM
Clear mind, stomach satisfied (not overly stuffed and not growling for some grub), no alcohol.  Don't pay attention to the phone.  Anyone at the table you really detest, don't sit down or completely tune them out 100%. Something with dealers.  If you have a known 'dealer cooler' avoid them or sit it out. 

Then it is time to play. 
#3555
Symbolic 100% of the baccarat table, and brings back some great memories of the big table games we had in Atlantic City!!!

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8StG4fFWHqg