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Messages - soxfan

#16
Quote from: Xander on May 20, 2018, 12:00:44 AM
By implying that I'm a "mathite" you're basically saying that you're not one, and that you likely suck at math.   It would be like an illiterate person calling someone that can read a "literite."
Regardless, you don't want to stand in a box labeled stupid just to try and be cool.  Besides, I know you're not one of those fools. ;)

Rather than the long run, what you really want to know is how long do you need to play before you become a permanent loser.  This is relatively easy to determine.  Well over 99.99% of the time it's the point where even a five standard deviation win is no longer enough to overcome the house edge.

Ok, so how many hand or shoe of baccarats would that entail, hey hey?
#17
Quote from: Xander on May 19, 2018, 11:51:50 PM
Gizmo,

It's this simple.  If you don't have an edge, then you CAN'T win in the long run.
\

So, are you gonna define "long run", hey hey?
#18
Quote from: Xander on May 19, 2018, 08:01:00 PM
Soxfan,

That's great.  I'm glad it's working for you.   :thumbsup:  However if you feel that you have an edge, then you'd win vastly more if you were to utilize an up as you win progression.  Again, that's only if you feel that the triggers have real value and are providing an edge.

You seem to be one of the mathite so perhaps you can tell me how many shoe or hand of baccarats constitute the "long run" that combined with no real edge will lead to my inevitable doom, hey hey?
#19
I've been winning well and regular for the past few years playin baccrats fulltime using a negative progression with the trigger. So, I guess I'm just on the rights ide of variance and haven't buck up against the "long run" yet right, hey hey
#20
The action at my local is the same as it's always been, hey hey.
#21
AsymBacGuy / Re: Baccarat unbeatable plan #1
May 01, 2018, 08:57:01 PM
Too many cats get way too caught up in the very short term but most recreational player. Over time though, the expectation plays out and that's why the anti-streak is such a solid style of play, hey hey.
#22
Quote from: Jimske on April 14, 2018, 08:08:17 PM
This looks a lot like (or exactly like) "Pairs" by I forget who.  You can bet the sleeping pair OR the dominant pair OR the pair that looks llike it is catching up.

The pairs thing is from the baccarats code. Good to se the Jimske makin a come back, hey hey.
#23
Seriously, how long does it take to change dealers, hey hey?????????????????? ???
#24
At my local the mini bac shoe can get reeled off in 40-45 minute, hey hey.
#25
I disagree, testing is very important if you are a serious cat. testing a significant number of shoe shows how much you can earn on average. And, more important, it can show you the severity of drawdown that you will buck up against. Most cats lose cuz they don[t have the balls or bankroll and don't have the stomach to handle the swings. I recently tested a style, by hand bucking up against 1000 shoe on the party poker live casino site. My gross profit was 2240 units but on three occasion I got clipped for drawdown of just over 500 units, hey hey.
#26
The one thing you can count on at the baccarats is that the streak distribution stats will play out true, if you play enough. Of course, it's a grind and ya need a 1000 units bankroll, and the balls to put cake at risk and the stomach to handle downdraws of 500 units on occasion, hey hey.
#27
Most cats are just unrealistic. You can win over the long term if you have a thousands units backing your play. You can win if you are willing to accept a couple units profit per shoe. You can win if you are willing and able to handle regular down draw of 300 units down to worst case of little over 500 unit. It's just that simple, hey hey.
#28
Baccarat Forum / Re: A Week in the Life
June 05, 2017, 02:37:15 AM
Well, cats here is the last installment and what has been a very typical week and profits enough to feed the bulldog, hey hey.

Session Five

shoe 1: LLWLWLLWLWWWLWWLWWWLWLLLWWLWLLLWLLLLWLW +13 units gross profits


session total: +13 units gross profits

#29
Baccarat Forum / Re: A Week in the Life
June 04, 2017, 01:20:26 AM
Good to see the Jimske makin the scene with some serious baccarats talks. My progression is actually the 13 steps, and I get clipped for 5 shoes outta every hundred. So, 95% of shoe I buck up against make profits for me. I could profit well and regular just capturing 10 unit on winning shoe and I do a sight better than that, hey hey.
#30
Baccarat Forum / Re: Parlay Style
June 03, 2017, 08:51:21 PM
Quote from: james on June 03, 2017, 10:56:06 AM
soxfan,
This is an excellent progression with the right bet selection. If the parlay is not complete, do you continue in the next shoe?

I will continue an unresolved parlay from one shoe to the next. But I don't continue from one session to another, hey hey.