### Author Topic: Taking Statistical Calculated Risk With Sports Betting Service  (Read 4923 times)

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#### Sputnik

• Hero Member
• Posts: 1318
##### Taking Statistical Calculated Risk With Sports Betting Service
« on: June 04, 2019, 02:09:08 pm »

Taking Statistical Calculated Risk With Sports Betting Service

I have a gambling bankroll for Casino games with amounts at different online casinos.
Now I pull out 500 Euro to put into Sports Betting.

I pay 19 Euro for one Tipster with 112% ROI each month.
Now I been active for five days and are plus 140 Euro.
Placing 10 Euro bets flat betting and risking 2% of the bankroll.
That is 50 Units.

Now Koetsch simulated 50/50 without edge for 60.000 placed bets.
He simulated 100 placed bets sessions.

The worst drawdown during 600 x 100 placed bets sessions was minus 34 units.
And the average loss during 100 placed bets session was minus 8 units.

That means I have a pretty good chance to make 1000 Euro risking 2% of the bankroll ( 50 Units).
So when I reach 750 Euro I will start flat betting 15 Euro until I reach my goal.

After that I not sure what to do - I have three options.

1) I can bet the recommendation 1% of bankroll with 1000 Euro flat betting 10 Euro.
2) I can continue risking 2% of bankroll and bet 20 Euro flat betting.
3) I can regress and play with the sportsbooks own money without risking my own.

Option two feel tempting to reach maybe 2000 Euro
Option three feel like a stable small income with no risks involved, where you can boost a % to make the bankroll slowly grow and pull out money each year as return on investment.
Option one feels like a long term strategy where you slowly grow your bankroll with small risk.

Cheers Patrik

#### audionut

• Rising Member
• Posts: 40
##### Re: Taking Statistical Calculated Risk With Sports Betting Service
« Reply #1 on: June 07, 2019, 02:22:08 pm »
Hi Sputnik...

My suggestion? Drop the tout...you really don't need them... betting moneyline with odds of -150 or greater gives you a 10% edge...then use one of your famous progressions to handle losses...you may have losing days but you'll NEVER have a losing month!!!

#### Sputnik

• Hero Member
• Posts: 1318
##### Re: Taking Statistical Calculated Risk With Sports Betting Service
« Reply #2 on: June 14, 2019, 02:23:29 pm »

audionot - I understand your point of view - but this is a pure investment instead of the stock market.

I took 500 Euro from my bankroll for casino gambling and invest them into sports betting service - marketbeaters dot se -
Now I gamble with my money and bet 2% of my bankroll - 10 Euro flat betting - the recommendation is 1% of bankroll and that would be 10 Euro flat betting with 1000 Euro.

I buy two tipsters with an edge - Daniel 112% ROI and Inside 110% ROI - together they place around 200 bets for two months period and I can expect 560 Euro or more in pure profits.
The stock market doesn't even get close to those numbers.

Markeatbeaters has a spreadsheet with 7500 placed bets and 107% ROI - compare that to any other service that doesn't show you there stats.
This is a great opportunity for those who have a Europen time zone.

Cheers

#### OlivJasn

• Member
• Posts: 3
##### Re: Taking Statistical Calculated Risk With Sports Betting Service
« Reply #3 on: January 13, 2021, 03:03:33 pm »
I think so many of us want to put money into sports betting, but not to lose it, only to win more. We all want to have the ability to play or bet on a game for real money where the odds dictate you can?t lose. Personaly I think that anyway  we can get some entertainment from the experience even if we do lose, but only as long as it?s not too much of our capital For me, the real point is to end up with more money than we started with. Now this service bettinggods.com helps me to achieve this goal. I bet on horse racing and it is very profitable.

#### ViksHrks

• Member
• Posts: 1
##### Re: Taking Statistical Calculated Risk With Sports Betting Service
« Reply #4 on: June 09, 2021, 08:13:23 pm »
I didn't know that in sports betting, risks can occur. Maybe if we refer to the azart that a man had and the uncontrolled situation. With friends for a while, we put bets and even quite a lot, but we saw that we spend a lot of money and nothing is returned back in the end. So then we decided to choose another way of fun, and this was online solitaire. We really enjoyed and often created private rooms where we could play only without strangers. However, since we play it practically every day, we get a little bored. Maybe someone can recommend us anything new?

#### KungFuBac

• Steady Member
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##### Re: Taking Statistical Calculated Risk With Sports Betting Service
« Reply #5 on: June 10, 2021, 06:17:11 pm »
Hi ViksHrks and welcome to the forum.

*Im not clear on what your specific question is from the above post.

Continued Success,
"There are many large numbers smaller than one."