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Topics - Albalaha

#76
Roulette has no memory, it  has  no eyes, brain or calculator. I heard it, read it, debated it and agree too. Further, this universal rule says that previous spins have absolutely no impact on spins to come. If it is true, why in the entire history of roulette, worldwide, there has not been any successive hit of an EC even 36 times. With 18 different pockets for every EC bet, innumerable permutations and combinations are possible that can do so. Why it did not happen ever?
                                            Those who has any solid reasoning or reference are most welcome to comment. No jokes or chit chats here, please. I am missing Bayes here.
#77
Dear Friends,
                I am attaching the worst doing dozen for 1000 spins. It has about -5 SD. I hope it can help a few of us, in testing.[attachimg=1]
#78
Actuals/Hands / Dublinbet baccarat shoes
August 04, 2014, 03:28:30 AM
Dublinbet 4th August, full shoes snapshot:
[attachimg=1]
#79
General Discussion / Re: MARTIN BLAKEY BOOK
August 03, 2014, 03:07:20 PM
His book has nothing that wins a random session. I simulated this and know this from very beginning. Unless a method can face harsh cases, it will only lose, in long run. Betting this or that doesn't help in itself. Every bet is proportionally good and bad.
#80
Online Casinos / Cheating attempt of betvoyager casino
August 01, 2014, 05:44:56 AM
Betvoyager has been my favorite casino since long and I have played 80% of my online roulette there. Recently, I faced a very troublesome situation in bv. I made a small withdrawal request of E63 from it in my skrill about 5 days back. Ironically, it kept pending till yesterday. Today, when I wanted to do another withdrawal, I saw no pending withdrawal. I checked my skrill and no withdrawal from betvoyager there.
             I have written a complaint to them:
QuoteDate: 01.08.2014 05:26:37
Project: BetCruise
To: Finance Department
Subject: Where is my withdrawal?
I instructed a withdrawal of about E63, a few days back in my skrill account, sxxxxxxxxxx@yahoo.com. It shown as pending for a few days. Today, I see there is no pending withdrawal anymore and no money came to my skrill. Where is my money? I am reading many complaints of money being locked and stolen by betvoyager in recent months by many of the users. You may refer to www.rouletteforum.cc and www.betselection.cc for them. If such tendency continues, I would reconsider whether I should ever play here or not.
Awaiting a prompt and positive action.

Regards
                     This being my very first concern with betvoyager regarding any such malpractice. Had I not noticed this, my money would have gone.
       I will keep updating on this.
#81
Say,
I am betting on Red only and targeting two consecutive wins on that. What is the longest stretch of no such hits on any EC, this way?
#82
General Discussion / My questions for Kimo Li
December 04, 2013, 05:53:17 AM
Dear Mr. Li,
              I have read both your books and have certain queries. Hopefully you would try to answer them.


1. Do you believe that roulette spins are purely random, chaotic and hence unpredictable too? I am not talking of RNG only both kinds of wheels.


2. If you feel that your any method can predict it even with slightest accuracy, do u have any tracker (in excel or exe) to evaluate that?


3. Do you feel that your way of prediction should fetch net profits flat bet mostly or it need any money management? If yes, can you please brief that?





#83
Coding MARKETPLACE / I need a skilled excel coder
November 29, 2013, 05:26:34 AM
Programmers have helped me become farsighted and test my strategies in short and long runs. I can't thank them enough. Specially Christopher(Ophis), Michael(madmax) and  Steve V Hecke(Stef). All of them created a lots of trackers,bots and did lots of simulations for me exclusively.
              It is strange that all of these guys are no more active on any of the forums and do not even respond to emails for a few months.
           Can I get help from someone who can do complex coding in excel (with or without VB) or make suitable trackers/bots?
         If someone is willing to help, he can email me.


I hope no body will object to this appeal being private.
Thanks
#84
All of us know that aggressive progressions that are theoretically winner of any session like martingale, labouchere and fibbonacci can get us close to infinite in their "run from hell" sessions. This reality makes them "practically failure" and they can cause so much losses in one bad session to ruin your bankroll completely.
            If there can be a progression that takes care of variance and can generate profit in long run without ever getting at table limits, how many would like to bet 1 to 100 unit progressions for assured profit?
#85
In my last casino trip, I saw a robotic arm dealing cards in baccarat. It was as good as a real dealer and had all rules of baccarat dealing properly feed in it. I saw that after dealing one hand, it uses to burn an extra card from the shoe before dealing another.
              Same thing I have witnessed in paddypower live casino too. If I am not mistaken, I saw same thing in celtic casino (VIG studio casinos) live dealers too but today I saw they are dealing in old classic way without burning extra cards.
             I have heard of continuous shuffling machines too which do not burn cards away but rather shuffle the dealt cards inside shoes again and again.
                 Does it really ensure any benefit for the casino? How many of you witnessed such things?
#86
Dice Games Forum / Two dice random excel simulator
October 19, 2013, 04:28:21 AM
I hope you guys like to see and use this two dice simulator. A fun to program this in excel
See attachment.
#87
Say we are betting a Dozen and have such Wins and Losses in 60 spins:
1ST Session:  L L L L L W L L L L L W L L L L  L L L L L L  L L L L L L W L
                       L W L L W L L W L L L L L L L L L W L L L L L L W W W L W L

2ND Session: WLWLLWLLWLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLL
                         LLLLWLWLLLLLLLLLWWLLLWWWWWWWLL

3RD Session: LLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLLWWWWLWLLW
                        LWLLLLLLLLLLLLLWLLLLLLWLLLLLLW

4TH Session: LLLLLWLLLLLLWLLLLLLLLLWLWLLLLL
                        WWLLLLLLLLWLLWLLLLWWLLWLLLWLLL


Can you beat all 4 sessions or create any strategy that can handle all four sessions without ever betting above 100 units? There should be only one and
unambiguous method, for all of them.
#88
Andy Murray is favorite to win but anything can happen between the two today. Losses of Ferrer and Federer indicate that even those players who is looking weaker statistically can turn match upside down at such stages.
          Anyways,
                    I am not taking sides. Only going rationally. I am getting following odds on paddypower for set bettings:
[attachimg=1]


I am taking risk of Andy Murray or S Wawrinka beating his counterpart at 3-0, for now.


I am opting set betting as follows:
A Murray 3-1 (rate 5/2) 4 units; if it wins it will return back 14 units
A Murray 3-2 (rate 13/2) 2 units; if it wins it will return back 15 units
S Wawrinka 3-1 (rate 8/1) 1 unit; if it wins it will return back 9 units
S Wawrinka 3-2 (rate 9/1) 1 unit; if it wins it will return back 10 units


So, in a nutshell, I am risking a total of 8 units and I can earn anything from 1 unit to 7 units of net profit unless, any of the two does 3-0.


*If things look going one sided in the first set, covering bets may lessen the risk.

#89
This championship is set to start on 30th August and run till 2nd September in Boston, MA, USA with all leading players of the game.
          Tiger is always a prospective candidate to be a champion but he is suffering back pain problems. Mickelson and Mcllory are believed to be on the top of the last leaderboard.
         This time, I have opted for multiple players to win or be in top 5. A few are good to be in Top 10 as well.
             What is your pick?
#90
5 among the Top 6 and 7 among the Top 10 players were in my betselection. Scott was my favorite to win. It is a great morning.[smiley]aes/beer.png[/smiley]

#92
Will Tiger catch the Rose? Will Michelson get it or Scott come as a surprise winner? What is in your mind regarding this tournament?
                  It is a great opportunity for sports betting and you will get the best deals at paddypower.
#93
Jerzy Janowicz has done a phenomenal job in Wimbledon Men's this time. He has reached the semi-final with Andy Murray. Can this guy who is ranked 22nd now beat Andy Murray, world No.2 today?
It is pertinent to mention that Janowicz has beaten Andy in their previous encounter.
        Will history repeat itself or a new history be written this time?
#94
Which game do you consider most predictable where certainty to win of a favorite bet is relatively very high?
      Which game looks most volatile to you?
#95
This is a big eye opener for most of the newbies to safeguard them from growing number of fallacies.
http://albalaha.lefora.com/2013/06/19/reality-of-law-of-large-numbers/
#96
smartlive casino has three roulette wheels live dealer/automated and it offers last 185 spins data which runs from right to left and bottom to top. 185 spins means 5 cycles i.e. 37x5=185.
              It is a very standard data set for testing real ideas in a playable session of 3-5 hours. I use them for testing my methods.


At present I am compiling them at:
http://albalaha.lefora.com/2011/11/20/real-sessions-of-smartlive-casino-screenshot-of-18/


for old compilation see:
http://www.rouletteforum.cc/index.php?topic=3689.0


I hope you would like that.
Thanks

#97
Can someone please email me "14 Months at the Sic-Bo Table"?
      I need it for some tests.
#98
Sports betting is not as much random as casino gambling. Would you like to bet upon those bets which are more than 80-99% likely to win? If you want, I can give picks for various games like football, basketball, golf, cricket, boxing and tennis.
#99
Sports Betting Forum / My sports betting picks
May 03, 2013, 02:04:53 PM
Bet on Sheff Utd to win the match
    in the football match on 3rd May, i.e. today
between Sheff Utd  vs. Yeovil
time: 19:45
#100
It may look like a hypothetical question but if there is a surefire method that requires you to have a few thousand chips, for worst cases and you are most likely to win big too. Will you play that?