I have tried to lead a positive, useful and informative view of baccarat for years. As a member various forums, a moderator and in a Administrative position as well as Owner of this forum. 

I have read, studied and researched the best possible ways I could, every single theory, discussion and claim stated on countless  websites and forums I came across, and as well, in person conversations with hundreds of fellow players of every single type.

With that said, I did not intend to ruin anything for anyone or myself, I exposed much of what I found a sheer nonsense and complete formation of fallacy. No way did I wish for that, but only to convene with other enthusiasts and showing the absolute glorious and rare experiences of "GREAT" wins, as well as "REGULAR" ones, while exposing things that lead us to the ugly "LOSING" ones. But, as the circle of 'drama driven queens' would have it, the internet and the drama had its way with it over the years. 

Instead I came out of the past with more of an exact  vision within and about the game of baccarat and the brick and mortar casino world.  While I do wish I never entered into the obsessive and upsetting to many—squaring off, between members-sock puppets-guests and myself in the past, it is what it is and was in the past.

While I am happy to know more about baccarat, people, members of the forums and other casinos players, I just wish I had not went down a few of the paths that I have.

Now.  I have found something that I genuinely and wholeheartedly believe is a most prosperous protocol to play according to.  It is governed by several things including; emotions, psych control, neutralism and a whole new outlook on wagering amounts and the length of playing time coupled with an absolute realistic play schedule, that totally is advantageous to the player over the casino. 

1)  GRIEF and RELIEF.  Both grief and relief  are often merged together and justified to account for losing. Sad but very true you must admit.  2)  BELIEF.  Belief plays a huge part of what happens at the table which we seldom, if ever really question, research or allow for, within our decision making process.  3)  REALIZATION.  And almost none of us ever realize or ever change. 

I'm looking forward to bringing my discovered and well thought-out wagering protocol schedule with the ways I developed it to those interested in the near future.

I have to credit the naysayers, the derogatory and the very infamous forum-to-forum criticizers that specialize only in disruption. Without them I probably would have quit a heck of a long time ago.

BetSelection.cc is proud to announce that we have formally partnered with two different online casino companies.  Both companies are superb in their gaming, financial transactions, data security, customer relations, audits and many other areas of bringing you the absolute best and 100% fair online gaming.

Slots
Poker
Roulette
Baccarat
Craps
Blackjack
Sportsbook
& More!

Real, Live Action, and best of all.....CASH OPPORTUNITIES

All their game outcomes are the result of random number generators to ensure the casinos games are fair and accurate. All of their software undertakes rigorous testing regularly to ensure that this is upheld.  They utilize the latest in Real Time Gaming software to bring you a vast array of games for you to enjoy in the comfort of your own home.

Whether you play dice games, cards or any one of a multitude range of slots, you can be sure that you are getting a fair shot at winning some of their huge jackpots that are available. The casinos are fully licensed and regularly monitor the outcomes to ensure that the high standards of compliance, that their players expect are always upheld.

We have absolute confidence in the fairness of the casinos, which is put to the test monthly by Technical Systems Testing or TST who are recognized internationally, and these are completely independent to ensure both, the fairness and accuracy of all their casino games.

If under any circumstance you feel that you have not been treated fairly, you are advised to speak to the casino's Customer Service Department in the first instance and if they are unable to resolve your issue, you can take it to an independent arbitrator.

Personally we at BetSelection.cc have been in communication with the management of both casinos for some time and we are satisfied their operations in every way are honest and upfront with terrific customer safeguards and security.

Well guys, tomorrow is Thanksgiving and the start of the holiday season.

Wishing everyone a great Thanksgiving and a holiday season!

Pausing gratefully to express thanks to all for your contributions.  Efforts help make us a 'real' forum without all the infighting and similar.

Have a wonderful day and everyday thereafter!

Alrelax
Board Owner and Administrator

I want to state a basic example of Positive Progression Wagering.  IMO, I believe the 1-3-2-6 is the most lucrative and easiest to capture, while protecting the gambler of ruin, due to losing his realization of around the corner losses upcoming.

Remember, there are many variations, with denominations galore in Positive Progression Wagering. 

1-3-2-6. (Exampled using $100.00 unit):

Wagers:

First bet:  $100.00
Second bet:  $300.00
Third bet:  $200.00
Fourth bet:  $600.00

Reasonings:

First bet is a portion of your risk capital buy-in.  If you lose, you lost 1 unit of your risk capital.  If you win, parlay and move on to the second bet.

Second bet is parlaying your win and 1 additional unit from your risk capital buy-in for a $300.00 wager.  If you lost, you return to 1 unit wagering and you are down 2 units.

Third bet means you won your second wager.  Now you are in great position!  You return $200.00 to your buy-in stack, you set-aside $200.00 and you wager the remaining $200.00 from your $600.00 end of 2nd bet, on your third wager.  If you lose this wager, you are still $200.00 ahead for additional  wagering attempts at $100.00 each.  If you win this third bet you move to the fourth wager.

Fourth bet will progress to $600.00.  You will parlay the third bet win and add the $200.00 you had set-aside with a win from the second bet.  You have zero risk capital out there and a total wager of $600.00 looking for a $1,200.00 win.  If you lose, sure it sucks, but you didn't lose a penny of risk capital. 

If you win the fourth bet, you must go back to one unit wagering and right there is exactly where almost all players go down the wrong path and will greatly increase their wagering amounts with doom waiting. I would personally go back to the same amount or possibly 1.5 times, or a max of double.  Example.  If I was wagering the above $100.00 unit, I would start again with $100.00 or possibly $200.00. 

Just thought I would throw this out there.  Because there are highly debated continual topics regarding gambling with mathematics and/or statistical results versus the reality and instant 'what is happening', etc.

Everything worth anything in most things is presentment and what it actually is, not perceived, not history, not dreamsville, not what someone else says it should be or is going to be, not what another person makes up and so on. Presentment--Reality--Actual Events Happening.  IMO better and far superior in countless ways than the results of mathematicians/statisticians and systems experts. 

Let's review the that famous/infamous 'Martingale' betting strategy that is so widely endorsed and swore by on so many forums out there.

Let's get it straight up front whom is preaching it.  IMO it is those systems sellers and those that are the classic armchair quarterback with their selective free-test game simulators to prove their theories and how easy it is to beat the game of baccarat. 

It's the end of the month so I take an hour or and scan most of the forums out there.  Nothing has really  changed, plenty of Martingale swear-bys with anywhere from 6 to 12 repeative doubles to recoup the losses and win one unit.

Well, before you start subscribing to such a strategy and theory, you better realize the numbers involved, as well as table limits, both min and max wagering.

Martingale is simple.  Wager on the same thing, no matter what it is with doubling the next wager after a losing one.  Does not matter if you are wagering for the same side to repeat itself or say chop-chop.  Whatever you are wagering for, if you lose, the very next wager is double the amount, wagering double each bet until you win and recoup the losses and profit one unit, your very first wager you lost.

Sounds good when forum people put it into their agendas and justify risking the Martingale increasing amounts each time.

Well I will tell you honestly how I have physically witnessed countless people lose huge sums of buy-in risk capital on just the very belief of Martingale wagering.  I see it all the time, through the other's own admission or not.

Some swear by 6 times and others swear by 12 times. 

1.00
2.00
4.00
8.00
16.00
32.00  6th wager risked $63.00
64.00
128.00
256.00
512.00
1,024.00
2,048.00  12th wager risked $4,095.00

5.00
10.00
20.00
40.00
80.00
160.00  6th wager risked $315.00
320.00
640.00
1,280.00
2,560.00
5,120.00
10,240.00  12th wager risked $20,475.00

25.00
50.00
100.00
200.00
400.00
800.00  6th wager risked $1,575.00
1,600.00
3,200.00
6,400.00
12,800.00
25,600.00 
51,200.00  12th wager risked $102,375.00

50.00
100.00
200.00
400.00
800.00
1,600.00  6th wager risked $3,150.00
3,200.00
6,400.00
12,800.00
25,600.00
51,200.00
104,400.00  12th wager risked $206,750.00

100.00
200.00
400.00
800.00
1,600.00
3,200.00  6th wager risked $6,300.00
6,400.00
12,800.00
25,600.00
51,200.00
104,400.00
208,800.00  12th wager risked $415,500.00

Okay, I totaled out 6 and 12 Martingale wagers for $1.00, $5.00, $25.00, $50.00 and $100.00 beginning bets above. Just for comparison I throw in the $1.00 and $5.00 bets, but I have never seen a brick and motar casino offering such on their live tables.

As far as limits it is pretty much the following:

$10.00/$1,000.00

$25.00/$1,000.00-2,000.00-2,500.00 and sometimes $5,000.00 (very few $$10,000.00)

$50.00/$2,000.00-$2,500.00-$5,000.00 and $10,000.00

$100.00/$10,000.00

$200.00/$15,000.00

$300.00-$500.00/$20,000.00 or $25,000.00

There is one casino outside of Chicago that has been offering $10.00/$100,000.00.  Yes, $100,000.00.  If they are still offering it, I don't know in 2022.

At a decent table, you'll get to the 7th, maybe the 8 th wager before hitting table max limits.  Maybe less at a lot of places.  Reference the $25.00/$50.00/$100.00 bets.

Now, as far as risk, so many people are hell bent on the 4-5 or 6 spot/space NOT repeating 'whatever' to break the losing bad luck/bad choice they made several times, they absolutely believe that is all that can/will happen.  Well you better believe that is why the casino allows scoring and even puts up a score board for you! 

Martingale does not and cannot stop Variances from coming out to kill you and take your 4th through 12th risked Martingale wager in a heart beat!! 

Something to always remember. 

1). Everything will not happen.
2). Everything wil happen.
3). Everything looks like it will happen but doesn't
      then it does when you do the opposite.

You think and believe baccarat is a 50/50 game, it is not, not by far for the few shoes you sit down to play. 

Here look at this picture of a score board at a live casino.  It is a $50.00 min to $10,000.00 max wager.  Pretty standard, the $10,000.00 table limit is usually either a $50.00 or $100.00 min, depending on how busy they are.

If you were on the Players side when that Banker streak of 14 hit, you would have been required to have $835,200.00 to wager the 15 times at a $50.00 table.  But no casino in the world would allow that kind of table max wager anyway. $10,000.00 would be just about the highest almost anywhere. 

13th wager $208,800.00
14th wager $417,600.00
15th wager $835,200.00

You see what I mean now?

PLUS, VERY IMPORTANT:  Add up your occasional Martingale loss to the max allowed to the table limits.  Then add up how many little tiny first round wagering minimums you have to profit to make up a few of those maxed out Martingale losses that will come, I promise you they will.  No doubt about it.

Also, in the picture of the scoreboard below, look at the Players little streaks.  Say you were on Bankers side.  You would have faced 2 times a 5 Players streak and you would have needed 6 Bankers to recoup your $50.00 bet.  That would have been $1,600.00 each time on the 6th wager at risk, with a total cumulatively risked at $3,150.00.  Then there was a 7 Player streak and you would have had a continuous Banker wager with the 8th one being $6,400.00.  You would have had a total of $12,750.00 at risk.  If it went once more on the Players, you could not have placed a $12,800.00 wager to recoup you lost attempts. 

You can't wager a few and then say it's not going to happen.  Thinking you will stay on the ones that suddenly revert to what you wanted and you will stop wagering on the ones that might take all your Martingale wagers. 

I do occasionally engage in a negative Martingale if I am hell-bent on something I see or am following, etc.  But I will limit myself to 2 maybe 3 times in all cases on the 'chase' back.  Let's just say, I have learned from experience. And I admit, I have learned the hard way.

Think about the really insane drama dribble people are putting out there on the internet, forums, YouTube, systems sellers, etc., etc. It's sad in so many ways.

The real key to winning.......Thinking with a clear frame of mind. 

Play smart.  Play wise.

Okay everyone, here is a golden classic, The Vesper Martini. 

What is it?  Well it's a Martini that was introduced by Vesper Lynd, a fictional character from the James Bond author, Ian Fleming in the original 1953 Casino Royale movie. 

Here is a link to Vesper Lynd's bio.  Now bear in mind the catchphrase, "Shaken, Not Stirred", which was immortalized in Bond films.

https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Vesper_Lynd

3 oz Gin
1 oz Vodka
1/2 oz Lillet aperitif
Lemon twist

However, a bit of a twist with the same ingredients.

Equal parts of the 3 alcohol products.

Gin
Vodka
Lillet aperitif
Lemon twist

Shaken extremely well with 1 ice cube, rub the inside of the lemon twist on the rim of the glass all the way around it and drop it in the glass.

Enjoy!

The purpose here is to bring forward the real 'meat' of playing baccarat.  After all, that is why we are here right?

Below I will post several pictures of a B&M bac score board from the other night.  I will state I am not mad, I am not angry, just a but embarrassed.  I won and won nicely in fact, but this was a killer shoe against the casino with huge player advantages. 

A great shoe to bring forth on the forum and talk about.  Some great examples of what happens, not in rarity by any means, usually only this 'player advantaged' in Sections, but this shoe has so many player advantaged give me's throughout the entire shoe.

Okay, some facts about the shoe.

*  The last 20 hands were one or two bankers, one or two players, and one time there were four bankers in a row. There was another Fortune 7 about hand 55 as well.

*  Low '0-1-2-3' ties as I have wrote about so much, in the first 45 hands!

*  There was a total of 6 Fortune 7s.  Hands 4-13-17-28-35 and one in the 60's.

*  Only two players maximum the whole shoe. I want to repeat that, the entire shoe had only two players maximum.

*  The group of 5 natural players, hands 53-59 was actually a group of 7, because there were 2 additional player naturals at hands 61 and 62.

*  One 3 card banker 9-player 0 as shown in the picture.  There were also lots of 3 card banker 8s-player 0s, at least 10 of them.

*  Maximum of 3 repeating sideways for both the bankers and the players throughout on the Bead Plate.

One of the best in the entertainment world. 


https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=X3nr1xqbsbA&t=156s

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=t3SPY13b64M

You are always in the short term. I don't care what anyone says and I don't care how you look at it but that is reality. You cannot play the long term no matter how many sessions, years or whatever you were going to engage in and be able to win anything sizable and keep it going in the game of Baccarat.

You have to win. And that's why you play the game. You can only win what's in front of you. And that is short term, it is a very tiny piece of any statistical outcome of baccarat. Extremely tiny and the shoe being played has an unknown placement within those statistics you might believe in.  Even if you were wagering on the most favorable triggers with the highest advantage to the player, you will still be playing within the smallest of the tiniest sections of those statistics you were believing in, from replicating itself in the shoe you were sitting in front of wagering real money on.

Simulation after simulation after simulation, when compared will be in some kind of contradiction to each other. Why? Because that is the way the game of baccarat is. One set of hundreds of thousands of shoes, millions of hands, compared to another set are and will never be the same.  Most simulations and the highest amount of them at that, are done by mathematicians and people that do not gamble and are generally done in a journalistic style for proving other points then in the reality of day-to-day gambling at the game.  Believe what you want, I know better.

Most will not believe this but all they can do is talk me down. Used to really annoy me, but now all I do is laugh and continue with what I know. Which is the proper and smart way to play baccarat.

If you really desire to match up with statistics, God bless you. But the probability and ability to do that and constantly win, will be so lopsided with losses and breaking even sessions, the casinos will love you and roll the red carpets out.

Somehow you need to define your wagering decision making process. Sure, a few times here and there, nothing wrong with a small number of sheer guesses. But most all of the players that are winning more consistently are following something they have found comfort in, profit more than losses and put value in themselves while ignoring statistical rubbish and constant superstition based wagering.  Disclaimer:  As I have said many times, if it's working for whatever reason, follow it and wager on it until it stops.  A win or wins are just that and doesn't matter why you wagered on them.

Be extremely careful of and totally conscious of those claiming Baccarat wagering is easily won by arbitrary and capricious wager placements following some mechanical structured wagering, correlating with a set of statistical  results. Be careful, because it will not work, never with any kind of ongoing consistency that is.

As many times as something works, likewise the times it does not will easily equal or outnumber the times it does.

You have to wager on what the shoe is presenting and do so in a progressive wagering and parlaying fashion or you will not profit.

Remember, short term is what you are playing, there is no long-term that can be effectively applied to this game. Never.

Be smart. Be in Reality and Win!

A successful player IMO must (MUST) have the following and know 100% the value of each and what they are.

Bankroll.  Your total gross funds set aside for gambling Buy-in money.  Your total Bankroll should be 20 times your Buy-in amount.  Your Bankroll must be replenished at the end of EVERY single gambling session if won.  If you lost more than one consecutive session, once you do win, all winnings held onto, must replenish your Bankroll.  All winnings over your Bankroll, should be used for other things, rather than gaming and the fallacy of increasing your Bankroll will make you rich and all that ridiculous trash.  (Sorry but it doesn't work that way). IMO, all that playing to build larger Bankrolls will do, is devalue the Bankroll itself to you and cause you to play well outside of your true 'Level and Plateau'.

Buy-in.  Your risk capital funds you are bringing to the casino to buy-in with.  I would seriously recommend one Buy-in with the total view as risk-capital.  If you lose the Buy-in, session/trip over.  A Buy-in should never be in excess of 10% of your Bankroll.  Note:  Maybe an extended multi-day trip say a long weekend out of town.  3 Buy-ins, covering 3 days attempt to profit.  Once a session is well above your Buy-in with wins, you must implement MMM with some kind of 1/3rd, 1/3rd, 1/3rd type of money management for your winning funds to be 100% safe.

The question is surprisingly hard to answer in some ways and in other ways it's really easy. But before I try, let's define what exactly is meant by being random, along with random values from card draws.

When discussing card values from a definitive shoe of six or eight decks of cards, a random card (always the next one) is drawn from a set of possible values, each of which is equally probable in statistical value when matched with another one or two by the rules that might be drawn.  This is called a uniform distribution, because the distribution of probabilities for each value of each hand for both players and bankers is uniform, the same, across the range of possible hand values.  This is because each side has the same possible value of the two or three cards once added together by the rules of the game. Example, Players having a two and a seven equals the value of nine, Banker having a two and a seven will equal a nine also and so on. If there was a situation where a face card was worth greater or less to either side or any other card for that matter, then it would not be an equal uniform distribution of possibilities.

Understandably, some cards may be more advantageous to one of the sides than the other side but the cards still have the same exact value to either side.

Now carrying it one step further which so many fail to do. Therefore I say the probability of each side, players and bankers, have the same random probability to come up with exactly the same hand value as the opposite side does.  Because there will be an unknown sequence of random hand values originating from a true uniform distribution of the cards causing statistically independent events, which are independent in their occurrences due to the rules concerning when a fifth and/or sixth card must be drawn.  The latter is what is ultimately the most confusing part about trying to figure out what side is going to prevail when you are wagering on the game.

Sure there are random variables and statistics that go along with those, but to the person wagering at the Baccarat table, it means nothing because before those first four cards come out, both the player and banker have an equal uniform distribution chance to receive good or bad value cards. This is due to the previous hands as well as the remaining hands yet to be distributed.

What the above means is, the drawing of four or five or six cards and the value of the two or three cards of those for each side, does not make it less likely to occur again in the game in any particular order. Which is exactly why you may get hands 1 through 12 to be pure chop-chop and all of a sudden, hands 13 through 28 to create a 15 card Players or Bankers streak. 

So, why is it so difficult to figure out a given sequence with any kind of consistency in the game of baccarat? Because the shoe actually does in reality produce truly random hands, meaning both sides are equally likely to appear in the short run, 60 to 80 hands to receive anything and everything in no particular order or repeat itself with any kind of consistency within the same shoe or any following shoe. And repetitive consistency with some kind of mechanical trigger is what 99.9% of all players are looking for in the game of baccarat.

And what actually is in the casinos favor, is the shoe will produce sequences that look non-random to the human eye, a series of chops, doubles, triples cut to the other side, natural or ties stick or cut, streaks, etc. and so on. Which all of the aforementioned also fail any statistical tests that we might run concerning the sequence(s)as to why they happened. And that my friend is why there is so much drama in the mathematical and statistical understanding and the application of such to the game of baccarat.

It is impossible to prove definitively whether a given sequence of player or banker hands is going to occur at any time because of such and such or any event that has happened or not happened. The reason being, is the uniform sequence distribution that is available to both sides, not just one.

Everything detectable in baccarat eventually happens without any detectable order of presentment in a shoe because of the unknown order of cards being generated and valued after exposed. Re-read that with the emphasis on the words, unknown order of cards.

So, if it is impossible to predict randomness, what can we do to predict winning hands? I would strongly say, that we should expect some sequences to be perfectly parallel as well as, those that look non-random or simply lopsided. Do not limit yourself to the consistency or the inconsistency as the indication of what to wager. Rather, be alert to the sequences producing parallel or lopsided outcomes and siding with those.

I hope some of you have found this interesting because it took some extra effort to put it together.

As I have said many many times, THINK.

Stats for most all states concerning sports betting revealing the following:

Handle: Amount wagered over the time period.

Revenue: Amount of money kept by sportsbooks out of the amount wagered.

Hold %: How much revenue sportsbooks keep as a function of handle.

Taxes/state revenue: Taxes collected by state and local jurisdictions; or state share of proceeds in revenue-sharing markets.

The numbers reflect all reported numbers starting in June 2018 to date.


https://www.legalsportsreport.com/sports-betting/revenue/

But to the highest majority at the tables it sure does. Either to 'show off' to the others, or to attempt to satisfy their own ego that they have it all figured out, etc.  Winning is money and it certainly spends the exact same way whatever the reason it was that caused you to wager.

Camaraderie is one thing among a couple/few players and getting on to a win-streak and clearly pumping up your wagers as well as your A-Alpha energy is another positive thing, but all of those that attempt control of the table because of their egotistical voodoo to show off and fuel their sheer guesses while continually pointing to the score board explaining why such and such has to happen, is total upcoming negativity by the boat loads about to set in. 

The keys to winning are really narrowed down to two things.

1). What wins this session/shoe/section probably won't, might to a limited manner, or definitely will not in the following ones.

2). Anything, including the presentments you have never experienced can and will occur and win.

Remember, at least try to anyways the above two things because baccarat is a game of presentments that make appearances as well as disappearances. The tricky part is there is no balance, rhyme or reason as far as the statistical definable number between the appearances and the disappearances.

Everyone seems to be looking for a trigger.

At the tables.  Within the forums.  When talking with other players. Right or wrong?  Good or bad?  Safe or dangerous?

What is the trigger?
When will the trigger appear?
How long will a trigger last?
Is the trigger truly redundant/repetitive?

I believe I have witnessed them all at real B & M casinos. As well, I have read about countless ones on various forums  and other gaming related Internet sites. Streaks, chops, doubles, triples, four IARs, ones-twos-threes-threes-twos-ones, tie cuts, tie sticks, certain third card numbers will cause the next hand to win or lose, naturals stick or cut, and many many many more.

And what most people do playing baccarat is, engage in a trigger belief that certain events will cause the following hand to be a winner because of what has just occurred. FYI, in absolute statistical reality that will occur less then a 50-50 chance, in fact a lot less.

It works while it is presently appearing and a greater amount of times than it worked, it will also not work.  The whole reasoning behind why the casino provides electronic scoreboards costing thousands and thousands of dollars in product cost as well as maintenance.  As well, also the reasoning why all casinos provide pens and scorecards and most will virtually allow players to have their own clipboards with elaborate notes, etc., right at the table. 

What actually happens is, that the shoe presentments will present the anticipated trigger less winning times then losing times. Don't believe me? Run it for yourself. Live as well as right on your kitchen table. Buy eight decks of cards, shuffle them, cut and burn, deal over and over. Watch, note and absorb. Every single trigger you can think of will be presented. Keep track of how many will produce your following winning hand and how many produced a following losing hand. Record how many times those third card pulls for either side causes the following hand to win or lose. Record how many times those ties and naturals do the same thing. Record how many times BB-P, or BBB-P, or PP-B, or PPP-B, as well all the other ones, produces your following winning hand. Record it all.  You might be amazed that your tigger wins 2 or 3 times out of every 10 times or so it appears.  But I know from my years of playing that the wins by those triggers on the following hands, is going to be much less than 50% of the times that they appear.

All misnomers. There's no other way to describe it. Each and everyone of them. The designation of a winning or losing hand yet to present itself based on what has happened, is such foolishness and wishful thinking, it baffles my mind to the maximum.

Your redundant and repetitive upcoming chances to win, lies within small sections before and after each turning point is established.  All based upon what the shoe is presenting, not what you desire the shoe to produce.

So the game has a negative expectation, so what? You can afford yourself an advantage by not continuously wagering mechanically for one side or the other, as well as, not continuously following any other event whenever it appears. If you do, you will definitely be on the negative side of a 50-50 chance to remain solvent, let alone be a winner.

In other words, wagering  continuously for anything to continue or cut, is the absolute wrong way to play the game. Because if you do, you have 100% subjected  yourself to the negative expectation that the game is statistically proven to afford the player.

First of all, wins are much tougher to handle and manage for most all players versus their losing sessions.

It's not easy to explain all in a thread on most forums, because the post will become lengthy, complex and take all sort of directions.  As well people will dismiss what the whole purpose of the thread is. But I'm going to attempt to put something out there, that I partially wrote about in the past and something that happened recently that's easy to explain.

Just a few days ago at a B&M casino, late at night after a full days work of 12 hours which was following a previous nights short play with a session win. So, I remove my original buy-in and returned to the casino with 'pure' win money having nothing to do with my bank roll or other personal pocket money. Which to me, gives me an extra advantage with deeper and clearer frame-of-mind when I start playing.

Having a complete clear frame-of-mind and a very positive motivational thought in my opinion are huge player advantage avenues. I was willing to risk the 'pure' win money I brought as a buy-in for the session. 

Okay, while playing you better realize plenty!  No matter if you are winning or losing.

How much can I win?
How much am I prepared to lose?
Can I recoup my current losses and get back positive?
I am winning, I don't want to give it back, should I stop?
Thinking, if I stop while winning, I can't win more.

While winning you are in many ways encouraged to continue, by yourself, other persons and even the casino personnel. Be careful and be conscious of EVERYTHING is all I can say, as it will give you 'fake' support. And that normally results in a loss of your winning an additional bankroll monies.

When you begin to lose while winning, it will most likely be more emotional, produce a greater level of frustration, causing you to blackout clear thought process quicker, and hamper your ability to clearly apply knowledge-experience and intuition in deeper amounts than if you did not already win.

When you have no more money, handling it is really no problem, no dilemma, you must quit, PERIOD.  But, winning is really the total opposite.

Anyone that has won sizable amounts at the table runs into a much more difficult decision making process. Play or quit. Countless people continue or stop and start again at another table or casino rather quickly. Doing so usually results in a complete loss of that win money as well as additional monies.

Most people do not subscribe to their own Levels and Plateaus or do they believe in withholding their buy-in and applying their win, to other outside things rather than gaming.  All they see is increased bets, longer play, larger winning, finally realizing they are conquering the game and similar false and very dangerous avenues they plan to adhere to.

All the gobbledygook on the Internet about applying wins to your bank roll, wagering larger and more aggressively is dead wrong. 100% wrong! It will hurt you and hurt you in very big ways.  Gaming, wagering, frame-of-mind and all the many other things that will determine your wins and losses and how you handle them, will not follow with larger bank rolls, larger bets, larger wins, 'type of plan'. At this time I can't put it into exact words but I will tell you, it will play on your decision making process the total opposite way of what you should be thinking and subscribing to.

Myself, I attempt to apply numerous M.M.M. traits, that I have written about. They work well for myself without any doubt. But discipline must still be applied and adhered to.  Which is very possible but not easy. Especially when the wins come and come nicely.

While I was winning the other night, after I doubled my buy-in, I did lose most of my win. Numerous thoughts of stopping were addressed and I went slightly outside of my norm of 1/3rd, 1/3rd, 1/3rd, application of my win money. I did apply my buy-in as current win money, what I normally do not do. But in this case I did it.

I began to win again and really took off with larger and more aggressive wins. I became more aggressive and that paid off nicely, which is generally against the norm and past experiences I might add. I got to the point where I easily won 5 to 6 times the amount of my buy-in. Once again, the thought process was only to play and keep playing. Should I have stopped when I won 5 to 6 times the buy-in amount I was at?  I can not honestly answer that.  After a bit, I once again began to lose, my win level dropped quickly down to the point I quadrupled my buy-in.  I stopped.  To slow myself down, I was actually getting up and texting a member from this forum.  Sending pics of the score board, etc. 

The dilemma i was in, I was very conscious of was, buy-in doubled, lost win and continued playing got me up to 5 to 6 times the buy-in. Lost 1 to 2 times the buy-in. Stop or continue, plenty of 'won' ammunition to possibly get up to double what I had in front of me. Meaning 9 or 10 or 11 times the buy-in or double the four times buy-in and win sitting in front of myself. I wanted to stop, but equally as much, I wanted to continue. I stopped and cashed out.

I could have continued and maybe won a lot more than what I did, but I know of the extreme frustration that could have set in if I continued to lose and I am not a close friend with that kind of frustration.

Frustration is dangerous and frustration makes good/great players do stupid things. Remember that.

I had a nice win. Now at least a week or more without going back. And when I do, it is back to my same Level and Plateau before that win, I am comfortable with and I know I am at. Anything else IMO, experience and knowledge, is not to my advantage in anyway whatsoever.

Reality is still king and will always be the number one thing that allows you to win and the number one thing as well, that causes you to lose at a session.

I have written about it many times in one form or another. But, it seems with the questions I receive and the previous comments, most people do not understand it or simply choose to ignore it. As well, I see it consistently at the baccarat table no matter where I play at.

What do I mean, the following is what I mean. The reason the table game is there in the first place is, the money generates to the casino property for its existence. If you think you can go in and beat the house with any kind of simple or elaborate Wagering schedule, that will stand up to what the shoe presents, shoe after shoe, you are 100% dead wrong my friend. And that is a good example of reality at play. Consistently at play that is, shoe after shoe. 

Do not fool yourself. Reality will govern how you think, how you wager and how your plans with their entire 'perfect', well thought out and strategic thinking will actually play out in the casino. Why? Because of influence, perception and your very own self-confidence with ego mixed right within. All of it equals emotional frustration at some point, that can jeopardize the best of plans. Reality will add unknown amounts of influences to almost all players. 

Be careful at the table. You have to remain completely conscious as to what you are doing. Easier said than done. I do not mean looking at the scoreboard or following someone on an extreme heater or someone losing every wager and betting the opposite. I do not mean wagering for the anti-streak or following the streak. I do not mean anything about actual bet selection whatsoever.

Reality is the presentments of the shoe without any other influences whatsoever. Not the shuffle, not the cut or the burn. Not a whole host of other things. Reality is going to prove an unknown number of chops, streaks, ones and twos, doubles, triples, and any combination of those types of trends, without rhyme or reason. Reality will also produce a completely different outcome in the following shoe or possibly close to the same, no telling until it is said and done. Reality could and quite frequently produce an extremely predictable Section of presentments or perhaps a totally unpredictable section of events. That is a good example of reality at play as well.

Reality dictates you will win if you wager with the shoe rather than a much harder task of, wagering for the shoe to present what you desire. 

If you do not believe what I am saying here, go to the casino with a set mechanical schedule of wagering selections or any other set of beliefs as to why and how hands form. Wager just those while ignoring the entire surrounding of everything and anything. Does not matter how many wagers your schedule is, three or six or nine or 18 or every hand. Play that and keep playing just that. See how long and how much you can profit week after week.

Once you understand what reality truly is at the baccarat table, you will become a more profitable player with a larger hold of the wins and much better control of your losses.

You must understand Linear Estimates. Then you must have experience with Baccarat.

I have written, " The card count and everything related to it cannot be applied in any way that would consistently allow a player to be advantaged............"

So there is a larger amount of sevens, eight, nines and tens in the remaining cards. First, many  would choose to believe that would favor the player's  side. But I must argue that belief. There has to be numerous aces through sixes remaining as well. And that is the problem of card counting in baccarat as compared to blackjack.

In blackjack it easily works because large value cards mixed with either large value or smaller value cards are great as well as, 2 large value cards.  Almost any mixture of a large value card and small value card with the exception of tens benefits the player nicely in blackjack with a third card of a larger value benefiting the player as well.  7-(A/2/3/4)-(8/9/10) as an example. 

But in baccarat the random variables are just non-beneficial to a specific side when pitted against each other at the same time. The problem is, with card counting and assigning point values, the player is attempting to recognize the assignment of cards remaining within the shoe.  Cutting a very very long story short, you will never be able to assign three things. 

1)  Regression.  Because regression is needed to assign a real-valued output to each input.

2)  Sequence Labeling.  Which assigns a number of sequence of values that you absolutely need for Baccarat.

3)  Data Structuring.  Which is a collection of the values of the relationships, functions and operational significance with the ability to apply the data to the point values of the remaining cards.

Hence, the above can never be done with a baccarat shoe because of the astronomical amount of variability due to the 4, 5, or 6, card non optional draw combinations that form each hand. 

And counting cards in Baccarat will only give the player a false sense of system, that will cause greater losses than wins.  Don't believe me???  Go ahead and count, heck the casino supplies pens and cards right there for you to write it all down, you don't even have to memorize anything.  Seriously.

Much has been written on baccarat, however the highest majority of the published books, manuals and Internet Experts are offering worthless and even harmful material. As far as the systems available, they are virtually worthless as well.

There are 'useful' and 'proven' advantages that if coupled with experience, playing with complete conscious thought and knowledge of avoiding emotional distractions, can and will give the player powerful tools to allow him to capitalize on opportunistic chances that do present themselves quite frequently.

With the above said, here's the problem. Unlike roulette, craps, etc., Baccarat is played with a shoe of cards that are not continuously shuffled or compromised in anyway after the initial shuffle and burn cards are removed, because there are no player options to draw or stand, etc. So, all in all, the events happening in sections of the shoe are not truly independent, they are set to be presented and will be presented no matter what any player may do, wager or believe. While it may not be immediately apparent that all those Systems and Mechanical Pattern and Wagering selections are doomed, they really are.

You see, the game of baccarat has extremely enormous variability in its results, which easily confuses systems and mechanical pattern wagering players into believing they are playing with a winning system.  And as well, that huge variability easily fools and causes frustration among the others that believe they found an easy game to capitalize on.

The card count and everything related to it cannot be applied in any way that would consistently allow a player to be advantaged. In fact, it would in most cases, be harmful to the player. This is because the linear count is either saying we have an advantage when we do not or we greatly overestimate our advantage when we do not really have one at all. And if you truly understand linear estimates you will clearly see what I am talking about.

To me this states in black-and-white that the best linear estimate is not the best estimate to use in baccarat. Perfect card counting in baccarat would produce horrible results and linear counting systems along with any type of progressive (positive or negative) systems by definition do even worse.

Hence my conclusion. You have to employ a solid Money Management Method that guarantees a hold and application of your wins, along with opportunistic wagering employing positive progressions within a section of the shoe before the turning point. That is the must intelligent way to play the game with any type of advantage for risking your capital. As far as some Holy Grail Angle to beat the game of baccarat, it simply does not exist.

There will be NO posting of links of any type if the member does not have 50 posts. 

I will not tolerate SPAM & UNAPPROVED ADVERTISING of any type on this forum!

If you have over 50 posts, you may post links, etc.  However, if those links are not related to a post and strictly for marketing/sales purposes, I will also prohibit those.  If you choose to sponsor the forum, then we can discuss sponsorship with banners and advertising, etc. 

Respectfully,
Alrelax
Admin & Board Owner

Drawdown

The importance of drawdown is extremely large. Do not discount the importance, value or advantage it will allow you to have. As you will lose singular, multiple and numerous wagers in-between your wins, you must have a buy-in large enough to survive the downside you are subject to. And within that buy-in you have your drawdown. 

What Is It?

It is the size of your buy-in with the amount of your wagers you can lose before you begin to capitalize on the game. Simply it affords you the chance(s) to apply your wager preferences and strategies to materialize.

How Do You Plan Your Drawdown?

Naturally the larger the better. At least in most cases. But practicable versus reality, is the case for the highest majority of all players.  You will need to incorporate your drawdown amount with your M.M.M. Your drawdown is not always your initial buy-in. Although I personally favor one buy-in, and the buy-in as a risk capital, the drawdown is virtually the buy-in, within most all cases. If you favor planning for multiple buy-ins rather than a singular one, then your drawdown will be split as well.

As each of us wager differently, flat betting, progressives, etc., You need to generalize your bet sizes and the amount you are comfortable to lose. Then you need to divide the amount of wagers by your comfort level and you will come up with a drawdown amount. Example. You are comfortable losing $4,500. You wager $150 with one time negative progressions occasionally.  You generalize you can lose 12 to 20 wagers before you win a series of wagers you can apply your wins to your M.M.M. for application to a 1/3rd, 1/3rd, 1/3rd, system or something similar. So $150 times 20 equals $3,000 and say 10 negative progressions at $150 each equals  an additional $1,500. So, you need a $4,500 drawdown amount. IMO, you should also have a three times wager of an extra amount and in this case I'll give it my preference of $200 wagers if I had a base wager of $150, for another $600 total.  Add another $600.

EXAMPLE

Base Wagers:  $150.00 X 20 = $3,000.00
Negative Progressions:  $150.00 X 10 = $1,500.00
Extra Wagers:  $200.00 X 3 = $600.00

A $5,100.00 Drawdown would be a very comfortable amount in the hypothetical wagering scenario of $150.00 by a player that engages in some negative progressions as well. 

Control Of Your Game

Do not allow your buy-in, drawdown, etc, to control your game. To a certain extent, your decision making process including your wagering amounts must not be totally controlled by your drawdown size, buy-in balance, etc.

Use your drawdown as a guideline, replace it immediately with your wins and use it if you are less than even money. When you capitalize on your game, apply your every so often cumulative wins to your M.M.M. The rest will work itself out in your advantage, if you are employing a solid M.M.M.

Cumulative Wins

Wins should be maintained sideways from your buy-in/ drawdown amount. As I said, use your sporadic cumulative wins to replace your lost Wagers and begin your other 1/3rd, 1/3rd, set-asides as well. This is Paramount!  That is the most important task you must engage in for proper M.M.M., that will give you a solid advantage to maintain both your win profits and your buy-in.

If you question several different financial experts to define risk and draw down, you will get unclear answers. What you will get is various ramblings of incomplete ideas, attempting to describe variables that might contribute to risk, but not what the risk actually is. Very similar to what systematic gambling writers often write about as well as how casinos and  the industry present the simplistic nature of each game.

So, IMO you must figure it out for yourself according to your style, desires, experience and your goals. Because it is all individualistic to each of us. However, applying a proper M.M.M., Drawdown, and the rest of it what I describe in this posting is not.

Think.  Think hard!

Not Systematic But Opportunistic

Think. Exploiting chances offered by circumstances without reference to statistics or beliefs.

I must expose the ultra importance of extreme advantage a player can give himself if he uses proper drawdown with a reasonable buy-in, in relation to his wager sizes and goals. Gambling for the player is opportunistic.  Period. Gambling for the casino is systematic.  Period.

Every gambler will face countless singular or numerous series of drawdowns, that will lead themselves to seriously question their strategies and beliefs. Learning to recognize them and deal with them positively, will probably be the hardest task each of us face. And, I must add the largest and most harmful performance each gambler faces is emotional disruption to his decision making process, that he inflicts upon himself.

While it is in your best interest to totally remove the emotion out of wagering, it is almost impossible. This is a widely debated and discussed subject for as long as I can remember. However, let's talk frankly, let's discuss the truth at most every gaming table by most every player.

Textbook psychology will dictate if strictly practiced, a player should become as in different to a win as a loss. However, becoming completely detached requires a level of confidence in a players every single game ability, and nothing else. Extremely difficult for most all players to do. But let's be conscious of it and let's work on it and remember it most of all at the gaming table.

Let me define.  The lack of good sense, the foolishness and wishful fake foresight seems to have most every player believing chasing losses is some kind of golden rule of gambling. What am I talking about? Two things. One is repetitive negative progression and the other is, continued wagering to recoup losses.  In other words, increasing your wagers until you win is so erroneous, it is catastrophic in most cases, unless you manage it through proper M.M.M., when you are winning.

Negative progression and continued wagering to recoup losses and begin to win, are perfect examples of gamblers fallacies. But they are employed day after day at most every table that exist in casinos. That is why players lose their winnings if they do not strictly adhere to a proper M.M.M. plan with a 1/3rd, 1/3rd, 1/3rd, division for your wins or something very similar to it. Why? Because two things. One, you will give up a greater percentage of wins and buy-in funds to recover previous losses because the drawdowns will destroy your bankroll that could have been employed making you profits. Two, believing that negative progressions and continued wagering to recoup losses will only lead you to ignoring randomness in your evolution of winning and losing. Even for successful gamblers. How can I state the above? Because I have had countless real experiences as well as research data for it.

What it boils down to is, players dramatically increasing their wagers after generating sizable profits during small/smaller series of wagers. The highest amount of all players lost almost all of it again in a considerable small/short amount of time if they did not subscribe to and adhere to a proper M.M.M. with something similar to my 1/3rd, 1/3rd, 1/3rd, division and application of your winnings.

Summation

Be intelligent, understand drawdown, emotional distraction, and opportunistic wagering over systematic beliefs. I will probably look a little bit foolish to say, what happens in winning is partly luck, where cause-and-effect were loosely connected. But it is true. Intelligent players will avoid the temptation of looking at outcomes and assuming they made them happen or knew they were coming. Instead, they will realize how great understanding drawdown, emotional distraction avoidance and opportunistic wagering gave them advantages while religiously capitalizing on the game when the opportunity presented itself.

Reactions based on opportunity. Realize what they are and how to take advantage of them.

I would much rather lose wagers with a positive progression of winnings and expectation; then to win wagers with a negative progression because I was playing repetitive catch up.

Patterns and Trends appear and disappear in the game of baccarat. It is a widely debated subject for as long as I can recall and I have been steadily playing this game since the 1980s. The math statisticians will claim, "Gamblers Fallacy" and the lay-person Baccarat player will claim, "Visual Observance", which entices them to wager or not wager a certain something. 

Fact is, Patterns and Trends of all types do appear and disappear with varying existence in their lengths. Always has and always will. What complicates the matter of observation and recognition is, that Patterns/Trends might be very short in length or considerably long. They can also be anywhere in between the two depending on how you judge something that is happening. Another complication that adds confusion is how Patterns/Trends enter and exit the shoe presentments.  And of course how quickly you are able to observe and act upon the presentments occurring. 

The three most important areas of Patterns and Trends are:

1). Type.  Chop-Chop, Doubles, Triples, 1's-3"s, Naturals Cut, Ties Cut or Ties Stick, Bead Plate Subsequent Repeating, Player and Bankers Streaks. 

2).  Length.  The # of hands of the entire Pattern or Trend.

3).  Enter/Exit.  The coming about of the Pattern or Trend and the Exiting of it.

There is absolutely no foolproof solid prediction or identifiers, that will be consistently correct to say when anything will occur. But those Patterns and Trends will most certainly happen without rhyme or reason.   

There are also varying strengths of the duration and repetition of the Pattern or Trend itself. To better understand varying strengths, you must understand what Sections and Turning Points are and their limited amount of hands that form them.

It does not really matter why those Patterns and Trends appear and disappear, or how they come about or do not come about. The absolute object is to win as much as you can when they do appear. They appear and are showcased by the presentments they are making. Simple.

Here—an example. Think!

The exact same as football think about it. Touchdowns. Run 80–90+ yards. Happens, but few and far in between the regular, every day plays and games. Can there be more than one huge completed play in the last few minutes? Sure, it happens, what about the 2021 Kansas City Chiefs and the Buffalo Bills, 4th quarter? Just an example.  Look at all the 'IMPOSSIBLES" within those few minutes.  No different than Bac.

Look at YouTube, Bills Vs. Chiefs 2021 AFC Divisional Game.

Winning. Chop/doubles/triples/quadruples, next. It will happen in small sections frequently. Sometimes consistently for a large section 18-30 hands and sometimes smaller sections, over and over and over again with different types of Patterns/Trends, but none the less, Patterns and Trends. Always has been and always will be. No need to debate the existence or the non-existence of them, because they will always come about.

You must totally understand and respect; drawdowns, smaller buy-ins and larger wager amounts. All three will come into play and you need to be conscious of them and understand each and know how to manipulate and use them. Here's an example of pumping it up and going with the flow when you were winning.

   6 Wagers                                   3 Wagers

  $300                                           $300
  $300    (win = 600 profit)            $600  ($300 back to stack) 
  $300    (win = 900 profit)            $900  (win = $1,800 profit)                           
  $300    (win = 1,200 profit)
  $300    (win = 1,500 profit)
  $300    (win = 1,800 profit)

Which set of wagers would you rather engage in?  Think!  Most of us do not at the bac table while everything is happening. 

You have to understand what a win is. Once you do, you will be able to wager heavier when you recognize it and as well, when it is optimum to your wagering desires reverting to lighter wagers or stopping when it is going away.

From years of experience: Do not dwell and put off wagering when you are into a Pattern or Trend formation because IMO, that is the number one confuser and destroyer of 'easy money' and 'quick profits' at the baccarat table.  Another highly debatable subject, but I stand by what I just said.

FACT. Math, stats, house edges and whatever advantage we're used in the past, that was game specific are all not applicable to the shoe at the instant time you are sitting down to. Why? Because you will not lose or win the amount of whatever it was before, that you claim edge or advantage percentages to and that's another reason so many baccarat  players miss apply their own knowledge and experience they can easily benefit from.

The one thing that will hold pretty accurate, is if you specifically Wager a certain something, time and time again, you will end up losing large sums of your bank roll. Because nothing stays the same, over and over, shoe after shoe, in the game Baccarat. Nothing. The same thing(s) that allowed you to win, will cause you to lose as well. Get it in your mind and live by it. Think about it, with an open mind and you will see that. So simple and so factual, but so few really do believe it.  Just thinking about that electronic scoreboard and what I just wrote.  The casino spends thousands and thousands of dollars for the purchase and the maintenance of, it is probably the number one reason they are there. The casinos witness every shoe where the players lose their money saying and pointing to that scoreboard about what they desire to come about, because it did previously or on other shoes and it doesn't appear. It's like a billboard saying PURCHASE ME I AM COMING AROUND, and then a few minutes later, sorry not right now.

Why do players lose all of their buy-in almost always? Because of the previous paragraph. Because they attempt the same, over and over and over. False perceptions. Full of them in so many aspects. Be careful. Think. Realize.

Another player disadvantage is the attempt to get back their previous loss or two. Then a burst of win will come the players way and he has no definitive plan. You have to be able to realize with absolute certainty, the thoughts that are not panning out for whatever reason(s).

Winning Within Sections.

Pumping it up with positive progression and aggression. A 1-3-2-6 or a full win parlay with subsequent pull down each following win is IDEAL.  $250 initial bet, $250 win, $500 bet and pull down every subsequent $500 win.  First and second wager is at risk and starting with the third win, you recoup your $250 risk and profited $250 as well. If you can survive a fourth win you will be ahead $750 and have $500 still in play risk-free from your buy-in.

THINK!  Progressive and aggressive wagering will help trump flat betting by far.

When  to Wager. 'Reasonable By Realized'. I like that saying. You have to bring into existence. Cause to seem real by actual money. Then you feel it. Apply and consistently be achieved. Use the winnings for a proper 1/3, 1/3, 1/3 M.M.M. allocation and you'll be on your way to profit and not being a loser.

Pulling It Down With Complete Control.

When losses begin you must pull down your wagers with 100% emotionless reflection, no matter the following hands outcomes!!!  You have to be able to figure out if it's a few hand losing occurrence or a more domineering losing time that you cannot come out of. The worst thing to do is sit there and enter into the, 'should have, didn't do and lost so many easy hands to win' scenario. You will become your biggest enemy and buy-in/bankroll killer if you engage in that stupid witnessing and tormenting of a decision you made. Yet, so many players stand there and torture them selves, re-enter the game and I would say the upper 90 percentile of them, straight loose at that point. I just gave you years and years of experience. I hope some some people can take it to heart and use it to improve their game.

Equally as important is knowing when to quit. You better figure it out and subscribe to it with absolute conviction.

Not Chasing Anything.

Chasing is the absolute worst emotional inflection you can impose upon yourself!  PERIOD.  Chasing destructs buy-ins, bankrolls and good/great players. Hard and fast.

Baccarat is the easiest game to win and lose. Think. Realize. Do not fall prey to all of the common every day misunderstandings and when you do win, be smart, be stable and know what to do with those winnings. I've written about it many times, go back and read them because they will help you and not hurt you.

Now The Downside to Following A Pattern/Trend.

1s and 2s.  Made a 3 and kept going for 8, 10, 12 hands repeatedly.  You lost.  Playing the chop.  Goes double, you lost.  Wager the double and it goes chop, you lost.  An easy plan, but not very easy to keep it in a Win mode or maintain your absolute lack of emotional neutrality and pure focus.

Emotions and frustrations set in and it gets worse when you start losing. That is why I continuously write about emotions and frustrations causing cloudiness and the inability to focus and capitalize on presentments that would otherwise be extremely easy to follow and profit from.

When the 4 IAR comes, so many swear it will cut, maybe when it is strong sections, very little chop, or straight 1s and 2s, but waiting for a 4 IAR, wagering for it to cut and make a unit or two, I just never witness the profit being held onto. I always witness it being given back in attempted repeats. 

And as the highest majority of so many players fail to realize, a consistent and mechanical wagering bet will bankrupt you.  What happens is, many people render the factual (what is actually happening) as absolute because of their own failure to understand positiveness and the negativity of randomness.

You have to understand what are just 'beliefs' rather than 'suspended reality'.

Beliefs are made up of:

Emotions
Thoughts
Previous experiences
Projection of what you desire

Suspended Reality is made up of:

Presentments as they are forming
Sections and Turning Points
Equalization and up to a + - 10/ + - 20 leeway (as the turning points)
1s, 2s and 3s

Please Note:  Ref the +-10/+-20 leeway, the turning points I refer to, are NOT the 'Turning Points' that stop and start Sections.  They are the turning points whereas, the equalization begins for the side that is minus/negative. 

Ideally, you need to find a connection to a source. Then let it flow. Your wagering and MMM of wins.

Don't get caught up. Go with it. No matter if your beliefs and/or confidence is there with the wager because once you lose with strong beliefs and/or confidence on something, you will generally hold it against yourself and that is no good for winning ability in any way whatsoever.

View your wagering as a channel. A temporary read, a short path to stay on track.   Get on, be safe, profit, get off. There's nothing else. Think about that.

There are plenty of sections that you will have perceived to happen. And they did. You will not always understand how they came about, the order of them or how and why and what you expected was not present. You have the absolute freedom to choose. Positive or negative. To follow or not to follow. To cut or stick because of anything.

So many players will always tend to favor various things prior to their wagering, that causes them to make a decision. It works at times and it does not work at others. But in my opinion and that of many many others, what they are doing is causing themselves to completely miss most opportunities that could be capitalized on.

If you get caught up into any type of systematic scheduled wagering, IMO, experience and intensive research, you are going to get harmed. 

Know what the game is. Know what the game is not. Be smart. Be conscious. Think clear and non-biased when you wager.

Thanks,
Alrelax
Admin/Forum Owner & Baccarat Player

The truth can be tough.
Nature of deception is usually unknown.
Nature of wanted or desired thoughts usually are never even thought about.

'Table" beliefs leading to wrongs are extremely prevalent at the gaming table and leads the highest majority of all to the 'wrongs'.

Be CAREFUL.  Be SMART.  Be CONSCIOUS.

Not always the easiest things to do at a baccarat table, while playing with your real money in real time. But if you want to be successful and make money, you have to be those three things every single minute of your session.

Inability to distinguish.

Good information from bad. Fact from fiction. Belief from evidence.

Those three things are normally what happens to most Baccarat Players especially the first few years of their play, some unfortunately carry it longer than that.  But they never truly understand critical thinking. They only try to relate their correct decisions with that to form numerous beliefs, which are usually really just fiction. And at best only non-fiction for a occasional shoe or two ever so often, fueling huge misinformation's and dead ends wasting numerous bankrolls.  Sad but so very true!

They wind up believing things they should not.

Question the beliefs (why).

Inability to make educated decisions because there are no structural agenda. In so many words, a guess and a hope turns into the structure that was not evidenced or results triggered by a protocol of established agenda, in any way shape or form.

People are used to textbook agendas and answers to learn. When they face other unknown avenues, they usually convince  themselves they have conquered without actually doing do.

Something else you must realize and use to your advantage if you want to be a good player and earn money.

Mind plays tricks. The mind invents things and you believe them as actually happening especially when money is involved.

Excuses, not to wager something are always there.

Why do you need a pattern/trend that is redundant-consistent-reappearing, etc., etc.?

Why not wager on it while it is appearing and except it as a random/trend pattern?

Why do you have to be ahead of the shoe in prediction?

There are plenty of others, I just wanted to throw those out there as they came to mind right away. The game Baccarat is there for picking and easily made money with if you can control the many aspects of what your brain will dictate what your hand does with your Buy-in at the table.

Make sure all of your information and beliefs come from proper foundation.

Meaning, not from emotional reflections, attempts to discredit and combat on forums, junk sources such as system sellers or infomercial sources and so on.

Think. Really sit down and think. And I am not talking about watching a YouTube infomercial or reading drama driven threads on other forums  or elsewhere. Of which, either are in their own way like a pat on the back to those without much experience or say a solid few years of real life financially gaining or losing type of experience. Hence, false foundation sets in. And false foundation will cost you bankroll after bankroll after bankroll.

There are three elements that must be adhered to in 'Proper Foundation'.

Authenticity—Reliability—Relevance

Authenticity.  Simply perseverance, self discipline and in reality. Not coming from emotional reflections, forum-based drama and of course, system sellers and infomercials. Most of all not biased based broadcast by a prejudice source no matter what the source. 

Reliability.  Be able to recognize the information into real time stability and consistency, that is virtually or near virtually free from errors.

Relevance.  The comparison of the info within reliability and the actual game itself. Relating to timeliness, comparability, and the understandability of it allowing you to uniformly interface it to your advantage. Time and time and time again.

There are many parts to good solid MMM. Probably the most important Single aspect of one is the drawdown.  A drawdown is the amount of buy-in you will lose before you really start winning.

You and the results of your wagering have to do the management of your money. The Management of your Money is the Method. Money Management Method.

From what I have observed over the years, there is a large misconception of win money.  Most all players are under the belief that they must replenish their last lost buy-in to get 'EVEN' and then accumulate some kind of a unknown profit amount as well. 

You must reserve your buy-in after you have won, do not risk it any further. You must divide up your winnings when you do win. Towards Bankroll. Towards Pocket. Towards Continued Play.  Those three revert back to my 1/3rd, 1/3rd, 1/3rd, I have often wrote about.

All the testing you desire, will only add real confusion along with misrepresentation of what the game is actually about. Seriously be careful what you practice and attempt to figure out. Live it in real play and be serious.  RNG's and their results are not awfully similar to live baccarat.  RNG's in free play mode are much more predictable and use as a definite 'suck in' to whatever online game they are promoting you to be part of.  BE CAREFUL!

System sellers and authors with purpose and those that live for drama and attention are worthless IMO. They are a very sad part of almost all online commentary and forums.

When a players buy-in is near depletion, those players tend to wait until the last second to make tough decisions and they know within several lost wagers they have few choices. Their whole vision is being out of money, not the productive vision of positive selections and direction, but last minute try anything to get their buy-in back, type of thinking.

Make wagering decisions that allow you to build buy-ins, bank roles and set partial wins aside for your pocket. If you do not do that you will not be successful. I promise you.

Everything virtually the same, you will only relive the bad wagers fueled by two things. #1, your LOST BUY-IN. #2, your LACK OF WINNINGS. Think about it!