You know what is so sad at the bac table, witnessing all those people believing the written hype and B.S. on the Internet!

This is going to be a tough thought to get across, but it set into me the other night right at the active table. And that is, do not get emotionally attached or detached from what is going on. It will probably equal out and most all the times it does, referring to the Players/Bankers winning hand count within the played shoes. How it does, is usually different than the previous time, reference when and how it does. And that is kind of a key factor in successful wager, IMO.  Most certainly there are times it does not, like 40s and 20s or 30s and 20s, etc.  But far greater amount of shoes end much closer, such as a + - 1 to + - 5 range.  Remember that if you are trying to gauge yourself in some type of wagering pattern depending on the count.

There most certainly are reasons why it does but those probably never will be discovered and exposed. As far as how and when the equalization occurs in the shoes being played, that part will always be truly random allowing for all of the reasons why people wager how they do.

One of the problems with all this is the scoreboard, roads and beliefs, all staring you in the face and coupled with your beliefs, thoughts, chips and greed, power overcomes rationale at most every single turn of the game. Simple and I challenge any single one of you to say different.

Can it help? Sure. Can it hurt? Absolutely. And that is the point I am trying to get across.  Thoughts and beliefs are the two single greatest things that will either make you or break you in gambling my friend. 

You have to be able to recognize and be neutral to what and how the presentments are occurring, not for the why.  Just think about, winning. It does not matter one bit why you win, it matters what and how you won.  Remember that.

The true randomness is, what and how the presentments happen/are happening. Not why they did. Once again, you will never ever figure out the why of it. Simple.  Period.

All the writings about fictive this or that, up on losses and down on wins, adhering to random pieces of wishful thinking, etc., etc., which are believed by most to have to be presented, are such total BS it is sad and if played regularly will take your money most every single session. Might be great writing and great hope, but zero advantages and only luggage on your shoulders at the tables.

The most powerful things are, positive progressive wagering and a M.M.M., that includes 1/3rd, 1/3rd, 1/3rd in your session. 

Chart all the losses you want. Chart all the wins you want as well. Does not mean anything! Never did and never will.  That is what is truly random in this game. What wins one time, loses another or wins again in a slightly different way. There is no telling, no mechanical predicting in any way whatsoever that can make a steady profit. All of the results from tens of thousands, hundreds of thousands, millions of hands and shoes will never ever allow the serious player to earn a profit. All those results, triggers and math 'anything' will never be translated into session by session. Never ever.

What does make money in this game, serious money? That is positive progressions that you were able to wager on the side that is simply, winning. Does not matter if it is the side that is catching up, pulling ahead or both sides remaining equal in the hand count. A win is a win. What is your advantage is to be able to win more positive progressive wagers and walk out with a greater amount then your buy-in on a repetitive basis.

Trick of Baccarat.  What Casinos Love in Baccarat, Simple Yet So Misunderstood.

There are huge psychological effects the game instills on players, while you are losing as well as winning. You better research those, understand them and consequently combat them in your wagering.

So you have to look past those mathematical results, those systems being sold and partially  highlighted all over the internet and as well, published statistical results in order to figure out how to give yourself the real knowledge, you really need to win. 

Why do I say that?  Here, about those 3 things.

1.  Math.  Because the math will apply only to the total amount of results that it was derived from. Example, 1 million shoes or 80 million hands.  2 million shoes or 160 million hands.  It does not apply to the 1, 2, 3 or 4 shoes you are sitting down to play for real money, in real time, for real results. Simple. True. Proven.

2.  Systems.  Because all systems are only selective highlighted events that may or may not happen. Simple. True. Proven.  But every time someone puts a little twist and turn on some type of highlighted system event, it makes it look easy with no downsides.  People are gullible, greedy and ignorant to the true factors of the game and what it really takes  to win any amount of money people claim is fool proof or should happen without much downside, if they only buy and subscribe to their system, etc. 

3.  Statistical Results.  Because the statistical results will only apply to the same mathematical conglomeration of tests that were performed. They are not going to be reflected within the 1 to 5 shoes you were sitting down to play with real money, in real time, with real results.

There are three types of areas that produce tangible events, that happen during a shoe of Baccarat. Favorable, Neutrality and Negative.

Understand those above three areas 100% and couple those consciously with the four most important factors of playing the game.  Realize that there are areas and factors. 

First Factor.  Buy-in/Bankroll.  Your buy-in must be  only a small percentage of your bank roll.  A good safe safe percentage would be 10%.  Your bankroll must be restocked before any profits are taken if it's going to be any type of safe sound bank for you to draw from on a repetitive basis. 


Second Factor.  Understanding Drawdown.  There will be drawdown usually quite frequently before (BEFORE) you realize any type of session goal countless times. You must cooperate and realize this and not let it get you into the negative frame of mind, because of the psychological effects of losing your part or most of your buy-in, getting into the monetary negative or even losing a whole buy-in amount. 


Third Factor.  Positive Progressions.  Using positive progressions to restock your volume drawdown, lock it up and capitalize on your win money; is ultra positive in countless ways to your agenda on winning.  You better think about the aforesaid and understand it.  I guarantee you that it is clearly easier to win without  negativity whether it's on your buy-in or yourself, psychologically.  Remember that!


Fourth Factor.  Plateaus/Levels.  Understand and acknowledge your plateau and levels with total consciousness and allowing them to guide you no matter if you are winning or losing .

Here are some proven blacklisted casinos to avoid.  Be cautious, there are others out there you will have problems with.


https://www.casino.org/untrustworthy/

Sitting at the baccarat table the other night and the last hand, an F7 comes. Yes, I was on it, because of numerous reasons. But it was the 4th F7 of the shoe and it finished 41 B to 30 P.

There was a very unique occurring five times, maximum 3 chop-chop in the shoe.  There were several other events that happened as well and were capitalized on by myself and others. I will post a picture of the scoreboard once our attachment posting problem is fixed.  The majority of people made money, but in the following shoe, which was classically easy to follow, most lost quickly. 

The next shoe brought a great start, banker-player player followed by a 7 streak Banker and an F7 on the 8th hand, within the streak.  Then there was a beautiful seven time chop-chop event that happened immediately after the seven banker streak. I did extremely well. I colored up and cashed out.

The cage is not far from the baccarat table. I cashed out and went back to the table to see what was happening. It turned out there was a problem with the hand after I colored up and left. There was another chop and the banker came out. The dealer picked up the first few spots Wagers which were on the banker and the game was stopped and surveillance was called to determine what the wages were to replace them on the spots. The hand was completed and I threw up a few hundred dollars and wagered max on the F7 and the rest on the banker. They all looked at me and said, "you don't see the chop chop". My answer was, "but there was eight hands in the beginning and an F7, now you have eight chop chop and I feel another F7 is coming or banker".

Most all were on players with large wagers. Myself and one other person wagered the Banker and the F7. Cards dealt, Players have two face cards, bankers have blackjack, players pulled a six and they were all fist pumping in the air and calling out, 'chop'.  Dealer flips another six for the banker and my F7 happened.

Clearly the player side is verbally citing, WTF and saying how that should not have occurred, Etc., Etc.

But as with so many things in the game of baccarat, the same things that won previously, lose presently. And the same things that lost previously, will win presently.  That my friends is random variance defined in realistic terms. 

And while sitting there at the table during the shuffle prior to the last shoe I just described, I dwelled on how the majority, mostly, confirm the absolute unpredictability of the game-over and over and over, week after week after week, but yet continue to get sucked in by the casino's score board. 

NOTE:  I will post both pictures of those two shoes as soon as the attachment for posting pictures is fixed on our forum. Thank you.

Many might have noticed I had all the online casino banners and advertising removed from my forum.

Why?  Because of their dishonesty and outright lies.  Yes, we would get a commission based upon sign ups and plays.  When I questioned the online casino officials, they told me a ridiculously low number of sign ups and play from my forum the past months. 

Well I signed up myself and had another 4 people open accounts as well. Those 5 accounts were never accounted for and added to my forum's tally and commissions. 

As well, I had one member claim he was cheated and he stated his case to me.  I believe him and his proof was rock solid. 

So it clearly appears to me, they do these sort of things on a regular basis, therefore they can do their business on The Wizard of Vegas and other gambling forums, NOT MINE!

Thanks,
Alrelax
Forum Administrator & Owner

Few upgrades are being performed including fixing problems that exist reference attaching pictures, etc.

The forum is going to be in maintenance mode intermittently during the first days of March while this fix and the new badges code is being implemented.

Thanks for your understanding and patience.

Respectfully,
Alrelax
Administrator and Forum Owner

Banker had 2 times, 3 IAR and the third cards for the first 3IAR were a 6-8-9 in that order.  The only other guy and myself say to each other, that 7 is coming, look we had 3 perfect setups for an F7 win if we got a 7 card on any of those 3rd ones.  Then the second 3 IAR, the third cards for that 3 IAR were a 6-9-8 in that order.  Another perfect set of 3 chances if we only got a 7. 

This was the beginning of the shoe.  The first 3 hands were 3 IAR banker, then a player, then a banker, then a player, then 2 bankers, then a player, then the second set of 3 IAR bankers came.

Only the other guy and myself at the table playing.  We were both betting max Fortune 7 each time.  So like 12 hands were out now.  I looked at him and said, what do you think?  He shrugs his shoulders and says, no feeling.  He places min wager on both the players and the bankers and a very small F7 wager.  It was a tie.  He does it again, and it was a players win.  I sat out both times. 

After that second time, I was like, this isn't going anywhere.  I wagered bankers side but no F7 wager.  The other guy playing is back on banker and max F7 wager.  Dealer deals.  Players have an 8 and a 2.  Bankers have 2 face cards.  Players third card is a 6.  Bankers third card was a friggin 7 for the F7 win.

Why is it almost always like this?  The first hand sitting the F7 wager out and it appears.  Happens quite frequently IMO.  Not just with F7 wagers, but with increased large wagers on P or B and also ties, etc, etc. 

Some type of phenomenon I guess. One of many, within an actual B&M bac shoe when you really think about it.

An Edge Without A Physical Bias

First, a disclosure. An Edge Without A Physical Bias.  That is what wins the game for me, when I concentrate and truly adhere to all the things I spend time to detail and write about on the board.  Some will go into dialog about my posts are too wordy, too long, too hard to understand, etc.  But, I am very sorry, there is no other way for me to explain as there are just numerous variables I have found that play parts together to make up each session's outcome.  And yes, I do throw in analogies and a few other things as well, you can always skip my threads, no problem. 

Physics?  You just cannot grasp anything to do with it?  Mathematical and statistical adherence to what the pros (the real ones [LOL] you know, they are the bonafide and certified ones) say the test results produced and yet you still lose?  Complete failure to understand anything to do with those?  Perhaps you understand it is sheer greed and if you can only control yourself with a tiny bit of profit you can multiply that by 30 and make a heck of a great living sipping drinks all day and lounging at the casino table without a boss, the way certain members of many gambling forums claim that they do, especially the ones that post repetitively the same short concise statements saying that they do.  You know you actually over-stay every session you play and yet, you still stay when losing no matter how much you already won and when winning, you can never leave---so you are totally convinced that you have it all figured out and will literally beat the casino but somehow you just can't pull it off.  Those are just a few of the scenarios that exist in everyday real life at the casino but there are so many more.

I have spent decades gambling in Brick & Mortar casinos, never on-line.  I have numerous family members in all 3 of the largest gaming jurisdictions of the USA in some type of upper management positions, mostly in marketing or in table game operations.  I know about gaming and I know about players as well, I know about casinos.  IMO, it is no different than a retail store or a service business that has specialties they offer to the industry.  Marketing, salesmanship, industry press releases, perception, what the market will bear, and so on will set the prices, the need, the willingness to support one or more businesses of the same type, the poor quality business and the high quality class act ones as well. 

Stores selling merchandise at below inventory wholesale costs, to attract customers that will usually wind up spending far in excess of what the business would lose if people failure to act on impulse, desire, greed, desire, eye-candy and many other factors of the same nature.  Value has a lot to do with gambling and something few of us actually think about.  Basically, I say when you don't have it or never did, there really is not much value when you actually get it.  Meaning, you don't have the slightest clue what you have because you already have it.  Sounds contradictory, but I plead with you, that it is probably 99% spot on in most every case.  It's just the way our desires, emotions, greed and everything else mixed up inside of us, works and governs each of us at the casino table!  Especially with money and hard assets.

An attempt to understand the casino system and what their largest ammunition really is, would be the understanding of the following:  "People are under the illusion that they can outsmart the system", just by recording and scoring games or thinking their money management system will govern themselves or a host of other pure and sheer fallacies.  And the first part of that sentence holds true to the hundredth power with so many things including; police/detective work, retail offering, and employment background screening investigations, liquor licensing applications and thousands of other things as well!  Once you really understand that sentence and how you look at things you learn, research, attempt to apply and will wager with, then you are starting your journey down the correct path.

But it all boils down to the human brain, with desires, greed, lust and a host of other things along those very same lines.  Fortunately, for the casinos and unfortunately for the players, almost every single one of us has those things instilled in us from a very early age.  It all started with your mom and dad and their 'rewards', for yourself when you were good and those same things taken away when you were bad.  Then you learned how to milk the system and then manipulation you taught yourself without even knowing it.  You found the sweetness of self-rewarding yourself with the 'fruits of your desires', sort of saying.  Each of us has it and each of us deals with that in many different ways, some good and others not so good.

"Gamblers have a stronger misconception of randomness and are so willingly to bet on it". 

Please understand the words, Misconception, Understanding, Interpretation, Inaccurate and Inadequate, they are specifically different and very relative to gamble, but in the attempt to keep this from being way too long, I am saying, Misconception.  I have termed it, probability matching, and that is a side effect all humans are subjected to at the gaming table.  Especially when they are winning large or losing large.  It was instilled in our pre-human ancestors when they were out hunting and searching for food.

Evolution has primed us to have a low threshold for detecting patterns.  That is the physiological bottom line.  You would learn that in Psych 101.  That is medical science, nothing I made up.  So that very same thing will affect your gambling decision making thought process.  And that is exactly my point in all this.  It is not reality sitting at that table and almost all of you think it is.  It is different, virtually the opposite and then once you have it all figured out, it reverts back the other way.  And those my friends are all the parts that throw the mathematical and statistical data right into the garbage can every time. 

The down sides and why there are actually down sides you can detect. Because it is that we get a lot of false alarms.  In the casino, that equates to losses.  In almost everything else, we chalk them up to and use them as rejections, mistakes, learning, improving, necessary happenings, etc.  But in the casino, they equate to devastating losses and missed wins/profits.  That is the key element to the entanglement of your mind and its ability to continue to play, figure out and stick to whatever can win and get away from what cost you not to wager on correct presentments, etc.

Generally, those false alarms are harmless to most, but that is not always the case.  In so many player's agendas, they will convince themselves what is correct to wager upon, as to what is coming out or what has not came out, or what is supposed to happen according to the numbers, etc.  That is the key triggers that so many, most all will fall prey to.  Gamblers place money on those, no matter if they admit or not that was their reasoning.  Some will wager large amounts of money and other will grind it slowly with smaller amounts.  And no matter the value of their wagers, it does not matter.  They will do it repetitively and consistently.  Then they win some or lose some and that does not even matter.  They will wager against whatever they were wagering on that won, then they continue to lose.  Or they lose when they actually convinced themselves, that they were supposed to have won, but they did not follow doctor or wizard, 'so and so', math and stats that proved rightfully correct.  So then they lose their intelligence per-se and they become controlled by their desires, their emotions, and other factors that cannot and will never be able to match with certainty, their wager with each upcoming presentment.  The more they play, the more they lose.  Even when they win, they only fueled themselves with false fuel to keep going.

Then what happens? Well I have observed, that right about the time the people will point to whatever allowed them to feel that they choose the right side by matter of intelligent choice, nothing really existed that will allow them to repeatedly use just that in upcoming presentments that will be a solid 51% or greater positive experience on a consistent basis from thereon out.  Please re-read that and understand that, because that right there is a major key in understanding yourself and the reason for control in the game of baccarat.  And there is a double whammy to this as well.  That is, the strongest patterns and trends are always the worst for most players these days.  Because they challenge the strongest parts and have either convinced themselves or had themselves convinced, that baccarat is a true 50-50 game, a game that always equals itself out and you can prevail if you only wager against anything that is repeating itself or dominants.

Then the losses start, their impulsiveness starts as well.  Reducing or increasing pattern recognition becomes the key to success which will not ever come about the conventional way.  Meaning, by reading the books by the doctors, the wizards, the self-proclaimed professional gamblers, the X dealers and casino personnel, etc.  Buying systems guides or being exclusively mentored and tutored or joining a $50.00 a month elite club of want to be millionaire gamblers, etc.  It will not happen no matter how much you believe that it just might.  Sorry, but that is the cold hard truth of the day.

And if you can even begin to really understand what I just said, then you might be one of the few, the very few that might survive the 'Flip of the Switch'.  We all seem to unknowingly inflict ourselves with false fuel, continued torture and just plain, guaranteed losing when we found ourselves with that last, 'all in' wager, or the other one, 'all or nothing', types of wagers.  Winning and losing without letting yourself get beat down, by using a buy in which is only a smaller percentage of a bank roll and a bank roll that is administered properly is the start.  The rest of it will depend on your ability to remove yourself from everything I mentioned, desires, emotions, the mindset that allows yourself to think you have an edge to beat the casino, etc.  We continually let ourselves literally lose our money, the casino does not take it, you give it to them with the decisions you made.  The blame only adds more false fuel and further bad intelligence to your game.  I promise you that.

We give them our money because of our blatantly wrong information, data and beliefs we choose to believe. Almost all gamblers will do the proper research, engage in training, obtain the proper information for almost all their non-gambling activities such as, seeding and fertilize their lawns, sports, hobbies, crafts, etc.  But when it comes to gambling, once again, almost everyone believes in that, 'I can outsmart the system' type of intelligence that will only repeatedly hurt them until they are broke.

What is the, 'Flip of the Switch'?

'Flip of the Switch', is complicated, but for sake of keeping it to a couple of sentences, it is the player's thought process that will govern him with the recognition of patterns, trends, and whatever else he is convinced will be the next presentment from the shoe.  His wagering on that without regards to reality and then being sucked into gambling fallacy, LOCK, STOCK & BARREL.  The gambler has no idea that he actually wagered on his impulse and not on a tangible pattern, trend, or other defined presentment as he was really thinking he was doing.

Hence, 'Flip of the Switch'. In other words, the lights were turned out on the player.  He lost once again.  Simple.  As well, once the action starts, say 4 Bankers appear, half the gamblers next to him just know and say out loud, how it has to cut back to the Players side and begin to wager for such.  The rest of the people there, just know it has to continue and streak with the Banker.  So a switch gets flipped in the person's brain somewhere, changing the way we each define the game.

And when you don't have the experience, the knowledge, the insight and much more, the compelling biases are truly overwhelming, 'Flipping of your Switch', when you are in the game playing, actual play with actual money.  And if you lose and are losing more than you are winning, it is not the auto shuffler, it is not the unlucky dealer, it is not you lost count of the VIN/SAP Counts, it is not the failure of the Banker to continually excel the way it is supposed to, it is not the failure of the shoe to produce an exact replication of those 1,000,000 shoes broken down to the 3 or 5 or 10 you sat down to gamble at, etc., etc., and so on.  It was the fault of your wagering in direct conflict with what legitimately came out of the shoe, no matter if you wagered or not. You were just convinced to wager on the losing side because of the numerous factors I wrote about earlier and those factors turn very quickly into strong compelling biases that almost everyone has no idea what they are or how to figure them out.

And therefore, with yourself deep into biases, you play and play and play and believe compelling biases that cannot and will not hold up on a regular and a consistent basis totaling the majority of your play.  Unless and only unless, you can twist, turn and manipulate the same system that legally, with precision a well-planned entire scenario, relies on human nature to wager with their desires coupled with greed, that governs the player based on their beliefs that wreak havoc on their emotional and financial life.

Posted 8-22-2019.  Revisited 2-26-23 because of the way so many people (gamblers) convince themselves that the shoe at the table has to do what they desire.  Not to present what it is setup to produce.  Thanks, talk later, Alrelax.

1)  Magic # for a streak to start, in your experience/opinions and why?  I recently posted two shoes in my 'Equalling Out' thread.  Both good examples with my thoughts regarding the beginning of a streak.  Both pictures posted below as well.  (NOTE:  1-2-3s common, every shoe.  4-5s very common, most shoes.  6s are common, sometimes a shoe without, but plenty are common as well.  7s a bit rarer and IMO begin a streak).

2)  Sitting down and losing from jump street.  Lose 5-6-7 are more in a row.  Then win 1 or 2.  Then start losing again.  What happens to your mind frame and beliefs?  Do you come out of it and start wining?  If you start losing like this, is that pretty much doom for your session through your experiences?  As we all know, if you don't play, you can't win.  But how does, hard negative entrance to the session affect you and your chances?

3)  Watching others looking for mathematical and/statistical absolution to be verified by repetitive appearances before wagering on it.  Then when they do, maybe a win or two comes forth, but whatever it was-fizzles out and the losses mount.  See it all the time, whether through their own admissions and verbal explanations or just their physical actions. 

Found this photo on my phone back from 2020.  I don't believe I ever posted it. 

Good examples of Sections, Equaling Out, and most of all the 14 Bankers followed by a quick makeup of 12 players almost immediately. 

Will comment more later tonight. 

According to my note in my phone, I'm missing the last two hands when I snapped this picture.  There was another consecutive Player and the last hand was a Banker. 

Before all the high-tech electronics, unlimited streaming, instant expert answers to virtually any and all questions and much much more, there was great television memories on ABC NBC CBS and PBS as the basic 4.  The sirens of Adam-12, the loud roar of the engine from the Munster Koach on The Munsters, motorists being chased down the highways by "CHiPs", the helicopter blades of "MASH", the lollipop sucking take no flack Kojak, action packed medical drama of EMERGENCY and of course, bad boy bright red with that large white vector stripe Ford Gran Torino (the real star LOL) of 'Starsky and Hutch'.

And somewhere between all the high tech and those great television shows were some fantastic off the wall Baccarat games for me in Atlantic City and occasionally in Vegas that I experienced.

Like when I want to revisit the comforts of pre-streaming television, I can turn to Nick, COZI, TV LAND and several other cable TV channels and fall right back into the predictable rhythms of the new opening scene and the conflict introduced just before that first commercial break which somehow, magically, gets resolved just before the closing credits roll, each and every show.

And you know what, back in those days the baccarat room was just about the same as watching those kind of TV shows. The conflict introduced before the first commercial break, that very same conflict totally resolved prior to the closing credits began was the equivalent as to how we all viewed the shoes we played out. After that it was on to another shoe without much remembrance of any type on the previous one.  Not very many people played for the long term or played and thought anything else besides, what was happening right then and there. 

And as with most all TV shows these days which are actually mini-series, miss the beginning one and you have no real idea as to what is happening or who is who, etc.

But really with the procedural and elaborately plotted serial shows as I dub them, these days part of the appeal in my opinion is to have a low barrier to entry. Simply uncomplicated, so viewers can 'Zone Out' and scroll through their phones and won't be missing much. As long as the viewers are into them from the beginning of the season. 

A depressing commentary on attention spans these days I know, but also a real testament to the irresistible draw of the familiar.  When something is missed, just fill it in with what the viewer believes. 

Baccarat was a total different atmosphere pre-2000 and post 2000 wise that is. Pre 2000 clearly not so combative, without a doubt less systematic, staff and dealers actually trying to make the players comfortable, happy and resolve all problems prior to escalation without any doubt whatsoever.  Even the interaction among the players was generally one of total camaraderie and same side defense against the house, rather than I will wager against you and show you what a fool you really are, type of people. It really was like a TV show just generally a 2 1/2 hour classic show each episode instead of 30 minutes. 

You know what I can't help but laugh over—-all the time, how back then when the shoe was hot, almost all the players every single time would be taking large sums of chips out of the rack all in concert with each other. And these days it's almost always the complete opposite,  because I think they are following some type of miniseries for the long run. One or two people these days will be winning and all the others will be losing.

I guess today's play in so many ways really does resemble today's TV miniseries shows. It requires a full season, long run commitment. Structured that way because of things the casino has done as well as the people playing and everything they read on the high-tech Internet.

Myself, I'd rather get into it for a few hours and get spit out at the end of the shoe, with or without a profit, but not dependent upon anything except 'section' presentments, rather than being hooked into an intricate narrative-long term saga that desires to swallow you whole and maintain your presence while you are controlled by the long run waiting for your conflict to be resolved.

Quote From Asym's Posting:

"Alrelax is completely right about this: every shoe is a world apart in the sense that previous outcomes cannot noticeably affect in any way the next shoe."

Here are just a few to remember and prove the point.

There is always a trigger for one or two wagers, but that trigger will be there now and gone for the next 8 times, or occurring repeatedly for 8 times and gone the very next 8 times it comes around.  Playing a trigger or two for a flat bet or a flat bet with a Martingale either pro or neg, will only get you even in the short run and a loser in the long run, promise.

The profitable way to play baccarat is when something strong comes along, you pounce on it.  And 'Strong' does not only mean a streak of bankers or players consecutively repeating itself.  Make a couple winning wagers, positive progression the winnings and then pull down and stack up a bunch of winnings, lose the last hand when it goes away and repeat.  Then forget what happened and watch for the next 'whatever'.

And, remember you have to lose before you win.  With that said, then you continue.  Furthermore, when you win, you have to know how not to lose.

I really don't think it's a point of knowing how to win, I think it's more of a point of understanding how to win or understanding what winning is about.

But understand that you also have to understand losing. Because you cannot win without losing at times.  Those that say they found wagering 'such and such' after 'so and so' and how they hold a win of 'xyz' each and every time they play, are pure 100% liars. 

Got right in there and smacked them.  Not a giant buy-in, under $1,000.00 and walked away with almost $5,000.00 win.  Half a shoe at most.  Used a combination of several things that absolutely helped me. 

Hand 6-Fortune 7
Hand 16-Fortune 7
Hand 22-Fortune 7
Hand 39-Fortune 7

The first tie was a three card 9-9 tie.

The first F7 was players had 5 and bankers had 5 also.  Players 3rd card was a 6 and bankers was a 2. I won the F-7 plus the Dragon Bonus with a win by 6, paid 4:1.

Everyone was then heavy for the cut after the Fortune 7.  I stayed on the bankers (I always do after hitting the F7) and it was a bankers natural 9 over the players natural 8. I won the bankers wager and 1:1 on the Dragon bonus as well.

I went with the cut and made up my mind to play the true chop-chop because the way the cards were already falling.  I won the next 5 straight hands.

I lost the next two hands, 13th and 14th as I wagered the bankers.  I almost fell into the table aura as they were winning on players but held my own thoughts.  Easy to say at times and as well, hard to actually do. 

I almost stepped away from the table but the dealer change came and the lady who came in was one of my two absolute favorite dealers. She is spot on, huge energy, smiles all the time and takes no prisoners type of persona big-time!! 

She sits down and says "let's do this guys" and makes eye to eye contact with everybody. Hard to describe but just a self motivating Great Dealer.  I went with Banker. Players two card draw was a six and bankers two card draw was a seven. I stayed with Banker with a Dragon Bonus and a Fortune 7 Wager as I have been doing. Players first two cards is a nine and an ace, and the bankers first two cards are both face cards. Players third card was a 10.  Bankers third card was a 7.  Fortune 7 win again, plus 6:1 on the Dragon Bonus payout.

I made up my mind to stay with banker and play consecutively and I would be risking 1/3 of what I already won. Part of my Money Management Method that I employ the highest majority of times. My reasoning is, I would keep 2/3'rds of my win plus my buy-in, if I lost the 1/3'rd win money and I would definitely walk.

I lost the next three hands to players wins.  I thought myself to remain completely neutral, that I've been preaching and I was completely conscious of that at the table.  I will say I almost changed but I held my ground.

Same wager out on bankers with the dragon Bonus and the Fortune 7. The next was players had 2 and bankers had a 1. Players got an eight and now the whole table was on bankers, fortune seven and the dragon bonus as well. Everyone is screaming six or eight, six or eight and the dealer flops a six. Another fortune seven win with a Dragon bonus of 6 to 1 for the win by 7 points.

Stayed on the Bankers for the win after the Fortune 7 on hand 23 and won. Lost hand 24. I won hands 25 and 26 with the two bankers. 

I lost hands 27, 28 and 29. The tie was a reduction to zero for the players and a reduction to zero for the bankers.  I won the next three bankers which were hands 31, 32 and 34. I lost the single player hand 35. Now comes the highlight.

The table was full, there was great positive energy as well as contradictory negative blatant aggressive talk and looks against those winning by those that were losing. It was just the aura that was present.

Hand 36 was a three card banker eight over a players total of zero. Bankers win along with a 10 to 1 dragon bonus pay.

Everyone except me and another person went with the cut to the player. I said out loud, "I know in my heart she is going to do the same 4 Bankers with one or two Fortune 7s like she did in hands 15, 16, 17 and 18".

Hand 37 was another bankers win with a 3 card 9 over a players total of zero. Bankers win with a Dragon Bonus of 30 to 1 pay as well!  The hand was a players 3 and a bankers 4.  Players 3rd card of 7.  Bankers drew a third card of 5. 

Hand 38 was a two card bankers five over three card players total of four.

The relief dealer walks up right after everyone is already with Wagers placed, we asked her to deal one more hand and she says OK. Players have a two card blackjack and bankers have a three. Players third card was a 4, giving players a total of five.  She pulls the bankers card and myself and another couple of people are asking her for another 4, so we can get the 4th Fortune 7. I tell her, "pull another 4 for the 4th Fortune 7, another 4 to match the one you just did for the players side and another 4 to match those 4 bankers you did when you first came in. Please give us a 4".

She looks, smiles, a few of us are now standing and reciting repeatedly 4-4-4.  She flops another four. Gotta love it when it goes like clockwork!

Played the first hand with the relief dealer and lost as it was a players.  I won 15 bankers, 3 Fortune 7s, a 10:1 and a 30:1 Dragon Bonus, following my decision to stick with consecutive bankers wagers.  I lost a total of 8 wagers to the players side. 

I colored up and left.  Right at half way and it fizzled!  Some 1s and 2s, a 3 and a 4, almost no bonuses, no Fortune 7s. 

NOTE:  Best way to describe what I saw when I went back, was the highest majority of the results were producing the type of wins that were almost impossible to follow.  Whereas, you wager with the previous win and you would lose, you wager against the previous win and you would also lose.  You wager with your win and the next several hands you would lose using the same reasonings, etc.  in other words, the type of results that's inflict large amounts of frustration. 

Few shoes will allow a person to continue great wins throughout the entirety of the shoe.  Usually it is a small section, a section within a section of the shoe.  This shoe was almost a half that allowed me positive results.  I wish I was in Vegas or another higher table limit venue than where I was at. 

Thought I would share some details I remember about the decision process and thoughts I had playing.

You are limited.....
The casino is not.

You are finite.....
The casino is not.

You are fragile.....
The casino is not.

You are emotional.....
The casino is not.

You are worried about losing your money.....
The casino is not.

Now with those few things in mind, onward.

Winning, losing and pushing.  Those are the only 3 things a player can do at the casino table.  There are no other outcomes.

The results that you experience at the table will not and cannot follow any sort of governed or stable distribution of presentments or results from the shoe.  Because the possibilities as we already established are far too great to narrow down to a certain section of 80 hands or a cumulative total of 160 or 320 or 640 or 5,000 hands, and so on, that will produce what we all are seeking, winning hands.  So many people will combat just that with their defense of Martingale or their application of any one of the numerous theorems or systems that they read about or believe in. 

Seriously people, the only way to profit is to smack the casino real hard and outweigh your losses in the attempt to get to that point, each time or at least every 2, 3 or 4 times you attempt playing.  IMO, there is no other way.  Unlike paper, the computer, trials, running tests, etc., you have finite capital, period.  No two ways about it.  The casino does not. 

Let's look at that for just one paragraph here.  You have a certain amount of money to risk losing in order to win some.  Period.  So you have a very short period of time in order to accomplish that during each session.  No matter how much that figure is, it is limited.  The casino does not.  The casino has massive amounts of capital in chips and the cash within the premises by state law, ready to pay every chip displayed on the floor.  FYI, every chip on every table no matter if open or closed, the casino has the green cash within their vaults or the chips would not be on the tables.  So, you cannot out play them by repeated buy ins with additional money, thinking you will turn things around in your favor and turn their lights out.  As well, stamina, energy, focus, motivation, vision, and everything else along those lines are also working against you.  The casino rotates its dealers every 20 mins or so, not just to avoid collusion with players, but also for exactly the same reasons I just mentioned.  Sitting in either one or two spots for a period of several hours is hard both physically and mentality in so many ways, especially with the focusing and thought process.  Then when things go bad for a player, he believes taking a break is great, but his mind is convinced he will miss that section of presentments yet to come with his winning hands, etc.  That starts a mean cycle and a cycle that is not very good for the player, great for the casino thou. 

Then we have the fact what we have discussed in detail so many times.  A negative game with a negative expectation.  IMO and my proven experience, if you have the proper risk capital and mind-frame along with a governed buy in that is a partial amount of your bank roll, coupled with the knowledge and the experience to manage your winnings into numerous chances that benefit yourself rather than the casino, then you have a chance to play numerous sessions and win money. 

But, IMO you have to master a way to hold wins, perform positive progressions and parlays, yet be able to risk without emotion or distress while walking away losing your buy in which has to be a partial amount of your bank roll, without it effecting you to the point that you regret it and dwell upon the loss.

The myths and the fallacies that exist on the internet regarding baccarat as well as casino gambling are astronomical!  People become delusional to their own thoughts.  They provide themselves no advantage to make themselves a sequence of wagering selections which they really believe they have.  They actually afford themselves no advantage and they limit their options by doing just that.  That is the sad part, all that learning and researching only convinced themselves of numerous ways to beat the casino, when none actually exist.  Especially in mathematical and statistical adherence.  Period. 

At this point so many will still believe and attempt to count the cards, keep track of the banker, the player, ties and other events the shoe produces.  Simply, if it worked like that, the casino would not offer cards, pens and the newer electronic scoreboards.  It does not, at least for the extreme upper 90% of the time you are there, if you employ it as a protocol for wagering or not wagering.  Will there be sections where the equaling out, or certain events happen because there was a deficiency of them prior to that?  Sure.  However, just as important and what becomes devastating, are the times and the sections that those very things were supposed to, or yet believed would come out and did not.  And, that my friend will happen a greater amount of times in the casino's favor, rather than the players advantage.  That is the reason why and the only reason why the casino provides you the equipment and the permission to track, score, calculate and take notes all you desire at the baccarat table. 

So what is one to do?  You have to develop a unique boldness or an advantage in select wagering when the presentments of the shoe offer the chance to win hands that will allow yourself to outweigh your losses in the attempt to win money.  There is really a chance for the player, once you figure that out and forget about the wager for such and such, because so and so just happened, or did not happen, type of play.  And, your boldness or advantage has to work on well less than 50% of your wagers and most importantly, on those that win!  That is why to myself, flat betting and negative progressions are not going to do anything for you, it will require far too many for any kind of stability whatsoever.  Read that once more, your unique boldness and your advantage has to work for you with small sections of shoe presentments, that will only occur in less than 50% of your wagers. And yes, less than 50%.

No matter what creative or Holy Grail angle you think you found, you will not bring it to the baccarat table and repeatedly beat the casino at the game.  No matter how perfect your counting is, no matter how perfect your data analyzation and tracking methods become, no matter how perfect you can sense something, etc.  If you continue to wager on any one or several types of wagers because of your expectation, that the presentment will match any type of theorem or system schedule, you are dead wrong and will be on a continuous basis.  Simply because the numbers of possible outcomes have too many possibilities for anything stable or predictable to happen on a consistent basis, whether that is in one shoe or multiple shoes of baccarat.  That is, if you continue playing past your first time anyway. 

You don't have to change yourself.  Or stop believing, or stop gambling, or stop questioning or stop applying yourself.  The whole trick to what will help you, is being totally conscious and putting yourself into a neutral state of playing, a natural state of focus, vision and mind frame.  Not even in the belief that a certain 'betselection' process will prevail over another. 

>>>It is about progressions, parlays and accumulating that amount each time or during a cumulative amount of times, that outweighs the variance, the house edge, your own default rate, etc., that you engage yourself in.<<< You have to figure out how each $100 you play with, will allow you to win after you lose a certain amount.  And IMO, experience and everything else combined, I found a certain way to be able to win at baccarat.  And that is to realize time, money, emotional, psychological and frame of mind all combined will determine how your decision making process allows you to accumulate and allocate your wins, and how you manage the losses that will happen.  Those that think and believe everything I just mentioned does not apply to them, are just wasting their time being here anyway.

Good morning. The pandemic may have cleared the way for a casino in New York City.

(From the New York Times):

Betting on Gotham


Gambling companies have dreamed for decades of operating full-scale, Las Vegas-style casinos in New York City. Now, state authorities are on the brink of opening up the city, the country's last major untapped gambling market, and a flurry of extravagant proposals are competing for a handful of coveted licenses.

Imagine roulette wheels perched above the women's wear department at Saks Fifth Avenue. Blackjack by the boardwalk at Coney Island. Card games within spitting distance of the United Nations. Or maybe even a Caesars Entertainment casino steps from the lights of Broadway.

It is easy to understand why so many gambling companies are interested. Greater New York City is home to close to 23 million people and a destination for many millions more tourists each year. "For gambling companies, New York is their Mecca. It's the last big prize in the United States," my colleague Dana Rubinstein, who is covering the casino competition, told me.

But until recently, state law and a wall of local opposition short-circuited any serious planning for downstate casinos. What changed? A mix of economic and political factors accelerated by the pandemic. They made casinos in New York City or its suburbs not just palatable but desirable to state leaders, though locals will still have a say.

Today's newsletter will explain how New York City casinos developed from a notion into a serious prospect.

A decade in the making
There is a long history of politicians from Nevada to Louisiana using legalized gambling to try to stimulate the economy and boost public revenues. The idea has been to push gambling that was once done on the black market onto the tax rolls, and more recently, to keep residents from crossing state lines to gamble.

New York voters first approved a constitutional amendment to allow major casinos in 2013, in the aftermath of the Great Recession. Native American tribes were already operating casinos in New York. But politicians from both parties — many of whom received generous contributions from the gambling industry — said that new casino sites could help create jobs, attract tourists and generate much-needed tax revenue.

To try to maximize the economic impact, New York's plan stipulated that the companies only be licensed at first to operate in areas most in need of revitalization, well outside of New York City. In the years that followed, casinos opened in the Catskills; outside of Albany; and elsewhere in upstate New York. Some have struggled to meet economic projections.

New York's gambling plan did provide for the possibility of as many as three downstate casinos, but only after a lengthy delay. And it did not guarantee that the licenses would be granted.

A pandemic-era shift
Now, state leaders are using the same logic that they applied to upstate casinos to try to accelerate and all but ensure the expansion of gambling in and around New York City. Gambling revenue nationwide hit record highs in 2022. In essence, New York is looking for a bigger piece of the action.

The pandemic only made that desire more urgent. Covid hit New York City, the state's main economic engine, especially hard. Midtown office towers remain only partially full, some wealthy individuals have left for lower-tax states and tourism has yet to rebound to prepandemic levels. The result has been less reliable revenue in city and state coffers, particularly as one-time federal aid sources dry up.

Gov. Kathy Hochul and Mayor Eric Adams, both Democrats, hope that the new casinos can help offset those financial losses and spark other beneficial development. Lawmakers have projected billions more dollars in licensing fees and regular tax revenues. Analysts, though, caution that those projections may be overly optimistic, and skeptics of the plans say the East Coast gambling market has already grown oversaturated.

There is also another, less obvious but still powerful driving force: New York's hyper-influential hotel workers union. When the pandemic hit the city's tourism sector hard, the group said as many as 95 percent of its members were out of work. Now, union leaders see gambling projects as one of their biggest opportunities to create more jobs for their members. The shift has been so important, it is reflected in the union's recent decision to add "gaming" to its name, the Hotel and Gaming Trades Council.

The group has made itself a useful political weapon for Democrats in recent years, donating hundreds of thousands of dollars and providing scores of campaign volunteers. In exchange, the union has exerted considerable pressure on state leaders to fast-track casinos around New York City, often working closely with gambling companies themselves.

"People only see what they are prepared to see". Ralph Waldo Emerson.

What a perfect 'catch line' for the game of baccarat! Absolutely the brutal truth though.

It's only a single shoe at a time.  One shoe.  About 80 hands. Nothing else matters, before and after results do not apply to the shoe in front of you, NONE. Zero.

Do not dilute the shoe down. Do not add to it. Do not throw averages in or reduce it down in any way whatsoever. Do not envision anything except what the shoe is doing (presenting).

There are certainly advantages that are offered and can be taken advantage of. Two of the best and largest player advantages.  Equalization. Limits of Balancements. There are also disadvantages that shoes will present as well. The Illusion of Perspectives. Reversed Engineering. Problem normally is, those strong two advantages are usually squashed by the two disadvantages. Be careful, be smart, excel and prevail.

It doesn't matter how you win.....

But to the highest majority at the tables, it sure does. Either to show the others or to attempt to satisfy their own ego that they have it figured out, etc.

The keys to winning are narrowed down to two things:

1)  What wins this session/shoe/section, probably will not (possibly even throwing a harder ball at you, might go a very limited similar degree) but overall producing greater loses than wins in the following ones;

2)  Anything, including the presentments you have not experienced many times, can and will occur and create the winning hands. 

Remember, at least try to anyways, the above two things because baccarat is a game of presentments that make appearances as well as disappearances without any type of agenda in the majority of the cases. You are trying to catch the presentments in the minority events where you can capitalize easily.

WHEN IT MATTERS THE GREATEST—-YOU HAVE TO RECOGNIZE IT AND WAGER ACCORDINGLY.

You don't know—-what you don't know.  Think seriously—-seriously think!

The shoe will not give you an agenda as to what it's going to do.  Cannot, will not, never did and never will. The brutal honest truth.

Ever how you spread it out, chart it, software it, etc., problem is—-it is already done. You are analyzing the past, not what's going to happen in an order that will unfold with certainty.

The Downfall of all Methods

A method allows you to follow a plan that should give you an advantage. And the keyword out of all of that is 'SHOULD'. You have to tolerate the negative when it occurs, and it most certainly will in the highest majority of all attempts when using any method. Be aware, be conscious of that very thing.

Most all players 'chicken out' or change up what can help them at the table, because they cannot be in the dark without realizing immediate profits. Been there and done that too many times, I speak and write from sheer experience. 

Equalization. Is real and the number of times, shoes will 'equal out' is enormously over 50%.  If I had to put a number on the amount of times, I would have to say 85-90 out of 100.

As well the 0-1-2-3 low ties, is also a very very strong sign of clumping and consistency within a section, whatever the shoe is presenting. Chops, doubles, triples, streaks, etc., and so on.

Equalization is real, recurring and solid.

Limits and Balancements.  Wins and Losses.

Both will happen.  Everyone of us are individualistic within this important area of gaming.  You have to figure out what your offsets need to be when losing and how to place into positive progressions to capitalize on what is occurring. 

Remember wins influence you to wager larger, longer and harder. Casinos favor that type by huge amounts. People play that way for comps and other things that really do not matter. But it's part of gaming. 

Reversed Engineering.  Re-created events from statistics that DO NOT APPLY WHATSOEVER to the limited amount of shoes you will play. Reversed engineering is used as a fictional support tool for most all systems sellers, theory 'make quick money' book and manual authors and self-proclaimed gambling experts of all types. Be leery and be careful, do not apply it to your gaming as it will generally hurt you the highest percentage of all times.

The Illusion of Perspectives.  While the subject is huge and very complex, I will sum it up for you and it's an essential you must use it to combat false beliefs at the table. Ignore the information and data from; #1) The 'external stimuli' that will lead you to incorrect and false perceptions of what is being presented; and #2) Be 100% conscious that when your eyes and brain try to speak to each other, your brain will forbid you the advantage to take control with clear neutralism and player advantaged wagering, if you allowed your eyes to use their visual perception to limit your beliefs. 

That is exactly why few of us can wager on and profit hand after hand on 12 consecutive chop-chops, a player streak of 14, doubles appearing 6 times followed by 6 chop-chops followed by 6 bankers and then 6 players, and so on. 

Remember there are a total of 4,826,809 possible combinations within a shoe of baccarat cards (8 decks).  What has happened as well as, what did not happen at any time throughout a shoe can easily work either way, for or against you repetitively throughout the shoe.

Think about it, you certainly don't at the table, IMO.

You must engage in realism. Absolute 100% lack of  attitude with the physical adherence to realism during the situation you are engaged in.

After years of play, discussion, study and debate, I would have to list the four most important things to be conscious of, practice and totally engaging in, when you are gaming.

1)  Emotional = Complete neutralism but positiveness to enter into parlay progressions through readiness caused by confidence, camaraderie and related happenings.

2)  M.M.M. =  You must have a MMM that will benefit you with visible and physical positive results when you win as well as limit your losses. Gaming is available all the time, your winning is and hopefully going to produce positive results approximately 50% of your wagers and you must be able to define, use and employ additional tactics to add advantages to your buy-in and subsequently to your bank roll.

3)  Plan = Have a plan and stick with it when spot-on without deviation, but the ability to abandon when it is not profitable. Do not attempt to change, turn, convert, or believe you were were 'wronged' or that the shoe will totally pay you back in the short upcoming hands that still exist, etc. 

4)  Ability to Leave = You must have the complete ability without second thought or re-calculations to leave, whether winning or losing. The list is long but countless events will ruin wins, countless events will only add to the losses.  Both will happen, to experienced and non-experienced players. 

Quality & Substance = Stop believing the fallacy of the unspecified, undefined and 'magical', always beatable  events that are supposed to be the gateway to riches. They do not exist. In other words and in reality, if whatever it is, is producing wins for you within the shoe, continue it with the limited successful wagering decisions and acknowledgment of same, EVERY SINGLE HAND. If you do not, you will lose.

Ego & Attitude = We all have those two, no matter if you are aware of yours or not. But I will tell you something, from experience it is best to check them both when you sit down at the table. No two ways about it.

I promise you, they will hurt you the highest percentage of the times. You are not playing against the other players, the dealer or even the casino. You are playing with the shoe, please understand what I have preached, and preaching and what winning sections and shoes offer.

Your Play = Wagers/Bets/Thoughts.  (Yes thoughts are included as well). Must match what the shoe produces, nothing else. Anything else that you allowed to enter the picture, the process, the instant hand, etc., is additional baggage that will most likely hurt you in numerous ways.  Think about it and figure out what allowed you to win.  NOT what caused you to win!

Influence

Totally overpowering in the aura, the game, the whole scene.

Why?  Simply because money is powerful and that is the reason.  Nothing else.  Your mind cries out to you with clear and precise pictures of easy money and your actions follow what you perceive.

Follow what is happening and what is being presented. Do not attempt to have the shoe produce what you desire.

Get rid of all mind-frames, distractions, expectations, needs and laid out plans. Most everybody will not.  However, try it both ways and see which works better. Myself, I know.

We all have favorites. We all have great wins. We all have the desire to win. Set them aside and temporarily forget about them. Be conscious and be careful.

If it's not happening or you can not see it, stop for awhile.  It's truly the only way to play.

But, people continually Wager on Patterns, Trends or Streaks in the hopes they will appear. And when those do not, they keep wagering for those with larger and greater amounts of bets to make up. Then they stop wagering outside of their previous thoughts and then the shoe does a 180 and produces hands they needed just prior. The frustrating aura becomes larger and the cloudiness and gut wrenching turns, affects those people with huge impact. I see it all the time and I can safely say at every game I play. But the shoe was not ever going to really make those patterns, trends, streaks or anything else that the player(s) wanted.

Then the player(s) reverted their wagers back to the original desires and once again the shoe failed to produce any form of consistency to match their wagers.

What is all this called? It is called being influenced.

A word of caution.  RNGs in the free-test/free-trial internet apps or forums are by far easier to follow or predict than real gaming.  The short chop, long chop chop, clumps, streaks and equaling.  Be very careful of those apps and practice games, they are a 'suck in' for whom they are sponsored by.

Bob Seger & The Silver Bullet Band - Still The Same (Live From San Diego, CA / 1978)

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=Xl4fxNHUpvU


Pink Floyd - " Money " Waters / Gilmour / Mason/ Wright

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=Kjgwjh4H7wg


Kenny Rogers - "The Gambler" (Live)

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=aWsQIpfhbDo


CASINO" - THE ROLLING STONES - "Can't You Hear Me Knockin'?"

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=D6327WbFVe0



Talking Heads - Burning Down the House LIVE Los Angeles '83

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=FBUe_v6Mi70



Ray Charles-Blackjack

https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=cIT5F9XMF6U

The past years, I have been writing and brick and mortar playing at casinos. I have reported frequently on the topic of baccarat and wagering mostly.  The questions that comes up over and over again: When does a person actually understand the game Baccarat; and How and when to wager.

The questions both are simultaneously elemental and complicated. If a person scans and reads other forums, YouTube content and similar Internet venues, he will become overwhelmed with a limited amount of facts, huge amounts of fiction, tons of unproven theories and drama of all types imaginable. Yes, those two questions are confusingly broad and a bit 'open ended', but are quintessential to player advantage in all ways with the utmost importance.

Unfortunately, thoughtful engagement has been severely compromised by extreme drama on the Internet forums,  where so many knowledgeable, experienced and good people have tried.  But they just don't want to put up with all of the drama that has been brought about by an exclusive circle of people that roam the Internet forums with the sole purpose of drama and skullduggery. 

The most asked question would have to be, "what should I wager to make money".  In other words, people searching for the almighty 'holy grail'.  The 'holy grail' somehow gets commercially exploited without a real guarantee and proven fact, by all the system sellers, gambling book, manual authors and pay sites to make one easy money.  Why?  Because it gives a person looking the impression of once learned, they will have the magic ticket to riches at the table.  Sad, but 100% true, there is no 'holy grail', not a single one in the game of baccarat. 

However, there are numerous 'methods', or as I like to say, 'scheduling' of wagering.  But you must first understand the game of baccarat as well as having experience with wagering and its intricacies to use money management methods and wagering on what has a much higher chance of being in your favor within the game. 

The game of baccarat is simple in the way it is played out.  It started out with three wagers; bankers, players and tie. In the 1990s and 2000s the game took on numerous side wagers, but of course maintains the original three wagers as its main and primary bets. The game has the lowest house advantage within the casino and it is virtually a 50-50 game of the bankers and players wagers. Where the game gets complicated, is within its discussions, statistics and theories as well as the commonly believed theory that the bankers wagers always has an advantage over the players wagers.  What fuels all of the disagreements?  The use of statistical results that do not apply to the limited number of shoes a person will play, no matter how often he plays.  And the beliefs of why and how hands are formed and appear or are absent while the game is played out.

Of course to play the game there is no skill needed, no real understanding required and probably quicker than any other game on the casino floor, once a little bit of money is won, the person with no real experience and understanding of the game becomes a self admitting, well-versed and successful Baccarat Player.

Mix all of the above with a great amount of armchair quarterbacks, Internet trolls, drama seeking individuals, systems and book authors that seek to capitalize on those believing the fiction of easy money and a host of other things: Which brings forth the inability to engage in real, insightful, learning from others and exploring the game and it's complexities of Baccarat past the results for the search of what is called the holy-grail. 

I have spoke in depth with countless well experienced Baccarat players exploring the questions and results they have had and found. I have written about some of them and countless other ones I have pushed off to the side because of lack of interest from the members and guests of the forum. 

The game of baccarat is much more than a coin flipping game of 50-50 guessing. The game pushes the limits of the person Wagering on it and gets to the heart of human experience in many aspects with the application of their wagers. So many would deny that but it is so true and so thick, you can cut it with a knife.

IMO and that of many great baccarat players I know, is the highest majority of all the info on the Internet about Baccarat is that of 'reversed engineering', which is re-created events from statistics that do not apply to the limited amount of shoes you will play.  Think about it, if you don't and you abide by and wager according to what should come out of the shoe because of statistical results, etc., you are the casino's best friend indeed.

*  The game of baccarat is complicated and complex;

*  The game of baccarat requires experience from those that desire to win and hold greater amounts than what they lose;

*  The game of baccarat produces events that can be capitalized on.

Well, I continuously witness the complexity of the game of baccarat just about each and every time I play it.  What am I referring to?  Just about all the time, there will be well seasoned and experienced baccarat players with sizable sums of risk capital and high average bets. Exactly what is it that convinces me?  The players and the casinos change but the following scenario seldom does. Two of them at the same table, mostly never agreeing on anything. One of them wagers and wins, the other one loses. The winner points to the scoreboard and explains what he knew had to occur without a doubt. The other one shakes his head in agreement and admits he should have supported him. Then on the next hand or a few later, the exact same scenario happens but with the reverse of the winner and loser. And the same thing continues and continues and continues and continues.

Happy New Year to everyone.  Wish you all the best in every way!

Alrelax,
Administrator
Forum Owner
Baccarat Player

I had an in depth conversation with another bac player this morning.  We discussed numerous appearing presentments as well as those same presentments failing to appear, etc.

Well, just remember, as many times as some thing works in baccarat, likewise the times it does not will just about be equal and can easily outnumber the times it does. There's no set schedule from shoe to shoe to shoe or even within a single shoe, that things will be repetitive enough and consistent enough to use anything as a trigger on a constant basis.

However, do not fall prey to that!  You must pump it with a positive progression if you are playing to win and win sizable.

Confusion sets in a high amount of times, so be careful. Because confusion will change your thought process, your energy and your wagering judgment. With that said, influence, balancemeant, beliefs and of course desires—-all are heavy factors, always influencing most all of us all the time.

When it is there and appearing, you must wager heavier, rather than waiting to see what is going to happen.  IMO. 

Police said the 35-year-old man was playing baccarat last week when he allegedly moved his losing bet to a winning section on the table while the dealer wasn't looking, collecting $1,000 in chips.


https://abc7chicago.com/rivers-casino-des-plaines-gambler-arrested/12624669/

Winning is Dangerous.  Mind Changing.  Disruptive to Schedules.

REASONING.  Winning is powerful.  Winning changes most all player's plans/schedules and protocols of wagering.  Why?  Because winning is reality and reality overrules anticipated and not yet realized possibilities. Remember that, it took me a lot of years to learn it I admit. 

Why did I just write that?  Because I developed a schedule of wagering selection to stretch over 105 sessions.  The sessions are short in the normal sense of bac play as well as not producing what the highest amount of regular bac players (and I truly mean almost all) are accustomed to winning.  However, the schedule each time, has a true 80% + chance of success and after just 3 sessions, all that is at risk, is the buy-in that is 100% profit as well.  In other words, not your bank roll, just a previously won buy-in as risk capital.  Remember, as I have preached over the years, your buy-in must be only a portion of your bank roll.

So why am I bringing up winning and this apparently negative info?  Because it is 100% fact and 100% in the casino's favor.  Read on.  I sat down at the bac table last week, bought in and as I reached my goal, not once but twice, winning affected me and sidetracked me to abandon my scheduled play, even though I accomplished my session goal twice and not even within the first session, but another one the following evening as well.

INFLUENCE IS HUGE.  Influence affects us all. Influence mixed with others winning or the all too famous, "I was going to bet that but wasn't sure so I sat out", and if the result was a win, you would have been influenced and affected. As well, if the result was you would have lost, again you would have been influenced and affected. So, if you don't think you can be influenced at the table you better sit down and really think it out, because you are continually influenced.

REMEMBER-ALWAYS ALWAYS.  Every shoe, things win and things lose.  Every shoe, those same things that won previously, can and do lose presently.  And, the same things that lost previously, win presently. Of course not in a 100% consistency of order, but an amount that will give you a large disadvantage if you are attempting a 'pure system/method'. 

COMBAT IN YOUR FAVOR.  What I will subscribe to and without question, be governed by, are the following:

* Emotional Neutralism;
* My M.M.M. allocation of my scheduled results;
* The Plan;
* The Absolute ability to leave with the results;
* An Absolute clear frame-of-mind that does not align; or compare anything except what my schedule is.

And all of those have to be coupled with:

>>>  Total conscious thought of the five items every second you are wagering or waiting to wager.

SIMPLE SUMMATION. IMO you cannot mix what works, what might work, what has made me profit in the past, what has cost me buy-ins in the past, following others and luck is setting in; in order to create a positive and consistent goal in a game that is called baccarat.

You must have the upper hand with 200% total consciousness of the 5 highlighted areas in the section above, 'Combat In Your Favor'.

15 Things.....

I made some notes and although I don't want to go into each here.  It is not about my thoughts at this time.  What about yours?  Spur some conversation.  Throw something out there.  Just trying to stop the, "Oh yeah, I did that and I made 4 units and then cashed out", or the , "I seen that once and it did not work", thing.  Anyone want to comment and detail out what your path was?

Real gambling is much more than buy-in, grinding a few units and leaving, each and every day or sporadically.  I have as well as countless others, made 100's of thousands at a baccarat table and everything up to that and more than that.  Straight losses, straight wins, push back and forth like a roller coaster.  Follow others, wager against others, high limit, main floor, players handling the cards, dealer handles cards, big table where the players actual deal the cards as well. 

People really want to talk and get down into the reasoning's and details? 

15 Real Topics:


1)    Actual Thought Processes?

2)    Sections/Turning Points describe and identify?

3)    Resetting/Refreshing describe and identify?

4)    Translating a pattern/trend/presentment section to reality and coupling Wager-ability/Vulnerability to it?

5)    Is there a point or an ultra 'key trigger' that really pushes you to go for it?

6)    1's & 2's, 3's & 4's, 5's & 6's, do you follow or are you influenced?

7)    During a streak, wagering to the 'cut', or 'opposite' side?

8    Amount of hands you successfully or negatively wager as a regular event, define it?

9)    Resetting/Refreshing, what amount will you allow yourself to be influenced and guide you?

10)    Do you consciously know when you are being influenced?

11)    The proverbial and no good 'Rut', they are correct, and then they are wrong.  Do you get sucked in and what do you do to get out of it?

12)    What influences you more or greater than anything?

13)    Point values, naturals, reductions on the 3rd cards, what has meaning to you and why?

14)    Does winning change the way you wager, or is it the amount of hands without relation to the $$ factor/value?

15)    Wagering.  Bank roll, Buy in, Plateaus/Levels, Positive Progressions, Money Management System 1/3rd-1/3rd-1/3rd, 1 + 4 Side Parlay Wager?

I have tried to lead a positive, useful and informative view of baccarat for years. As a member various forums, a moderator and in a Administrative position as well as Owner of this forum. 

I have read, studied and researched the best possible ways I could, every single theory, discussion and claim stated on countless  websites and forums I came across, and as well, in person conversations with hundreds of fellow players of every single type.

With that said, I did not intend to ruin anything for anyone or myself, I exposed much of what I found a sheer nonsense and complete formation of fallacy. No way did I wish for that, but only to convene with other enthusiasts and showing the absolute glorious and rare experiences of "GREAT" wins, as well as "REGULAR" ones, while exposing things that lead us to the ugly "LOSING" ones. But, as the circle of 'drama driven queens' would have it, the internet and the drama had its way with it over the years. 

Instead I came out of the past with more of an exact  vision within and about the game of baccarat and the brick and mortar casino world.  While I do wish I never entered into the obsessive and upsetting to many—squaring off, between members-sock puppets-guests and myself in the past, it is what it is and was in the past.

While I am happy to know more about baccarat, people, members of the forums and other casinos players, I just wish I had not went down a few of the paths that I have.

Now.  I have found something that I genuinely and wholeheartedly believe is a most prosperous protocol to play according to.  It is governed by several things including; emotions, psych control, neutralism and a whole new outlook on wagering amounts and the length of playing time coupled with an absolute realistic play schedule, that totally is advantageous to the player over the casino. 

1)  GRIEF and RELIEF.  Both grief and relief  are often merged together and justified to account for losing. Sad but very true you must admit.  2)  BELIEF.  Belief plays a huge part of what happens at the table which we seldom, if ever really question, research or allow for, within our decision making process.  3)  REALIZATION.  And almost none of us ever realize or ever change. 

I'm looking forward to bringing my discovered and well thought-out wagering protocol schedule with the ways I developed it to those interested in the near future.

I have to credit the naysayers, the derogatory and the very infamous forum-to-forum criticizers that specialize only in disruption. Without them I probably would have quit a heck of a long time ago.