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My Strategy

Started by Jerry, May 23, 2016, 10:07:29 AM

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Jerry

I have been watching the boards for a while and now I am prepared to try out this new strategy.

The plan:

1. Look out for a Banker dominated scoreboard. Banker leads Player by at least more than 7-8 wins.

2. Wait for Player to appear immediately after Banker loses. Then bet 1 unit on Banker. E.g BBBBB ... P .... then bet on Banker.

3. If I lose (i.e. if Player wins the subsequent hand again) , I then wait for the next Banker win then loss and bet 2 units.

In other words, in a Banker dominated shoe, I will bet against Player win repeating and forming doubles.

I have observed it is rare (but not impossible) to find 5 or more Player continuous repeat in a banker dominated shoe.

Once I win 1 unit, I will quit the shoe and look for another.

Any opinion on this method?






Garfield

First like other method, it may work sometimes and won"t work the other times.

The same probabilty if you bet with the same condition, but in Player mode.

IMO if you wait until 7-8 differences between B and P, the tide may turn.

With only 1 win goal per shoe, there are many other method, and why don't you consider to bet with the dominance? I mean if it was a "Banker" shoe (as you conclude), why wait till P appear? Why not follow B streaks?

If I were you and my goal only 1 unit, I will wait for chops or follow streaks.
You will never know. Not now, not in this life. You aren't that lucky.

Garfield

Oh and I wonder what is your stop loss? IMO your goal is too small compare to the risk.

Let's say you win 5 shoes in a row. You are now +5u after maybe 1 or 2 hours. Then the next shoe you suffer up till -4u, which mean you only have +1u. What will you do? You try to get back to +5u or you quit the shoe?

If you quit, in my experience you will get exhausted and frustrated, knowing all you profit from the 5 shoes were ripped off in 1 shoe only. Then, you likely to play bigger units, with the aim to get back to +5u and to end the day/session. Then big chances you will suffer more losses. And I think we are all know where this would end.

Well, that's only my experience. I hope you will not have to go through that.

With 30u buy in I will aim for at least 5-6 units per shoe. Sometimes 4u is good enough.
You will never know. Not now, not in this life. You aren't that lucky.

Jerry

The methods you mentioned are also possible strategies. Whichever method you adopt, the main purpose is to take the guessing out of the game. So lets say you are betting on chops, you can also double up each time the bet failed. OR streaks ... just double up each time that a streak will follow through. Question is when do you start betting on the chops or streaks to begin?

My strategy is quite different compared to say breaking a streak. Because it does not require so many bets in one shoe. The main point is to find the event least likely to occur and then increase your own chances with a Martingale parlay. Even if you don't parlay your bets, flat betting is still a good alternative but it may take longer to squeeze out a win eventually.

But getting that one essential win may be good enough if you are a daily or regular player.  I would just target 3 such wins everyday, which is not difficult considering each shoe may take up to 45 mins each time. The difficult part is to wait for that single Player to appear after you failed the first few tries. In baccarat, anything is possible. So luck is still a component. But you have to be extremely unlucky to meet 6 or 7 consecutive columns of Player in one shoe.

alrelax

Quote from: Jerry on May 23, 2016, 02:02:40 PM
. Whichever method you adopt, the main purpose is to take the guessing out of the game. 


There is no way you are going to do that.

Millions have tried.  More than millions, countless numbers let's say.

Anything and everything can happen.  Chops and then a 19 streak Banker followed by a 19 streak player and right back to chop.  No chop, runs, doubles, triples, etc. 

If you are seriously going to play only for a one unit win and parlay until you get it, you can achieve that fairly easy. 

But there will be times your bankroll better be huge, cause say you lose 5 times in a row starting with $100.00. That is $3,100.00 out there from your pocket.

It happens and happens frequently. 

If you are starting small say $25 to $100 and only seeking a one unit win, I hope it is a hobby. 

Myself, takes time to get to a casino, gas and misc.  But whatever. 
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Garfield

Quote from: Jerry on May 23, 2016, 02:02:40 PM
Whichever method you adopt, the main purpose is to take the guessing out of the game.

Well IMO this is the hardest part of the game. If you manage to do this, then...I guess you found the HG.

I forget who say this, but I guess I prefer the term "educated guess". LoL

I wish you good luck !
You will never know. Not now, not in this life. You aren't that lucky.