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#1
Although I won't be wagering on this I do think Caesars will have a new owner in the near future(Or at least will go through another restructuring). However, IMO it will happen after 1/1/27.
So if I was forced to bet I would go NO.
?What say you?

According to Kalshi this is the proposition:  "If any company announces an agreement to acquire Caesars Entertainment Inc before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The announcement must involve a definitive, binding agreement accompanied by public announcement. Letters of intent, memoranda of understanding, or agreements in principle do not qualify.


https://cdcgaming.com/commentary/betting-on-a-new-caesar/
#2
Your Guide to Ladder Betting Online in 2026 (Link at the very bottom)

I do not wager sports in this manner. However, the headline caught my attention. As I play with a Baccarat player that does something similar to Ladder Betting on Bac. He will wager approx >=24-36 wagers on P or B(Not necessarily in same shoe).
If he is winning he does not do a ladder.

If he is down 1/2 of his total number of bets at anytime he will start wagering for a Panda at an amount that will make him even again.
If he draws down further he will then start wagering for Dragon7 at an amount that will make him even again.

If for example he has attempted to get even on Panda, then Dragon7, and still not even(But then sees the other bonus bet hit(when he wasn't on it), he will then switch to the bonus bet that just hit.
Again, always wagering so that a win will get him even. If he ever gets even he starts in again with only P or B.

Im not an advocate for (or against) this approach as I have never played like this.
He has only been doing this for about 6 months.
--------------------------------------------------------------------


https://readwrite.com/gambling/guides/ladder-betting/
#3
KungFuBac / Trip Report/Review
March 08, 2026, 09:57:00 PM

Baccarat Trip Report

Reflections on a Seven-Day Out-of-Local Market Casino Run

I recently completed a seven-day out-of-my-market baccarat trip.

Below, I'll detail some highlights and lowlights from the excursion.


Typical Wager Strategy and Trip Frequency

Some of my regular playing companions from this forum know that whenever I accumulate five or more pressed-up wagers at the table maximum in my local casino markets (typically $4,000 or $5,000), I set aside two of those five maximum wagers for a trip to a casino market where the table maximum exceeds $5,000. If Im fortunate enough to reach seven wagers pressed up to $5,000, I set aside three for a future trip, and so on. If I do get this favor, I travel interstate for baccarat.  Usually every three to four weeks, though sometimes it's >= eight to ten weeks between trips.

This particular trip, I only had three pressed-up wagers. I went one win and two losses, with the win losing on its very next attempt. Overall, it was less productive than I would have liked.

Casino Access

My main motivation for these out-of-state trips is the desire to play pressed-up wagers as soon as possible to compound winnings. Living in casino country, I have access to approximately 120 casinos within a three-hour drive. Unfortunately, I have to drive a couple hours to play at a casino with a  >$5K Table Max.

Current Trip Overview

Sports Betting

Sports bets:
Typically I try to find the best EV+ wager and choose  one per diem.  This trip I couldn't find one every day. So only three wagers for the whole week. I had one win and two losses, resulting in a net gain of 0.588 units. On my previous trip, I had placed a single sports wager and parlayed all wins for a $4,000 net win from a $240 BaseUnit(BU). This time, my optimism for a repeat faded quickly after losing my first two wagers and not finding many positive expected value (EV+) opportunities. I am generally indifferent to the sport, team, or individual I bet on, relying mostly on analytics. Sometimes I wager on hockey in Canada, tennis tournaments, boxing, or other events, and typically don't watch the matches, only checking the scores occasionally during the event.

I use AI to sort through all sporting events and identify the one to three highest EV+ offerings for the day, then tweak my selections using personal criteria to place one bet per day. Some days, there are no EV+ wagers worth considering (I prefer EV+ greater than 10.0 for further research).


Baccarat Sessions

Baccarat: I won all sessions except one. However, only a few easy shoes/sessions.

The losing session was due in part to leaving for a previously scheduled dinner while I was down 2.7 base units. After returning about an hour later, I made up the loss and left with a gain of 7.3 base units. Normally, I wouldn't record this as a loss, treating it like a routine break.

In my home market, a typical day at the casino involves playing four to seven shoes over eight to fourteen hours. I usually record four to seven sessions, though sometimes I play five to seven shoes and record only two to four sessions due to ongoing pressed-up wagers, even though I may be Net- until that larger wager(s) are decisioned. This trip mirrored these typical routines: I played all day, every day. Though often drawing down after one or more shoes and continuing until I was positive or busted  my buy-in. Thankfully I didn't bust any buyins but that is very difficult as I don't chase when guessing wrong. The key metric is having at least one active pressed-up wager. I always feel if I have 1-3  pressed-up wagers that haven't been decisioned I can overcome any initial drawdown. I just need one to slip through the cracks.

Side Note:

Compounding is a very powerful tool IMO as I do not perceive I could survive day in and day out wagering only Flat. In other words I perceive it is important for a player to know the average Wins-In-A-Row one gets from X# of tries(The buy in). Because some days I guess wrong more than I guess correct.

Back to the trip report

This interstate journey was uneventful for the most part. My largest per-shoe win was only 16.7 base units. Most shoes and sessions started with struggles, but I would eventually return to the positive. After all pressed-up wagers were resolved, I called it a session, or a end to the day, usually with just a few base units net win.

Free Play and Food Offers

FREEPLAY: I had $1,750 in free play, which I converted into a $905 gain. So not as good as I expected/hoped.

FREE Food Offers:
There was an abundance of food offers, but I generally don't eat in casinos. Most offers were used on  two players who traveled to meet me. It's not about the quality of food in most casinos; I'm just particular, avoiding fried, fast foods, and buffets, and prefer not to spend an hour eating when I could be playing.

Even at home markets casinos, I seldom eat during the day, opting to give away offers or take food to go. Some casinos in my local market allow one to use food vouchers at the snack counter or gift shop. I usually get bottles of Gatorade or coffee beans,...etc to take home.

On this trip, my host kindly booked a $200 dinner at a nice restaurant, anticipating my wife would be traveling with me. She didn't, so I attempted to eat for two,lol,  managing $140 worth:

Calamari with jalapeños as an appetizer, pan-seared scallops, and filet mignon.
All were excellent, though I wouldn't want them daily. I hadn't eaten filet mignon in about twenty years, preferring T-bone steak (grilled at home per my personal recipe), over ribeye, porterhouse, filet mignon,...etc. Nonetheless, the comped dinner was very good and appreciated.

A Couple Of The More Interesting Shoes

One shoe featured eleven consecutive columns of twos (e.g., ppbbpp, etc.). I went zero for two in the middle of the streak, trying to predict a one-in-a-row streak to break the 2x2 run,  then finally caught three wins near the end. Since it was late in the run, I parlayed+ the first W, then reduced to one base unit, and rode it to the finish. Obviously, I didn't capitalize as much as I usually would on such a long run of any similar streak. I kept seeing conflicting intel and was wrong.

The same shoe also had four streaks of four-in-a-row that each extended to five-in-a-row, though not consecutive columns. I guessed wrong twice, betting a four-in-a-row wouldn't become five.
Shortly after the above two-by-two streak ended, I caught a long one-by-one chop that went seven-in-a-row, finishing the shoe with a W of only +8.3 base units and one pressed-up wager left alive for a future shoe.


Another Interesting Shoe

Another shoe had a grouping of eleven player-in-a-row, followed by a sixteen banker-in-a-row just a few columns later. I was at the next table, hoping for a seat, but no one left. Two players fighting the player streak busted and rebought, but I was never able to switch tables.

In nearly three decades of play, including eight-plus years of full-time, 5.5—6.5 days per week of live table action, I've only seen one sixteen-in-a-row chop and one sixteen-player streak. I don't recall ever seeing two lengthy streaks of eleven and sixteen in the same shoe. Occasionally, I've seen two runs of something reach maybe eleven or twelve each(as best I can recall).

Sometimes, baccarat friends in other U. S. States or Macau send photos of boards showing runs of seventeen, nineteen, or even twenty-five in-a-row, usually after the table closes for the night. As it seems there are never players around.  I wonder if casinos make these entries after the night's last shoe for advertising "or torment me", lol.
Recently, an acquaintance sent an image of a twenty-nine-in-a-row Prun from what appeared as an online casino, but he said he wasn't on the streak nor playing at the time, so the source is unclear.

It seems some players upon arrival drift through a 8—12 table baccarat pit, snapping pictures of extreme boards for their YouTube channels or forums. I guess it makes for good conversation.

Unique Event on the Trip

One night, while playing baccarat near the craps table, a friend—a full-time player of blackjack, Texas Hold'em, baccarat, and only occasionally roulette or craps—finished his baccarat session and told me he was going to check out the craps table. He usually plays craps only a couple of times a month, . Ofwaiting on a Bac table to open. Typically sticking to line bets (pass or don't pass) and sometimes taking odds.

After about twenty minutes, he signaled to me to come over, showing a chip rack with about $5,000 profit from a $10,000 buy-in. I gave him a thumbs up and returned to my seat at the baccarat table.

The craps table grew loud and attracted a crowd; about 45m--hour later, my friend was up over $11,000 when the roll ended. Another acquaintance, that mostly plays poker/Bac, and typically betting $1,800 as his base bet, won $138,000 from a $25,000 buy-in, thanks to some shooter tossing excessive repeaters, though only making a few points. My friend only wagers the line (points), and occasionally one other bet. So he didn't make much on this high-repeater hand.

A Humorous End to a Long Day

On one night around midnight, several of us who played together about 14 hrs that day decided to call it a day. One local, whom I'd played with many times, but don't know personally, had done very well—up about $45,000 on his typical $20K buy in .

Most of us cashed out between $7,000 and $12,000 from buy-ins of maybe $5,000 to $10,000, so our cashouts were handled quickly by the two cashier clerks.

Mr. $45K winner then approached the VIP window with around $65,000. One clerk had just left for a break, leaving just one. It took about fifteen minutes for this clerk to handle his chips, counting and verifying each $10,000 stack of USD repeatedly, running through the auto counter, going into the back and getting someone to come out to verify. While a growing line of players waiting to cash out grew frustrated. Some started making snide remarks about "He must be a Baccarat plaer, high-stakes baccarat players taking so long for cashouts, those damn Asian players,...etc", "making them wait in line", making a request to the lone clerk to call someone else out to help, and on and on. My group had already checked out and was waiting for him, so we were just standing to the side/chatting about all the people complaining in line.

A security guard, waiting to escort our friend to his car, finally turned to the crowd and said, "You all sound like my grandkids whining. There's only one clerk, so just chill." We found that amusing. Our friend calmly picked up his  six $10,000 stacks and another $5,000–$6,000 bundle, and just tossed into his brown carry-out food bag, like it was no big deal,  and walked right through the middle of some of the complaining folks, requiring them to step aside for him.

We all walked out together, slowly migrating toward the elevators and escalators, paused for a couple mins, to discuss when and where to play the next morning. We were getting ready to depart on the escalator. The security guard and Mr. $65K were taking the elevator, to the parking garage. The security guard then informed everyone else waiting they'd have to wait for the next elevator. More complaints followed as a couple of those waiting were also from that initial whining group at the cage. That made us laugh as we headed down the escalator.  It seems some folks just love to complain about anything.

Thanks for reading,
#4
Key points of article:
"...
Hackers demand $1.5 million in Bitcoin after claiming to steal 800,000 internal Wynn Resorts employee records
The stolen data contains sensitive personal information including Social Security numbers, salaries, and birth dates.."


Down the road Wynn will settle with the victims/ admit no guilt or negligence,...etc. . They will pay the victims about $50 (the value for ones SS#, DOB, Personal Income,...etc). IMO victims should always sue as individuals.


https://www.casino.org/news/cyberhackers-claim-wynn-resorts-breach-demand-1-5million-to-stop-data-leak/
#5
I think Ms James has far bigger concerns at the moment. She is still facing additional charges for real estate loan fraud, et al charges coming down the pipeline, allegedly.


https://www.casino.org/news/new-york-ag-james-warns-consumers-on-prediction-markets/
#6
Link below.

I seldom ever go the theatre. However, I might watch this(or at least catch it on netflix). Stallone typically produces A+ movies so that alone will make it a good bet.

I went to see "Melania" recently. A fantastic movie. I had forgotten that theatres offer a nice experience. It had prob been at least a decade or more since I had actually gone to a movie(at a theatre)


https://cdcgaming.com/brief/stallone-to-produce-tv-series-about-benny-binion-birth-of-modern-las-vegas/
#7
KungFuBac / Canada at Par w currency exchange in vegas
January 25, 2026, 10:26:11 PM
Link at bottom.

The short summary from anthony curtis las vegas advisor:

"...to encourage Canadian tourists to return to the city. The program, which runs through August 31, 2026, allows Canadians to pay for select hotel stays, beverages, and gaming at a 1-to-1 currency exchange rate (CAD to USD), offering a significant discount compared to current exchange rates. Key Details of the "Canada at Par" Program: Participating Properties: Circa Resort & Casino, the D Las Vegas, and Golden Gate Hotel & Casino. Duration: Valid from January 22, 2026, to August 31, 2026. Hotel Stays: Canadians can receive the "at par" rate at check-in, meaning the USD room rate is charged directly in CAD. Gaming: Guests can redeem up to CAD$500 in slot promotional play at a 1-to-1 value by visiting the Club One desk with a valid Canadian ID or passport   ..."


This could give our Canadian neighbors an opportunity. I play with two poker players that use to live near Detroit and would monitor the currency exchange rate daily. Often the true strength of a countries currency (compared with another countries currency strength) isn't stated accurately by the financial industry. They said often the currency exchange rates true benefit would be less than 1%. Even <1% could be very lucrative(doing it daily or every few days,...etc).


https://www.lasvegasadvisor.com/forums/deals-comps-coupons/canada-at-par/page/1/#post-484147/
#8
Tried-and-True Money Casino Gambling Management Techniques

I agree with most of the authors' suggestions.
re: Stop Loss and Stop Win.

Stop Loss:
Personally, I do not rebuy into the same shoe after busting a buyin. I do go get another buyin but will select a different shoe, go to different casino, maybe take a restroom break/walk around 15-20mins,...etc.

What is interesting is when I bust a buyin it seems I will bust another within a few shoes or days and often that second bust in close proximity will have a Net-(i.e., meaning it had not earned itself once).

Recently I had gone about 9 weeks without busting my buyin(very long for me). It busted and a short time later( a couple days later) it busted again with only a 19% win of itself. Most busts that are Net- I seem to at least have profits of 60%--80% prior to bust.

Stop Win: Personally I do not think we should have a Stop Win. Simply implement a trailing loss (similar to investing in a stock or precious metals,..etc). One never knows how long the current winning trend will last(shoes, days, weeks, months,..etc).



https://www.888casino.com/blog/gambling-management-tchniques
#9
Hopefully they will fix this(i.e., revert back to previous rules).

Good news for slot players is the $1200 cutoff(for jackpot payouts generating a form) has been raised to $2000 >1/1/26. This change doesn't affect me as I don't play slots (or if I do its only when required for free play).


https://cdcgaming.com/brief/house-rules-committee-blocks-fair-bet-act-leaving-2026-gambling-tax-reform-uncertain/




Continued Success,
Continued Success,
#10
KungFuBac / HAPPY NEW YEAR
January 01, 2026, 03:38:28 AM
Wishing everyone a happy new year.





May the wind always be at your back[/i], KFB
#11
I've always pondered why Fortune Tellers and Psychics didn't just go to the Baccarat tables and win the 200:1 bonus bet. Maybe do the Lottery for a $1 every time it exceeded a million.,...etc. No reason to waste time reading palms, tarrot cards,...etc for a small fee. :)


https://www.casino.org/news/star-casino-let-fortune-teller-gamble-800k-despite-400-income/
#14
Congrats to this sports bettor. That is certainly an adequate ROI on $50.

The power of compounding.
It works for Bac and other even-chance(ish) games too.
My preference is to do four compounds(i.e., five hits four compounds).


https://www.casino.org/news/louisiana-sports-bettor-turns-50-into-574925-on-six-leg-parlay/
#15
The casino will likely try to settle with the victims for only $25--50 per. Meaning that's what they value our SS#, credit card#, personal identity, et al info.
Most people don't realize how often crime rings /identity theft syndicates (& individual perps) track and hack ones phone, cars, computers,...etc. One should always sue individually and not accept the class-action payout that is initially offered.



https://www.casino.org/news/another-las-vegas-casino-suffered-major-data-breach-in-january/
#17
Link at bottom.


"...where former employees and those affected by the breach have taken legal action, as their data may have been subject to public disclosure without their consent...."


https://readwrite.com/boyd-gaming-lawsuits-pile-up-in-the-wake-of-data-breach/
#19
Link below.

I remember a few years ago when we first saw 000 roulette. I joked with some roulette folks: "what's next: Quattro roulette". Why stop there lets see if the market will tolerate Cinco-Rouletto.

Im not a veteran on roulette/ seldom play. So maybe Im missing something. Maybe some type of bonus-wager is offered on the latter versions that players can exploit. ????

The following link provided by one of my favorite gaming writers:  John Mehaffey w vegas advantage
 

https://vegasadvantage.com/quadruple-zero-roulette-debuts-on-the-las-vegas-strip/
#20
KungFuBac / Tri-State 10-Day Bac Run
September 08, 2025, 05:11:18 PM
Ten-Day Tri-State Bac Run

The recent forum changes look nice/hope all are winning bigly.
I just returned from a multi-state Bac run with a group of nine players (Mostly Bacers with a few tablemates that also play Poker/ Craps line bets.  A couple comrades also play Roulette some. The group played in Wichita, L Vegas, Cripple Creek/Black Hawk Colorado. Three departed Wichita and headed to LV. I will touch on a few highlights/add more later.

*Banker-Run Shoe w multiple B runs incl an 11-B streak. B was +26 at one point.

     This shoe was my best single shoe by far on this trip. I typically put a longer W streak together by setting aside a pressed up wager/reentering in other shoes or session. This was one of the "weird" shoes that I've learned to just go with it. In other words don't overthink it or don't over mathematize it. Sometimes I have to make myself get out of Math Mode and ride the Variance(even if it's a contrarian run that shouldn't happen too often).
I will try to post the PB results from this shoe in the next day or so.

Biggest drawdown for trip prior to recovery: -13.8 Base Units

**Dragon-7 bonus wagers

     I seldom wager for Dragon7(3c7) with 40:1 payout. Occasionally I will add  $600 to my Buy In and wager <=24 tries per shoe. Often maybe only 7-14 tries per shoe. Most days and most shoes zero attempts. I generally start at $25 per attempt and if I lose 43 attempts without a W will raise my next 24 tries to $30 per. If I win within the first 43 tries I will lower to $20 Per,...etc. Im an advocate for not hedging wagers. So often I try to wager a Dragon7 on another players wager when I do not have a base bet(P or B).

     This trip across 10days/ 4-7 shoes per day as some shoes I wagered zero tries and some shoes maybe upward to 24 attempts:

10L then a W at $25, & then reduced to $20. Then 38L and a W @ $20.  Then 5L and another W @20. Then 3L and a W @$20. I did not make any additional attempts. This is by far the most successful string of wins on the 3c7. One of the reasons Im not an advocate for wagering B-3c7 is when Im considering the 3c7 I track several addendum events / I find it cumbersome. It also will sometimes conflict with my Base Bet and my dislike for hedging comes into play.  Just me personally. Based on the above maybe I should rethink my logic, lol ???


***Friend hit a slot win for ~$13k on a $100 Free Play.


     Several Bac comrades split off from our group after a few days in Wichita and made the trek to Vegas. One hit a $5 Lucky Duck machine for $13.3K net W on an initial $100 Free Play. He always plays Lucky Duck machines with his free play.

****Sports Betting

     I seldom wager Sports Betting (in part because I don't have access to S.B. in my residential state). Most years I will place seven futures bets on NFL teams a couple weeks prior to the seasons' first week. My main approach is to watch the media and especially groups such as ESPN and pay attention to who they are pumping. Then research the opposite and will eliminate potential bets down to a select few. I then run my potential wagers across the thoughts of a couple friends that do SpBetting full time. I then do a line-shopping across  >= six sports books and select the most favorable (I think this last part is very important). Of course, I also must be in a larger market that offers in-person multiple sports books.

During this trip, the majority of my wagers were placed on the US Open. I don't play tennis nor do I watch or study it much(unless considering a bet).
 I started with an initial wager of $300. I mostly took early round favs(thus low payout) on Iga Swiatek and Novak Djokavic. I also took an additional USopen wager on Ms Townsends opponent as I thought she had advanced further than expected for her skill set(+ sports media was hyping her), which is also a trigger for me to look at the other side of the coin flip.
     *My $300 wager plus almost 100% of first several wins were parlayed to $800. Some wins were 100% parlayed. I had only collected $100, 50, and 20 until it hit at $800(1270 payout). I then collected for $800 and wagered the residual $570 on Iga Swiatek in the semis. Anisimova won in a slight upset. My run was over. Net+$970 on a $300 risk. I was satisfied as I will be the first to acknowledge my SB wagering skills are not polished(yet). I looked at the remaining US Open matches but didn't find any value bets. "IF" I had wagered on the mens finally my choice was likely going to be on Jannik Sinner. However, the line never became EV+ in my opinion. I noticed later that Sinner lost to Alcarez.
I welcome thoughts and tips.

NFL Wagers:
     I wagered seven futures bets on the NFL. Most were on Conference or Division champion.  One Prop wager I like is NYG(105) to win >5.5 games this season.


Thanks for reading.

More later,

#21
KungFuBac / Does Type of Shuffle Matter???
August 18, 2025, 04:37:37 AM
???Machine Shuffled, Pre-Shuffled, or Hand-Shuffled Shoes??? Which do you prefer and why?

Link below from reddit has several interesting opinions/comments.

https://www.reddit.com/r/baccarat/comments/1dk27k7/psa_warning_machine_shuffled_shoes/


Continued Success,
#22
KungFuBac / Players Club Bonus Points
August 10, 2025, 10:55:20 PM
The list below was updated 8/2/25. It appears that folks age 50+ can receive a few extra bonus offers.

Continued Success,


https://www.lasvegasadvisor.com/shop/players-club-bonus-points/
#23
KungFuBac / Las Vegas Coupons
August 10, 2025, 10:52:12 PM
Does any one subscribe to this coupon book? It seems like for $50 a year(I "think" that's the price) it would pay for itself within one trip to Vegas. Im not advocating for or against the site: Las Vegas Advisor. Any thoughts ? Any experience with this? 
Thx in advance for sharing your opinion.

https://www.lasvegasadvisor.com/member-rewards-list/
#24
Link at the bottom.

I found the following article "spot on" as to the profiles of winners and not winners. Although the article is referencing poker the same "Winner" profile is often observed in Bac (et al) games as well.

I play with several professional and semi-professional Bac players that first started in Blackjack and after the Blackjack payout changed a few years back they moved most of their action into Bac. The way they study the game(& apply) their research /knowledge, is impressive. They play for the money and view time in the casino as a job. Nothing more and nothing less.

They approach other areas of life with the mentality of a gambler(investor) and are always looking for advantage play scenarios(e.g., Investing, raffle drawings, lottery, purchasing item @ discounts, sports betting, rebates,...etc). I have learned alot from them.


Key passages noted:

"...

*But the reality is that strategic patience is one of the most underrated edges in the game...

**The players who win over the long run aren't the ones constantly in the mix. They're the ones who know when to wait. They pass on marginal spots. They stay composed when the table is in chaos. They make fewer emotional errors, and that adds up big over time.

It's about playing deliberately and with purpose.


***It means knowing when:

A spot isn't worth the risk even if it's technically "close."

Your emotional state might sabotage your decision-making.

You need to wait for better information or better conditions before acting.
In other words, strategic patience is a mental skill blending discipline, timing, and emotional control.
..."



https://www.casino.org/blog/strategic-patience-in-poker/
#25
KungFuBac / Top-10-Richest-Gamblers
July 24, 2025, 04:21:34 PM
A very successful group of gamblers It would be interesting to know the NET +-  from gambling at the end of their careers. Its all about Net retention.

https://www.casino.org/blog/top-10-richest-gamblers/