I don't engage in these or study these types of questions.  But I like the gist of the 'adventure'.

Thanks for posting, hopefully you get some productive answers.

BAC is a game where we all receive a unique set of unexpected limitations with variables in a shoe of approximately 80 hands, eight decks of cards, making up 4-6 card presentments.  The question is, how will you decide which hands to respond to that are about to be dealt? You can either totally focus on your three bad habits which we all have, or you can empower yourself to play the game of BAC resourcefully and profitably making the very best of each group of limitations you wager correctly upon.

The bottom line is, while you cannot totally control what is happening, or about to happen in front of you, you must control yourself by the way you respond to what is happening or just happened. And you do exactly that by managing your habits of mind. Yes, much easier said than done.  However, because it is hard to change the thinking habits we all have developed as they are mostly at a subconscious level. We, you, everyone can get better by bringing the awareness as to what each of us are doing when we are in that seat at the BAC table with our hands placing those wagers. Bad habits of drain us. Plain and simple. Bad energy removes good things from each of us, you cannot change that. And if you let it happen you are doomed.

1). The Habit of Expecting Things to be a Certain Way

All of us have it to some degree. Some all the time, others at certain times. Without realizing it and being conscious of it, expecting things in BAC to be presented a certain way will definitely kill you.

Leave the expectations at the door before you buy-in at the table. Realize you do not know and at the same time, you do not expect to know what is going to happen and how it will be presented. (Oh, that will be ultra hard for the egotistical player, buy hey-it's your money my friends). Be totally impartial with total openness and that will in most cases, keep you away from expecting things to be a certain way. Because if you fall into the latter as I said in the first paragraph above, you will kill your buy-in, each and every time.

Have no habit of expectations. Period. Recognize the habit with your consciousness and awareness as you play by saying repeatedly to yourself, "I have no expectation of any certain way".

Try what I laid out, probably a new experience for yourself but all you are doing is setting your mind free of expectations that probably would not have occurred anyways. 

Here is the bottom line of your habit of expecting things to be a certain way. If you approach the BAC table with expectations of how it should be, or how it has to be in order to meet your expectations, they will almost every single time fail to come together and match you. And you will be stuck in a habitual cycle and probably will not even notice the damage you are doing to your gaming results most every time you play.

2). The Habit of Your Inner Resistance

In so many words, your fear and procrastination rolled up into one. Causes hesitation and avoidance of most things you desire. What is better at the BAC table, fear and procrastination or desires? One thing for sure and I welcome challenge, is when the group of clumping of any type is present, only unadulterated desire will allow you the guts and balls to wager on it for some handsome wins! And after all isn't that what gambling is all about getting some decent return on the money that we risk?

The aspect of your inner resistance is, that it is an invisible and negative force that will govern you because we all have common tendency to submit to our vulnerability and fear of failure. You generally feed into it with anxiety and distraction over the loss of your buy-in funds.

You must find what it is you fear that causes your inner resistance. Start by complete acknowledgment of your wagering fears, once you discover, you can then begin moving towards some type of insight to overcome the fears that hold you down in gaming. Most all of us will say, I don't have any fears or inner resistance. And those classifying all losses as uncaptured variables and unplayable shoes have some type of negative inner resistance.

No matter what happens, post each wager, you must face every wager with no tension and with more conscious presence.  That is an ABSOLUTE MUST.  The PRESENCE put you in neutrality and focus that are huge advantages. You will then be able to change your mode from struggling with harmful inner resistance to a beautiful one of flow and acceptance no matter what happens with the hand.

3). The Habit of Focusing Only on What Is/Was Wrong

The greatest thing about BAC is that almost every situation one can imagine has hidden beauty in it, if we are only willing to focus on what is actually happening. Of course that is much easier said than accomplished. Try putting aside the term, "difficult" at the table. Try the best you can to forget all the "wrong" that was or is at the table in past hands or in the current hand.

BAC is playable. And it's very playable and it's winnable. The biggest problem is we are all attempting a rocksolid approach to a "most likely win guaranteed" to be in our favor situation. Like I said in the first sentence of this section, every situation usually happens.  Those are or can be, chop, doubles, triples, ones and twos, ones and threes, streaks long and short, naturals cut, ties cut, ties stick, naturals stick, etc., etc., etc.  Problem being, you cannot follow only one because if you do, then you lose when the 'cut' happens and you become frustrated and emotional.  Because the biggest problem being, when you bet, it changes up. Simple. So simple it is so overlooked by people, because they just don't understand how simple it really is.

So, that is why I say we are in the habit of focusing on what is/was wrong with our decisions. I am not going to sit here and write, our wagers are all controllable and in perfect sync with the presentments that we are betting on. However, if you can always remind yourself that your wager is more powerful than the perfect present circumstance finding some type of inner peace, controlling the situation as it unfolds without any frustration whatsoever.  You will have to be in total consciousness of not allowing yourself to fall back into old habits of 'mind supply', that focus on what you have done wrong. Because you cannot move forward if you keep going back.  (Mind Supply: A person's attention. A person's memory. A person identified with their intellectual faculties. A desire or inclination that occupies one's thoughts.)

Summation

It's totally up to you and you alone. I know at the BAC table, I have won a great deal of wagers 'easier' when I was in a total oblivious state to my past bad habits as well as being in my current win state with total consciousness of neutrality. Likewise, I know I have lost a lot of wagers in sessions because I was stuck consciously within my bad habits. I admit it here, unlike many forums with countless members that write about how they all have their "unpublished——secret and never to be disclosed" protocols for winning all their hands for fear of casinos learning.  In so many words, their precious and golden Holy Grails.  ROMAFL! 

Myself, I found that writing, expressing and discovering my thoughts, play and related have led me to a much better understanding of the game, the people playing it and how psychologically our brain functions play a much larger part of wagering and interpreting the baccarat shoe and its presentments than most can ever imagine.

I am well aware how most all of us will go to a casino, walk up to a BAC table and our mind goes basically blank. We will remember our last couple of losses and possibly our wins easily, but as far as the things I brought out here, confusion surrounds us how to remember them as we play. All you have to do is write some small reminders on the BAC card, as you were allowed to have scorecards in front of you at all the properties I have ever been to in the USA. They are as follows.

"Do not expect things a certain way"

"No inner resistance at all"

"Ignore everything wrong, what Was/Is'

As the old saying goes, the balls in your court.

I pretty much explained in post #4 how I play. 

I do not have any kind of mechanical or pre-planned structured betting regime.  I wager a base unit (usually). Until I begin to win a few.  Then I parlay 1x or 2x's as I have described numerous times.

Parlaying does work for me with my winnings.  If I lose my parlay wagers, they are not from my buy-in risk capital, at least greater than my 1 unit base bet.

My buy-ins are roughly 10% of my bank roll at most.  If I lose a session or two or three, no big deal.  When I win, the first thing I do, is replenish my bank roll back to norm.  I have also detailed that out numerous times in my MMM articles. 

I am full prepared to face harsh sessions with my win money parlays, however if the session is harsh, I would have lost the session with single wagered base units anyways, IMO.

I do see your point in playing every hand, shoe after shoe.  But that is not the way I play the game.

Full baccarat table with the following 9 players:

Tim Walz.  Says out loud, "This casino is depriving us of our rights!"

Jacob Frey.  Says out loud, "We have rights! This is targeted operations!"

Letita James.  Says out loud, "This shoe inconsistency is totally unacceptable."

Gavin Newsom.  Says out loud, "Can someone pass me some hair gel and a comb."  Then he says, "This game is total redderict to the absolute maximum."

Bernie Sanders.  Says out loud, "You guys should all donate part of your bank roll to me before you lose it all.  We will just call it a political donation (While he is winking his eye) and I will document it for you."

Kamala Harris. As the shoe first opens, she stands and screams out while raising both of her arms, "I am the first African American woman to play baccarat."  She is wearing a 1970s style blue Jean jacket with a large embroidered back graphic of a fist and the words, "Muslim Power Rules!"

Elon Musk.  Says out loud, "With all of your wagering decisions I clearly understand the need for Artificial Intelligence and satellites to support the delivery of smart info, there are just so many considerably low IQ people."

Andrew Dice Clay.  Says out loud as he placed a table max wager, "Go ahead, marry her. Don't marry her, man. How do you know where she's been? Huh! How do you know she's not the biggest tocking whore to ever walk this tocking town, man? I went with this one girl, she was such a tocking tramp, I had to double park my dick on her behind and wait an hour to get in. It's unfuckingbelievable, I'm telling ya."

AsymBacGuy.  He has been winning about 9 out of 10 hands he wagered.  Most all others have exhausted their buy-ins and additional buy-ins multiple times.  AsymBacGuy finally gets up and says out loud, "What a bunch of friggen Jerks, now I understand the need for insane asylums and human lethal injections."

To explain a bit more how I think, but influenced by you as well, let me repost one of my other posts with pictures to back it up. 

To explain the table picture I took.  The $1,000 to the left and the wager of $600 + out on the table are from my buy-in risk capital.  At least $2,000 off to the right is out of play and locked up.  That is win money from a few hands before I shot the picture. 

The $550 bet on the B with a $50 dragon bonus.  Both wagers won as you see, I snapped the picture for you guys as soon as they were paid and the dealer scooping up the hand to discard. 

The $50 dragon paid 1:1 because B won with a natural.  That $50 will replace the $50 I lost on the P dragon bonus.  I netted $465 off the $550 B win, deduct $85 for the top 4 side wagers that were already taken off the felt. 

My MMM is to parlay that B win twice, so I have $2,500 additionally to lock up ($465/930/1,860) and another $1,250 added to my ammunition to continue wagering, even if no side wagers hit, etc.  That my friends, is my single most powerful and profitable advantage, my 1 + 2. 

This shoe is a beautiful sexy LOW TIES, 0-1-2-3 ties, it was right at half way through when I snapped the below picture and ONLY 1 TIE!!! My clue, my ez money honey.  Call me crazy but hey, it works the highest majority of times for me.

The point where I took the picture, I already won 2 Panda 8s, 3 Fortune 7s, 2 three card 9-0s (wagering bankers plus dragon bonus), netting me greater than $8,000.

There were lots of dragon bonuses on both sides as well.  Bankers had several three card 8s with players having 0 or 1.  Both sides had over 25 dragon bonuses paying out between 2:1 and 10:1 consistently. The shoe ended with 5 Fortune 7s and 4 Panda 8s total.  Besides all the other positive side bets and dragon bonuses paying off.

When it's there, it is there.  You cannot stop it or change it.  The highest amount of all players will say, "it can't/shouldn't happen again" or something similar.  All you can do is wager to win on it.  Period. Simple.

And I love the old saying, "It is what it is".  I revised it a tad bit, "When it's there, it is there".  I don't care how it got there, I just want to be on it. 

You know Asym, like I say; When it's there, it is there.  You cannot stop it or change it.  The highest amount of all players will say, "it can't/shouldn't happen again" or something similar.  All you can do is wager to win on it.  Period. Simple.

Sure there are rationalized out patterns, trends and triggers we all attempt to find when we play.  They work and they don't work.

However and I emphasize HOWEVER, when something is appearing, it is there.  And frankly, honestly, I do not give a rats behind how it came about!  Because if you do, you will most likely miss great ez-peasy money wins.  A win or wins repeatedly, are wins.  I want the cash buddy, not the pat on the back or the fist bump for pointing at the scoreboard and saying it has to produce 'such and such' because of 'so and so' and be correct.  I want to throw larger sums of chips out there, parlay and win. 

I don't care how and why a clump of 16 appeared when it should not have.  Actually, I already know why.  Because those great 'out of the norm' opportunities I win large on, are simply the variances that are positioned past the 1s, 2s and 3s that occur most frequently.

But the bottom line is, I want to turn my buy-in into several times its original amount.  And I want to do it as quickly and if it happens to be off-the-wall, that's just fine. 

Kungfubac wrote: "The main issue from wagering too small is one can't "move the needle" (i.e., bankroll). Yes one may delay busting a buyin with this dinking/donking."

This is past North of correct!  At times I have witnessed the so called "good" players do the same.  And IMO and Experience, it throws the table off balance.  IMO, it is far better just to sit out hands rather than the dinking b.s.! 

Look at the ultra strong Banker clump I posted in a thread recently and you will see others NOT TAKING ADVANTAGE of ez-peasy money.  I say ultra strong bankers because of the 7 naturals straight and a 3 card 9-0, prior to additional bankers continuing.  They are wagering table min!  Ludicrous.

Here is the picture below.  16 strong Bankers clump with 3 beautiful side wagers won, Fortune 7, and two 3 card bankers 9 to players 0.  They are continually wagering table min of $25 and I am doing $550, $1,100 and $2,200 wagers several times throughout it.  Some I did drop down on the second parlay.  But an easy $10-$15k profit at a low stakes table. 

What most all fail to realize and play consciously with is; Baccarat is very easy to win, but it is also very easy to lose as well.  There are 3 habits that we all are affected by and I am writing a detailed article about them.  I will post it shortly in my blog.

I do not wager every hand Albalaha.  I wager 20-30 hands on a good shoe if I'm winning after the first 5-10 or so.

I employ 1/3rd-1/3rd-1/3rd when I win a couple of parlays with the win money.  If I am winning, I cannot give back all of my win.  If I am losing before I win, I will lose a portion of my buy-in before I stop and wait for another shoe or change tables.

Ref win.  $500 wager.  Win, next bet $1,000.  Win next next $2,000.  If I lose, I lost $500 from my risk capital of the buy-in.  If I won I am up $3,500.  I will then employ my 1/3rds with the $3,500 to continue.

I shoot for a few double parlay wins during a Section of a shoe.  I am more successful than not in completing it.  One time completing that will give me 'free' ammunition, non buy-in funds for the additional attempts.  It works for me far greater than failing me.

But, I do not wager every single hand.  If I play out a series of a Section, I might go down to half of my base wager for several consecutive hands as well.

I also set up wagers on Panda 8s, Fortune 7s, Blazzin 777s and Heavenly 9s for the side bets.  Those have been good to me over a period of time.

Pro Basketball Hall of Famer Chauncey Billups, former NBA guard Damon Jones and nearly three dozen co-defendants will stand trial beginning Nov. 2, a federal judge said Wednesday.

https://www.espn.com/NBA/story/_/id/48103259/trial-date-set-chauncey-billups-others-rigged-poker-case

I respect what you are saying.  However, without seeing an actual scoreboard I get lost in W's and L's. 

I have done extremely well with parlay wagering (pos progression) but I do not employ it every wagering opportunity I encounter.

Possibly you are referring to every hand wagering in a mechanical style, I don't know?

In answering the member's question, Asym said the following:

"Mathematically it doesn't make any difference but in practical terms it's more likely that each player will lose more money by playing for 24h straight than by 24 separate 1 hour sessions as at short sessions players will try to preserve more their winnings (for example by not raising too much their bets, lowering the profit goal, betting few hands).  Of course such a consideration doesn't stand if a player will always and invariably play a rigid scheme (as a robot as you sayed): results will be in line with the tested strategy." 

Yes correct in most cases.  IMO and experience, long term ANYTHING wagered in mechanical form will nearly 100% of the time lose.  Mathematics is irrelevant at the bac table playing a bac shoe.  The order of presentments can not be decided with any accuracy whatsoever.  Sure, there are great advantaged spots and clumps to be wagered upon within sections of a shoe, but those DO NOT REPEAT THEMSELVES after they occur.  Simple and done.

And in addition Asym said: "In a word and for the considerations made above, a propensity should work at "limited" ranges of intervention where no natural variance could destroy it.  Obviously if such a propensity exists (and it does) it'll be slight distributed as miracles cannot happen.  In conclusion, just hundreds of shoes dealt could tell us whether a possible propensity affects the results, especially (that's our "model control") everything else will be somewhat balanced."

Absolutely.  "Limited" ranges of advantaged wagers are totally possible.  But those IMO will be selected by a conscious player, non-mechanical and sporadically.  And where I disagree with Asym is flat-betting.  I do not flat-bet when my "it is there advantaged wagers are winning", I begin my banging it out pattern of parlay wagering.  I do not care what happened in a prior shoe of play, I do not care about what might happen in future shoes of play if I continue my session, etc., etc.  I only care about what I am sitting in front of and wagering at the instant and real time.  Period.

Clustered and Isolation will always be present in 99.99.9% or higher of all shoes played.  Always, Always, Always.  Equalization is the heaviest and most advantaged event a conscious and open minded player can recognize.  But, problem is the change up appears without any sort of regulation and schedule.  It has to or the game would not be there.

There are a few saying and phrases that are commonly used at the table, that I read on other internet locations that are usually mistaken.

"Checks Play". Normally used to alert pit that a larger unusual variance in bet amount was just placed.

"Bilking".  Used in joking around about cheating. Usually casino taking players money or sometimes the opposite.

"Player Takes".  Dealers knowingly can tell player has more than table maximum and generally asked for or dealer doesn't want to break down the wagered amount. But the person will only get paid the table max if wager was won and will be returned excess chips if that wager was lost.

"In Play Betting". Meaning placing an additional bet while an event is actually happening, during a hand. At bac never allowed.

"Cold Table". Very subjective term. The highest majority of people are repetitively losing. Of course it won't always stay like that and you will hear that depending on how many people were playing and how many people lost over a certain amount of time. Never anything set as to any amount of time that determines when a table is or was cold.

"Hot Table". Very subjective term. The highest majority of people are repetitively winning.  Of course it won't always stay like that and you will hear that depending on how many people were playing and how many people won over a certain amount of time. Never anything set as to any amount of time that determines when a table is or was hot.

You can Google just about anything now. It's been that way for a number of years, but not really during the good old days of infamous big table bac.

You know, sit down and think about it. You cannot download
bac experience. You cannot download bac failure. You cannot download bac struggling. You will get opinions and twisted definitions or explanations from either inexperienced and possibly a few experienced players.  Most people will not be able the decipher between wrong and right, disadvantage and advantages.  But you cannot download them and be able to absorb them into your body.

The real learning my friends is called, Blood, Sweat and Tears!

Yes, you can't learn from the Internet, Googling, Wiki, etc. But the real experience, gut feelings, knowing what how and why certain events almost always occur, and so much more, you can only build up from once again, actual experience.

You said, "The only way to theorize a possible baccarat vulnerability relies about a "bias" affecting the successions, meaning that each result is not perfect independent and so randomly placed than what we think (or instructed to think of); of course and most of the times such a bias cannot reach values capable to erase and invert the HE, otherwise it would be too easy to beat the game."

PERFECTLY STATED!

Along the same lines, when it is there, it is there, just bang it out. No matter what it is. Whether it makes sense (in correlation to what should happen or not).  And that is why so many people lose.  Because they are too busy writing something on their scorecard or pointing to the scoreboard that makes no sense as to what is actually happening.

You said:  "....winning big at a single session or at few sessions almost always is a sure sign of future disaster or, in presence of a verifed edge, a sign of a more likely impending negative deviation;

Unless you engage in a rock solid MMM plan with Levels and Plateaus you believe in, that govern your post-winning play, etc.  I have written about and detailed out my MMM plan that is one of my largest proven advantages.

I have/numerous others have written about, future sessions played after big wins, are extremely tough to replicate and until we all realize that fact, those future sessions are seriously'Booby-trapped'. 

What a total scum bucket!  Should have a uniform when he goes to jail with the embroidered words, "Police Chief who lied and stole".

Attorneys should have a field day with countless cases being prosecuted by his department.


https://www.newhavenindependent.org/2026/02/20/arrest-warrant-chief-bet-4-4m-online/


Click below to read the actual affidavit with tons of detailed info in it, including money bet, wins and losses from online gaming concerns:

https://www.newhavenindependent.org/wp-content/uploads/2026/02/2600005814_Redacted.pdf